Mike Copage
@copage.bsky.social
Head - Climate & Security Policy Centre with the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.
Formerly Govt 🇨🇦 climate mitigation & adaptation plans/policy
Formerly Govt 🇨🇦 climate mitigation & adaptation plans/policy
It was great to join ABC Radio National Breakfast to talk through #COP31 this morning.
Take a listen here, and visit coterran.co for some more thoughts on why COP31 is about meeting the Pacific's greatest #security threat: #climatechange coterran.co/cop31-is-an-...
Take a listen here, and visit coterran.co for some more thoughts on why COP31 is about meeting the Pacific's greatest #security threat: #climatechange coterran.co/cop31-is-an-...
November 10, 2025 at 2:41 AM
It was great to join ABC Radio National Breakfast to talk through #COP31 this morning.
Take a listen here, and visit coterran.co for some more thoughts on why COP31 is about meeting the Pacific's greatest #security threat: #climatechange coterran.co/cop31-is-an-...
Take a listen here, and visit coterran.co for some more thoughts on why COP31 is about meeting the Pacific's greatest #security threat: #climatechange coterran.co/cop31-is-an-...
Reposted by Mike Copage
@copage.bsky.social Great to join ABC Radio National Breakfast this morning to talk through Australia's bid to co-host #COP31 with the Pacific, and why the benefits for Australia's partnership with the Pacific outweigh the costs of hosting: www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQna...
COP31 is an Investment in Security for Australia & the Pacific - ABC Radio National 10-11-2025
YouTube video by CoTerran
www.youtube.com
November 10, 2025 at 2:35 AM
@copage.bsky.social Great to join ABC Radio National Breakfast this morning to talk through Australia's bid to co-host #COP31 with the Pacific, and why the benefits for Australia's partnership with the Pacific outweigh the costs of hosting: www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQna...
I'm excited to share the launch of CoTerran, a new #climate and #security advisory.
coterran.co/newsletter/launch
Stay tuned for updates on analysis, products, and services by subscribing through coterran.co as I build it out.
coterran.co/newsletter/launch
Stay tuned for updates on analysis, products, and services by subscribing through coterran.co as I build it out.
October 28, 2025 at 2:47 AM
I'm excited to share the launch of CoTerran, a new #climate and #security advisory.
coterran.co/newsletter/launch
Stay tuned for updates on analysis, products, and services by subscribing through coterran.co as I build it out.
coterran.co/newsletter/launch
Stay tuned for updates on analysis, products, and services by subscribing through coterran.co as I build it out.
Reposted by Mike Copage
Excited to share the launch of CoTerran, a #climate and #security advisory
coterran.co/newsletter/l...
coterran.co/newsletter/l...
CoTerran's approach to climate and security
Launching CoTerran, a new advisory focused on risks at the nexus of climate and security.
coterran.co
October 28, 2025 at 2:45 AM
Excited to share the launch of CoTerran, a #climate and #security advisory
coterran.co/newsletter/l...
coterran.co/newsletter/l...
It was a privilege to host a workshop earlier this month in Canberra, on behalf of the @aspi-org.bsky.social, in partnership with adelphi and the Toda Peace Institute, on the theme of "Advancing Climate, Peace, Security, and Geopolitical Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific Region."
#climatesecurity
#climatesecurity
July 25, 2025 at 2:39 AM
It was a privilege to host a workshop earlier this month in Canberra, on behalf of the @aspi-org.bsky.social, in partnership with adelphi and the Toda Peace Institute, on the theme of "Advancing Climate, Peace, Security, and Geopolitical Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific Region."
#climatesecurity
#climatesecurity
Reposted by Mike Copage
Every President Since Lyndon Johnson Has Recognized the Security Risks of Climate Change. Then Came Trump.
My article on this.
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
My article on this.
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
Every president since Lyndon Johnson has recognized the security risks of climate change. Then came Trump.
Turning a blind eye will only make the United States weaker.
www.motherjones.com
May 14, 2025 at 10:54 PM
Every President Since Lyndon Johnson Has Recognized the Security Risks of Climate Change. Then Came Trump.
My article on this.
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
My article on this.
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
@aspi-org.bsky.social's 2025 edition of 'Agenda for Change', a major report on strategic challenges the next Australian Government must grapple with, is now out.
In it, I argue that strengthening climate risk governance should be a national security priority.
www.aspi.org.au/report/agend...
In it, I argue that strengthening climate risk governance should be a national security priority.
www.aspi.org.au/report/agend...
Agenda for change 2025: Preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world - ASPI
By Raelene Lockhorst, Chris Taylor, Marc Ablong PSM, Bethany Allen, Justin Bassi, Dr Alex Bristow, Henry Campbell, Danielle Cave, Michael Copage, James Corera, Dr John Coyne, Dr Malcolm Davis, Dr Fitriani, Andrew Henderson, Jocelinn Kang, Nerida King, Dr Rajeswari (Raji) Pillai Rajagopalan, Ian SatchwellFor more than a decade, which has included the 2013, 2016, 2019 […]
www.aspi.org.au
April 29, 2025 at 1:39 AM
@aspi-org.bsky.social's 2025 edition of 'Agenda for Change', a major report on strategic challenges the next Australian Government must grapple with, is now out.
In it, I argue that strengthening climate risk governance should be a national security priority.
www.aspi.org.au/report/agend...
In it, I argue that strengthening climate risk governance should be a national security priority.
www.aspi.org.au/report/agend...
Reposted by Mike Copage
🚨 NEW PUBLICATION 🚨
In ‘Agenda for change 2025: Preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world’, ASPI experts analyse the strategic challenges facing Australia and provide recommendations to assist the next Australian Government.
🔖 Read it now ➡️ bit.ly/4izTkUA
In ‘Agenda for change 2025: Preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world’, ASPI experts analyse the strategic challenges facing Australia and provide recommendations to assist the next Australian Government.
🔖 Read it now ➡️ bit.ly/4izTkUA
April 28, 2025 at 11:31 PM
🚨 NEW PUBLICATION 🚨
In ‘Agenda for change 2025: Preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world’, ASPI experts analyse the strategic challenges facing Australia and provide recommendations to assist the next Australian Government.
🔖 Read it now ➡️ bit.ly/4izTkUA
In ‘Agenda for change 2025: Preparedness and resilience in an uncertain world’, ASPI experts analyse the strategic challenges facing Australia and provide recommendations to assist the next Australian Government.
🔖 Read it now ➡️ bit.ly/4izTkUA
This week PM Albanese announced Adelaide as the preferred city to host COP31 (if the bid survives the election).
No knock to Adelaide, but if COP31 is meant to be co-hosted with the Pacific, then decisions on the host city should be done with Pacific input: www.aspistrategist.org.au/a-successful...
No knock to Adelaide, but if COP31 is meant to be co-hosted with the Pacific, then decisions on the host city should be done with Pacific input: www.aspistrategist.org.au/a-successful...
A successful COP31 needs Pacific countries at the table | The Strategist
Australia’s bid to co-host the 31st international climate negotiations (COP31) with Pacific island countries in late 2026 is directly in our national interest. But success will require consultation wi...
www.aspistrategist.org.au
April 17, 2025 at 1:24 AM
This week PM Albanese announced Adelaide as the preferred city to host COP31 (if the bid survives the election).
No knock to Adelaide, but if COP31 is meant to be co-hosted with the Pacific, then decisions on the host city should be done with Pacific input: www.aspistrategist.org.au/a-successful...
No knock to Adelaide, but if COP31 is meant to be co-hosted with the Pacific, then decisions on the host city should be done with Pacific input: www.aspistrategist.org.au/a-successful...
Great to join Thomas Oriti on ABC News Radio yesterday to talk about our report on climate risks to Indonesia's security. Take a listen (Part 1 here, Part 2 below!), read through a quick summary here (www.aspistrategist.org.au/climate-risk...), or the full report (www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...)
April 10, 2025 at 12:46 AM
Great to join Thomas Oriti on ABC News Radio yesterday to talk about our report on climate risks to Indonesia's security. Take a listen (Part 1 here, Part 2 below!), read through a quick summary here (www.aspistrategist.org.au/climate-risk...), or the full report (www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...)
Reposted by Mike Copage
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
'Indonesia in 2035: Climate risks to security in the Indo-Pacific' reveals Indonesia’s economic and national security interests will be strained by climate risks in coming years, with consequences stretching across the Indo-Pacific.
🔖 Read the report 👉 bit.ly/4i7eyc4
'Indonesia in 2035: Climate risks to security in the Indo-Pacific' reveals Indonesia’s economic and national security interests will be strained by climate risks in coming years, with consequences stretching across the Indo-Pacific.
🔖 Read the report 👉 bit.ly/4i7eyc4
April 8, 2025 at 11:12 PM
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
'Indonesia in 2035: Climate risks to security in the Indo-Pacific' reveals Indonesia’s economic and national security interests will be strained by climate risks in coming years, with consequences stretching across the Indo-Pacific.
🔖 Read the report 👉 bit.ly/4i7eyc4
'Indonesia in 2035: Climate risks to security in the Indo-Pacific' reveals Indonesia’s economic and national security interests will be strained by climate risks in coming years, with consequences stretching across the Indo-Pacific.
🔖 Read the report 👉 bit.ly/4i7eyc4
Our new report out this morning assessing how climate risks could disrupt the economic and security interests of Indonesia - and in turn, those of Australia and the broader region. Thanks to the team, esp. Dr. Robert Glasser and @isabellebond.bsky.social
www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...
www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...
Indonesia in 2035: Climate risks to security in the Indo-Pacific
The Indo-Pacific region is particularly exposed to climate impacts, and Indonesia, like many countries, will be severely affected by climate impacts in the decade to come. The effects of climate-amplified disasters, combined with the political, social and economic consequences of climate impacts originating from within and across the region, will strain Indonesia’s economic and national-security interests.
www.aspi.org.au
April 8, 2025 at 9:40 PM
Our new report out this morning assessing how climate risks could disrupt the economic and security interests of Indonesia - and in turn, those of Australia and the broader region. Thanks to the team, esp. Dr. Robert Glasser and @isabellebond.bsky.social
www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...
www.aspi.org.au/report/indon...
Politico shared a leaked memo earlier this week to replace USAID with a new 'humanitarian assistance' organization, so I thought it was worth looking through what the plan is www.aspistrategist.org.au/a-new-us-hum...
A new US humanitarian agency must operate without political blinders | The Strategist
The United States government is considering replacing USAID with a new agency, the US Agency for International Humanitarian Assistance (USIHA), according to documents published by POLITICO. Under the ...
www.aspistrategist.org.au
March 21, 2025 at 5:32 AM
Politico shared a leaked memo earlier this week to replace USAID with a new 'humanitarian assistance' organization, so I thought it was worth looking through what the plan is www.aspistrategist.org.au/a-new-us-hum...
I'm having a hard time reconciling the existence of ONI's assessment, with the scant two-sentence reference to climate's impact on Australia's security and interests in the newly released Independent Intelligence Review today. www.pmc.gov.au/sites/defaul...
March 20, 2025 at 11:05 PM
I'm having a hard time reconciling the existence of ONI's assessment, with the scant two-sentence reference to climate's impact on Australia's security and interests in the newly released Independent Intelligence Review today. www.pmc.gov.au/sites/defaul...
Sharing a declassified version of ONI's assessment on Australia's security risks from climate change is critical. Without that, it's hard to have a full conversation on the risks of climate change, or costs of inaction. Great piece in the Saturday Paper. www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/environ...
Exclusive: Secret briefings on climate national security risk
The government invited only the progressive independents – excluding the Greens, the Coalition and the relevant parliamentary committee – to a briefing on the still-unpublished Climate Risk Assessment...
www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au
March 15, 2025 at 5:29 AM
Sharing a declassified version of ONI's assessment on Australia's security risks from climate change is critical. Without that, it's hard to have a full conversation on the risks of climate change, or costs of inaction. Great piece in the Saturday Paper. www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/environ...
Reposted by Mike Copage
24-26% of Australia’s GDP. This is the monetary equivalent the US has lost in damages from the LA fires.
The experiences of mercenaries in warfare offer several lessons regarding climate-fuelled disaster responses and national preparedness that can help predict challenges and inform policy.
The experiences of mercenaries in warfare offer several lessons regarding climate-fuelled disaster responses and national preparedness that can help predict challenges and inform policy.
'The devastating fires in Southern California, many of which are still burning out of control, have exposed a controversial and increasingly attractive disaster response alternative that engages the private sector,' writes @isabellebond.bsky.social.
What mercenaries can teach us about climate-fuelled disaster responses | The Strategist
The devastating fires in Southern California, many of which are still burning out of control, have exposed a controversial and increasingly attractive disaster response alternative that engages the pr...
www.aspistrategist.org.au
January 15, 2025 at 4:58 AM
24-26% of Australia’s GDP. This is the monetary equivalent the US has lost in damages from the LA fires.
The experiences of mercenaries in warfare offer several lessons regarding climate-fuelled disaster responses and national preparedness that can help predict challenges and inform policy.
The experiences of mercenaries in warfare offer several lessons regarding climate-fuelled disaster responses and national preparedness that can help predict challenges and inform policy.
The LA fires are what happens when compounding climate risks catch us off guard.
More than enough analysis from the past week driving that home - yet misinformation still abounds, so I think continued clarity on climate's role is still helpful.
www.aspistrategist.org.au/la-fires-cha...
More than enough analysis from the past week driving that home - yet misinformation still abounds, so I think continued clarity on climate's role is still helpful.
www.aspistrategist.org.au/la-fires-cha...
LA fires: changing climate demands constant and focused preparation | The Strategist
The fires in Los Angeles are estimated to be the most expensive disaster in US history at US$250–275 billion, or 24 to 26 percent of Australia’s annual GDP. That loss has accrued in just over a ...
www.aspistrategist.org.au
January 16, 2025 at 4:40 AM
The LA fires are what happens when compounding climate risks catch us off guard.
More than enough analysis from the past week driving that home - yet misinformation still abounds, so I think continued clarity on climate's role is still helpful.
www.aspistrategist.org.au/la-fires-cha...
More than enough analysis from the past week driving that home - yet misinformation still abounds, so I think continued clarity on climate's role is still helpful.
www.aspistrategist.org.au/la-fires-cha...
After three years in Victoria/Melbourne, I feel obliged to yell at the clouds that there are too many dummies behind the wheel on the roads.
I'm sure unsurprising to Melburnians, but why are drivers here so entitled/stupid?
Back to regularly scheduled climate security programming shortly.
I'm sure unsurprising to Melburnians, but why are drivers here so entitled/stupid?
Back to regularly scheduled climate security programming shortly.
January 7, 2025 at 6:27 AM
After three years in Victoria/Melbourne, I feel obliged to yell at the clouds that there are too many dummies behind the wheel on the roads.
I'm sure unsurprising to Melburnians, but why are drivers here so entitled/stupid?
Back to regularly scheduled climate security programming shortly.
I'm sure unsurprising to Melburnians, but why are drivers here so entitled/stupid?
Back to regularly scheduled climate security programming shortly.
Reposted by Mike Copage
Nuclear isn’t a silver bullet: it’s one piece of silver buckshot in the clean energy race. In most countries, it’s not public option holding it back. Rather it’s cost, and the long time it takes to build. www.reuters.com/business/ene...
December 23, 2024 at 10:14 PM
Nuclear isn’t a silver bullet: it’s one piece of silver buckshot in the clean energy race. In most countries, it’s not public option holding it back. Rather it’s cost, and the long time it takes to build. www.reuters.com/business/ene...
Reposted by Mike Copage
Beware the fusion hype cycle…
“Commonwealth Fusion is bringing fusion to VA” is the headline — wow! — until we’re informed they haven’t produced more power than consumed & may or may not do so by 2026! www.latitudemedia.com/news/commonw...
“Commonwealth Fusion is bringing fusion to VA” is the headline — wow! — until we’re informed they haven’t produced more power than consumed & may or may not do so by 2026! www.latitudemedia.com/news/commonw...
December 17, 2024 at 8:24 PM
Beware the fusion hype cycle…
“Commonwealth Fusion is bringing fusion to VA” is the headline — wow! — until we’re informed they haven’t produced more power than consumed & may or may not do so by 2026! www.latitudemedia.com/news/commonw...
“Commonwealth Fusion is bringing fusion to VA” is the headline — wow! — until we’re informed they haven’t produced more power than consumed & may or may not do so by 2026! www.latitudemedia.com/news/commonw...
Reposted by Mike Copage
My latest in the Strategist @aspi-org.bsky.social @copage.bsky.social
www.aspistrategist.org.au/catastrophic...
www.aspistrategist.org.au/catastrophic...
Catastrophic sea level rise possible within our lifetime? Yes, here’s how | The Strategist
‘Runaway ice loss causing rapid and catastrophic sea level rise is possible within our lifetime,’ according to a joint emergency statement released by more than 300 scientists at the inaugural Austral...
www.aspistrategist.org.au
December 16, 2024 at 5:29 AM
My latest in the Strategist @aspi-org.bsky.social @copage.bsky.social
www.aspistrategist.org.au/catastrophic...
www.aspistrategist.org.au/catastrophic...
Reposted by Mike Copage
I get the political calculation here. I'm just gonna point out that the predominance of research into European parties' efforts to outflank the far right like this has found that they merely legitimised the far right's political framing and led voters to opt for the "full fat" version.
November 28, 2024 at 8:49 PM
I get the political calculation here. I'm just gonna point out that the predominance of research into European parties' efforts to outflank the far right like this has found that they merely legitimised the far right's political framing and led voters to opt for the "full fat" version.
Reposted by Mike Copage
There is a project in the US that aims to monitor for intentional addition of sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere, a la Neal Stephenson's TERMINATION SHOCK.
#SRM ⚒️
"The U.S. Is Building an Early Warning System to Detect Geoengineering" (GIFT LINK) www.nytimes.com/2024/11/28/c...
#SRM ⚒️
"The U.S. Is Building an Early Warning System to Detect Geoengineering" (GIFT LINK) www.nytimes.com/2024/11/28/c...
The U.S. Is Building an Early Warning System to Detect Geoengineering (Gift Article)
Balloon launches from around the world are part of a new kind of global alarm system: One that can detect if another country tries to dim the sun.
www.nytimes.com
November 28, 2024 at 12:00 PM
There is a project in the US that aims to monitor for intentional addition of sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere, a la Neal Stephenson's TERMINATION SHOCK.
#SRM ⚒️
"The U.S. Is Building an Early Warning System to Detect Geoengineering" (GIFT LINK) www.nytimes.com/2024/11/28/c...
#SRM ⚒️
"The U.S. Is Building an Early Warning System to Detect Geoengineering" (GIFT LINK) www.nytimes.com/2024/11/28/c...
Excellent study on how broad carbon pricing in Canada does not massively drive up food prices.
Lo and behold, my colleagues who designed and got it off the ground knew what they were doing.
Sadly carbon pricing's biggest problem in Canada isn't the policy, but how poorly it has been communicated.
Lo and behold, my colleagues who designed and got it off the ground knew what they were doing.
Sadly carbon pricing's biggest problem in Canada isn't the policy, but how poorly it has been communicated.
How do carbon taxes affect food prices? In our latest paper, @dr_jen_winter and I analyze both direct and indirect impacts across the entire food supply chain: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5024885
It's the most detailed exploration of CTaxes and food yet! 🤓 #cdnecon #cdnpoli
It's the most detailed exploration of CTaxes and food yet! 🤓 #cdnecon #cdnpoli
November 28, 2024 at 11:52 AM
Excellent study on how broad carbon pricing in Canada does not massively drive up food prices.
Lo and behold, my colleagues who designed and got it off the ground knew what they were doing.
Sadly carbon pricing's biggest problem in Canada isn't the policy, but how poorly it has been communicated.
Lo and behold, my colleagues who designed and got it off the ground knew what they were doing.
Sadly carbon pricing's biggest problem in Canada isn't the policy, but how poorly it has been communicated.
Reposted by Mike Copage
Trump probes for weakness in negotiations. He found it yesterday in Premier Smith of Alberta.
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/we-...
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/we-...
'We need to address those issues': Alberta Premier Danielle Smith won't denounce Trump tariff threat
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith says Canada should address U.S. president-elect Donald Trump's border concerns in the next two months, before he's back in the White House, instead of comparing our situ...
www.ctvnews.ca
November 27, 2024 at 12:23 PM
Trump probes for weakness in negotiations. He found it yesterday in Premier Smith of Alberta.
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/we-...
www.ctvnews.ca/politics/we-...