Christian Odendahl
@codendahl.bsky.social
European economics editor @TheEconomist. London via Berlin, Stockholm and Cologne. Have no plans to write a book.
"We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%." #Brexit
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 10, 2025 at 5:42 PM
"We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%." #Brexit
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Ok, fine. I'll do it.
There is growing speculation about who will succeed Christine Lagarde at the ECB.
www.ft.com/content/45fc...
www.ft.com/content/45fc...
ECB to kick off race for top roles as Lagarde era enters final stretch
Four of six jobs on central bank’s executive board become vacant before end of 2027, including the presidency
www.ft.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Ok, fine. I'll do it.
"Should there be any external attacks against Hungary or its financial system, the Americans gave their word that in such a case they would defend Hungary's financial stability."
Is that a swap line? Argentina style bailout-for-beef thing? www.reuters.com/world/hungar...
Is that a swap line? Argentina style bailout-for-beef thing? www.reuters.com/world/hungar...
Hungary has financial shield agreement with Washington, Orban says
Hungary has secured an agreement with Washington on a "financial shield" to protect its economy and public finances, Prime Minister Viktor Orban said after talks with U.S. President Donald Trump.
www.reuters.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:17 PM
"Should there be any external attacks against Hungary or its financial system, the Americans gave their word that in such a case they would defend Hungary's financial stability."
Is that a swap line? Argentina style bailout-for-beef thing? www.reuters.com/world/hungar...
Is that a swap line? Argentina style bailout-for-beef thing? www.reuters.com/world/hungar...
Switzerland might get 15% after all.
Here is what I wrote over the summer. #gold #pharma www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
Here is what I wrote over the summer. #gold #pharma www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
A tariff avalanche catches Switzerland unawares
The soaring rate is based on exports of Trump’s favourite metal
www.economist.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Switzerland might get 15% after all.
Here is what I wrote over the summer. #gold #pharma www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
Here is what I wrote over the summer. #gold #pharma www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
"The EU’s past ability to match the US in #trade matters was a function of the US being willing to play by the rules. It relied on the assumption that the two powers would keep trade and security matters in separate silos." mailings.cer.eu/insights/thr...
Three hard lessons for European trade
Global trade policy is now dominated by great power politics, putting Europe under pressure. The EU will have to accommodate the US, confront China and derisk from both.
mailings.cer.eu
November 10, 2025 at 2:47 PM
"The EU’s past ability to match the US in #trade matters was a function of the US being willing to play by the rules. It relied on the assumption that the two powers would keep trade and security matters in separate silos." mailings.cer.eu/insights/thr...
“From my younger millennial vantage point, it’s impossible not to scoff.” www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Untouchable Baby Boomers Have Europe in a Choke Hold
“If we’re to build the future of Britain together, we’ll all have to contribute.” These stirring words of national esprit de corps came from UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves last week, as ...
www.bloomberg.com
November 10, 2025 at 11:08 AM
“From my younger millennial vantage point, it’s impossible not to scoff.” www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
Some of the most sensitive areas of Vladimir Putin’s private life – and how they are intertwined with Russia’s political history – are reported in a new book by two of Russia’s best investigative journalists, Roman Badanin and Mikhail Rubin.
Learn more: www.icij.org/investigatio...
Learn more: www.icij.org/investigatio...
Hidden details of Putin’s private life show his ‘real worldview,’ new book claims - ICIJ
A new book by Russian ICIJ member center Proekt goes where none has gone before: Putin’s personal life and his inner circle.
www.icij.org
July 29, 2025 at 9:57 PM
Some of the most sensitive areas of Vladimir Putin’s private life – and how they are intertwined with Russia’s political history – are reported in a new book by two of Russia’s best investigative journalists, Roman Badanin and Mikhail Rubin.
Learn more: www.icij.org/investigatio...
Learn more: www.icij.org/investigatio...
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
November 9, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
early career scholar and their first publication
November 9, 2025 at 9:41 AM
early career scholar and their first publication
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
Check out the latest Russia Contingency. I join the head of Lasar’s Group, one of Ukraine’s best and lesser known drone units to talk about their experience, how drone use is evolving, adaptation on both sides, and what the future holds.
@WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
@WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
Ukrainian Drone Unit Commander Shares Lessons from the Front - War on the Rocks
warontherocks.com
November 7, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Check out the latest Russia Contingency. I join the head of Lasar’s Group, one of Ukraine’s best and lesser known drone units to talk about their experience, how drone use is evolving, adaptation on both sides, and what the future holds.
@WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
@WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
Hungarian PM Viktor Orban being like “we allow zero migrants in without permission… for that we have to pay €1 million to the Brusselian [sic] budget daily,” and Trump is probably thinking “the Brazilian budget? I just gave Argentina €20 billion, I know what that’s like…”
November 7, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Hungarian PM Viktor Orban being like “we allow zero migrants in without permission… for that we have to pay €1 million to the Brusselian [sic] budget daily,” and Trump is probably thinking “the Brazilian budget? I just gave Argentina €20 billion, I know what that’s like…”
The economist in me loves this.
European 10y gov bonds have a yield of 3.2%. They assume 4%. Fine.
Should Euroclear not be able, with some prodding, to generate above 4% nominal returns?
European 10y gov bonds have a yield of 3.2%. They assume 4%. Fine.
Should Euroclear not be able, with some prodding, to generate above 4% nominal returns?
Brussels vs Belgium: Commission says that if Belgium won't sign off on a €140bn loan to Ukraine against Russian assets, EU countries will need to find up to €5.6bn a year to service a loan raised on the open market.
@bmoens.bsky.social & I got the document so you don't have to
on.ft.com/47LzdiM
@bmoens.bsky.social & I got the document so you don't have to
on.ft.com/47LzdiM
EU must pay up to €5.6bn a year in interest if no agreement on Russian assets, Brussels warns
[FREE TO READ] Choices for Ukraine funding set out in commission document drafted after failure to agree plan last month
on.ft.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:01 PM
The economist in me loves this.
European 10y gov bonds have a yield of 3.2%. They assume 4%. Fine.
Should Euroclear not be able, with some prodding, to generate above 4% nominal returns?
European 10y gov bonds have a yield of 3.2%. They assume 4%. Fine.
Should Euroclear not be able, with some prodding, to generate above 4% nominal returns?
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
For this week's issue of @economist.com I got to think hard about something I've not had to think about for more than 20 years: the world of dating and singles. What I found shocked me. Rates of singlehood (singledom) have been rising for decades, but have suddenly accelerated in recent years. 1/
November 7, 2025 at 1:23 PM
For this week's issue of @economist.com I got to think hard about something I've not had to think about for more than 20 years: the world of dating and singles. What I found shocked me. Rates of singlehood (singledom) have been rising for decades, but have suddenly accelerated in recent years. 1/
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
Huge Nexperia news
The Netherlands is prepared to suspend a ministerial order that gave it control over Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia if chip shipments resume in the coming days
The Netherlands is prepared to suspend a ministerial order that gave it control over Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia if chip shipments resume in the coming days
Dutch Ready to Drop Control of Nexperia If Chip Supply Resumes
The Netherlands is prepared to suspend a so-called ministerial order that gave it control over Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia in a move that would de-escalate a fight with Beijing that threatens to disrupt automotive production around the world.
www.bloomberg.com
November 7, 2025 at 7:21 AM
Huge Nexperia news
The Netherlands is prepared to suspend a ministerial order that gave it control over Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia if chip shipments resume in the coming days
The Netherlands is prepared to suspend a ministerial order that gave it control over Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia if chip shipments resume in the coming days
Our cover this week.
economist.com/leaders/2025...
economist.com/leaders/2025...
November 6, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Our cover this week.
economist.com/leaders/2025...
economist.com/leaders/2025...
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
⚡How the war changed Ukraїner’s focus
ukraineworld.org/en/podcasts/...
Julia Tymoshenko discusses how the Ukraїner project has evolved since its early days, and what it takes to make the world truly hear #Ukraine.
Support: www.patreon.com/c/ukraineworld
ukraineworld.org/en/podcasts/...
Julia Tymoshenko discusses how the Ukraїner project has evolved since its early days, and what it takes to make the world truly hear #Ukraine.
Support: www.patreon.com/c/ukraineworld
November 6, 2025 at 1:01 PM
⚡How the war changed Ukraїner’s focus
ukraineworld.org/en/podcasts/...
Julia Tymoshenko discusses how the Ukraїner project has evolved since its early days, and what it takes to make the world truly hear #Ukraine.
Support: www.patreon.com/c/ukraineworld
ukraineworld.org/en/podcasts/...
Julia Tymoshenko discusses how the Ukraїner project has evolved since its early days, and what it takes to make the world truly hear #Ukraine.
Support: www.patreon.com/c/ukraineworld
The big news of today is that Germany's best footballer, Said El Mala (Real Madrid of the North, aka 1. FC Köln, 19 years old) has been called up for national duty ahead of the World Cup qualifiers.
a soccer player in a red and white striped jersey is running on the field
ALT: a soccer player in a red and white striped jersey is running on the field
media.tenor.com
November 6, 2025 at 12:47 PM
The big news of today is that Germany's best footballer, Said El Mala (Real Madrid of the North, aka 1. FC Köln, 19 years old) has been called up for national duty ahead of the World Cup qualifiers.
“I think as a thought experiment, great,” said one urban planning expert who works in Saudi Arabia. “But don’t build thought experiments.”
Fun piece and fantastic visuals. Have a look.
Fun piece and fantastic visuals. Have a look.
NEW: The End of the Line: the centrepiece of Saudi Arabia’s Neom gigaproject - a 500m tall, 170km long wall-like building intended ultimately to house 9 million people - can’t get out of the ground, say more than 20 former Neom architects, engineers and senior executives.
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
End of The Line: how Saudi Arabia’s Neom dream unravelled
Mohammed bin Salman’s utopian city was undone by the laws of physics and finance
ig.ft.com
November 6, 2025 at 11:00 AM
“I think as a thought experiment, great,” said one urban planning expert who works in Saudi Arabia. “But don’t build thought experiments.”
Fun piece and fantastic visuals. Have a look.
Fun piece and fantastic visuals. Have a look.
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
You are a Post-Padawan now!
November 5, 2025 at 3:24 PM
You are a Post-Padawan now!
To be fair, in most of Norway, your nearest neighbour is about 30km away.
Norwegians are the most hostile towards living near a wind farm by a good margin, and have the highest proportion who consider 30km or more to be 'close' (!!!!!!!!!!!!)
November 6, 2025 at 10:10 AM
To be fair, in most of Norway, your nearest neighbour is about 30km away.
It's time to start to thinking about Christmas presents, isn't it?
I have an idea, that costs just £22 a month. 📰
subscribenow.economist.com
I have an idea, that costs just £22 a month. 📰
subscribenow.economist.com
a little boy is sitting in front of a pile of christmas presents and a stuffed animal .
ALT: a little boy is sitting in front of a pile of christmas presents and a stuffed animal .
media.tenor.com
November 6, 2025 at 9:51 AM
It's time to start to thinking about Christmas presents, isn't it?
I have an idea, that costs just £22 a month. 📰
subscribenow.economist.com
I have an idea, that costs just £22 a month. 📰
subscribenow.economist.com
Yeah, that’s going to be fun. #ECB
Bardella wants the ECB (read: Banque de France and other Eurosystem banks) to buy an unlimited amount of French debt.
Other eurozone countries will be delighted at the opportunity to co-finance one of the most generous pension systems in Europe.
www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
Other eurozone countries will be delighted at the opportunity to co-finance one of the most generous pension systems in Europe.
www.economist.com/europe/2025/...
Jordan Bardella starts to lay out his plans
The 30-year-old French populist who is preparing for power
www.economist.com
November 6, 2025 at 9:50 AM
Yeah, that’s going to be fun. #ECB
Reposted by Christian Odendahl
Clearly a lot of details to work through in how it’s implemented but this new pay per mile charge for EVs is a necessary& fair policy. Hope HMT are engaging with devolved nations & local gov on its design as this is a real opportunity to think creatively & more holistically about motoring taxation
EV drivers could face new tax in Budget
The BBC understands there have been
www.bbc.co.uk
November 6, 2025 at 9:20 AM
Clearly a lot of details to work through in how it’s implemented but this new pay per mile charge for EVs is a necessary& fair policy. Hope HMT are engaging with devolved nations & local gov on its design as this is a real opportunity to think creatively & more holistically about motoring taxation
Now that is a cool paper, on how labour markets with hourly workers/zero hour contracts push unpredictability and slow business days onto workers.
(She exploits weather and minimum wage variations.)
(She exploits weather and minimum wage variations.)
The first is Hannah Farkas.
JMP: "The Economic Incidence of Schedule Unpredictability in Hourly Work"
Website: hannahfarkas.github.io
Interests: Environmental Econ, Labor Econ
JMP: "The Economic Incidence of Schedule Unpredictability in Hourly Work"
Website: hannahfarkas.github.io
Interests: Environmental Econ, Labor Econ
November 6, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Now that is a cool paper, on how labour markets with hourly workers/zero hour contracts push unpredictability and slow business days onto workers.
(She exploits weather and minimum wage variations.)
(She exploits weather and minimum wage variations.)
Only high-quality child care is good (enough). That makes it very expensive. There is no way around it.
economist.com/finance-and-...
economist.com/finance-and-...
Universal child care can harm children
Its growing popularity in America is a concern
economist.com
November 5, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Only high-quality child care is good (enough). That makes it very expensive. There is no way around it.
economist.com/finance-and-...
economist.com/finance-and-...