Christoph Dworschak
@chrisdworschak.bsky.social
Researcher @ German Institute for Development Evaluation.
Contentious politics, (un)armed conflict, development, prediction, and causal inference. And hiking.
https://chrisdworschak.com
Contentious politics, (un)armed conflict, development, prediction, and causal inference. And hiking.
https://chrisdworschak.com
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
My new article with Mert Can Yilmaz out in Research & Politics! An investigation into what does drive differences between UCDP and ACLED data and a response to a series of unfounded claims made by Clionadh Raleigh et al in a 2023 article. (1/4) Read it here doi.org/10.1177/2053...
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doi.org
July 30, 2025 at 2:09 PM
My new article with Mert Can Yilmaz out in Research & Politics! An investigation into what does drive differences between UCDP and ACLED data and a response to a series of unfounded claims made by Clionadh Raleigh et al in a 2023 article. (1/4) Read it here doi.org/10.1177/2053...
It was such a pleasure to kick off #NEPS2025 with @kmross.bsky.social presenting on mass mobilization and collective music listening behavior, and a fascinating presentation by @chrisvsteinert.bsky.social on police violence!
My dear friend and colleague @chrisdworschak.bsky.social is kicking off #NEPS2025, presenting fascinating work with @kmross.bsky.social on conflict forecasting using… music data! 🎶📈
“Rhythms to riot” is already setting the tone for a brilliant few days of peace science!
#conflictforecasting
“Rhythms to riot” is already setting the tone for a brilliant few days of peace science!
#conflictforecasting
June 29, 2025 at 5:32 AM
It was such a pleasure to kick off #NEPS2025 with @kmross.bsky.social presenting on mass mobilization and collective music listening behavior, and a fascinating presentation by @chrisvsteinert.bsky.social on police violence!
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
"What Good is a Regression? Inference to the Best Explanation and the Practice of Political Science Research"
from Spirling and Stewart
journal: doi.org/10.1086/734280
from Spirling and Stewart
journal: doi.org/10.1086/734280
May 28, 2025 at 11:35 AM
"What Good is a Regression? Inference to the Best Explanation and the Practice of Political Science Research"
from Spirling and Stewart
journal: doi.org/10.1086/734280
from Spirling and Stewart
journal: doi.org/10.1086/734280
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Hyunjung Park, Nathan Timbs and I are organizing a workshop on "Rebel behaviour and external support" at this year's ISA-BISA Conference in Newcastle, UK. We aim to gather a mix of experienced and early career scholars. The call is out! www.isanet.org/Conferences/...
May 7, 2025 at 12:16 PM
Hyunjung Park, Nathan Timbs and I are organizing a workshop on "Rebel behaviour and external support" at this year's ISA-BISA Conference in Newcastle, UK. We aim to gather a mix of experienced and early career scholars. The call is out! www.isanet.org/Conferences/...
@kmross.bsky.social and I wrote a small opinion piece on #peacekeeping. We bring attention to this year's #PeacekeepingMinisterial and the opportunity it presents for states to reaffirm their commitment.
At the upcoming UN Peacekeeping Ministerial, world leaders will discuss the future of peacekeeping. They should reaffirm their commitment to global peace.
Read #TheCurrentColumn by Christoph Dworschak and
@kmross.bsky.social
www.idos-research.de/en/the-curre...
Read #TheCurrentColumn by Christoph Dworschak and
@kmross.bsky.social
www.idos-research.de/en/the-curre...
May 14, 2025 at 6:09 AM
@kmross.bsky.social and I wrote a small opinion piece on #peacekeeping. We bring attention to this year's #PeacekeepingMinisterial and the opportunity it presents for states to reaffirm their commitment.
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Appeasement, as Churchill warned, is like feeding a crocodile and hoping to be the last one eaten.
Levitsky, Way, and me today in New York Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/08/o...
Levitsky, Way, and me today in New York Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/08/o...
Opinion | No One Has Ever Defeated Autocracy From the Sidelines
www.nytimes.com
May 8, 2025 at 12:42 PM
Appeasement, as Churchill warned, is like feeding a crocodile and hoping to be the last one eaten.
Levitsky, Way, and me today in New York Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/08/o...
Levitsky, Way, and me today in New York Times
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/08/o...
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Ever felt uneasy about how concepts & measures of "grey zone" autocracies are used interchangeably across the literature? Then check out my 🚨new paper🚨 in @democratization.bsky.social and get some substance to back up your gut feeling: tinyurl.com/ypdm2kna Or at least read the main points below ⬇️
Electoral autocracies, hybrid regimes, and multiparty autocracies: same, same but different?
There is a wide range of labels, such as electoral autocracy, hybrid regimes, or multiparty autocracy, and corresponding empirical measures to describe and measure political regimes that combine au...
tinyurl.com
April 20, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Ever felt uneasy about how concepts & measures of "grey zone" autocracies are used interchangeably across the literature? Then check out my 🚨new paper🚨 in @democratization.bsky.social and get some substance to back up your gut feeling: tinyurl.com/ypdm2kna Or at least read the main points below ⬇️
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
today we will all read imbens 2021 on statistical significance and p values, which is a strong contender for having the best opening paragraph of any stats paper
pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
April 6, 2025 at 2:05 AM
today we will all read imbens 2021 on statistical significance and p values, which is a strong contender for having the best opening paragraph of any stats paper
pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
📢 New booklet: Beyond Compliance Symposium - How to prevent harm and need in conflict. Features 14 articles (of 24 blog posts so far) which reflect the BCC's core research conceptualisation.
Read and download the booklet: bit.ly/blog-booklet...
Read and download the booklet: bit.ly/blog-booklet...
April 3, 2025 at 11:39 AM
📢 New booklet: Beyond Compliance Symposium - How to prevent harm and need in conflict. Features 14 articles (of 24 blog posts so far) which reflect the BCC's core research conceptualisation.
Read and download the booklet: bit.ly/blog-booklet...
Read and download the booklet: bit.ly/blog-booklet...
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Democracy researchers please take note, and tell relevant colleagues: The Dep. of Pol. Sci. in Gothenburg is hiring a new Director for the V-Dem Institute. The Director will also serve as permanent (tenured) member of the Dep., with reduced teaching responsibilities during their tenure as Director.
📢Applications Open for New Director of the V-Dem Institute
V-Dem Institute and the Dept. of Political Science, University of Gothenburg is looking for a Senior Lecturer/Associate Professor in Political Science & Director of the V-Dem Institute.
To application: shorturl.at/9rvmx
📆 March 27, 2025.
V-Dem Institute and the Dept. of Political Science, University of Gothenburg is looking for a Senior Lecturer/Associate Professor in Political Science & Director of the V-Dem Institute.
To application: shorturl.at/9rvmx
📆 March 27, 2025.
February 17, 2025 at 10:02 AM
Democracy researchers please take note, and tell relevant colleagues: The Dep. of Pol. Sci. in Gothenburg is hiring a new Director for the V-Dem Institute. The Director will also serve as permanent (tenured) member of the Dep., with reduced teaching responsibilities during their tenure as Director.
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
If you've ever used the Polity data, read this from Monty Marshall.
tl;dr Polity is coding recent US events as an executive self-coup and an adverse regime change.
tl;dr Polity is coding recent US events as an executive self-coup and an adverse regime change.
February 12, 2025 at 1:59 PM
If you've ever used the Polity data, read this from Monty Marshall.
tl;dr Polity is coding recent US events as an executive self-coup and an adverse regime change.
tl;dr Polity is coding recent US events as an executive self-coup and an adverse regime change.
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
🎉 Thrilled beyond words! As a master’s student, I dreamed of publishing in JPR. Never did I imagine winning the Best Article of the Year! 🏆✨ Even more surreal: it’s also the runner-up for Best Visualization! Huge thanks to everyone who made this possible! 🙌 doi.org/10.1177/0022...
February 3, 2025 at 11:57 AM
🎉 Thrilled beyond words! As a master’s student, I dreamed of publishing in JPR. Never did I imagine winning the Best Article of the Year! 🏆✨ Even more surreal: it’s also the runner-up for Best Visualization! Huge thanks to everyone who made this possible! 🙌 doi.org/10.1177/0022...
This was an interesting piece to work on.
At the @beyond-comp-cons.bsky.social, we are looking into armed actors' behavior & how that maps onto IHL. While working on this, we noticed a mismatch between IHL defs and common quant measures. This post summarizes some core points.
shorturl.at/SeeVK
At the @beyond-comp-cons.bsky.social, we are looking into armed actors' behavior & how that maps onto IHL. While working on this, we noticed a mismatch between IHL defs and common quant measures. This post summarizes some core points.
shorturl.at/SeeVK
Beyond Compliance Symposium - Quantifying Compliance: Challenges of Measuring Compliance with International Humanitarian Law - Lieber Institute West Point
A fundamental challenge for research on compliance with IHL lies in the development of robust methods to measure compliance.
lieber.westpoint.edu
December 5, 2024 at 3:19 PM
This was an interesting piece to work on.
At the @beyond-comp-cons.bsky.social, we are looking into armed actors' behavior & how that maps onto IHL. While working on this, we noticed a mismatch between IHL defs and common quant measures. This post summarizes some core points.
shorturl.at/SeeVK
At the @beyond-comp-cons.bsky.social, we are looking into armed actors' behavior & how that maps onto IHL. While working on this, we noticed a mismatch between IHL defs and common quant measures. This post summarizes some core points.
shorturl.at/SeeVK
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
📣 Attention all peace and conflict scholars and practitioners! The call for the Conflict Research Society Annual Conference 2025 is out! Get your paper, panel and workshop submissions in by 17th January 😀
conflictresearchsociety.org/call-for-pap...
conflictresearchsociety.org/call-for-pap...
Call for papers 2025 - CRS
Call for papers 2025 CRS
conflictresearchsociety.org
November 27, 2024 at 9:08 AM
📣 Attention all peace and conflict scholars and practitioners! The call for the Conflict Research Society Annual Conference 2025 is out! Get your paper, panel and workshop submissions in by 17th January 😀
conflictresearchsociety.org/call-for-pap...
conflictresearchsociety.org/call-for-pap...
Our current take on #protest in #Mozambique /w Salvador Forquilha and Karina Mross.
German version: shorturl.at/Iubkx
English version: shorturl.at/e8mSG
German version: shorturl.at/Iubkx
English version: shorturl.at/e8mSG
November 26, 2024 at 7:14 AM
Our current take on #protest in #Mozambique /w Salvador Forquilha and Karina Mross.
German version: shorturl.at/Iubkx
English version: shorturl.at/e8mSG
German version: shorturl.at/Iubkx
English version: shorturl.at/e8mSG
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
@hannefjelde.bsky.social and me have a new open access article out in @democratization.bsky.social! doi.org/10.1080/1351...
We study how militarized elections shape citizens’ support for democratic rights – and present evidence from a vignette experiment in India 🪖🗳️
Thread follows ⬇️
We study how militarized elections shape citizens’ support for democratic rights – and present evidence from a vignette experiment in India 🪖🗳️
Thread follows ⬇️
Militarized elections and citizens’ support for democratic rights: evidence from India
Across the world, many citizens go to the polls amidst armed threats from both state and non-state actors. How do militarized elections affect citizens’ willingness to accept restrictions on democr...
doi.org
November 21, 2024 at 1:20 PM
@hannefjelde.bsky.social and me have a new open access article out in @democratization.bsky.social! doi.org/10.1080/1351...
We study how militarized elections shape citizens’ support for democratic rights – and present evidence from a vignette experiment in India 🪖🗳️
Thread follows ⬇️
We study how militarized elections shape citizens’ support for democratic rights – and present evidence from a vignette experiment in India 🪖🗳️
Thread follows ⬇️
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
📢🎓 PhD position in my new "The future of EUrope" project
💶 Good salary & project money for data collections, travels, etc.
📝 International supervision team
🌍 Trondheim 🇳🇴 lively student city with great nature
🗓️ DL 10.12.
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Thanks for sharing and RT!
polisky EUsky
💶 Good salary & project money for data collections, travels, etc.
📝 International supervision team
🌍 Trondheim 🇳🇴 lively student city with great nature
🗓️ DL 10.12.
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Thanks for sharing and RT!
polisky EUsky
Ph.D. Position in Political Science (269902) | NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology
Job title: Ph.D. Position in Political Science (269902), Employer: NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Deadline: Tuesday, December 10, 2024
www.jobbnorge.no
October 28, 2024 at 10:35 AM
📢🎓 PhD position in my new "The future of EUrope" project
💶 Good salary & project money for data collections, travels, etc.
📝 International supervision team
🌍 Trondheim 🇳🇴 lively student city with great nature
🗓️ DL 10.12.
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Thanks for sharing and RT!
polisky EUsky
💶 Good salary & project money for data collections, travels, etc.
📝 International supervision team
🌍 Trondheim 🇳🇴 lively student city with great nature
🗓️ DL 10.12.
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Thanks for sharing and RT!
polisky EUsky
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Is your Bluesky feed missing in conflict analysis? I made a starter pack of peace and conflict scholars to follow here. DM me if you want to be included.
#Conflictsky
go.bsky.app/7o8tZt2
#Conflictsky
go.bsky.app/7o8tZt2
September 12, 2024 at 8:20 PM
Is your Bluesky feed missing in conflict analysis? I made a starter pack of peace and conflict scholars to follow here. DM me if you want to be included.
#Conflictsky
go.bsky.app/7o8tZt2
#Conflictsky
go.bsky.app/7o8tZt2
Beyond happy that @chrisvsteinert.bsky.social and my paper on protest mobilization and political imprisonment was awarded the Will H. Moore prize. Many thanks to PSSI and the award committee! #contentiousky
Paper: shorturl.at/eQRZ3
Paper: shorturl.at/eQRZ3
April 24, 2024 at 10:29 AM
Beyond happy that @chrisvsteinert.bsky.social and my paper on protest mobilization and political imprisonment was awarded the Will H. Moore prize. Many thanks to PSSI and the award committee! #contentiousky
Paper: shorturl.at/eQRZ3
Paper: shorturl.at/eQRZ3
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Which dictatorships hire Public Relations (PR) firms, under what conditions, and with what effects?
Christian Gläßel, @alexdukalskis.bsky.social, and I offer first answers with data on 7k contracts between autocracies and US-based PR firms (1945–2022).
Christian Gläßel, @alexdukalskis.bsky.social, and I offer first answers with data on 7k contracts between autocracies and US-based PR firms (1945–2022).
April 3, 2024 at 1:39 PM
Which dictatorships hire Public Relations (PR) firms, under what conditions, and with what effects?
Christian Gläßel, @alexdukalskis.bsky.social, and I offer first answers with data on 7k contracts between autocracies and US-based PR firms (1945–2022).
Christian Gläßel, @alexdukalskis.bsky.social, and I offer first answers with data on 7k contracts between autocracies and US-based PR firms (1945–2022).
We are hiring: shorturl.at/bptuG
Please share widely.
- 3-year quant postdoc.
- 100% research and data collection.
- On violent conflict and humanitarian law.
- Grade 7 salary (more than most UK postdocs).
- Works with me in a large team across politics and law.
Please share widely.
- 3-year quant postdoc.
- 100% research and data collection.
- On violent conflict and humanitarian law.
- Grade 7 salary (more than most UK postdocs).
- Works with me in a large team across politics and law.
Jobs - The University of York
shorturl.at
March 28, 2024 at 1:07 PM
We are hiring: shorturl.at/bptuG
Please share widely.
- 3-year quant postdoc.
- 100% research and data collection.
- On violent conflict and humanitarian law.
- Grade 7 salary (more than most UK postdocs).
- Works with me in a large team across politics and law.
Please share widely.
- 3-year quant postdoc.
- 100% research and data collection.
- On violent conflict and humanitarian law.
- Grade 7 salary (more than most UK postdocs).
- Works with me in a large team across politics and law.
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
The econ paper that found a 42-64% increase in rapes after prostitution banned (in Sweden)? Turns out result from coding error + Stata prioritization rues + seasonality.
* always plot raw data
* always sniff test your estimates
* open science works!
On X or here:
drive.google.com/file/d/1oGP3...
* always plot raw data
* always sniff test your estimates
* open science works!
On X or here:
drive.google.com/file/d/1oGP3...
Re-analysis of Ciacci (2024).pdf
drive.google.com
March 28, 2024 at 12:35 AM
The econ paper that found a 42-64% increase in rapes after prostitution banned (in Sweden)? Turns out result from coding error + Stata prioritization rues + seasonality.
* always plot raw data
* always sniff test your estimates
* open science works!
On X or here:
drive.google.com/file/d/1oGP3...
* always plot raw data
* always sniff test your estimates
* open science works!
On X or here:
drive.google.com/file/d/1oGP3...
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Are international human rights bodies remedies for elites? My new study shows that socio-economic elites are more likely to file complaints to UN human rights bodies, while marginalized groups from low-income countries are underrepresented (1/7) academic.oup.com/isq/article/...
Elitist Remedies? Complaint Resources and Representation in International Human Rights Bodies
Abstract. This article investigates determinants of representation in international human rights bodies. It is argued that socioeconomic factors shape whet
academic.oup.com
March 27, 2024 at 10:36 AM
Are international human rights bodies remedies for elites? My new study shows that socio-economic elites are more likely to file complaints to UN human rights bodies, while marginalized groups from low-income countries are underrepresented (1/7) academic.oup.com/isq/article/...
Reposted by Christoph Dworschak
Barren Fields and Empty Stomachs: Afghanistan’s Long, Punishing Drought: In a country especially vulnerable to climate change, a drought has displaced entire villages and left millions of children malnourished.
3 of out every 4 provinces now experiencing "severe or catastrophic" drought conditions
3 of out every 4 provinces now experiencing "severe or catastrophic" drought conditions
Barren Fields and Empty Stomachs: Afghanistan’s Long, Punishing Drought
In a country especially vulnerable to climate change, a drought has displaced entire villages and left millions of children malnourished.
www.nytimes.com
March 19, 2024 at 11:40 AM
Barren Fields and Empty Stomachs: Afghanistan’s Long, Punishing Drought: In a country especially vulnerable to climate change, a drought has displaced entire villages and left millions of children malnourished.
3 of out every 4 provinces now experiencing "severe or catastrophic" drought conditions
3 of out every 4 provinces now experiencing "severe or catastrophic" drought conditions