Magnus Öberg
Magnus Öberg
@magnusoberg.bsky.social
Director of the Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social

Posts are personal and do not represent the UCDP or Uppsala University
Pinned
My new article with Mert Can Yilmaz out in Research & Politics! An investigation into what does drive differences between UCDP and ACLED data and a response to a series of unfounded claims made by Clionadh Raleigh et al in a 2023 article. (1/4) Read it here doi.org/10.1177/2053...
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Reposted by Magnus Öberg
Ny rapport om högskolornas budget: Det statliga "produktivitetsavdraget" innebär effektiviseringskrav på 1-2 % av budgeten/år. Idag har högskolorna 40 % mindre resurser per elev än för 30 år sedan, vilket minskat den lärarledda undervisningen drastiskt. tankesmedjanbalans.se/ny-rapport-o...
October 18, 2025 at 6:16 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
Coming very soon! DEMSCORE v6 offers new updates from UCDP, REPDEM, and VIEWS, and a new thematic dataset.
@ucdp.bsky.social @qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org ‬‬
@repdem-org.bsky.social
#polisky #PoliSkyData #PoliSciSky #SocialScience
#SocialScienceData
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October 23, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
September 21, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
Since we first advertised these postdoctoral positions, the project looking at political violence in democracies has unfortunately become even timelier. Apply now to join this important project led by distinguished Professor @hannefjelde.bsky.social.

Apply by 1 October: www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...
September 17, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Top three most read articles in Journal of Peace Research right now😃
September 17, 2025 at 11:14 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
Israeli military's own data shows 83% of deaths in Gaza were civilians.

UCDP's Therese Pettersson calls the ratio "unusually high", comparable to Rwanda 1994 and Mariupol 2022.

This article highlights immense civilian suffering and raises questions about the reliability of wartime casualty data.
August 21, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
🏆We are happy to announce that #DEMSCORE has received the 𝗟𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗗𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗰𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘆 & 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 Award, in the framework of Acquisition International’s Non-Profit Organisation Award 2025🎉

#SocialScienceData #SocialScience #PolDataSky #PoliSkyData #PoliSciSky #PoliSky #AcademicSky
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August 21, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
Armed conflicts involve governments, rebel groups, militias, communal factions, and foreign forces — all interacting in complex ways. The result? A web of violence that can feel overwhelming to understand.

That's why we launch the Conflict Networks Explorer
peaceobservatory.com/conflict-networks
Peace Observatory
Peace observatory website.
peaceobservatory.com
August 22, 2025 at 7:20 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
I am hiring! 1-2 post-docs to join my project on political violence in democracies at @uupeace.bsky.social!
We are looking for 1–2 postdoctoral researchers to join the project “Political Violence in Democracies”, led by @hannefjelde.bsky.social

📌 Full-time, 2-year postdoctoral position
📆 Start Date: Dec 1, (or by agreement)
📍 Location: Uppsala
⏳ Apply by: Oct 1

Read more: www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...
August 19, 2025 at 7:19 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
What drives differences between the conflict events datasets UCDP and ACLED? Contrary to previous claims, @magnusoberg.bsky.social and Mert Can Yilmaz find most differences are due to auxiliary coding rules and standards for source evaluation, not sourcing strategies or inclusion thresholds.
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
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journals.sagepub.com
August 1, 2025 at 9:51 PM
… we show that most of the differences are due to auxiliary coding rules, standards for source evaluation and misrepresentations of UCDP data in the Raleigh et al article (4/4)
July 30, 2025 at 2:10 PM
… and how strategies for dealing with uncertainty and ambiguity impact the data. Contrary to Raleigh et al claims, the differences between ACLED and UCDP are not primarily due to differences in sourcing or inclusion thresholds. Analyzing the same cases … (3/4)
July 30, 2025 at 2:10 PM
In the article, we investigate their claims about what drives differences between UCDP and ACLED. In the process we address some general issues arising in event data collection, including the importance of stable definitions, how demands on sourcing varies with the type of data collected, … (2/4)
July 30, 2025 at 2:10 PM
My new article with Mert Can Yilmaz out in Research & Politics! An investigation into what does drive differences between UCDP and ACLED data and a response to a series of unfounded claims made by Clionadh Raleigh et al in a 2023 article. (1/4) Read it here doi.org/10.1177/2053...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
July 30, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Presenterade den dystra omvärldsutvecklingen, de ökande konfliktnivåerna med data från Uppsala konfliktdataprogram @ucdp.bsky.social , och diskuterade framtidsutsikter med @erikmelander.bsky.social i Almedalen. #Almedalen
June 26, 2025 at 7:19 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
Since 2010, the number of conflicts involving states has almost doubled, and the total number of deaths has increased five-fold. Read more about the new UCDP data in this @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social open access article:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Organized violence 1989–2024, and the challenges of identifying civilian victims - Shawn Davies, Therése Pettersson, Margareta Sollenberg, Magnus Öberg, 2025
This article examines global trends in organized violence based on new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP). In 2024, the number of state-based ar...
journals.sagepub.com
June 17, 2025 at 1:29 PM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
👋 Hello, we're the United States Institute of Peace (USIP)! We are very happy to join @bsky.app, and thrilled to announce that our website, www.usip.org, is back online! We look forward connecting here and bringing you useful content, resources and opportunities for peacebuilders around the world.
June 13, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
The full analysis by Shawn Davies, Therése Pettersson, Margareta Sollenberg and @magnusoberg.bsky.social (all @uupeace.bsky.social) is open access in Journal of Peace Research – read it here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
June 11, 2025 at 9:38 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
New data from UCDP shows the highest number of active conflicts ever recorded, press release found here: www.eurekalert.org/news-release...
UCDP: Sharp increase in conflicts and wars
The number of armed conflicts in the world reached a historic high in 2024. This is shown by new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) at Uppsala University. Despite a marginal decrease i...
www.eurekalert.org
June 11, 2025 at 8:38 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
Right now at the #DemscoreConference:
Final panel - How to deal with uncertainty in #conflict data collection and forecasting?
@uupeace.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social
@viewsforecasting.org‬‬‬ @uupeace.bsky.social

#SocialScience #Polisky #PoliSciSky #SocialScienceData #PolDataSky
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June 10, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
#DemscoreConference Panel 3: Measurements, Methods, & Infrastructures
@paulbederke.bsky.social, @magnusoberg.bsky.social, & Melina Liethmann (@demscore.bsky.social) discuss current problems and solutions for data merging, with examples from #PartyFacts, #UppsalaConflictDataProgram, and #Demscore
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June 9, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
My institution will not concede to the lawless and unwarranted retaliation of the Trump administration. In addition to terrorizing our students, this is just the latest in a string of actions meant to destroy Harvard and reshape all of US higher ed in Trump's image. www.harvard.edu/president/ne...
Supporting Our International Students and Scholars
We have just filed a complaint and a motion for a temporary restraining order will follow. As we pursue legal remedies, we will do everything in our power to support our students and scholars. We have...
www.harvard.edu
May 23, 2025 at 2:28 PM
Reposted by Magnus Öberg
🎉Congratulations on completing your #Master’sThesis!
Did you use data from at least two of DEMSCORE's partnering modules?
🏆 Submit your paper for the DEMSCORE Best Master Thesis Award!
📆 Deadline: May 25
See www.demscore.se/events/demsc...

#polisky #PoliticalScienceData #PoliSciSky #SocialScience
May 22, 2025 at 9:35 AM