David Lockhart
@avicenna2000.bsky.social
Statistician. Gamer. Multi-purpose geek.
Reposted by David Lockhart
You know what they say about academics...
"causal" in the streets
"preliminary and hypothesis-generating" in the sheets
"causal" in the streets
"preliminary and hypothesis-generating" in the sheets
November 12, 2025 at 11:16 PM
You know what they say about academics...
"causal" in the streets
"preliminary and hypothesis-generating" in the sheets
"causal" in the streets
"preliminary and hypothesis-generating" in the sheets
Reposted by David Lockhart
This year Demis Hassabis predicted AI could cure all disease in a decade.
But other scientists like Claus Wilke & Derek Lowe say biology is far more complex, or progress will be limited by clinical trials & economics.
In a new 4hr podcast episode of *Hard Drugs*, we answer: Will AI solve medicine?
But other scientists like Claus Wilke & Derek Lowe say biology is far more complex, or progress will be limited by clinical trials & economics.
In a new 4hr podcast episode of *Hard Drugs*, we answer: Will AI solve medicine?
Will AI solve medicine?
spotify.link
October 29, 2025 at 2:11 PM
This year Demis Hassabis predicted AI could cure all disease in a decade.
But other scientists like Claus Wilke & Derek Lowe say biology is far more complex, or progress will be limited by clinical trials & economics.
In a new 4hr podcast episode of *Hard Drugs*, we answer: Will AI solve medicine?
But other scientists like Claus Wilke & Derek Lowe say biology is far more complex, or progress will be limited by clinical trials & economics.
In a new 4hr podcast episode of *Hard Drugs*, we answer: Will AI solve medicine?
Reposted by David Lockhart
WHAT'S up YouTube, it's your boy Bartleby the Scrivener here, coming at you for another day of the I Would Prefer Not To challenge. Be sure to SMASH that subscribe button and hit that bell so you don't miss a single video. If you saw last week's video, you'll know I am now SLEEPING in the office.
Bartleby the Scrivener logging on for another day of bullshit
November 7, 2025 at 10:54 AM
WHAT'S up YouTube, it's your boy Bartleby the Scrivener here, coming at you for another day of the I Would Prefer Not To challenge. Be sure to SMASH that subscribe button and hit that bell so you don't miss a single video. If you saw last week's video, you'll know I am now SLEEPING in the office.
Reposted by David Lockhart
🧵 Important work from @epic.org examining a critical governance gap after DOGE. The 2007 Data Mining Reporting Act was meant to ensure oversight of surveillance tech. But agencies treat it as optional, undermining the institutional checks needed to constrain govt power. epic.org/data-mining-...
Closing the Data Mines: Repairing Oversight, Preserving Rights
epic.org
November 8, 2025 at 6:38 PM
🧵 Important work from @epic.org examining a critical governance gap after DOGE. The 2007 Data Mining Reporting Act was meant to ensure oversight of surveillance tech. But agencies treat it as optional, undermining the institutional checks needed to constrain govt power. epic.org/data-mining-...
Reposted by David Lockhart
“I’m way closer to LeBron James than you are to me.”
-- Brian Scalabrine
He's probably right, because in a lognormal distribution of ability, it's levels to this …
www.allendowney.com/blog/2025/11...
-- Brian Scalabrine
He's probably right, because in a lognormal distribution of ability, it's levels to this …
www.allendowney.com/blog/2025/11...
It's Levels - Probably Overthinking It
A recent Reddit post asks “Amateur athletes of Reddit: what’s your ‘There’s levels to this shit’ experience from your sport?” Responses included: We have some good runners who can win local races … An...
www.allendowney.com
November 4, 2025 at 3:52 PM
“I’m way closer to LeBron James than you are to me.”
-- Brian Scalabrine
He's probably right, because in a lognormal distribution of ability, it's levels to this …
www.allendowney.com/blog/2025/11...
-- Brian Scalabrine
He's probably right, because in a lognormal distribution of ability, it's levels to this …
www.allendowney.com/blog/2025/11...
Reposted by David Lockhart
What’s the stupidest thing you’ve ever done? I don’t mean “cheating on your partner” stupid, I mean stupid stupid. Like, once, I had this bubble bath which smelled absolutely delicious, so I took a big glug of it. That kind of stupid. (It did not taste delicious.)
October 31, 2025 at 10:55 AM
What’s the stupidest thing you’ve ever done? I don’t mean “cheating on your partner” stupid, I mean stupid stupid. Like, once, I had this bubble bath which smelled absolutely delicious, so I took a big glug of it. That kind of stupid. (It did not taste delicious.)
Reposted by David Lockhart
Herbert Simon on the internet and attention, 1996
October 28, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Herbert Simon on the internet and attention, 1996
Reposted by David Lockhart
I'm at UW's Kane Hall tonight for a panel hosted by the right-wing Washington Policy Center on the "Future of Public Transportation in Washington."
The panel is made up of three old white guys, two of whom are retired.
The panel is made up of three old white guys, two of whom are retired.
October 28, 2025 at 1:34 AM
I'm at UW's Kane Hall tonight for a panel hosted by the right-wing Washington Policy Center on the "Future of Public Transportation in Washington."
The panel is made up of three old white guys, two of whom are retired.
The panel is made up of three old white guys, two of whom are retired.
Reposted by David Lockhart
The way python and R foster inclusion directly contributes to their success: joyful places to exist, a steady flow of new maintainers, and a delightful collection of niche tools empowered by wildly different expertise coming together
Watch the new python documentary for more on PSF’s work here
Watch the new python documentary for more on PSF’s work here
October 28, 2025 at 12:20 AM
The way python and R foster inclusion directly contributes to their success: joyful places to exist, a steady flow of new maintainers, and a delightful collection of niche tools empowered by wildly different expertise coming together
Watch the new python documentary for more on PSF’s work here
Watch the new python documentary for more on PSF’s work here
Reposted by David Lockhart
I’m increasingly convinced you could teach an entire undergrad research methods course around the question “what are the electoral effects of moderation?”. Just need survey experiments to enter the chat
NYT pushed its “Dems must go moderate” take again yesterday. In a new piece out today, @adambonica.bsky.social shows even more clearly why the data don’t support it. It also shows what a skilled empiricist and teacher Adam is.
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
Very proud of my pal’s public work.
open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...
The New York Times’ “Moderation Advantage” Is a Statistical Illusion
After accounting for money and incumbency the supposed electoral bonus for moderate candidates vanishes entirely.
open.substack.com
October 26, 2025 at 2:33 PM
I’m increasingly convinced you could teach an entire undergrad research methods course around the question “what are the electoral effects of moderation?”. Just need survey experiments to enter the chat
Reposted by David Lockhart
A very offline cousin sent this to fam group chat. This story is breaking containment.
October 24, 2025 at 11:36 PM
A very offline cousin sent this to fam group chat. This story is breaking containment.
Reposted by David Lockhart
I think this is kind of neat and I don't think anyone else has noticed it (I've looked and I can't find anyone who has) osf.io/preprints/so...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
October 24, 2025 at 12:23 PM
I think this is kind of neat and I don't think anyone else has noticed it (I've looked and I can't find anyone who has) osf.io/preprints/so...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
Maybe I should back off "justification" language, but it's at least a remarkable coincidence. I still think someone else *must* have noticed it...
Reposted by David Lockhart
This genius of The Onion is that sometimes you can’t tell if it’s real or satire.
October 21, 2025 at 12:39 AM
This genius of The Onion is that sometimes you can’t tell if it’s real or satire.
Reposted by David Lockhart
Louvre Thieves Given Immunity After Confirming Jewels Stolen For Purpose Of Training AI Software https://waterfordwhispersnews.com/2025/10/20/louvre-thieves-given-immunity-after-confirming-jewels-stolen-for-purpose-of-training-ai-software/
Louvre Thieves Given Immunity After Confirming Jewels Stolen For Purpose Of Training AI Software
FRENCH POLICE have immediately ended all efforts to recover priceless Napoleon-era jewellery from the Louvre taken in a daring heist after it emerged the jewels were merely stolen for the purposes of training AI software.
When …
waterfordwhispersnews.com
October 20, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Louvre Thieves Given Immunity After Confirming Jewels Stolen For Purpose Of Training AI Software https://waterfordwhispersnews.com/2025/10/20/louvre-thieves-given-immunity-after-confirming-jewels-stolen-for-purpose-of-training-ai-software/
Reposted by David Lockhart
Hello Bluesky!
We rate DAGs. Some are great. Some are... not so great. But we rate them all.
Let's start with a famous powerpoint hairball a.k.a. "the Afghanisdag", presented to Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal around 2010. His own rating?
1/10 "When we understand that slide, we'll have won the war"
We rate DAGs. Some are great. Some are... not so great. But we rate them all.
Let's start with a famous powerpoint hairball a.k.a. "the Afghanisdag", presented to Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal around 2010. His own rating?
1/10 "When we understand that slide, we'll have won the war"
October 17, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Hello Bluesky!
We rate DAGs. Some are great. Some are... not so great. But we rate them all.
Let's start with a famous powerpoint hairball a.k.a. "the Afghanisdag", presented to Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal around 2010. His own rating?
1/10 "When we understand that slide, we'll have won the war"
We rate DAGs. Some are great. Some are... not so great. But we rate them all.
Let's start with a famous powerpoint hairball a.k.a. "the Afghanisdag", presented to Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal around 2010. His own rating?
1/10 "When we understand that slide, we'll have won the war"
Reposted by David Lockhart
This may just be the best CS paper I’ve read this year. Just read the abstract and first para of the intro! The rest of the intro is really wild too, but very very good:
dl.acm.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
dl.acm.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
October 14, 2025 at 1:12 PM
This may just be the best CS paper I’ve read this year. Just read the abstract and first para of the intro! The rest of the intro is really wild too, but very very good:
dl.acm.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
dl.acm.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
Reposted by David Lockhart
1. My father's funeral was this week. This morning, I attended my first @nihvigils.bsky.social with my family. I shared my father's story. My father immigrated from South Korea. This was possible with #NSF funding. I know we are sister agencies, but science is under attack in multiple departments.
October 11, 2025 at 4:51 PM
1. My father's funeral was this week. This morning, I attended my first @nihvigils.bsky.social with my family. I shared my father's story. My father immigrated from South Korea. This was possible with #NSF funding. I know we are sister agencies, but science is under attack in multiple departments.
Reposted by David Lockhart
Epidemiologists of Bluesky: do you know of any papers that developed statistical models to infer Covid (or something else) incidence or mortality at scale based on survey data about contacts (i.e., “has someone you know died?”)
October 11, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Epidemiologists of Bluesky: do you know of any papers that developed statistical models to infer Covid (or something else) incidence or mortality at scale based on survey data about contacts (i.e., “has someone you know died?”)
Reposted by David Lockhart
And a recognition for the best data that’s not normally distributed: the No-Bell Prize.
October 11, 2025 at 12:13 AM
And a recognition for the best data that’s not normally distributed: the No-Bell Prize.
Reposted by David Lockhart
Reposted by David Lockhart
"Book review: Exposing the forces behind anti-science aggression" | Great review by @philippmarkolin.bsky.social of my new book w/ @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social, #ScienceUnderSiege: www.protagonist-science.com/p/book-revie...
Book review: Exposing the forces behind anti-science aggression
“Science Under Siege,” by Michael E. Mann and Peter J. Hotez, is a plain-spoken, naming-names, rallying cry for protectors of science to not go quietly into the night.
www.protagonist-science.com
October 6, 2025 at 1:10 AM
"Book review: Exposing the forces behind anti-science aggression" | Great review by @philippmarkolin.bsky.social of my new book w/ @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social, #ScienceUnderSiege: www.protagonist-science.com/p/book-revie...
Reposted by David Lockhart
error:
failed to unmount /dev/excalibur (mounted at /mnt/stone):
unarthurized
failed to unmount /dev/excalibur (mounted at /mnt/stone):
unarthurized
October 3, 2025 at 1:09 PM
error:
failed to unmount /dev/excalibur (mounted at /mnt/stone):
unarthurized
failed to unmount /dev/excalibur (mounted at /mnt/stone):
unarthurized
As long as they are only unquantifiable on a set of measure zero...
What's your sign?
September 30, 2025 at 3:39 AM
As long as they are only unquantifiable on a set of measure zero...
Reposted by David Lockhart
@amstatnews.bsky.social covers @drjasonbrinkley.bsky.social 's recent job search. It is a great piece, #statssky #hpss #geronsky and #AIsky.
September 23, 2025 at 12:15 PM
@amstatnews.bsky.social covers @drjasonbrinkley.bsky.social 's recent job search. It is a great piece, #statssky #hpss #geronsky and #AIsky.
Reposted by David Lockhart
I have taken
the Tylenol
that was in
the medicine cabinet
and which
they think probably
is the reason
you like trains
forgive me
but that’s bullshit
you got autism
from your dad
the Tylenol
that was in
the medicine cabinet
and which
they think probably
is the reason
you like trains
forgive me
but that’s bullshit
you got autism
from your dad
September 23, 2025 at 12:02 AM
I have taken
the Tylenol
that was in
the medicine cabinet
and which
they think probably
is the reason
you like trains
forgive me
but that’s bullshit
you got autism
from your dad
the Tylenol
that was in
the medicine cabinet
and which
they think probably
is the reason
you like trains
forgive me
but that’s bullshit
you got autism
from your dad