Andrew Morral
@andrewmorral.bsky.social
Greenwald Chair in Gun Policy at RAND.
Director of the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research: https://www.ncgvr.org
Co-Director of RAND’s Gun Policy In America initiative: https://www.rand.org/research/gun-policy.html.
Director of the National Collaborative on Gun Violence Research: https://www.ncgvr.org
Co-Director of RAND’s Gun Policy In America initiative: https://www.rand.org/research/gun-policy.html.
Pinned
Andrew Morral
@andrewmorral.bsky.social
· Apr 17
State Firearm Law Navigator
Research on the effects of gun laws requires good data on when and where different types of laws have been implemented. The State Firearm Law Navigator shows which states since 1979 have enacted 20 cl...
www.rand.org
I am happy to announce some improvements to our state firearm law database and tools. The database is now updated to cover dozens of laws from 1979 to Jan 1, 2024. In addition … 🧵
www.rand.org/research/gun...
www.rand.org/research/gun...
Interesting WSJ analysis of NIBRS data finds justifiable homicides rising more rapidly than total homicides in Stand-Your-Ground states, and faster than it is rising in non-SYG states. The intended effect of SYG!, but they note some real problems with application of these laws.
Six Words Every Killer Should Know: ‘I Feared for My Life, Officer’
The number of legally sanctioned homicides has grown substantially in states with expanded self-defense rights under stand-your-ground laws.
www.wsj.com
October 29, 2025 at 1:03 PM
Interesting WSJ analysis of NIBRS data finds justifiable homicides rising more rapidly than total homicides in Stand-Your-Ground states, and faster than it is rising in non-SYG states. The intended effect of SYG!, but they note some real problems with application of these laws.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
This is such an easy issue to win on, because ice is terrorizing everyone. And if no one wants to leave their house and spend money eventually all those rich people that think this isn't affecting them are going to be effected.
We constantly talk about Dems' struggles to reach deeper into the culture and access people who ignore politics.
You know what issue is penetrating deep into the culture? ICE's masked raids and kidnappings! It's on Rogan and in country music. In the Manosphere!
newrepublic.com/article/2018...
You know what issue is penetrating deep into the culture? ICE's masked raids and kidnappings! It's on Rogan and in country music. In the Manosphere!
newrepublic.com/article/2018...
October 16, 2025 at 12:33 AM
This is such an easy issue to win on, because ice is terrorizing everyone. And if no one wants to leave their house and spend money eventually all those rich people that think this isn't affecting them are going to be effected.
Am I squinting too hard, or is there more structure to these trends than explained by COVID? In three of these series something happens around 2015, as well as peaking in 2021. Do you work with other series that look like this? Any grand theories?
September 20, 2025 at 1:30 AM
Am I squinting too hard, or is there more structure to these trends than explained by COVID? In three of these series something happens around 2015, as well as peaking in 2021. Do you work with other series that look like this? Any grand theories?
CDC Wonder is down?
September 14, 2025 at 9:21 PM
CDC Wonder is down?
Reposted by Andrew Morral
New Mexico AG Torrez: One of the biggest issues we face is gun violence. We haven’t seen any surge of federal law enforcement agencies dedicated to helping us reduce gun violence. What we’ve seen instead is a lot of the performative stuff — DHS going down to paint the wall to make it hotter.
September 4, 2025 at 3:42 AM
New Mexico AG Torrez: One of the biggest issues we face is gun violence. We haven’t seen any surge of federal law enforcement agencies dedicated to helping us reduce gun violence. What we’ve seen instead is a lot of the performative stuff — DHS going down to paint the wall to make it hotter.
These are undoubtedly underestimates. Without mandatory reporting of lost/stolen guns (in most states) how many private citizens never report a loss, or even a theft?
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen:
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
August 29, 2025 at 10:06 PM
These are undoubtedly underestimates. Without mandatory reporting of lost/stolen guns (in most states) how many private citizens never report a loss, or even a theft?
Reposted by Andrew Morral
It’s time to take serious action at the State Capitol to address gun violence.
August 29, 2025 at 7:08 PM
It’s time to take serious action at the State Capitol to address gun violence.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
Gun owners, lock up your guns.
I can’t help but wonder about the thousands of guns lost and stolen from licensed gun dealers. How many were sold off the books? How many were stolen by employees who aren’t required to be vetted? It’s signals poor regulation and oversight.
I can’t help but wonder about the thousands of guns lost and stolen from licensed gun dealers. How many were sold off the books? How many were stolen by employees who aren’t required to be vetted? It’s signals poor regulation and oversight.
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen:
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
August 29, 2025 at 9:31 PM
Gun owners, lock up your guns.
I can’t help but wonder about the thousands of guns lost and stolen from licensed gun dealers. How many were sold off the books? How many were stolen by employees who aren’t required to be vetted? It’s signals poor regulation and oversight.
I can’t help but wonder about the thousands of guns lost and stolen from licensed gun dealers. How many were sold off the books? How many were stolen by employees who aren’t required to be vetted? It’s signals poor regulation and oversight.
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen:
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
August 29, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen:
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping
More than 1M between 2019-2023
Reposted by Andrew Morral
The Trump administration is moving to slash the Centers for Disease and Control Prevention. Here’s what’s at stake. thetr.ac/MGM94
August 17, 2025 at 12:17 AM
The Trump administration is moving to slash the Centers for Disease and Control Prevention. Here’s what’s at stake. thetr.ac/MGM94
Reposted by Andrew Morral
Firing the BLS Commissioner — the wonk in charge of the statisticians who track economic reality — is an authoritarian four alarm fire.
It will also backfire: You can't bend economic reality, but you can break the trust of markets. And biased data yields worse policy.
It will also backfire: You can't bend economic reality, but you can break the trust of markets. And biased data yields worse policy.
August 1, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Firing the BLS Commissioner — the wonk in charge of the statisticians who track economic reality — is an authoritarian four alarm fire.
It will also backfire: You can't bend economic reality, but you can break the trust of markets. And biased data yields worse policy.
It will also backfire: You can't bend economic reality, but you can break the trust of markets. And biased data yields worse policy.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
We’re #hiring for the role of Gun Violence Prevention and Justice Reform Program Director. Learn more at the link below and please share with your networks.
joycefoundation.bamboohr.com/careers/30
joycefoundation.bamboohr.com/careers/30
Program Director, GVPJR
FOUNDATION OVERVIEW
The Joyce Foundation is a private, nonpartisan philanthropy that invests in public policies and strategies to advance racial equity and economic mobility for the next generation in...
joycefoundation.bamboohr.com
July 25, 2025 at 7:32 PM
We’re #hiring for the role of Gun Violence Prevention and Justice Reform Program Director. Learn more at the link below and please share with your networks.
joycefoundation.bamboohr.com/careers/30
joycefoundation.bamboohr.com/careers/30
LAST CALL: Nominations for the $5,000 Greenwald Award for Excellence in Firearm Violence Prevention Research close in less than two weeks.
Reminder: The 2025 Greenwald Family $5000 Award for the best research paper on gun violence/injury prevention/gun policy is accepting nominations now through July 24, 2025. Qualitative and quantitative studies from all academic disciplines are eligible.
www.firearmresearchsociety.org/2025-greenwa...
www.firearmresearchsociety.org/2025-greenwa...
www.firearmresearchsociety.org
July 11, 2025 at 4:25 PM
LAST CALL: Nominations for the $5,000 Greenwald Award for Excellence in Firearm Violence Prevention Research close in less than two weeks.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
Trump's move to investigate and prosecute James Comey, the former director who documented Trump's attempt to corrupt the FBI, is a grave step toward American authoritarianism.
This article, which I wrote in 2019, lays out the evidence. The president is trying to silence those who expose his crimes.
This article, which I wrote in 2019, lays out the evidence. The president is trying to silence those who expose his crimes.
Mueller Proved Comey Told the Truth
And the president lied.
slate.com
July 10, 2025 at 12:29 AM
Trump's move to investigate and prosecute James Comey, the former director who documented Trump's attempt to corrupt the FBI, is a grave step toward American authoritarianism.
This article, which I wrote in 2019, lays out the evidence. The president is trying to silence those who expose his crimes.
This article, which I wrote in 2019, lays out the evidence. The president is trying to silence those who expose his crimes.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
Reposted by Andrew Morral
San Francisco has reported 11 murders through June 2025 and 31 over the last 12 months. That's the fewest murders through June and fewest rolling over 12 months ever recorded (monthly reporting from the FBI starts in 1960).
July 2, 2025 at 1:09 AM
San Francisco has reported 11 murders through June 2025 and 31 over the last 12 months. That's the fewest murders through June and fewest rolling over 12 months ever recorded (monthly reporting from the FBI starts in 1960).
Reposted by Andrew Morral
It's not just the US murder rate that is likely at or near the lowest level ever recorded. The data from the first 4 months of 2025 points to the possibility of the lowest reported property crime rate ever & lowest violent crime rate in decades. This week's piece:
jasher.substack.com/p/its-not-ju...
jasher.substack.com/p/its-not-ju...
It's Not Just Murder That's Likely At Historic Lows
The US is on track to record the lowest violent crime rate since 1968 and lowest property crime rate ever.
jasher.substack.com
June 23, 2025 at 12:06 PM
It's not just the US murder rate that is likely at or near the lowest level ever recorded. The data from the first 4 months of 2025 points to the possibility of the lowest reported property crime rate ever & lowest violent crime rate in decades. This week's piece:
jasher.substack.com/p/its-not-ju...
jasher.substack.com/p/its-not-ju...
Reposted by Andrew Morral
This is beyond cruel, especially for young folks who are going through it. Cutting off LGBTQ+ youth from specialized suicide prevention help is a death sentence disguised as bureaucracy.
Shame on every official who signed off on this. You’re not protecting children, you’re abandoning them.
Shame on every official who signed off on this. You’re not protecting children, you’re abandoning them.
June 18, 2025 at 5:48 PM
This is beyond cruel, especially for young folks who are going through it. Cutting off LGBTQ+ youth from specialized suicide prevention help is a death sentence disguised as bureaucracy.
Shame on every official who signed off on this. You’re not protecting children, you’re abandoning them.
Shame on every official who signed off on this. You’re not protecting children, you’re abandoning them.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
Last February, I led a proposal submission that encompassed six months, hundreds of hours, four institutions, a massive team, and and 256 pages. NSF just informed us that the entire Biology Integration Institute program was archived and our proposal would not even be reviewed.
With a form email.
With a form email.
June 16, 2025 at 10:27 PM
Last February, I led a proposal submission that encompassed six months, hundreds of hours, four institutions, a massive team, and and 256 pages. NSF just informed us that the entire Biology Integration Institute program was archived and our proposal would not even be reviewed.
With a form email.
With a form email.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
📢BREAKING: Just left the courthouse for our NIH grant termination case
Judge ruled terminations are “VOID & ILLEGAL”
As a plaintiff, I felt a wave of relief & hope; he acknowledged the discrimination & harm
Closed by asking, ‘Have we fallen so low? Have we no shame?’
Judge ruled terminations are “VOID & ILLEGAL”
As a plaintiff, I felt a wave of relief & hope; he acknowledged the discrimination & harm
Closed by asking, ‘Have we fallen so low? Have we no shame?’
June 16, 2025 at 9:26 PM
📢BREAKING: Just left the courthouse for our NIH grant termination case
Judge ruled terminations are “VOID & ILLEGAL”
As a plaintiff, I felt a wave of relief & hope; he acknowledged the discrimination & harm
Closed by asking, ‘Have we fallen so low? Have we no shame?’
Judge ruled terminations are “VOID & ILLEGAL”
As a plaintiff, I felt a wave of relief & hope; he acknowledged the discrimination & harm
Closed by asking, ‘Have we fallen so low? Have we no shame?’
Fact check: it is correct that in the most recent year of vital statistics data AR has a homicide rate twice that of CA. It’s basically true looking back over the last three or five years as well. AR has a big homicide problem, almost all of which concerns firearms homicides.
June 12, 2025 at 1:04 AM
Fact check: it is correct that in the most recent year of vital statistics data AR has a homicide rate twice that of CA. It’s basically true looking back over the last three or five years as well. AR has a big homicide problem, almost all of which concerns firearms homicides.
JUST RELEASED: Accurate data on firearm injuries in the United States are critical to understand the costs and prevention of gun violence. But comprehensive data on injuries isn't available. We have instead developed estimates covering 2000-2022 that can be downloaded:
www.rand.org/research/gun...
www.rand.org/research/gun...
Firearm Injury Hospitalizations in America
To address a gap in the available data on firearm injuries, RAND researchers have developed a longitudinal database of state-level estimates of hospitalizations due to firearm injury. Use this visuali...
www.rand.org
June 11, 2025 at 8:10 PM
JUST RELEASED: Accurate data on firearm injuries in the United States are critical to understand the costs and prevention of gun violence. But comprehensive data on injuries isn't available. We have instead developed estimates covering 2000-2022 that can be downloaded:
www.rand.org/research/gun...
www.rand.org/research/gun...
Much of the spending on murder investigation is local, so not counted in these figures. Nevertheless the law enforcement expenditure differences across these federal agencies does highlight a strange prioritization.
marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
Deport Dishwashers or Solve All Murders? - Marginal REVOLUTION
I understand being concerned about illegal immigration. I definitely understand being concerned about murder, rape, and robbery. What I don’t understand is being more concerned about the former than t...
marginalrevolution.com
June 10, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Much of the spending on murder investigation is local, so not counted in these figures. Nevertheless the law enforcement expenditure differences across these federal agencies does highlight a strange prioritization.
marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
Reposted by Andrew Morral
Hello. I live in Los Angeles. The president is lying.
June 8, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Hello. I live in Los Angeles. The president is lying.
Reposted by Andrew Morral
EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn.
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
June 6, 2025 at 6:54 PM
EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn.
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky