Adrian Monninger
@amonninger.bsky.social
Econ PhD student @JohnsHopkins
Formerly intern @ECB, Bundesbank, IMF, Riksbank
Working on heterogeneous agent macro with subjective expectations.
https://sites.google.com/view/adrianmonninger/home
Formerly intern @ECB, Bundesbank, IMF, Riksbank
Working on heterogeneous agent macro with subjective expectations.
https://sites.google.com/view/adrianmonninger/home
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
Mein Kiel Report "Quo vadis, USA?" ist da (Link im naechsten Tweet). Ich bin @kiel.institute und @schularick.bsky.social sehr dankbar, dass ich mal etwas ausfuehrlicher meine Gedanken zur aktuellen politischen, gesellschaftlichen und wirtschaftlichen Situation in den USA aufschreiben konnte.
July 23, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Mein Kiel Report "Quo vadis, USA?" ist da (Link im naechsten Tweet). Ich bin @kiel.institute und @schularick.bsky.social sehr dankbar, dass ich mal etwas ausfuehrlicher meine Gedanken zur aktuellen politischen, gesellschaftlichen und wirtschaftlichen Situation in den USA aufschreiben konnte.
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
Have a new working paper with my great coauthors @amonninger.bsky.social and @kyung-woong-koh.bsky.social, both will be on the market this year. Let us know what you think!
🚨 New Working Paper Alert 🚨
Are people as politically divided in microeconomic expectations as they are in macroeconomic expectations?
With @amonninger.bsky.social l and @ttwwecon.bsky.social on.bsky.social:
[https://tinyurl.com/mr6c6ua7]
#econtwitter #econsky
(Short Thread below)
Are people as politically divided in microeconomic expectations as they are in macroeconomic expectations?
With @amonninger.bsky.social l and @ttwwecon.bsky.social on.bsky.social:
[https://tinyurl.com/mr6c6ua7]
#econtwitter #econsky
(Short Thread below)
July 18, 2025 at 5:22 PM
Have a new working paper with my great coauthors @amonninger.bsky.social and @kyung-woong-koh.bsky.social, both will be on the market this year. Let us know what you think!
New Working on a timely subject! Check it out. Comments welcome
🚨 New Working Paper Alert 🚨
Are people as politically divided in microeconomic expectations as they are in macroeconomic expectations?
With @amonninger.bsky.social l and @ttwwecon.bsky.social on.bsky.social:
[https://tinyurl.com/mr6c6ua7]
#econtwitter #econsky
(Short Thread below)
Are people as politically divided in microeconomic expectations as they are in macroeconomic expectations?
With @amonninger.bsky.social l and @ttwwecon.bsky.social on.bsky.social:
[https://tinyurl.com/mr6c6ua7]
#econtwitter #econsky
(Short Thread below)
July 18, 2025 at 3:20 PM
New Working on a timely subject! Check it out. Comments welcome
Amazing couple of days. Wonderful presentations and discussions. A true privilege to be here.
It was a great honor to present my paper with Xincheng Qiu, Will Du and @amonninger.bsky.social in the @nber.org Summer Institute’s Behavioral Macro meeting this year. In case you have missed it, please check out our and other cool papers in the recorded video here. youtu.be/k2qpxw9smdg?...
Behavioral Macro
YouTube video by NBER
youtu.be
July 12, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Amazing couple of days. Wonderful presentations and discussions. A true privilege to be here.
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
🧵1/4
🚨 We have finalized our DID textbook!
You’ve run out of excuses for sketchy pre-trends and mysterious TWFE coefficients.
📘 Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
By Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
🚨 We have finalized our DID textbook!
You’ve run out of excuses for sketchy pre-trends and mysterious TWFE coefficients.
📘 Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
By Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
<div>
The purpose of this book is to introduce applied researchers to
</div>
<div>
modern Differences-in-Differences (DID) estimators, tailored to potentially
papers.ssrn.com
June 25, 2025 at 6:49 AM
🧵1/4
🚨 We have finalized our DID textbook!
You’ve run out of excuses for sketchy pre-trends and mysterious TWFE coefficients.
📘 Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
By Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
🚨 We have finalized our DID textbook!
You’ve run out of excuses for sketchy pre-trends and mysterious TWFE coefficients.
📘 Credible Answers to Hard Questions: Differences-in-Differences for Natural Experiments
By Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
From our trade & customs
experts on court ruling on emergency tariffs known as IEEPAs
1) The government has 10 days to shut down the reciprocal and Canada, Mexico, China tariffs
2) The gov’t filed an appeal which may result in a stay of the injunction putting tariffs…
experts on court ruling on emergency tariffs known as IEEPAs
1) The government has 10 days to shut down the reciprocal and Canada, Mexico, China tariffs
2) The gov’t filed an appeal which may result in a stay of the injunction putting tariffs…
May 29, 2025 at 12:40 PM
From our trade & customs
experts on court ruling on emergency tariffs known as IEEPAs
1) The government has 10 days to shut down the reciprocal and Canada, Mexico, China tariffs
2) The gov’t filed an appeal which may result in a stay of the injunction putting tariffs…
experts on court ruling on emergency tariffs known as IEEPAs
1) The government has 10 days to shut down the reciprocal and Canada, Mexico, China tariffs
2) The gov’t filed an appeal which may result in a stay of the injunction putting tariffs…
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
🚨 New WP! 📄 "Publish or Procreate: The Effect of Motherhood on Research Performance" (w/ @valentinatartari.bsky.social
👩🔬👨🔬 We investigate how parenthood affects scientific productivity and impact — and find that the impact is far from equal for mothers and fathers.
👩🔬👨🔬 We investigate how parenthood affects scientific productivity and impact — and find that the impact is far from equal for mothers and fathers.
May 22, 2025 at 8:03 AM
🚨 New WP! 📄 "Publish or Procreate: The Effect of Motherhood on Research Performance" (w/ @valentinatartari.bsky.social
👩🔬👨🔬 We investigate how parenthood affects scientific productivity and impact — and find that the impact is far from equal for mothers and fathers.
👩🔬👨🔬 We investigate how parenthood affects scientific productivity and impact — and find that the impact is far from equal for mothers and fathers.
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
On top of its standard grants, the ERC now offers additional startup funding to help new grantees establish their laboratories or research team in Europe. This funding is now being doubled from up to €1 million to up to €2 million erc.europa.eu/news-events/...
Increased ERC funding for top global researchers moving to Europe now confirmed
The European Research Council (ERC) decision to increase its support for leading researchers moving to Europe has today been formally adopted. On top of its standard grants, the ERC offers additional ...
erc.europa.eu
May 16, 2025 at 1:16 PM
On top of its standard grants, the ERC now offers additional startup funding to help new grantees establish their laboratories or research team in Europe. This funding is now being doubled from up to €1 million to up to €2 million erc.europa.eu/news-events/...
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
I am very pleased to share this announcement of our new center at MIT. @davidautor.bsky.social, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social and I are grateful to the Stone Foundation for their generous support enabling us to study two defining challenges of our age: inequality and the future of work.
📣 We will soon become the James M. and Cathleen D. Stone Center on Inequality and Shaping the Future of Work!
Starting in July, we will usher in a significant new era of research, policy, and education, made possible by a gift from the Stone Foundation.
news.mit.edu/2025/mit-eco...
Starting in July, we will usher in a significant new era of research, policy, and education, made possible by a gift from the Stone Foundation.
news.mit.edu/2025/mit-eco...
MIT Department of Economics to launch James M. and Cathleen D. Stone Center on Inequality and Shaping the Future of Work
The MIT Economics department will launch the James M. and Cathleen D. Stone Center on Inequality and Shaping the Future of Work, led by Daron Acemoglu and co-directors David Autor and Simon Johnson, t...
news.mit.edu
May 13, 2025 at 9:27 PM
I am very pleased to share this announcement of our new center at MIT. @davidautor.bsky.social, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social and I are grateful to the Stone Foundation for their generous support enabling us to study two defining challenges of our age: inequality and the future of work.
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
📢Call for Nominations📢
The SF Fed and its Center for Monetary Research are launching the new Janet Yellen Award!
This award will be given annually to an exceptional early-career researcher who has made significant and policy-relevant contributions to macro-finance and/or monetary economics.
The SF Fed and its Center for Monetary Research are launching the new Janet Yellen Award!
This award will be given annually to an exceptional early-career researcher who has made significant and policy-relevant contributions to macro-finance and/or monetary economics.
May 13, 2025 at 8:50 PM
📢Call for Nominations📢
The SF Fed and its Center for Monetary Research are launching the new Janet Yellen Award!
This award will be given annually to an exceptional early-career researcher who has made significant and policy-relevant contributions to macro-finance and/or monetary economics.
The SF Fed and its Center for Monetary Research are launching the new Janet Yellen Award!
This award will be given annually to an exceptional early-career researcher who has made significant and policy-relevant contributions to macro-finance and/or monetary economics.
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
Fed economists plot a shortage index going back to 1900, drawing from 25 million (!) newspaper articles. www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp...
May 9, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Fed economists plot a shortage index going back to 1900, drawing from 25 million (!) newspaper articles. www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp...
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
What's happening with inflation expectations?
Two often used household surveys disagree:
- the Michigan MSC says inflation expectations are up
- the NY Fed SCE says they're not...
Which one is it?
New blog by Oli Coibion and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social says: MSC is right!
Find out why ⬇️
Two often used household surveys disagree:
- the Michigan MSC says inflation expectations are up
- the NY Fed SCE says they're not...
Which one is it?
New blog by Oli Coibion and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social says: MSC is right!
Find out why ⬇️
April 29, 2025 at 9:25 PM
What's happening with inflation expectations?
Two often used household surveys disagree:
- the Michigan MSC says inflation expectations are up
- the NY Fed SCE says they're not...
Which one is it?
New blog by Oli Coibion and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social says: MSC is right!
Find out why ⬇️
Two often used household surveys disagree:
- the Michigan MSC says inflation expectations are up
- the NY Fed SCE says they're not...
Which one is it?
New blog by Oli Coibion and @ygorodnichenko.bsky.social says: MSC is right!
Find out why ⬇️
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
Kann Deutschland Top-Wissenschaftler aus den USA anlocken? "Wir brauchen eine Strategie. Wir brauchen konkrete Anreize", so Ulrike Malmendier.
www.zdf.de/nachrichten/...
www.zdf.de/nachrichten/...
Malmendier: "Stimmung drastisch geändert"
Kann Deutschland Top-Wissenschaftler aus den USA anlocken? "Wir brauchen eine Strategie. Wir brauchen konkrete Anreizen," so die Wirtschaftsweise Ulrike Malmendier.
www.zdf.de
March 24, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Kann Deutschland Top-Wissenschaftler aus den USA anlocken? "Wir brauchen eine Strategie. Wir brauchen konkrete Anreize", so Ulrike Malmendier.
www.zdf.de/nachrichten/...
www.zdf.de/nachrichten/...
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
Understanding causality vs. correlation is genuinely hard especially on complex topics like inflation. Our research finds that 60% of Americans think high interest rates cause high inflation & support rate cuts to fight it. But high rates usually respond to inflation,not cause it
March 21, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Understanding causality vs. correlation is genuinely hard especially on complex topics like inflation. Our research finds that 60% of Americans think high interest rates cause high inflation & support rate cuts to fight it. But high rates usually respond to inflation,not cause it
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
🚨 Call for Papers 🚨
Now accepting submissions for the 17th Annual Normac conference
Keynote @aauclert.bsky.social
Juniors in macro apply! A connection to the Nordics a + but not required.
Send papers or abstracts to: normac.conference@gmail.com
by April 7, 2025
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/z6nly...
Now accepting submissions for the 17th Annual Normac conference
Keynote @aauclert.bsky.social
Juniors in macro apply! A connection to the Nordics a + but not required.
Send papers or abstracts to: normac.conference@gmail.com
by April 7, 2025
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/z6nly...
March 17, 2025 at 6:59 PM
🚨 Call for Papers 🚨
Now accepting submissions for the 17th Annual Normac conference
Keynote @aauclert.bsky.social
Juniors in macro apply! A connection to the Nordics a + but not required.
Send papers or abstracts to: normac.conference@gmail.com
by April 7, 2025
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/z6nly...
Now accepting submissions for the 17th Annual Normac conference
Keynote @aauclert.bsky.social
Juniors in macro apply! A connection to the Nordics a + but not required.
Send papers or abstracts to: normac.conference@gmail.com
by April 7, 2025
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/z6nly...
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
The wanton destruction of the edifice of American science. It will take at least a generation to recover from this, if we’re so lucky.
The Trump administration has terminated $800 million in grants to Johns Hopkins University, spurring the nation’s top spender on research and development to plan layoffs and cancel health projects
Johns Hopkins Plans Staff Layoffs After $800 Million Grant Cuts
Local and international health research efforts are already winding down as the university braces for even more potential cuts.
www.wsj.com
March 12, 2025 at 12:01 AM
The wanton destruction of the edifice of American science. It will take at least a generation to recover from this, if we’re so lucky.
Really great idea!
TFP increases incoming
TFP increases incoming
*Please repost* @sjgreenwood.bsky.social and I just launched a new personalized feed (*please pin*) that we hope will become a "must use" for #academicsky. The feed shows posts about papers filtered by *your* follower network. It's become my default Bluesky experience bsky.app/profile/pape...
March 11, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Really great idea!
TFP increases incoming
TFP increases incoming
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
This is a thread about remaking the tech sector.
January 6, 2025 at 2:44 PM
This is a thread about remaking the tech sector.
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
In economics, editors, referees, and authors often behave as if a published paper should reflect some kind of authoritative consensus.
As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees.
1/
As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees.
1/
December 24, 2024 at 2:44 PM
In economics, editors, referees, and authors often behave as if a published paper should reflect some kind of authoritative consensus.
As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees.
1/
As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees.
1/
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
Just re-upping this #econsky: I currently have more mentors than mentees/students (can probably match another 10-11 students from LMICs who would like feedback on a research paper from a senior scholar.) Fill out the form here if interested! forms.gle/ekvvoEKBLYQM...
November 22, 2024 at 7:37 PM
Just re-upping this #econsky: I currently have more mentors than mentees/students (can probably match another 10-11 students from LMICs who would like feedback on a research paper from a senior scholar.) Fill out the form here if interested! forms.gle/ekvvoEKBLYQM...
Reposted by Adrian Monninger
Hello everyone! I'm giving this place a try.
I'm an Economics PhD candidate (5th yr) at Johns Hopkins, researching on regional macro, fiscal and monetary policy. Looking forward to meeting other economists, macro or otherwise!
I'm an Economics PhD candidate (5th yr) at Johns Hopkins, researching on regional macro, fiscal and monetary policy. Looking forward to meeting other economists, macro or otherwise!
November 11, 2024 at 9:57 PM
Hello everyone! I'm giving this place a try.
I'm an Economics PhD candidate (5th yr) at Johns Hopkins, researching on regional macro, fiscal and monetary policy. Looking forward to meeting other economists, macro or otherwise!
I'm an Economics PhD candidate (5th yr) at Johns Hopkins, researching on regional macro, fiscal and monetary policy. Looking forward to meeting other economists, macro or otherwise!