aj45081664.bsky.social
@aj45081664.bsky.social
Reposted
That is why this guy is always on my shelf. Strong recommend.
November 8, 2025 at 1:05 PM
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If you want to read up on mediation analysis, we have a paper explaining the underlying causal inference issues: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/.... If you wonder about why I do pay attention to the p values: www.the100.ci/2018/02/15/t...
The uncanny mountain: p-values between .01 and .10 are still a problem
[Update: After this post had been published, Uli Schimmack and I had a quick chat and Uli was very surprised to learn that I hadn't read his 2012 Psychological Methods paper on the topic. He has now p...
www.the100.ci
November 9, 2025 at 7:29 AM
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This one surely has something on offer for every one: In this cross-sectional mediation analysis, the "effects" of soft drink consumption on depression were "mediated" by abundance of Eggerthela in the gut microbiome.

This was sent to me via dm and now you all got to suffer as well.
Soft Drink Consumption and Depression Mediated by Gut Microbiome Alterations
This cohort study examines the association between soft drink consumption and major depressive disorder diagnosis and severity and whether this association is mediated by changes in the gut microbiota...
jamanetwork.com
November 9, 2025 at 7:19 AM
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In a new paper, my colleagues and I set out to demonstrate how method biases can create spurious findings in relationship science, by using a seemingly meaningless scale (e.g., "My relationship has very good Saturn") to predict relationship outcomes. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Pseudo Effects: How Method Biases Can Produce Spurious Findings About Close Relationships - Samantha Joel, John K. Sakaluk, James J. Kim, Devinder Khera, Helena Yuchen Qin, Sarah C. E. Stanton, 2025
Research on interpersonal relationships frequently relies on accurate self-reporting across various relationship facets (e.g., conflict, trust, appreciation). Y...
journals.sagepub.com
September 10, 2025 at 6:18 PM
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Florian Scharf talks about the machine learning hype cycle in psych at #FGME25 (German psych methods division meeting)
September 30, 2025 at 11:48 AM
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New Blog Post: Use this cooking analogy to explain family-wise error. notawfulandboring.blogspot.com
September 23, 2025 at 10:14 AM
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New policy: if you want to complain about PsyArxiv (a free service that didn’t exist 15 years ago), you must sign up to be a moderator.
Due to a recent influx of problematic submissions, PsyArXiv has switched to pre-moderating its content. If your submitted preprint had not yet been approved, it will be temporarily inaccessible to the public (you can still view your preprint when logged into your OSF account). #PsychSciSky
August 22, 2025 at 2:44 AM
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🧵
Very excited (w/ @omarjcamanto.bsky.social) to share our preprint tutorial for using our R 📦 dySEM for #dyadic data analysis with latent variables, in cross-sectional data sets.

This paper has been literal years in the making, and provides three distinct tutorials.

osf.io/preprints/ps...
July 10, 2025 at 2:44 PM
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👀
June 26, 2025 at 7:00 AM
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This paper on causal inference with statistical models is very interesting and is probably more actionable than most causal inference papers: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... #Statistics #StatsSky #EpiSky
Prediction can be safely used as a proxy for explanation in causally consistent Bayesian generalized linear models
Bayesian modeling provides a principled approach to quantifying uncertainty and has seen a surge of applications in recent years. Within the context of a Bayesian workflow, we are concerned with mo...
www.tandfonline.com
May 21, 2025 at 11:13 AM
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You can’t learn #rstats just by reading books or watching videos of other people writing R code. You will learn faster if you find some data that you are curious about and use your new coding skills to answer a question about it.

How to find fun data to play with....
How to find fun data
Learn about 3 different ways to find datasets to play with
www.youtube.com
May 19, 2025 at 5:02 AM
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‼️ New paper @ Child Development discussing why it is inappropriate to use traditional common factor models to model adverse childhood experienced (ACEs) and other stressor inventories ‼️

Read full (brief) paper at srcd.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

@srcdorg.bsky.social #PsychSciSky

1/9
<em>Child Development</em> | SRCD Journal | Wiley Online Library
Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are highly impactful stressors that increase individuals' risk for a plethora of negative developmental and health outcomes. Furthermore, minoritized groups and u...
srcd.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
April 22, 2025 at 2:24 PM
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He experienced something extraordinary: the feeling of being crushed by a snowplow
Jeremy Renner was run over by a seven-ton snowplow a little over two years ago. In a new memoir, he wrote that as he lay near death, he experienced something extraordinary.
Jeremy Renner and the Science of Extraordinary Near-Death Experiences
A little over two years ago, the actor was run over by a snowplow. Like thousands of others, he then felt an “exhilarating peace.” Why?
www.nytimes.com
May 3, 2025 at 2:18 AM
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Meta-analysis forest plots begin to look too crowded if you're reporting around 50 effect sizes or more. This 'orchard plot' is a really nice alternative for visualising 50+ effect sizes (paper link: doi.org/10.1111/ele....).

Can anyone point me to other similar visualisations that they like?
April 8, 2025 at 9:51 AM
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Yeah this bugged me too! See here for more on math anxiety pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
March 22, 2025 at 7:36 PM
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New blog post! In which I explain the issue with mediation analysis and sketch out one way to deal with the underlying causal inference problem -- in just a bit over 1,000 words!

If you have never found the time to read up on this, now is your chance.

www.the100.ci/2025/03/20/r...
Reviewer notes: That’s a very nice mediation analysis you have there. It would be a shame if something happened to it.
Mediation analysis has gotten a lot of flak, including classic titles such as “Yes, but what’s the mechanism? (Don’t expect an easy answer)” (Bullock et al., 2010), “What mediation analysis can (not) ...
www.the100.ci
March 20, 2025 at 1:40 PM
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I’ve long used FiveThirtyEight’s interactive “Hack Your Way To Scientific Glory” to illustrate the idea of p-hacking when I teach statistics. But ABC/Disney killed the site earlier this month :(

So I made my own with #rstats and Observable and #QuartoPub ! stats.andrewheiss.com/hack-your-way/
March 20, 2025 at 6:30 PM
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Paying reviewers $250 improved reviewer agreement to review by a modest 7 percentage points. The reviewers were likely too time-poor to be incentivized much? Might be different if now sent to the thousands of U.S. researchers who no longer have a job! :( journals.lww.com/ccmjournal/a...
Effect of Monetary Incentives on Peer Review Acceptance and ... : Critical Care Medicine
tested the impact of providing cash incentives to complete peer review assignments at Critical Care Medicine. Design: Quasi-randomized, blinded, interventional study with an alternating treatment d...
journals.lww.com
March 10, 2025 at 4:58 AM
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Today I'm delivering an open science lecture for our master students. These kind of lectures are one of the most enjoyable parts of my job
March 5, 2025 at 9:06 AM
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For those interested in meta-analysis and R:

On the the 'Open Online R Stream' on 2025-03-27 (6pm CET), I will discuss some of the new features in version 4.8-0 of the metafor package (see www.wvbauer.com/doku.php/liv... for details on my weekly live streams).

#RStats #Livestream #MetaAnalysis
Live Streams [Wolfgang Viechtbauer]
www.wvbauer.com
March 4, 2025 at 10:08 AM
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Love this new paper that shows how impact evaluation research may be heading towards a replication crisis:

"RCT valorization and rhetorical rigor lead to a world where complexity, veracity, and usefulness is sacrificed for a narrow interpretation of “rigor."
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Open Science in Impact Evaluation: What Impact Evaluators Can Learn From the Replication Crisis in Social Psychology
Since 2011, the academic field of social psychology has been undergoing a crisis of confidence in its results. This so-called “replication crisis” has inspired a widespread examination of the practic...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
February 24, 2025 at 8:38 AM
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@lionelhenry.bsky.social and I are so excited to finally announce Air - an extremely fast R code formatter! 🎉

With Air, you'll never need to worry about styling your #rstats code ever again. All you need to do is save, and Air takes care of the rest.

www.tidyverse.org/blog/2025/02...
Air, an extremely fast R formatter
We are thrilled to announce Air, a new R formatter.
www.tidyverse.org
February 21, 2025 at 3:10 PM
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You there! Would you like to learn how to make very pretty graphs in #rstats? I'm delivering a short introduction to data viz in R on 15th April. Online, free (I think), and no prior knowledge or experience of R required.

#AcademicSky

www.apa.org/education-ca...
Data visualization in R for researchers who do not use R
Learn the basics of data visualization in R using ggplot and how to make boxplots, histograms, violin-plots, bar charts, and scatterplots.
www.apa.org
February 11, 2025 at 8:13 AM
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Hi! I'm giving a free talk on Friday. I'll be sharing some easy-to-implement, engaging ideas for teaching stats. us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
February 5, 2025 at 11:06 PM
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New blog up: solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2025-02...

This time I dip my toes into causal inference for quasi-experiments using matching methods, and my use case has missing data complications. Many thanks to @dingdingpeng.the100.ci and
@noahgreifer.bsky.social
for their peer review! #RStats
Matching, missing data, a quasi-experiment, and causal inference--Oh my! | A. Solomon Kurz
I'm finally dipping my does into causal inference for quasi-experiments, and my first use case has missing data. In this post we practice propensity score matching with multiply-imputed data sets, and...
solomonkurz.netlify.app
February 4, 2025 at 4:36 PM