Tim Bresnahan
@timobres.bsky.social
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
My menchies show a lotta distrust about the official jobs numbers right now.
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
The BLS, Jobs Data, And Trust: Justin Wolfers On What Really Happened
Is it possible for democracy to win a quiet battle—and nobody notices?
This clip tells a three-act story about the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the agency that produces the jobs report and…
www.youtube.com
February 11, 2026 at 3:05 PM
My menchies show a lotta distrust about the official jobs numbers right now.
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
Lemme be clear: I don't believe there's *any* political meddling in these numbers.
While the President has tried to mess with the BLS, he failed. I explain in a lot more detail, here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=kncV...
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Person who was fired here - you should still trust BLS data. The agency is being run by the same dedicated career staff who were running it while I was awaiting confirmation from the Senate. And the staff have made it clear that they are blowing a loud whistle if there is interference.
February 11, 2026 at 4:25 PM
Person who was fired here - you should still trust BLS data. The agency is being run by the same dedicated career staff who were running it while I was awaiting confirmation from the Senate. And the staff have made it clear that they are blowing a loud whistle if there is interference.
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
My co-author Charles Hodgson (Yale) is hiring a full-time pre-doc to work on projects focusing on the role of information externalities.
The hired researcher will meet regularly with faculty and receive dedicated research training & career development skills.
Application👇
The hired researcher will meet regularly with faculty and receive dedicated research training & career development skills.
Application👇
February 10, 2026 at 8:43 PM
My co-author Charles Hodgson (Yale) is hiring a full-time pre-doc to work on projects focusing on the role of information externalities.
The hired researcher will meet regularly with faculty and receive dedicated research training & career development skills.
Application👇
The hired researcher will meet regularly with faculty and receive dedicated research training & career development skills.
Application👇
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Eleanor Wilkin and I are jointly searching for a #predoc (start: July 2026). This is the successor to my current fantastic pre-doc assisting the @aeadata.bsky.social but also working on Eleanor's work between econ and law! More information at www.ilr.cornell.edu/news/post/ld...
LDI Seeks Next Replication Lab Coordinator and Research Assistant
The School of Industrial and Labor Relations and the Law School at Cornell University is seeking a Replication Lab Coordinator & Research Assistant (Research Aide IV). This full-time, benefits-eligibl...
www.ilr.cornell.edu
February 10, 2026 at 2:06 PM
Eleanor Wilkin and I are jointly searching for a #predoc (start: July 2026). This is the successor to my current fantastic pre-doc assisting the @aeadata.bsky.social but also working on Eleanor's work between econ and law! More information at www.ilr.cornell.edu/news/post/ld...
Football, pretty insipid. Best part was the flicker of competition from NE in the second half.
Ads, mostly murky attempting quirky. Redfin selling neighborhoods an exception.
Half time music terrific, blend of history, culture and energy.
Ads, mostly murky attempting quirky. Redfin selling neighborhoods an exception.
Half time music terrific, blend of history, culture and energy.
February 9, 2026 at 6:52 PM
Football, pretty insipid. Best part was the flicker of competition from NE in the second half.
Ads, mostly murky attempting quirky. Redfin selling neighborhoods an exception.
Half time music terrific, blend of history, culture and energy.
Ads, mostly murky attempting quirky. Redfin selling neighborhoods an exception.
Half time music terrific, blend of history, culture and energy.
Completely agree.
Congress should act to categorically exempt statistical agency staff from this schedule.
Statistical agencies by definition do not set policy.
Their only power and purpose is collecting data & publishing credible, informative stats. Without political independence, they can't do this.
Statistical agencies by definition do not set policy.
Their only power and purpose is collecting data & publishing credible, informative stats. Without political independence, they can't do this.
February 9, 2026 at 6:45 PM
Completely agree.
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Last chance to present a paper at this Econ-CS conference
#econsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/dead...
#econsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/dead...
Deadline tomorrow morning for Econometric Society conference on Economics and AI+ML
marketdesigner.blogspot.com
February 9, 2026 at 3:38 PM
Last chance to present a paper at this Econ-CS conference
#econsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/dead...
#econsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/dead...
Darth Mit.
As a kid, Darth Omit
As a kid, Darth Omit
Darth Nad
Ok, you know how bad ass you need to be to be feared with that name?
Ok, you know how bad ass you need to be to be feared with that name?
February 9, 2026 at 12:12 AM
Darth Mit.
As a kid, Darth Omit
As a kid, Darth Omit
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
I'm still processing the recent loss of my thesis advisor, colleague, and friend, John Roberts. We put together an In Memoriam to honor his life and career. saet.uiowa.edu/wp-content/u...
saet.uiowa.edu
February 7, 2026 at 11:39 PM
I'm still processing the recent loss of my thesis advisor, colleague, and friend, John Roberts. We put together an In Memoriam to honor his life and career. saet.uiowa.edu/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Bad news today.
The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence.
www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econsky
The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence.
www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econsky
Trump admin moves to finalize return of Schedule F
Officials estimate that around 50,000 federal workers will be stripped of their civil service protections beginning in around a month, as unions, employee associations and good government groups decry...
www.govexec.com
February 6, 2026 at 12:23 AM
Bad news today.
The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence.
www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econsky
The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence.
www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econsky
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
One fact of Black History that bears repeating: Black people loved this country, even as it did not love them back. Learning Black history requires understanding how Black people navigated an environment designed to dehumanize them: greenbookproject.osu.edu #GreenBookProject
#CommunityMap #EconSky
#CommunityMap #EconSky
February 2, 2026 at 6:17 PM
One fact of Black History that bears repeating: Black people loved this country, even as it did not love them back. Learning Black history requires understanding how Black people navigated an environment designed to dehumanize them: greenbookproject.osu.edu #GreenBookProject
#CommunityMap #EconSky
#CommunityMap #EconSky
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
I'm teaching a new course at Stern on AI in Finance and opening it up!
Syllabus/slides on Github: github.com/arpitrage/ai...
Weekly summaries on Substack
arpitrage.substack.com/p/1-three-ru...
First post is on Amdahl's Law, Jevons' Paradox, and why finance was slow to learn the bitter lesson
Syllabus/slides on Github: github.com/arpitrage/ai...
Weekly summaries on Substack
arpitrage.substack.com/p/1-three-ru...
First post is on Amdahl's Law, Jevons' Paradox, and why finance was slow to learn the bitter lesson
February 2, 2026 at 6:32 PM
I'm teaching a new course at Stern on AI in Finance and opening it up!
Syllabus/slides on Github: github.com/arpitrage/ai...
Weekly summaries on Substack
arpitrage.substack.com/p/1-three-ru...
First post is on Amdahl's Law, Jevons' Paradox, and why finance was slow to learn the bitter lesson
Syllabus/slides on Github: github.com/arpitrage/ai...
Weekly summaries on Substack
arpitrage.substack.com/p/1-three-ru...
First post is on Amdahl's Law, Jevons' Paradox, and why finance was slow to learn the bitter lesson
It's Langston Hughes' birthday. Poem-of-the-day two places:
www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/46548/...
poets.org/poem/sun-song
Enjoy!
www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/46548/...
poets.org/poem/sun-song
Enjoy!
February 1, 2026 at 9:51 PM
It's Langston Hughes' birthday. Poem-of-the-day two places:
www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/46548/...
poets.org/poem/sun-song
Enjoy!
www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/46548/...
poets.org/poem/sun-song
Enjoy!
These fibbies are really mad, that's why they talked to the NYT. They remind me a lot of the people who worked for me at DOJ, i.e. smart, dedicated to the mission, facts first, and proud of it. Listen to them, please.
The FBI is a rule-bound and tight-lipped institution, but 45 current and former agents spoke to The New York Times Magazine anyway — a sign of the extreme alarm rippling through it. Many said that with the agency under Kash Patel's leadership, the U.S. is less safe. nyti.ms/4qzxs0f
February 1, 2026 at 6:24 PM
These fibbies are really mad, that's why they talked to the NYT. They remind me a lot of the people who worked for me at DOJ, i.e. smart, dedicated to the mission, facts first, and proud of it. Listen to them, please.
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
As of now, four Black people have been arrested, two journalists - Don Lemon and Georgia Fort - and two activists - Trahern Jeen Crew and Jamael Lvdell Lundy.
It would be unwise to overlook the racial motivation to focus only on the political one. In fact, they are related to one another.
It would be unwise to overlook the racial motivation to focus only on the political one. In fact, they are related to one another.
January 30, 2026 at 4:20 PM
As of now, four Black people have been arrested, two journalists - Don Lemon and Georgia Fort - and two activists - Trahern Jeen Crew and Jamael Lvdell Lundy.
It would be unwise to overlook the racial motivation to focus only on the political one. In fact, they are related to one another.
It would be unwise to overlook the racial motivation to focus only on the political one. In fact, they are related to one another.
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Where can you find economists on BlueSky? RePEc has a list
https;//ideas.repec.org/i/ebluesky.h...
#RePEc #EconSky
https;//ideas.repec.org/i/ebluesky.h...
#RePEc #EconSky
RePEc-registered Economists on Bluesky
ideas.repec.org
January 30, 2026 at 1:48 PM
Where can you find economists on BlueSky? RePEc has a list
https;//ideas.repec.org/i/ebluesky.h...
#RePEc #EconSky
https;//ideas.repec.org/i/ebluesky.h...
#RePEc #EconSky
Super useful post from @aleximas.bsky.social suggesting his substack will be a must read.
New post: What is the impact of AI on productivity?
I review all of the studies and data that I can find and try to provide a synthesis.
A disagreement emerges: micro studies find positive benefits but these benefits are yet to show up in the macro data.
aleximas.substack.com/p/what-is-th... 🧵
I review all of the studies and data that I can find and try to provide a synthesis.
A disagreement emerges: micro studies find positive benefits but these benefits are yet to show up in the macro data.
aleximas.substack.com/p/what-is-th... 🧵
What is the impact of AI on productivity?
Reconciling the micro and the macro evidence
aleximas.substack.com
January 30, 2026 at 12:03 AM
Super useful post from @aleximas.bsky.social suggesting his substack will be a must read.
John Roberts, one of the first adult Economists at Stanford to mentor me, has died at 80. Happy, pro-research, acerbic and sharp as a tack. Had a huge influence on the modern theory of the firm. Ace puff-piece (2010) from the GSB and thoughtful obit from Luis Garicano in the next skeets.1/3
January 27, 2026 at 6:32 PM
John Roberts, one of the first adult Economists at Stanford to mentor me, has died at 80. Happy, pro-research, acerbic and sharp as a tack. Had a huge influence on the modern theory of the firm. Ace puff-piece (2010) from the GSB and thoughtful obit from Luis Garicano in the next skeets.1/3
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Folks are skeptical of the current moment because some people now “shocked, saddened, and calling for investigation” are only feeling these feelings after their attempts to label Alex Pretti as an evil anti-American man have failed. It’s CYA due to video evidence, message failure, and room reading.
January 26, 2026 at 10:41 PM
Folks are skeptical of the current moment because some people now “shocked, saddened, and calling for investigation” are only feeling these feelings after their attempts to label Alex Pretti as an evil anti-American man have failed. It’s CYA due to video evidence, message failure, and room reading.
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
Bovino is Trump & Miller's Hatchet Man. He's pulled out and replaced with Homan, playing the White Knight.
I feel relief over a boundary tentatively established but progress will still require lots of pushing.
I feel relief over a boundary tentatively established but progress will still require lots of pushing.
January 26, 2026 at 10:44 PM
Bovino is Trump & Miller's Hatchet Man. He's pulled out and replaced with Homan, playing the White Knight.
I feel relief over a boundary tentatively established but progress will still require lots of pushing.
I feel relief over a boundary tentatively established but progress will still require lots of pushing.
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
The biggest risk in this moment is something sociologists call “symbolic compliance.”
That’s when an institution that is violating civil rights gives the public just enough symbolic victories that accountability efforts lose steam before there has been any meaningful change.
That’s when an institution that is violating civil rights gives the public just enough symbolic victories that accountability efforts lose steam before there has been any meaningful change.
January 26, 2026 at 11:35 PM
The biggest risk in this moment is something sociologists call “symbolic compliance.”
That’s when an institution that is violating civil rights gives the public just enough symbolic victories that accountability efforts lose steam before there has been any meaningful change.
That’s when an institution that is violating civil rights gives the public just enough symbolic victories that accountability efforts lose steam before there has been any meaningful change.
Excellent presentist history, Trevon.
I once asked my late uncle what he thought ended the legal Jim Crow era. He immediately responded that the murders of Chaney, Goodman, and Schwerner in 1964 were the moment Jim Crow died. When I asked him why he said: “When White folks fight White folks, it changes everything. Enough was enough.”
January 27, 2026 at 1:14 AM
Excellent presentist history, Trevon.
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
I also just want to let y'all know she's a dope human who does dope stuff and we should be so lucky as to have her guidance at the Fed
Lisa Cook is a brilliant economist who belongs on the Federal Reserve.
Trump's attempt to fire her is a baseless, unlawful, and anti-Black power grab that threatens Fed independence.
The Supreme Court must uphold the law and rein in this unprecedented abuse of power.
Trump's attempt to fire her is a baseless, unlawful, and anti-Black power grab that threatens Fed independence.
The Supreme Court must uphold the law and rein in this unprecedented abuse of power.
Breaking News: The Supreme Court seems poised to reject President Trump’s bid to immediately remove Lisa Cook from the Federal Reserve Board, with key justices expressing concern about undermining the longstanding independence of the central bank.
January 21, 2026 at 9:26 PM
I also just want to let y'all know she's a dope human who does dope stuff and we should be so lucky as to have her guidance at the Fed
Reposted by Tim Bresnahan
The annual call for @nber.org nominations has been released, so if you're a researcher hoping to become affiliated, reach out to existing affiliates to get nominated.
If you're an existing affiliate, advocate for talented researchers, particularly those with networks not already full of NBER folks.
If you're an existing affiliate, advocate for talented researchers, particularly those with networks not already full of NBER folks.
January 21, 2026 at 4:18 PM
The annual call for @nber.org nominations has been released, so if you're a researcher hoping to become affiliated, reach out to existing affiliates to get nominated.
If you're an existing affiliate, advocate for talented researchers, particularly those with networks not already full of NBER folks.
If you're an existing affiliate, advocate for talented researchers, particularly those with networks not already full of NBER folks.