Troels Bøggild
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tboeggild.bsky.social
Troels Bøggild
@tboeggild.bsky.social
2K followers 620 following 46 posts
Political scientist | Associate Professor, @AarhusUni | DFF Research leader | Political behavior, distrust, polarization, social media
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tboeggild.bsky.social
Troels Bøggild @tboeggild.bsky.social · Aug 9
🚨New article🚨 out in AJPS w C Jensen. We analyze downstream consequences of rising incivility between politicians and find adverse effects on citizens' political trust, satisfaction w democracy, and intentions to comply w policies

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
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adasgupta.bsky.social
Do architecture and urban planning affect political behavior? Happy to share a paper that @tesaliarizzo.bsky.social and I have coming out at the APSR which uses computer vision to investigate how the built environment shapes inequalities in civic participation in Mexico: osf.io/preprints/so.... 🧵1/5
November 8, 2025 at 9:29 PM
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koenfucius.bsky.social
Physiognomy—an old belief that one’s character is reflected in one’s facial features—is now widely regarded as pseudoscience.

@bxjaeger.bsky.social et al find it remains common among laypeople across demographics, and is associated with intuitive thinking:

buff.ly/iVz5gYY
November 9, 2025 at 9:18 AM
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jakemgrumbach.bsky.social
Cool new working paper on why and how cable news threw gasoline on the culture war fire. The culture war isn't optimal for electoral candidates, but it's optimal for cable news companies.

ungated: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/27v4x...
November 3, 2025 at 7:45 PM
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rsenninger.bsky.social
📄 New WP version out - full overhaul!

The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social )

Comments welcome!

🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
November 6, 2025 at 3:30 PM
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m-b-petersen.bsky.social
Four (!) three-year postdoc positions available at @au.dk: international.au.dk/about/profil...

Join an incredible team & help understand the psychological & political implications of the clash between high-speed society & slow-speed democracy.

Please share! @tboeggild.bsky.social can help with Qs
Four three-year postdoctoral positions in the project Slow-Motion Democracy - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
international.au.dk
November 6, 2025 at 2:14 PM
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ejprjournal.bsky.social
🆕 What kind of personalities are drawn to politics? 🗳️
This cross-national study across 🇨🇦🇩🇰🇮🇱🇳🇱🇨🇭 explores #Representation and how honesty-humility and other HEXACO personality traits shape people’s ambition to run for office 🧵1/2

buff.ly/xk4qMa3
Too honest and humble to run for office? Citizens’ personality traits, nascent ambition, and recruitment | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Too honest and humble to run for office? Citizens’ personality traits, nascent ambition, and recruitment
www.cambridge.org
November 5, 2025 at 12:02 PM
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jepsjournal.bsky.social
Now Out on FirstView: Expressive Responding and the Economy: The Case of Trump’s Return to Office
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Expressive Responding and the Economy: The Case of Trump’s Return to Office | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridge Core
Expressive Responding and the Economy: The Case of Trump’s Return to Office
www.cambridge.org
October 30, 2025 at 2:56 PM
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jepsjournal.bsky.social
Now Out on First View: Can Monuments to Victims Increase Tolerance?
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Can Monuments to Victims Increase Tolerance? | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridge Core
Can Monuments to Victims Increase Tolerance?
www.cambridge.org
October 30, 2025 at 2:57 PM
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lcjacobs89.bsky.social
Now out in Party Politics 🎉

Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
October 24, 2025 at 7:38 AM
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laurenzennser.bsky.social
🚨New paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1080/1350...

@manuelwagner.bsky.social & I re-conceptualize class representation to take into account social mobility between classes and variation in how individuals enter politics.
October 29, 2025 at 9:55 AM
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koenfucius.bsky.social
What are the feelings it sparks in the readership that makes a social media post go viral?

Chuck Dinerstein summarizes Chinese research on the WeChat platform that looks at discrete emotions (beyond postive/negative valence and arousal):

buff.ly/opXnDtd
October 25, 2025 at 6:51 PM
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johnholbein1.bsky.social
New work on school cell phone bans just dropped.

"Bans...led to a[n] ... increase in student suspensions in the short-term ... but disciplinary actions began to dissipate after the first year."

"We find significant improvements in student test scores in the second year of the ban."
October 20, 2025 at 12:29 PM
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jacobnyrup.bsky.social
We are hiring PhDs and postdocs to work on the ERC project GETGOV, where I am the PI.

We will investigate governing elites since 1789. I am sure that it will be a lot of fun and result in great research!

Postdocs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...

PhDs: www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628) | University of Oslo
Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (288628), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, November 17, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no
October 20, 2025 at 3:27 PM
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jayvanbavel.bsky.social
Is science getting too competitive?

Grant applications are skyrocketing and funding rates are decreasing.

Yet the article in Nature fails to mention the potential role that AI/LLMs in driving up grant applications.

It's becoming a lottery.
www.nature.com/articles/d41...).
October 19, 2025 at 3:55 PM
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qjeharvard.bsky.social
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes,” by Barwick, Chen, Fu, and Li: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes*
Abstract. Concerns about excessive mobile phone use among youth are mounting. We present estimates of both behavioral and contextual peer effects, along wi
doi.org
October 17, 2025 at 3:19 PM
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heikekluever.bsky.social
Why do people turn to populist parties? 🤔

📣 Our new study just published at @ejprjournal.bsky.social shows it’s not just real inequality - it’s perceived inequality that drives populism.

📌 Blog: hu-govlab.de/en/perceived...
📊 Study: tinyurl.com/msnndnpn
🏛️ Funded by: @scripts-berlin.eu
October 15, 2025 at 2:42 PM
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antvalentim.bsky.social
🚨 New paper out!

Very happy to see our (Tom Arend, @fabioellger.bsky.social and mine) paper out at the @bjpols.bsky.social.

We explore how voters react to new, disruptive political actors.

1/3
October 14, 2025 at 4:16 PM
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leedrutman.bsky.social
Thermostatic public opinion, reacting against the governing regime, like old faithful.
globalaffairs.org/research/pub...
October 12, 2025 at 7:14 PM
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cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social -

Liberal democratic values among immigrants in Europe: Socialisation and adaptation processes - https://cup.org/42C8Zxv

- @fguelzau.bsky.social, Marc Helbling & @snmorgenstern.bsky.social

#FirstView
Banner for the European Journal of Political Research, available on Cambridge Core, the platform of Cambridge University Press. The banner is in blue with white and lighter blue text.
October 10, 2025 at 7:20 PM
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tiagoventura.bsky.social
How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?

Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
October 7, 2025 at 6:49 PM
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robsica.bsky.social
"We echo previous calls to temper our discussions of misinformation and avoid jumping to overblown conclusions about the effects of misinformation"
Evaluating real-world effects of one-off fake news exposure - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Evaluating real-world effects of one-off fake news exposure
www.nature.com
October 3, 2025 at 7:50 PM
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science.org
"Combining an urgent analysis with masterful breadth, Susan Stokes’s book The Backsliders focuses on the contemporary challenge of global democratic erosion, a notable and expanding trend."

Read the #ScienceBooks Review: https://scim.ag/3WhckhQ
October 3, 2025 at 7:58 PM
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andrew.heiss.phd
Just posted an updated/revised version of this “Statistical Methods in Public Policy Research” chapter, now under review post-R&R 🤞

I'm kinda partial and unbiased here, but I really really like this piece!

HTML/PDF: stats.andrewheiss.com/snoopy-spring/
SocArXiv: doi.org/10.31235/osf...
Statistical Methods in Public Policy Research Chapter for the Oxford Research Encyclopedia on Public Policy This essay provides an overview of statistical methods in public policy, focused primarily on the United States. The essay traces the historical development of quantitative approaches in policy research, from early ad hoc applications through the 19th and early 20th centuries, to the full institutionalization of statistical analysis in federal, state, local, and nonprofit agencies by the late 20th century. It then outlines three core methodological approaches to policy-centered statistical research across social science disciplines: description, explanation, and prediction. In descriptive work, researchers explore what exists and examine any variable of interest to understand their different distributions and relationships. In explanatory work, researchers ask why does it exist and how can it be influenced. The focus of the analysis is on explanatory variables (X) to either (1) accurately estimate their relationship with an outcome variable (Y), or (2) causally attribute the effect of specific explanatory variables on outcomes. In predictive work, researchers ask what will happen next and focus on the outcome variable (Y) and on generating accurate forecasts, classifications, and predictions from new data. For each approach, the essay examines key techniques, their applications in policy contexts, and important methodological considerations. The discussion then considers critical perspectives on quantitative policy analysis framed around issues related to a three-part “data imperative” where governments are driven to count, gather, and learn from data. Each of these imperatives entail substantial issues related to privacy, accountability, democratic participation, and epistemic inequalities—issues at odds with public sector values of transparency and openness. The conclusion identifies some emerging trends in public sector-focused data science, inclusive ethi… Table of contents Introduction 1 Brief History of Statistics in Public Policy 2 Core Methodological Approaches 2.1 Description 2.2 Explanation 2.2.1 Estimation, Inference, and Hypothesis Testing 2.2.2 Causal Attribution and Causal Inference 2.3 Prediction 3 The Pitfalls of Counting, Gathering, and Learning from Public Data 4 Future Directions Further Reading References
September 26, 2025 at 3:41 PM
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adambonica.bsky.social
I’m starting to notice a trend in the polling data…

—Top Public Worry: Corruption

—Biggest problem in Fed Gov: Corruption

—Top fear: Corruption

—What one word would you use to describe American government?: “Corrupt”

It’s almost like voters are trying to tell us something.
Top 10 American Fears of 2024 (Chapman Survey) Horizontal bar chart ranking the top fears of Americans (percentage “afraid” or “very afraid”): 1. Corrupt government officials (65.2%, top fear for years). 2. Loved ones becoming seriously ill (58.4%). 3. Cyberterrorism (58.3%). 4. Loved ones dying (57.8%). 5. Russia using nuclear weapons (55.8%). 6. Not having enough money for the future (55.7%). 7. U.S. becoming involved in another world war (55.0%). 8. North Korea using nuclear weapons (55.0%). 9. Terrorist attack (52.7%). 10. Biological warfare (52.5%). Red bars display percentages; small arrows indicate change from 2023 rankings. Top Public Worries in the U.S. (Yale & GMU poll, May 2025) Stacked bar chart of worries among U.S. adults. Categories ranked by share “very worried”: • Government corruption (54% very worried, top issue). • Other leading concerns: cost of living (48%), the economy (47%), state of democracy (44%), disruption of federal services (44%), cultural/social divisions (36%), treatment of immigrants (35%), global warming (29%), crime (26%). • Lower worries include job security (17%), health (16%), and being targeted because of identity/beliefs (15%). Green shades show “very/somewhat worried,” yellow/orange shades show “not very/not at all worried. Perceptions of Federal Government Problems (AP-NORC poll) Bar chart showing the percentage of U.S. adults who consider various issues in the federal government to be a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem. • Corruption: Overall 70% major, 22% minor, 7% not a problem. Higher among Republicans (78%) than Democrats (63%). • Inefficiency: 65% major overall, with Republicans (81%) much higher than Democrats (55%). • Red tape (bureaucracy): 59% major overall, with Republicans (73%) higher than Democrats (47%). • Civil servants unwilling to implement president’s agenda: More partisan split—Republicans 56% major problem, Democrats 20% major problem; overall 34% major, 36% minor, 28% not a problem. Title: “Majority of the public believe corruption, inefficiency, and red tape are major problems in the federal government. Word Cloud of How People Describe American Government (Berkeley Democracy Policy Lab) Large central word: “Corrupt.” Other prominent words: Broken, Chaotic, Dysfunctional, Shit, Clueless, Divided, Inefficient, Crooked, Hijacked, Justice, Woke, Bloated, Untrustworthy, Hopeless, Frustrated, Disastrous, Messy, Sneaky, Turmoil, Delusional. Smaller scattered words include both negative and neutral terms such as Crap, Important, Poder, Resilient, Unfocused, Needs Help. Visual emphasizes “Corrupt” as the dominant public perception.
September 25, 2025 at 8:50 PM