Seth Walder
@sethwalder.bsky.social
ESPN NFL Analyst. DMs open.
Pinned
Seth Walder
@sethwalder.bsky.social
· Mar 28
Updated NFL analytics staffer list!*
As always, this list is to the best of my understanding based both on what teams list and conversations with analytics folks around the league.
(*Re-posting because I had a mistake on previous post)
As always, this list is to the best of my understanding based both on what teams list and conversations with analytics folks around the league.
(*Re-posting because I had a mistake on previous post)
Pro Bowl snubs! And who they should replace!
From @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and me: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...
From @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and me: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...
December 23, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Pro Bowl snubs! And who they should replace!
From @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and me: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...
From @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and me: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...
Reposted by Seth Walder
Yep! The advantage begins roughly halfway through the third quarter.
Is there a time element with this? Obviously you’re not gonna go for two down 8 in the second quarter for instance. When does it become advantageous to do so? Just wondering because I almost wonder if they would do it if the 49ers scored on this next possession.
December 23, 2025 at 3:50 AM
Yep! The advantage begins roughly halfway through the third quarter.
Shane Steichen failed the down 8 test ❌❌❌
December 23, 2025 at 3:45 AM
Shane Steichen failed the down 8 test ❌❌❌
Reposted by Seth Walder
This has been a good watch so far. Now we just need the offenses to stop playing so well so we can get some 4th down decisions.
MNF Tonight: Watch the alternate broadcast on ESPN2!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
December 23, 2025 at 1:53 AM
This has been a good watch so far. Now we just need the offenses to stop playing so well so we can get some 4th down decisions.
Reminder!!
MNF Tonight: Watch the alternate broadcast on ESPN2!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
December 23, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Reminder!!
Reposted by Seth Walder
You had me at all-22
December 22, 2025 at 9:21 PM
You had me at all-22
MNF Tonight: Watch the alternate broadcast on ESPN2!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
December 22, 2025 at 9:16 PM
MNF Tonight: Watch the alternate broadcast on ESPN2!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
There will be an All-22 view! Dynamic pre-snap forecasting metrics! @fieldyates.bsky.social, Dan Orlovsky and Luke Kuechly breaking down the game!
And Brian Burke as a decision analyst to talk through 4th down and 2 point!
NFL Playoff Projections!
This page will update live for the rest of the season.
www.espn.com/espn/feature...
This page will update live for the rest of the season.
www.espn.com/espn/feature...
December 22, 2025 at 3:59 PM
NFL Playoff Projections!
This page will update live for the rest of the season.
www.espn.com/espn/feature...
This page will update live for the rest of the season.
www.espn.com/espn/feature...
Updated NFC playoff seeding forecast!
December 22, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Updated NFC playoff seeding forecast!
Updated AFC playoff forecast!
FPI makes the Patriots No. 1 seed favorites, but I would put a large asterisks on that because:
A. FPI is almost certainly overrating the Chiefs (Broncos W17 opponent) right now, even knowing QB situation.
And B...
FPI makes the Patriots No. 1 seed favorites, but I would put a large asterisks on that because:
A. FPI is almost certainly overrating the Chiefs (Broncos W17 opponent) right now, even knowing QB situation.
And B...
December 22, 2025 at 2:48 PM
Updated AFC playoff forecast!
FPI makes the Patriots No. 1 seed favorites, but I would put a large asterisks on that because:
A. FPI is almost certainly overrating the Chiefs (Broncos W17 opponent) right now, even knowing QB situation.
And B...
FPI makes the Patriots No. 1 seed favorites, but I would put a large asterisks on that because:
A. FPI is almost certainly overrating the Chiefs (Broncos W17 opponent) right now, even knowing QB situation.
And B...
Kalif Raymond 27-yard touchdown on 4th down, dots!
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
December 22, 2025 at 12:06 AM
Kalif Raymond 27-yard touchdown on 4th down, dots!
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
Ooof, this was a bad one
December 21, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Ooof, this was a bad one
With Raiders currently leading it's almost a three-way tie in terms of chance to earn No. 1 overall pick at this moment
December 21, 2025 at 11:30 PM
With Raiders currently leading it's almost a three-way tie in terms of chance to earn No. 1 overall pick at this moment
Jaguars up to a 23% chance to earn the No. 1 seed
December 21, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Jaguars up to a 23% chance to earn the No. 1 seed
yeah i don't know maybe the jaguars shouldn't have run the ball on 1st and 10 at the plus-48 with 43 seconds left with one timeout they then didn't call
December 21, 2025 at 10:33 PM
yeah i don't know maybe the jaguars shouldn't have run the ball on 1st and 10 at the plus-48 with 43 seconds left with one timeout they then didn't call
Despite losing to the Panthers today, our live numbers still narrowly favor Tampa Bay over Carolina to win the NFC South.
December 21, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Despite losing to the Panthers today, our live numbers still narrowly favor Tampa Bay over Carolina to win the NFC South.
December 21, 2025 at 8:19 PM
Shedeur Sanders has averaged 1.3 air yards per attempt thus far today, per NGS.
December 21, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Shedeur Sanders has averaged 1.3 air yards per attempt thus far today, per NGS.
Bryce Young eludes pressure then hits Ja'Tavion Sanders for the go-ahead touchdown, dots!
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
December 21, 2025 at 8:06 PM
Bryce Young eludes pressure then hits Ja'Tavion Sanders for the go-ahead touchdown, dots!
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
(NFL Next Gen Stats)
feel like getting a whole slate at half at the same time almost never happens!
December 21, 2025 at 7:34 PM
feel like getting a whole slate at half at the same time almost never happens!
Just an FYI looks like there's a data issue on the Giants 4th-and-5 just now, so espnanalytics.com/decision doesn't have real numbers for that decision
December 21, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Just an FYI looks like there's a data issue on the Giants 4th-and-5 just now, so espnanalytics.com/decision doesn't have real numbers for that decision
My sacks model gives Myles Garrett a 49% chance to tie the single-season record today and a 21% chance to break it.
December 21, 2025 at 4:01 PM
My sacks model gives Myles Garrett a 49% chance to tie the single-season record today and a 21% chance to break it.
Week 16 betting column with @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and Matt Bowen. My sacks and tackle props went up earlier this morning!
www.espn.com/espn/betting...
www.espn.com/espn/betting...
December 21, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Week 16 betting column with @benjaminsolak.bsky.social and Matt Bowen. My sacks and tackle props went up earlier this morning!
www.espn.com/espn/betting...
www.espn.com/espn/betting...