Seth Walder
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sethwalder.bsky.social
Seth Walder
@sethwalder.bsky.social
ESPN NFL Analyst. DMs open.
you're not wrong about this point: later in the game this advantage evaporates (I don't think it flips to PAT, but rather just hangs right around the knife's edge area). This was early enough that easily worth it though.
November 11, 2025 at 3:56 AM
Packers WP on that decision

Go for 2: 26.2%
PAT: 24.8%
November 11, 2025 at 3:52 AM
womp womp
November 11, 2025 at 3:48 AM
See for yourself! All the recommendations are publicly available.

espnanalytics.com/decision
November 11, 2025 at 1:54 AM
ah ah thank you
November 10, 2025 at 7:54 PM
Not sure I quite follow -- can you show me an example of what you mean?
November 10, 2025 at 7:37 PM
More of the latter, I would imagine.
November 10, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Two notes to keep in mind:

PRWR is the rate at which a defender beats their blocker within 2.5 seconds.

And: double-team rate is driven in part by a player's threat level, yes. But also by other factors such as team blitz rate and, most importantly, alignment.
November 10, 2025 at 5:22 PM
-Dexter Lawrence second-straight year where he is below average in PRWR. Keep in mind in 2023 he had a 19% PRWR at defensive tackle.

-Quietly nice numbers for Browns rookie Mason Graham
November 10, 2025 at 4:58 PM
A few takeaways:

-Jeffery Simmons far away the PRWR leader at defensive tackle!

-Chris Jones second but no longer on same level as previous seasons.

-Milton Williams still a very good signing but has come back to the pack after red-hot start.
November 10, 2025 at 4:56 PM