Reposted by Rob Johns
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
November 11, 2025 at 9:00 AM
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
Reposted by Rob Johns
Two of the most counterproductive political system choices you can make, which increase corruption but sound good, are:
1) low salaries for elected office holders and bureaucrats
2) term limits for legislators
1) low salaries for elected office holders and bureaucrats
2) term limits for legislators
ryan is right. people HATE hearing this. but it is just a matter of simple incentives. if you want a more representative legislature — and if you want a legislature more resistant to corruption — then you need to jack up the salaries. serving as mayor of NYC should net you a cool 500K *at least*
people hate hearing this but it's 100% true, creating a huge pay gap between political leaders, their staffs, and other elites is a recipe for corruption. of course the flip side of that is taxes on the rich should be jacked way the hell up
November 8, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Two of the most counterproductive political system choices you can make, which increase corruption but sound good, are:
1) low salaries for elected office holders and bureaucrats
2) term limits for legislators
1) low salaries for elected office holders and bureaucrats
2) term limits for legislators
Q: How important is a representative sample?
A:
A:
November 5, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Q: How important is a representative sample?
A:
A:
If you’re a methods teacher who tells students that they can’t say anything about a result with a p-value of >.05, then you’re part of the problem so there’s no point looking all scandalised at this.
Look at the distribution of z-values from medical research!
November 4, 2025 at 10:40 PM
If you’re a methods teacher who tells students that they can’t say anything about a result with a p-value of >.05, then you’re part of the problem so there’s no point looking all scandalised at this.
Reposted by Rob Johns
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
2016-2020-2024-panel-merged-study - ANES | American National Election Studies
electionstudies.org
November 1, 2025 at 8:47 PM
ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/...
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.
Reposted by Rob Johns
The job of a good message isn't to say what is popular. The job of a good message is to make popular what we need said.
MAGA and Madison Avenue have known and exploited this. But it also very much applies to campaigns for good.
www.weekendreading.net/p/bringing-a...
MAGA and Madison Avenue have known and exploited this. But it also very much applies to campaigns for good.
www.weekendreading.net/p/bringing-a...
Bringing a Survey to a Gun Fight
“Pollingism” Has Failed Democrats and Voters. Here’s Why, and What to Do Instead.
www.weekendreading.net
November 3, 2025 at 4:13 AM
The job of a good message isn't to say what is popular. The job of a good message is to make popular what we need said.
MAGA and Madison Avenue have known and exploited this. But it also very much applies to campaigns for good.
www.weekendreading.net/p/bringing-a...
MAGA and Madison Avenue have known and exploited this. But it also very much applies to campaigns for good.
www.weekendreading.net/p/bringing-a...
I suppose one option for those beleaguered city executives might be to pay their graduate entrants a bit more.
November 3, 2025 at 7:08 AM
I suppose one option for those beleaguered city executives might be to pay their graduate entrants a bit more.
Reposted by Rob Johns
Nano-targeting is not a persuasive weapon: it is a dissuasion and polarization weapon. New paper out osf.io/preprints/so... with the brilliant Thomas Robinson, @simonhix.bsky.social and @fresejoris.bsky.social – the first to quantify the perverse incentives/inherent democratic dangers of this tech.
OSF
osf.io
October 16, 2025 at 7:45 AM
Nano-targeting is not a persuasive weapon: it is a dissuasion and polarization weapon. New paper out osf.io/preprints/so... with the brilliant Thomas Robinson, @simonhix.bsky.social and @fresejoris.bsky.social – the first to quantify the perverse incentives/inherent democratic dangers of this tech.
Reposted by Rob Johns
team of postdocs in the lab meeting proposing the 15th joint paper when I ask them when we will find time to write it
October 16, 2025 at 11:56 AM
team of postdocs in the lab meeting proposing the 15th joint paper when I ask them when we will find time to write it
Reposted by Rob Johns
I asked ChatGPT to write a brief history of Winston Churchill in the style of Boris Johnson and I think it's fair to say this sort of op-ed is easy to mimic...
October 16, 2025 at 8:48 AM
I asked ChatGPT to write a brief history of Winston Churchill in the style of Boris Johnson and I think it's fair to say this sort of op-ed is easy to mimic...
Reposted by Rob Johns
Big questions. Brilliant speakers.
This term at @EssexGov:
📊 Demographic change
🌐 Great power politics & the UN (with ModelUN)
🌍 Africa in multilateral organisations
Join us! Link in bio.
#PoliticalScience #EssexGov
This term at @EssexGov:
📊 Demographic change
🌐 Great power politics & the UN (with ModelUN)
🌍 Africa in multilateral organisations
Join us! Link in bio.
#PoliticalScience #EssexGov
October 13, 2025 at 9:49 AM
Big questions. Brilliant speakers.
This term at @EssexGov:
📊 Demographic change
🌐 Great power politics & the UN (with ModelUN)
🌍 Africa in multilateral organisations
Join us! Link in bio.
#PoliticalScience #EssexGov
This term at @EssexGov:
📊 Demographic change
🌐 Great power politics & the UN (with ModelUN)
🌍 Africa in multilateral organisations
Join us! Link in bio.
#PoliticalScience #EssexGov
Reposted by Rob Johns
🚀 And this marks our launch of the CampAIgn Tracker 🇳🇱!
@meinungsfuehrer.bsky.social and I are glad to finally publish our dashboard where we monitor the use of AI imagery in campaign messages, by parties, politicians & other actors during the election #tk2025
See here
www.campaigntracker.nl/en/
@meinungsfuehrer.bsky.social and I are glad to finally publish our dashboard where we monitor the use of AI imagery in campaign messages, by parties, politicians & other actors during the election #tk2025
See here
www.campaigntracker.nl/en/
October 11, 2025 at 8:39 AM
🚀 And this marks our launch of the CampAIgn Tracker 🇳🇱!
@meinungsfuehrer.bsky.social and I are glad to finally publish our dashboard where we monitor the use of AI imagery in campaign messages, by parties, politicians & other actors during the election #tk2025
See here
www.campaigntracker.nl/en/
@meinungsfuehrer.bsky.social and I are glad to finally publish our dashboard where we monitor the use of AI imagery in campaign messages, by parties, politicians & other actors during the election #tk2025
See here
www.campaigntracker.nl/en/
A perceptive and wide-ranging analysis of this award that (perhaps not coincidentally) doesn’t even mention Donald Trump.
theconversation.com/nobel-peace-...
theconversation.com/nobel-peace-...
Nobel peace prize winner Maria Corina Machado: Venezuelan opposition leader forced into hiding after taking on Maduro
The Venezuelan opposition leader was forced to go into hiding in 2024 after being banned form standing in that year’s election.
theconversation.com
October 10, 2025 at 5:21 PM
A perceptive and wide-ranging analysis of this award that (perhaps not coincidentally) doesn’t even mention Donald Trump.
theconversation.com/nobel-peace-...
theconversation.com/nobel-peace-...
Reposted by Rob Johns
A Brief History of Men are Becoming Less Manly
🧵
🧵
October 7, 2025 at 9:49 PM
A Brief History of Men are Becoming Less Manly
🧵
🧵
This Olé House sounds even better (if such can be imagined) than the original.
October 5, 2025 at 10:31 AM
This Olé House sounds even better (if such can be imagined) than the original.
Reposted by Rob Johns
This time in two weeks, we will launch our autumn/winter seminar series. We have an exciting line-up of four online talks covering a range of topics in political psychology.
All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.
Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.
Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
Political Psychology | The Political Studies Association (PSA)
Political Psychology is a multi-disciplinary group established to provide a forum for collaboration, discussion and support for political psychology scholars and practitioners as well as to facilitate...
www.psa.ac.uk
October 2, 2025 at 11:06 AM
This time in two weeks, we will launch our autumn/winter seminar series. We have an exciting line-up of four online talks covering a range of topics in political psychology.
All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.
Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.
Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...
“Sure, I did say that we needed to be less London-centric, but let’s not go mad here.”
Jackie Baillie tells Burnham to shelve leadership positioning, amid concerns it will harm Labour at Holyrood elections, @severincarrell.bsky.social reports www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
September 29, 2025 at 11:15 AM
“Sure, I did say that we needed to be less London-centric, but let’s not go mad here.”
Reposted by Rob Johns
Absolute must-read from @profjanegreen.bsky.social and @martamiori.bsky.social. It's hard to imagine how Labour could be getting it more wrong - not least by talking up the replacement of the Conservatives by Reform, which will only accelerate the cannibalisation of the former's vote by the latter!
Article - Nuffield Politics Research Centre
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk
September 29, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Absolute must-read from @profjanegreen.bsky.social and @martamiori.bsky.social. It's hard to imagine how Labour could be getting it more wrong - not least by talking up the replacement of the Conservatives by Reform, which will only accelerate the cannibalisation of the former's vote by the latter!
Reposted by Rob Johns
Some lovely polling published by the Policy Inst at KCL today on partial quotations www.kcl.ac.uk/policy-insti...
September 23, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Some lovely polling published by the Policy Inst at KCL today on partial quotations www.kcl.ac.uk/policy-insti...
Reposted by Rob Johns
If Labour and other parties can't find a way to scrutinise, criticise and condemn a policy like this, they give Reform a free ride and make the future less safe & certain for those who come here, work hard and contribute.
September 22, 2025 at 10:10 AM
If Labour and other parties can't find a way to scrutinise, criticise and condemn a policy like this, they give Reform a free ride and make the future less safe & certain for those who come here, work hard and contribute.
Reposted by Rob Johns
📣New #openaccess publication on Western European #party systems within the #Sartori symposium on IPSR.
lc.cx/b_xy8Y
A short 🧵👇
lc.cx/b_xy8Y
A short 🧵👇
Party system types and the decline of systemness in Western Europe: are party system classifications still useful? | Italian Political Science Review / Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica | Cambridge...
Party system types and the decline of systemness in Western Europe: are party system classifications still useful?
lc.cx
September 19, 2025 at 3:10 PM
📣New #openaccess publication on Western European #party systems within the #Sartori symposium on IPSR.
lc.cx/b_xy8Y
A short 🧵👇
lc.cx/b_xy8Y
A short 🧵👇
Reposted by Rob Johns
158. AP-GfK, 2009: "If you had to choose, would you prefer to attend a wedding that served champagne and caviar, wine and chicken breasts, or beer and pigs in a blanket?"
September 3, 2025 at 6:25 PM
158. AP-GfK, 2009: "If you had to choose, would you prefer to attend a wedding that served champagne and caviar, wine and chicken breasts, or beer and pigs in a blanket?"
Reposted by Rob Johns
Just out at JOP (www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....) : Why do so few working-class people hold office? It's not lack of interest. Noam Lupu and I ran 10 surveys in 8 countries and found no evidence of a social class gap in how often qualified people consider running.
September 16, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Just out at JOP (www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....) : Why do so few working-class people hold office? It's not lack of interest. Noam Lupu and I ran 10 surveys in 8 countries and found no evidence of a social class gap in how often qualified people consider running.
Reposted by Rob Johns
BES Research Fellow @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social has spoken with The Economist about our Parliamentary Affairs paper on how British voters are volatile, but their choices are now structured by party blocs after the Brexit realignment.
Read here: www.economist.com/britain/2025...
Read here: www.economist.com/britain/2025...
The new battle for Britain
Once elections were fought between left and right. Now the main fight is within these camps
www.economist.com
September 12, 2025 at 2:39 PM
BES Research Fellow @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social has spoken with The Economist about our Parliamentary Affairs paper on how British voters are volatile, but their choices are now structured by party blocs after the Brexit realignment.
Read here: www.economist.com/britain/2025...
Read here: www.economist.com/britain/2025...