Rikio Inouye
@rinouye.bsky.social
PhD Candidate @Princeton. Studies race, international security, and foreign policy support. A twin, former JET program participant in Toyama (my second home).
https://rikioinouye.org/
https://rikioinouye.org/
Job market season is such a rollar coaster. Got a game-changing R&R!
November 26, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Job market season is such a rollar coaster. Got a game-changing R&R!
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
November 19, 2025 at 12:16 PM
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”
Thank you @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for an amazing Global Public Opinion workshop! Great scholars and conversations ! Wonderful to see @jkertzer.bsky.social @jonathan-renshon.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social too!
November 18, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Thank you @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for an amazing Global Public Opinion workshop! Great scholars and conversations ! Wonderful to see @jkertzer.bsky.social @jonathan-renshon.bsky.social @eunajo.bsky.social too!
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
Congratulations to @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for the launch of the Global Public Opinion Lab (GPOL) at Florida State! Lots of exciting plans in the works!
(I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss)
(I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss)
November 18, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Congratulations to @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social and @kmatush.bsky.social for the launch of the Global Public Opinion Lab (GPOL) at Florida State! Lots of exciting plans in the works!
(I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss)
(I couldn't take any pictures of public opinion, so here's one of Spanish moss)
Presenting this afternoon Peace Science - last panel of the day 😊 With @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social , @kmatush.bsky.social , and Eun A Jo!
Democracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security.
New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
Democratic Backsliding Damages Foreign Public Support for Security Cooperation
Does democratic backsliding shape foreign public preferences for security cooperation with the backsliding state? We argue that it does. Backsliding erodes the
papers.ssrn.com
November 15, 2025 at 5:21 PM
Presenting this afternoon Peace Science - last panel of the day 😊 With @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social , @kmatush.bsky.social , and Eun A Jo!
New version just uploaded 😊
Beyond Paternalism: How Leadership Diversity Shapes Foreign Aid Perceptions in South Africa
https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-l5m9m-v3?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
#polisky
https://dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-l5m9m-v3?rft_dat=source%3Ddrss
#polisky
November 15, 2025 at 5:17 PM
New version just uploaded 😊
Democracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security.
New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
Democratic Backsliding Damages Foreign Public Support for Security Cooperation
Does democratic backsliding shape foreign public preferences for security cooperation with the backsliding state? We argue that it does. Backsliding erodes the
papers.ssrn.com
October 16, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Democracy isn’t just a value—it’s national security.
New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
New WP with @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social @kmatush.bsky.social & @eunajo.bsky.social finds that across 4 close US partners (UK, Canada, Australia, NZ), backsliding sharply reduces public support for intelligence sharing—even with the US.
Was just in a behavior workshop today and this piece is still so helpful for people to consider when designing experiments and interpreting (null) effects!
🚨It's finally out AND #OpenAccess!!!
Do you do survey experiments? This article is for you! 7 things that increase the risk of null/non-significant results & how to detect/prevent them. It's one of my fav things I've ever written so I hope you enjoy ☺️ polisky
cup.org/3OQhKNv
Do you do survey experiments? This article is for you! 7 things that increase the risk of null/non-significant results & how to detect/prevent them. It's one of my fav things I've ever written so I hope you enjoy ☺️ polisky
cup.org/3OQhKNv
More than meets the ITT: A guide for anticipating and investigating nonsignificant results in survey experiments | Journal of Experimental Political Science | Cambridge Core
More than meets the ITT: A guide for anticipating and investigating nonsignificant results in survey experiments
cup.org
September 26, 2025 at 11:01 PM
Was just in a behavior workshop today and this piece is still so helpful for people to consider when designing experiments and interpreting (null) effects!
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
Website: rikioinouye.org
Rikio Inouye
rikioinouye.org
September 11, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Website: rikioinouye.org
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
@rinouye.bsky.social examines how racial and religious identities of countries in conflict shape public support for them. He argues identity isn’t just another factor, but a lens shaping how people interpret strategic and material information, with real consequences for conflict support.
September 11, 2025 at 3:52 PM
@rinouye.bsky.social examines how racial and religious identities of countries in conflict shape public support for them. He argues identity isn’t just another factor, but a lens shaping how people interpret strategic and material information, with real consequences for conflict support.
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
An instant post about that Japan deal. It's basically a joke
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/about-that...
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/about-that...
About That Japan Deal
Arithmetic has a well-known globalist bias
paulkrugman.substack.com
July 23, 2025 at 12:17 PM
An instant post about that Japan deal. It's basically a joke
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/about-that...
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/about-that...
The last two months have been rough with three rejections. But today I got a great R&R! 🥳
July 20, 2025 at 12:45 AM
The last two months have been rough with three rejections. But today I got a great R&R! 🥳
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
The first people to hear that CBS was canceling “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” reacted to the news loudly, and viscerally, with a chorus of “No!” that turned into a sustained round of boos.
Fans React to Colbert ‘Late Show’ Cancellation With Puzzlement and Anger
Many questioned the timing of and motivation for the announcement, noting that Mr. Colbert hosted the most-watched show in late night television.
trib.al
July 18, 2025 at 3:00 AM
The first people to hear that CBS was canceling “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” reacted to the news loudly, and viscerally, with a chorus of “No!” that turned into a sustained round of boos.
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
700 diplomats at State are set to be laid off. This amounts to 60% of all foreign service officer currently based in DC. 60%!
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/u...
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/u...
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs
www.nytimes.com
July 10, 2025 at 11:45 PM
700 diplomats at State are set to be laid off. This amounts to 60% of all foreign service officer currently based in DC. 60%!
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/u...
State Department to Soon Begin Mass Layoffs www.nytimes.com/2025/07/10/u...
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
There are going to be a lot of euphemisms and double talk in the days to come. So give the Times credit for telling it straight:
"The United States has entered Israel’s war against Iran."
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
"The United States has entered Israel’s war against Iran."
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
Here are the latest developments.
www.nytimes.com
June 22, 2025 at 3:05 AM
There are going to be a lot of euphemisms and double talk in the days to come. So give the Times credit for telling it straight:
"The United States has entered Israel’s war against Iran."
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
"The United States has entered Israel’s war against Iran."
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
This is nothing like Iraq or Afghanistan from a public opinion standpoint. In both cases, large majorities supported military action. This time, large majorities oppose it. Chart from the great @gelliottmorris.com. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-amer...
June 22, 2025 at 2:35 AM
This is nothing like Iraq or Afghanistan from a public opinion standpoint. In both cases, large majorities supported military action. This time, large majorities oppose it. Chart from the great @gelliottmorris.com. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-amer...
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
By bombing three nuclear sites in Iran, the U.S. has joined Israel’s war against the country. Now it is bracing for Iranian retaliation.
With Decision to Bomb Iran, Trump Injects U.S. Into Middle East Conflict
By bombing three nuclear sites in Iran, the United States has joined Israel’s war against the country. Now it is bracing for Iranian retaliation.
trib.al
June 22, 2025 at 4:14 AM
By bombing three nuclear sites in Iran, the U.S. has joined Israel’s war against the country. Now it is bracing for Iranian retaliation.
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
There's no declaration of war, and no AUMF that covers this. Entering this war is wrong on the merits; we had a perfectly peaceful way to address Iran's nuclear program. It's also unlawful. A democratic republic should not be able to enter a war of choice on one man's say-so.
The US has hust dropped bombs on three Iranian nuclear sites, according to Trump, bringing American military forces into Israel’s war with Iran.
June 22, 2025 at 12:11 AM
There's no declaration of war, and no AUMF that covers this. Entering this war is wrong on the merits; we had a perfectly peaceful way to address Iran's nuclear program. It's also unlawful. A democratic republic should not be able to enter a war of choice on one man's say-so.
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
No one knows where the conflict with Iran will lead from here. My guess is what has happened today will resolve little. My guess is the conflict will remain sporadic and the biggest X factor will be that Bibi does not want it to stop. Bombing Iran into an effective enduring deal seems unlikely.
June 22, 2025 at 12:12 AM
No one knows where the conflict with Iran will lead from here. My guess is what has happened today will resolve little. My guess is the conflict will remain sporadic and the biggest X factor will be that Bibi does not want it to stop. Bombing Iran into an effective enduring deal seems unlikely.
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
Breaking News: President Trump said that the U.S. had bombed Fordo, Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear facility, as well as two other sites.
U.S. Enters War With Iran, Striking Fordo Nuclear Site: Live Updates
President Trump announced the United States had struck Fordo, Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear facilities, as well as two other sites.
trib.al
June 22, 2025 at 12:19 AM
Breaking News: President Trump said that the U.S. had bombed Fordo, Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear facility, as well as two other sites.
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
THIS
Not the issue most are focusing on. But has me curious. eager to hear from those w technical knowledge. my understand was that even with strategic bombers and bunker buster bombs it wld take multiple strikes to destroy the fordow facility. but Trump seems to be treating this like it's done.
June 22, 2025 at 12:13 AM
THIS
IR scholars (Tomz and Weeks 2013, RPP 2024) have asked if the public supports preemptive strikes on nuclear sites against democracies vs. non democracies. Never thought I would see it happen, but we’ve just done so against Iran.
No congressional approval.
@jlpweeks.bsky.social
No congressional approval.
@jlpweeks.bsky.social
June 22, 2025 at 12:38 AM
IR scholars (Tomz and Weeks 2013, RPP 2024) have asked if the public supports preemptive strikes on nuclear sites against democracies vs. non democracies. Never thought I would see it happen, but we’ve just done so against Iran.
No congressional approval.
@jlpweeks.bsky.social
No congressional approval.
@jlpweeks.bsky.social
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
Congratulations to Charlotte Fitzek, Rikio Inouye, and Etienne Gagnon who received Honjo Scholarships from @JAANewYork to support studies that "will help further US-Japan relations." @rinouye.bsky.social
June 11, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Congratulations to Charlotte Fitzek, Rikio Inouye, and Etienne Gagnon who received Honjo Scholarships from @JAANewYork to support studies that "will help further US-Japan relations." @rinouye.bsky.social
New working paper! When US aid leaders are diverse, public support for them and US aid rises.
Who people see shapes how they feel. Diversity is a #ForeignPolicy asset.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
w/ Soohyun Cho and Simone Dietrich
#PoliSci #ForeignAid #DiversityMatters #USForeignPolicy
Who people see shapes how they feel. Diversity is a #ForeignPolicy asset.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
w/ Soohyun Cho and Simone Dietrich
#PoliSci #ForeignAid #DiversityMatters #USForeignPolicy
Beyond Paternalism: How Leadership Diversity Shapes Foreign Aid Perceptions in South Africa *
This paper examines how the racial and gender composition of donor leadership shapes public opinion in recipient countries. Focusing on South Africa, we explore
papers.ssrn.com
May 2, 2025 at 4:54 PM
New working paper! When US aid leaders are diverse, public support for them and US aid rises.
Who people see shapes how they feel. Diversity is a #ForeignPolicy asset.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
w/ Soohyun Cho and Simone Dietrich
#PoliSci #ForeignAid #DiversityMatters #USForeignPolicy
Who people see shapes how they feel. Diversity is a #ForeignPolicy asset.
👉 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
w/ Soohyun Cho and Simone Dietrich
#PoliSci #ForeignAid #DiversityMatters #USForeignPolicy
Reposted by Rikio Inouye
Thanks for the shoutout. Didn't know it was out already. If folks can't get access without forking over loot let me know.
April 28, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Thanks for the shoutout. Didn't know it was out already. If folks can't get access without forking over loot let me know.