Ryan Wiley
@rdubwiley.bsky.social
I like math. I like statistics. I like politics.
Posts are my own.
Posts are my own.
I know there's a lot going on, but Senate Dems coming all the way around back to Force the Vote is very funny.
Democratic Senator Shaheen says ending the shutdown wasn't a failure because it achieves a later vote that will get Republicans on the record.
"Americans...are gonna know who's on their side and who is not."
"Americans...are gonna know who's on their side and who is not."
November 10, 2025 at 5:26 PM
I know there's a lot going on, but Senate Dems coming all the way around back to Force the Vote is very funny.
Going to be really funny when Dems cave immediately in January because they'll be afraid of missing flights for Valentine's Day.
November 10, 2025 at 12:29 AM
Going to be really funny when Dems cave immediately in January because they'll be afraid of missing flights for Valentine's Day.
Kind of generous to say he was calling the plays, he was doing a worse version of generic Maddenisms in a three score game in the 3rd.
Government is shut down. Chaos in airports. 42 million going hungry. 24 million face skyrocketing healthcare costs. Economy in turmoil. And the president of the United States is in the Fox broadcast booth calling plays for a football game.
November 9, 2025 at 11:48 PM
Kind of generous to say he was calling the plays, he was doing a worse version of generic Maddenisms in a three score game in the 3rd.
Not really beating the allegations when you're letting Fox News grandpa have his big time in the booth with the C-team that's mostly airing in D.C. and Michigan.
November 9, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Not really beating the allegations when you're letting Fox News grandpa have his big time in the booth with the C-team that's mostly airing in D.C. and Michigan.
Media would have absolutely lost their mind if Obama would have went in the press booth during a Commanders game and talked about how much of a mess he inherited.
November 9, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Media would have absolutely lost their mind if Obama would have went in the press booth during a Commanders game and talked about how much of a mess he inherited.
Look man, no idea what is going on in this admin, but having Trump going to a Commanders game after laying off friends and family of tons of people in D.C. is incredible.
November 9, 2025 at 11:15 PM
Look man, no idea what is going on in this admin, but having Trump going to a Commanders game after laying off friends and family of tons of people in D.C. is incredible.
It's also significantly more complicated for the consumer. Seems pretty obvious insurers would adjust coverage and obfuscate insurance choices.
if the Democrats are willing to accept this deal, in particular, i don't think a single Senator should make it through their primary. this just makes health inequity worse and lets Trump send out checks with his name on them!
"A development that appeared to break the logjam: Republicans proposed that healthcare funding be provided directly to households rather than used to pay for a 1-year extension of ACA subsidies. That involves sending federal money into FSAs instead of insurance companies" www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
November 9, 2025 at 10:52 PM
It's also significantly more complicated for the consumer. Seems pretty obvious insurers would adjust coverage and obfuscate insurance choices.
The alleged deal is for FSAs, which would mean people would need to actually spend that money or it doesn't roll over. Real "savvy" thinking here.
November 9, 2025 at 10:43 PM
The alleged deal is for FSAs, which would mean people would need to actually spend that money or it doesn't roll over. Real "savvy" thinking here.
Time's arrow (either by primary or actuary tables) might have to bail us out on Schumer, but I think there's only up to go with whatever replacement makes it from the Dem caucus.
whether it was his idea or whether he was backed into a corner and forced to demand a real concession by his caucus it was still the smart thing to do. in fact it's reassuring to learn he's still the same old boob and it's other guys who are smart
November 9, 2025 at 2:52 AM
Time's arrow (either by primary or actuary tables) might have to bail us out on Schumer, but I think there's only up to go with whatever replacement makes it from the Dem caucus.
Pretty impressive Trump found a way to piss off both insurance companies and consumers at the same time: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Senate Republicans embrace Trump’s call – from his Florida golf course – to replace Obamacare
Amid a historic government shutdown, some senators on Capitol Hill are working this weekend on an unpopular bill
www.theguardian.com
November 8, 2025 at 11:52 PM
Pretty impressive Trump found a way to piss off both insurance companies and consumers at the same time: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
At some point it is entirely about not putting the house into session for a vote on the Epstein files, right?
REPUBLICANS REJECT DEMOCRATS' OFFER TO END SHUTDOWN: GOP AIDE
November 7, 2025 at 8:36 PM
At some point it is entirely about not putting the house into session for a vote on the Epstein files, right?
Parks and Rec absolutely nails what it's like to do any type of positive policy change and face a public hearing full of cranks. Literally the first few seasons consist of turning a half-dug hole into a park. What's neolib about that?
The fact that a lot of leftists despise Parks and Rec - one of the best and most sympathetic depictions of non-cop government in modern media - is a symptom of the fact that a lot of the left has no idea how to actually implement the policy proposals they want to enact.
The reason 30 Rock succeeds years later while parks and rec has aged like a toilet full of milk, is that 30 Rock doesnt shy away from portraying Liz Lemon as an obvious villian with a victim/hero complex, whereas Leslie Knope was played just a straight hero character, even tho she is a neolib shill
November 5, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Parks and Rec absolutely nails what it's like to do any type of positive policy change and face a public hearing full of cranks. Literally the first few seasons consist of turning a half-dug hole into a park. What's neolib about that?
Definitely a parallel between this and how southern states in the antebellum era convinced themselves into a civil war out of an idea that they would eventually lose control of the supreme court, Kansas voted against slavery, and slavery was eventually going to be boxed in.
Trump: "They're gonna make DC a state and they're gonna make Puerto Rico a state. So now they pick up two states, four senators. They're gonna pick up electoral votes. It's gonna be a very, very bad situation. Now, if we do what I'm saying, they'll most likely never obtain power."
November 5, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Definitely a parallel between this and how southern states in the antebellum era convinced themselves into a civil war out of an idea that they would eventually lose control of the supreme court, Kansas voted against slavery, and slavery was eventually going to be boxed in.
Elissa Slotkin with the opportunity to do the funniest wokening of all time.
Spanberger’s win and Zohran’s likely win means only one thing for the future: the people clamor for CIA Socialist 2028
November 5, 2025 at 1:09 AM
Elissa Slotkin with the opportunity to do the funniest wokening of all time.
2006 numbers on the day Dick Cheney died seems appropriate
November 5, 2025 at 12:59 AM
2006 numbers on the day Dick Cheney died seems appropriate
Feel the rhythm, feel the rhyme, come on everybody, it's freakout time!
Jay Jones did better than Kamala Harris did in the PTSD-inducing Loudoun County early vote lmaoooooo
November 5, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Feel the rhythm, feel the rhyme, come on everybody, it's freakout time!
Feel pretty vindicated that polls were underestimating Virgina top of the ticket like they did in MI in 2022.
November 5, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Feel pretty vindicated that polls were underestimating Virgina top of the ticket like they did in MI in 2022.
Getting some freakouts today and tomorrow is like my own special Christmas.
People are really losing their goddamn minds about this really nice dude running for mayor
November 4, 2025 at 11:05 PM
Getting some freakouts today and tomorrow is like my own special Christmas.
You just hate to see Republicans experiencing their own 2009-2010
We're shaping up for a classic "depressed conservative base boosts liberal candidate's margin of victory" scenario. In 2021, these counties got the following % of 2020 vote:
Buchanan: 60%, R+70
Carroll: 76%, R+67
Dickenson: 66%, R+61
Pulaski: 75%, R+49
Statewide 2021 turnout was 74% of 2021.
Buchanan: 60%, R+70
Carroll: 76%, R+67
Dickenson: 66%, R+61
Pulaski: 75%, R+49
Statewide 2021 turnout was 74% of 2021.
November 4, 2025 at 5:53 PM
You just hate to see Republicans experiencing their own 2009-2010
Less than a week out from the fiftieth anniversary of the sinking
November 4, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Less than a week out from the fiftieth anniversary of the sinking
Chris Matthews-esque freakout on Fox News 🤞🤞🤞
“Any Jewish person that votes for Zohran Mamdani, a proven and self professed JEW HATER, is a stupid person!!!”
November 4, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Chris Matthews-esque freakout on Fox News 🤞🤞🤞
The idea that "they didn't know slavery was bad" was completely ahistorical. Jefferson knew it was bad! Wrote about it extensively. Hoped it would eventually die out, but he needed to make money.
A lot to say in response to the cultural revisionists who say oh you can’t judge them, they didn’t really know slavery was Bad back then, but my initial response is ok then why did they abolish it
November 2, 2025 at 11:20 PM
The idea that "they didn't know slavery was bad" was completely ahistorical. Jefferson knew it was bad! Wrote about it extensively. Hoped it would eventually die out, but he needed to make money.
Real "what did you do to make him hit you" politics to blame this on women when it takes two to tango and there isn't a ton you can do if the deadbeat father of your child refuses to pay child support.
It’s insane to talk through this shit out loud. “Children should starve because it might make their moms less likely to sleep around in the future.”
Evangelicals are hot for starving kids.
November 2, 2025 at 11:14 PM
Real "what did you do to make him hit you" politics to blame this on women when it takes two to tango and there isn't a ton you can do if the deadbeat father of your child refuses to pay child support.
Can't think of a more brutal way to go out than a double-play down one at home with a runner on third.
November 2, 2025 at 4:35 AM
Can't think of a more brutal way to go out than a double-play down one at home with a runner on third.
"This is a distraction from the reality that they're trying to divide us up" fails for two different reasons.
First it requires you to repeat your opponent's talking points, which is never good.
Second there really isn't any evidence that "trying to divide us up" thinking leads to more Dem votes.
First it requires you to repeat your opponent's talking points, which is never good.
Second there really isn't any evidence that "trying to divide us up" thinking leads to more Dem votes.
Obama: The weird videos of a U.S. President with a crown on his head flying a fighter jet and dumping poop on protesting citizens… All of that is designed to distract you from the fact that your situation has not gotten better.
November 1, 2025 at 8:53 PM
"This is a distraction from the reality that they're trying to divide us up" fails for two different reasons.
First it requires you to repeat your opponent's talking points, which is never good.
Second there really isn't any evidence that "trying to divide us up" thinking leads to more Dem votes.
First it requires you to repeat your opponent's talking points, which is never good.
Second there really isn't any evidence that "trying to divide us up" thinking leads to more Dem votes.