Pascal
pascallth.bsky.social
Pascal
@pascallth.bsky.social
Political analyst

Right makes might

Substack: https://pascallth.substack.com/
Joint statement from the leaders of all five parties in the Greenland parliament

"We would like to once again emphasize our desire for the United States' disrespect for our country to end"

knr.gl/da/nyheder/v...
Alle pariledere i samlet udtalelse: Vi står sammen som et folk
Politikerne har sagt det før, nu siger de det igen. 'Vi vil ikke være amerikanere, vi vil ikke være danskere, vi vil være grønlændere', lyder det i en fælles udtalelse fra de fem partiledere.
knr.gl
January 10, 2026 at 10:07 AM
Imagine the US having Russia as their next door neighbour
January 9, 2026 at 9:49 PM
With what army or navy would Russia launch this invasion and occupation of Greenland?

How would China maintain supply lines across that distance?

This 'threat' is entirely fabricated
Trump: “We are not going to let Russia or China occupy Greenland — because that’s exactly what they would do if we didn’t act.

“So we are going to do something with Greenland, either the nice way or the more difficult way.”
January 9, 2026 at 9:37 PM
Important geopolitical signal, underwhelming economic policy that won't resolve the domestic growth problem
🚨 Big news from Brussels: EU countries move to approve the EU-Mercosur trade deal, @euronews.com confirms.

Against: 🇫🇷🇵🇱🇦🇹🇭🇺🇮🇪
Abstention: 🇧🇪

All other member states voted in favour.

Written procedure will conclude at 5 pm.
January 9, 2026 at 11:27 AM
Reposted by Pascal
Kyiv is currently entirely without power and heating after today’s attack. Authorities urged people to leave the city if they can. This is a humanitarian disaster, in case anyone didn’t know
January 9, 2026 at 11:07 AM
January 9, 2026 at 10:26 AM
The Greenlanders would be stupid to accept this (which I don't think they are)

Even 100k per person is incredibly cheap to buy out a country's identity and would be a lousy deal compared to the investment they get every year from Denmark (equivalent to around 10k/person)
The White House is considering sending lump sum payments to Greenlanders as part of a bid to convince them to secede from Denmark and potentially join the US, @reuters.com reports.

The figures being discussed range from $10,000 to $100,000 per person.
Exclusive: Trump administration mulls payments to sway Greenlanders to join US
U.S. officials have discussed sending lump sum payments to Greenlanders as part of a bid to convince them to secede from Denmark and potentially join the United States, according to four sources famil...
share.google
January 8, 2026 at 9:25 PM
Let's see what comes of this but a serious plan will be pre-emptive, not reactive
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
European allies working on plan should US move on Greenland
Allies including France and Germany are working closely on a plan on how to respond should the United States act on its threat to take over Greenland, as Europe seeks to address U.S. President Donald ...
www.reuters.com
January 7, 2026 at 2:29 PM
Still don't think we should take these stats as a reassurance

The willingness to throw away so many lives for even minor gains suggests that it is very difficult to convince Russia to stop fighting this war and that our efforts have to be all the greater in order to make that happen
Russia's slow advances in Ukraine come at an enormous human cost
• Between 1m and 1.35m Russian soldiers could have been killed or wounded in the war so far
• Data mean that around 1% of Russia’s pre-war male population of fighting age may have died in Ukraine
www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
January 7, 2026 at 8:32 AM
Reposted by Pascal
What would Greenlanders want?

The latest available opinion poll: 85 % says "No" to the question "Do you want Greenland to exit the Danish Kingdom and instead become part of United States?"

The poll (www.veriangroup.com/da/news-and-...) also show that a small majority supports independence from DK
January 7, 2026 at 7:34 AM
When it comes to Venezuela, we can't reverse or punish the intervention, but we can limit the gains felt by the US

Oil trade is part of that
pascallth.substack.com/p/europe-can...
January 7, 2026 at 6:41 AM
This is progress but we need to see the details on numbers and where they will be deployed

A training force out in Lviv won't be an effective deterrent
BREAKING: UK and France sign formal declaration of intent to put boots on ground in Ukraine in event of peace deal with Russia.

They would "operate on Ukrainian soil, securing Ukraine’s skies and seas and building an armed forces fit for the future".
January 6, 2026 at 7:44 PM
Reposted by Pascal
Europe can't reverse events in Venezuela or force a new reality on the ground, but we can limit the gains perceived by the US from this intervention. That way we can protect support for Ukraine and still defend international law

pascallth.substack.com/p/europe-can...
January 6, 2026 at 8:05 AM
This is a good start. It would be better to station some European troops in Greenland so that American voters start to see the full folly of trying to force the issue
Joint Statement of major EU/NATO countries on Greenland, together with Denmark:
January 6, 2026 at 12:56 PM
Historically this isn't true and the principle of non-intervention in sovereign states predates the global spread of democracy

We may wish to now redefine this settlement but a) most of the world would reject it and b) is it good to give a pass for autocracies to interfere in other autocracies?
Some interesting uses of “sovereignty” being thrown around re Maduro. Dictatorships have no sovereignty and no right to rule. That doesn’t mean Venezuela itself has no sovereignty - its people hold that, and a government chosen by them democratically would embody it.
January 6, 2026 at 9:44 AM
Europe can't reverse events in Venezuela or force a new reality on the ground, but we can limit the gains perceived by the US from this intervention. That way we can protect support for Ukraine and still defend international law

pascallth.substack.com/p/europe-can...
January 6, 2026 at 8:05 AM
Europe is limited in how it can respond to events in Venezuela, but we are not powerless and inaction is not wisdom. Yes, let's carefully protect our interests, but on a full assessment of what our interests actually are

My latest:
pascallth.substack.com/p/europe-can...
Europe can only defend its interests
Thoughts on Venezuela
pascallth.substack.com
January 5, 2026 at 8:36 PM
Managing Trump, no matter how well we may have done it, has not actually helped us adjust to this new world, and has probably hindered us
pascallth.substack.com/p/trump-appe...
January 5, 2026 at 10:29 AM
Well they said they were against bringing freedom and democracy to other countries and, in their defence, Venezuela isn't getting any of that
amazing how the entire machine can pivot within 24 hours. no need to slowly upsell the argument; just issue new marching orders
January 5, 2026 at 7:34 AM
The highly defensible/hard to object to demand that should be coming from every European politician now is a rapid timeline for free and fair elections in Venezuela
The government’s had 24 hours to agree a line on this. There are obviously diplomatic reasons they might not condemn things as forcefully as many of us would like.

But this weird “we respect international law but won’t say anything further” line is nonsensical and cannot hold.
January 4, 2026 at 10:21 AM
Reposted by Pascal
⚡️Peace deal must include British, French military presence in Ukraine, Zelensky says.
Peace deal must include British, French military presence in Ukraine, Zelensky says
Any future security guarantees for Ukraine must include the physical presence of foreign troops on Ukrainian territory, President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Jan. 3, stressing that forces from France a...
kyivindependent.com
January 3, 2026 at 10:44 PM
The European response to US intervention in Venezuela is a reminder that until we have an independent European defence industry, no country in Europe is sovereign
January 3, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Russia and China will be considering what precedents have been set for behaviour that they can get away with
January 3, 2026 at 11:06 AM
Another time to deploy my 'can't rejoin' post

TL;DR the process of rejoining and the process of becoming ready to rejoin are actually the same thing, so it makes no sense to rule out the first on the basis that the second is not complete
pascallth.substack.com/p/can-the-uk...
January 3, 2026 at 10:24 AM
Reposted by Pascal
BREAKING: President Trump says President Maduro of Venezuela and his wife have been captured and flown out of the country.
January 3, 2026 at 9:32 AM