Oliver Treib
@olivertreib.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science, University of Muenster | passionate about researching democracy, political conflict, radical right parties, EU politics, public policy - and about baking bread
...and more cowbell!
November 8, 2025 at 11:13 PM
...and more cowbell!
After the @uni-muenster.de's minibus had safely brought us to Enschede, the delegation of @ifpolms.bsky.social couldn't resist and used the UT photo frame to snap a little group pic
November 8, 2025 at 3:16 PM
After the @uni-muenster.de's minibus had safely brought us to Enschede, the delegation of @ifpolms.bsky.social couldn't resist and used the UT photo frame to snap a little group pic
The party was kicked off by Vice-Rector Monika Stoll (UM) and Rector Tom Veldkamp (UT). We were also glad to welcome Dean Tanya Bondarouk (UT), Vice-Dean Matthias Freise (UM), as well as students, faculty, and staff from both sides (including @rosema.bsky.social, from whom I stole all the pics)
Er waren ook nog mooie woorden van onder meer vice-rector Monika Stoll, rector Tom Veldkamp en decaan Tanya Bondarouk.
Op naar het volgende jubileum!
Op naar het volgende jubileum!
November 8, 2025 at 2:55 PM
The party was kicked off by Vice-Rector Monika Stoll (UM) and Rector Tom Veldkamp (UT). We were also glad to welcome Dean Tanya Bondarouk (UT), Vice-Dean Matthias Freise (UM), as well as students, faculty, and staff from both sides (including @rosema.bsky.social, from whom I stole all the pics)
As the programme director of the Münster side, I handed over a present to my UT counterpart, Veronica Junjan: a German apple tree, to be planted in Dutch soil on the UT campus, symbolizing our commitment to continuing the fruitful collaboration in the future (kudos to my wife for the decoration!)
Oliver Treib schonk namens Universität Münster aan onze opleidingsdirecteur Veronica Junjan een appelboom, die symbool staat voor de vruchten die we in de toekomst nog van onze gemeenschappelijke bachelor- en masteropleidingen verwachten te plukken.
November 8, 2025 at 2:49 PM
As the programme director of the Münster side, I handed over a present to my UT counterpart, Veronica Junjan: a German apple tree, to be planted in Dutch soil on the UT campus, symbolizing our commitment to continuing the fruitful collaboration in the future (kudos to my wife for the decoration!)
The former Dutch ambassor to Germany, Ronald van Roeden, gave an entertaining keynote lecture about the changeful history of the relations between the Netherlands and Germany
Voormalig ambassadeur in Duitsland Ronald Van Roeden hield een mooie lezing over de geschiedenis van de relaties tussen Nederland en Duitsland.
November 8, 2025 at 2:43 PM
The former Dutch ambassor to Germany, Ronald van Roeden, gave an entertaining keynote lecture about the changeful history of the relations between the Netherlands and Germany
Yesterday we celebrated the 25th anniversary of the educational collaboration between the University of Twente's Department of Public Administration and the University of Münster's Department of Political Science
The programme included two of the founding fathers, Jaap de Wilde and Jörg Waldmann...
The programme included two of the founding fathers, Jaap de Wilde and Jörg Waldmann...
Gisteren hield onze opleiding Bestuurskunde een mooi symposium om het 25-jarig jubileum van de samenwerking met de collega’s in Münster te vieren.
Grondleggers van de samenwerking Jörg Waldmann en Jaap de Wilde blikten terug op de beginjaren, met een cruciale rol voor Anke Kohl.
Grondleggers van de samenwerking Jörg Waldmann en Jaap de Wilde blikten terug op de beginjaren, met een cruciale rol voor Anke Kohl.
November 8, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Yesterday we celebrated the 25th anniversary of the educational collaboration between the University of Twente's Department of Public Administration and the University of Münster's Department of Political Science
The programme included two of the founding fathers, Jaap de Wilde and Jörg Waldmann...
The programme included two of the founding fathers, Jaap de Wilde and Jörg Waldmann...
Cool new paper by @nschwitter.bsky.social about using AI tools to generate visual vignettes for survey experiments
paper by @nschwitter.bsky.social about using AI to create visual vignettes for factorial survey questions.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Using Artificial Intelligence to Generate Visual Vignettes in Factorial Survey Experiments - Nicole Schwitter, 2025
Factorial survey experiments are widely used in the social sciences to study decision-making and attitudes through controlled, experimentally manipulated scenar...
journals.sagepub.com
November 5, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Cool new paper by @nschwitter.bsky.social about using AI tools to generate visual vignettes for survey experiments
Reposted by Oliver Treib
🎓 We’re hiring!
Two researcher / PhD positions in the ERC project DANCE – Dark Nerd Communities at the University of Münster 🇪🇺
🧮 Quantitative: survey, lab + field experiments
🎙️ Qualitative: ethnography, focus groups, interviews
Apply by 28 Nov 2025 👇
#AcademicJobs #ERC #PhD #CommunicationResearch
Two researcher / PhD positions in the ERC project DANCE – Dark Nerd Communities at the University of Münster 🇪🇺
🧮 Quantitative: survey, lab + field experiments
🎙️ Qualitative: ethnography, focus groups, interviews
Apply by 28 Nov 2025 👇
#AcademicJobs #ERC #PhD #CommunicationResearch
November 1, 2025 at 9:44 PM
🎓 We’re hiring!
Two researcher / PhD positions in the ERC project DANCE – Dark Nerd Communities at the University of Münster 🇪🇺
🧮 Quantitative: survey, lab + field experiments
🎙️ Qualitative: ethnography, focus groups, interviews
Apply by 28 Nov 2025 👇
#AcademicJobs #ERC #PhD #CommunicationResearch
Two researcher / PhD positions in the ERC project DANCE – Dark Nerd Communities at the University of Münster 🇪🇺
🧮 Quantitative: survey, lab + field experiments
🎙️ Qualitative: ethnography, focus groups, interviews
Apply by 28 Nov 2025 👇
#AcademicJobs #ERC #PhD #CommunicationResearch
Ich bin nicht ganz so sicher wie Philipp Manow, dass eine Minderheitsregierung unter punktueller Policy-Einbindung der AfD zu einer Mäßigung der AfD führen wird, aber ich stimme zu, dass eine solche Lösung mindestens für die ostdeutschen Bundesländer die am wenigsten katastrophale Option ist.
Philip Manow mit pointierten Argumenten zum Thema "Die Brandmauer nützt nur der AfD" www.stern.de/politik/afd-...
October 28, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Ich bin nicht ganz so sicher wie Philipp Manow, dass eine Minderheitsregierung unter punktueller Policy-Einbindung der AfD zu einer Mäßigung der AfD führen wird, aber ich stimme zu, dass eine solche Lösung mindestens für die ostdeutschen Bundesländer die am wenigsten katastrophale Option ist.
I grew up in the vicinity of the nuclear power plant of Gundremmingen. Ever since the Chernobyl disaster, seeing the two cooling towers of the plant reminded me of the threat posed by nuclear energy. Yesterday, the towers were finally demolished - what a relief! youtu.be/uiRs4Juuq_0?...
Moment der Sprengung der Kühltürme des AKW von Gundremmingen | BR24
YouTube video by BR24
youtu.be
October 26, 2025 at 12:10 PM
I grew up in the vicinity of the nuclear power plant of Gundremmingen. Ever since the Chernobyl disaster, seeing the two cooling towers of the plant reminded me of the threat posed by nuclear energy. Yesterday, the towers were finally demolished - what a relief! youtu.be/uiRs4Juuq_0?...
Reposted by Oliver Treib
Really pleased to this out as part of special issues on "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies". Huge thanks to the SI editors, @dpzollinger.bsky.social and @davidattewell6.bsky.social for putting the special together and all of their support during the process.
💥OUT NOW!
"Cleavage size and stability in turbulent times: introducing the bloc volatility and fragmentation dataset" by @jacobgunderson.bsky.social
Part of SI "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies", edited by @dpzollinger.bsky.social & @davidattewell6.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
"Cleavage size and stability in turbulent times: introducing the bloc volatility and fragmentation dataset" by @jacobgunderson.bsky.social
Part of SI "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies", edited by @dpzollinger.bsky.social & @davidattewell6.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
October 26, 2025 at 9:28 AM
Really pleased to this out as part of special issues on "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies". Huge thanks to the SI editors, @dpzollinger.bsky.social and @davidattewell6.bsky.social for putting the special together and all of their support during the process.
Reposted by Oliver Treib
Diese zwei Ergebnisse des #Politbarometer sollten nicht untergehen, doch genau das passiert gerade...
October 24, 2025 at 7:20 PM
Diese zwei Ergebnisse des #Politbarometer sollten nicht untergehen, doch genau das passiert gerade...
Den Begriff "manipuliert" finde ich irreführend, aber es wäre schon *sehr* hilfreich gewesen, den genauen Wortlaut der Frage anzugeben und zu berichten, dass große Mehrheiten keine großen Probleme mit Geflüchteten sehen und sich an öffentlichen Plätzen sicher fühlen.
Es ist schon bitter, dass @volksverpetzer.de inzwischen selbst wissenschaftliche Umfragen des ZDF prüfen muss. Ich bin ein großer Fan des ÖRR, aber so geht es nicht.
ZDF manipuliert Umfrage: Mehrheit widerspricht Merz
Eine Umfrage zeigt, dass die Mehrheit der Menschen kein Problem mit Geflüchteten hat und sich sicher fühlt. Das ZDF berichtet das Gegenteil.
www.volksverpetzer.de
October 25, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Den Begriff "manipuliert" finde ich irreführend, aber es wäre schon *sehr* hilfreich gewesen, den genauen Wortlaut der Frage anzugeben und zu berichten, dass große Mehrheiten keine großen Probleme mit Geflüchteten sehen und sich an öffentlichen Plätzen sicher fühlen.
Überzeugende Analyse der Lage vor den Landtagswahlen im Osten. Die Frage ist, ob die CDU in ST den richtigen Zeitpunkt für eine Minderheitsregierung nicht schon verpasst hat. Das Modell wechselnder Mehrheiten ist auf jeden Fall auch für andere Länder (SPD in MV) und für den Bund relevant.
Ich habe mit der Magdeburger Volksstimme über eine doppelte Gefahr für die CDU nach der Landtagswahl gesprochen: "Mord" in blau-schwarzer Koalition oder "Selbstmord" in einer überdehnten Anti-AfD-Koalition mit Einigungszwang. Etwas Empirie im thread...
October 24, 2025 at 9:17 AM
Überzeugende Analyse der Lage vor den Landtagswahlen im Osten. Die Frage ist, ob die CDU in ST den richtigen Zeitpunkt für eine Minderheitsregierung nicht schon verpasst hat. Das Modell wechselnder Mehrheiten ist auf jeden Fall auch für andere Länder (SPD in MV) und für den Bund relevant.
Yep, that's exactly why I've never owned a car and take my bike to go to work everyday
October 15, 2025 at 6:49 AM
Yep, that's exactly why I've never owned a car and take my bike to go to work everyday
Reposted by Oliver Treib
If you are interested in regional economic deprivation and how this shapes what citizens thinking about democracy, @cwegscheider.bsky.social got you covered!
Check out his talk tomorrow!
💻 Wed 15 Oct, 13:00–14:00 BST
Check out his talk tomorrow!
💻 Wed 15 Oct, 13:00–14:00 BST
🔔 Tomorrow in #ECPRSeminars on Political Culture @ecprpolculture.bsky.social ⤵️
🎙️ @cwegscheider.bsky.social examines how objective and perceived regional deprivation shape citizens’ support for liberal democracy
💻 Wed 15 Oct, 13:00–14:00 BST
✍️ Register now buff.ly/xXQ0HCE
#Democracy #Regionalism
🎙️ @cwegscheider.bsky.social examines how objective and perceived regional deprivation shape citizens’ support for liberal democracy
💻 Wed 15 Oct, 13:00–14:00 BST
✍️ Register now buff.ly/xXQ0HCE
#Democracy #Regionalism
Register FREE
European Consortium for Political Research
buff.ly
October 14, 2025 at 11:27 AM
If you are interested in regional economic deprivation and how this shapes what citizens thinking about democracy, @cwegscheider.bsky.social got you covered!
Check out his talk tomorrow!
💻 Wed 15 Oct, 13:00–14:00 BST
Check out his talk tomorrow!
💻 Wed 15 Oct, 13:00–14:00 BST
Reposted by Oliver Treib
This has taken some time, but the cover alone makes it worth the wait:
'The Promise of EU Democracy' is due to come out at OUP this spring
It collects the very best on EU democracy - promises and disillusions - from the H2000 RECONNECT-project
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
'The Promise of EU Democracy' is due to come out at OUP this spring
It collects the very best on EU democracy - promises and disillusions - from the H2000 RECONNECT-project
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
October 14, 2025 at 10:01 AM
This has taken some time, but the cover alone makes it worth the wait:
'The Promise of EU Democracy' is due to come out at OUP this spring
It collects the very best on EU democracy - promises and disillusions - from the H2000 RECONNECT-project
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
'The Promise of EU Democracy' is due to come out at OUP this spring
It collects the very best on EU democracy - promises and disillusions - from the H2000 RECONNECT-project
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
Reposted by Oliver Treib
@ifpolms.bsky.social, the winter term always sees our lecture series on #sustainability & #democracy! This year's focus is on the perspective of citizens, with a great line-up of external and internal presenters.
Participants from other departments @uni-muenster.de & other unis are very welcome!
Participants from other departments @uni-muenster.de & other unis are very welcome!
September 25, 2025 at 2:13 PM
@ifpolms.bsky.social, the winter term always sees our lecture series on #sustainability & #democracy! This year's focus is on the perspective of citizens, with a great line-up of external and internal presenters.
Participants from other departments @uni-muenster.de & other unis are very welcome!
Participants from other departments @uni-muenster.de & other unis are very welcome!
Viele AfD-Wähler:innen sind keine Sozialpolitik- und Umverteilungsfans - korrekt. Das heißt m.E. aber nicht, dass man mit interventionistischer Politik zur Verbesserung der wirtschaftlichen und sozialen Lage in den Gegenden, in denen sie v.a. leben, nichts erreichen könnte.
Mehr Sozialstaat und eine "antifaschistische Wirtschaftspolitik" werden häufig als Mittel gegen den AfD-Erfolg genannt. Doch was ist dran an der These & welche Sozialpolitik wünschen sich die AfD-Wähler tatsächlich? Eine Datenanalyse von @schieritz.bsky.social und mir.
www.zeit.de/politik/deut...
www.zeit.de/politik/deut...
Sozialpolitik: Wer wenig hat, ist in ihren Augen selbst schuld
Mehr Sozialstaat könnte den Aufstieg der Rechtspopulisten bremsen, heißt es oft. Umfragen zeigen aber: Die Wähler der AfD verstehen unter Gerechtigkeit etwas anderes.
www.zeit.de
September 16, 2025 at 7:43 PM
Viele AfD-Wähler:innen sind keine Sozialpolitik- und Umverteilungsfans - korrekt. Das heißt m.E. aber nicht, dass man mit interventionistischer Politik zur Verbesserung der wirtschaftlichen und sozialen Lage in den Gegenden, in denen sie v.a. leben, nichts erreichen könnte.
Five lessons from the local elections in NRW - a 🧵
1/5 There was no blue wave. The AfD fared worse than in the federal election earlier this year. The party didn’t even have enough people to put up candidates everywhere. The AfD has established itself, but it is still much weaker than elsewhere.
1/5 There was no blue wave. The AfD fared worse than in the federal election earlier this year. The party didn’t even have enough people to put up candidates everywhere. The AfD has established itself, but it is still much weaker than elsewhere.
September 16, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Five lessons from the local elections in NRW - a 🧵
1/5 There was no blue wave. The AfD fared worse than in the federal election earlier this year. The party didn’t even have enough people to put up candidates everywhere. The AfD has established itself, but it is still much weaker than elsewhere.
1/5 There was no blue wave. The AfD fared worse than in the federal election earlier this year. The party didn’t even have enough people to put up candidates everywhere. The AfD has established itself, but it is still much weaker than elsewhere.
I know I'm a bit late to the party but now that I finally made it to BlueSky, I want to take the opportunity to promote this cool new piece on unelected representation by @andreavik.bsky.social, @pieterdewilde.bsky.social, @leneaaroe.bsky.social and myself in @bjpols.bsky.social
If the articles from my PhD were my children this article now published in @bjpols.bsky.social is my favorite. Written together with truly amazing supervisors and mentors, Pieter de Wilde, Oliver Treib, and Lene Aarøe, I had the support I needed in bringing this baby into the world. Summary below 👇
September 15, 2025 at 5:25 PM
I know I'm a bit late to the party but now that I finally made it to BlueSky, I want to take the opportunity to promote this cool new piece on unelected representation by @andreavik.bsky.social, @pieterdewilde.bsky.social, @leneaaroe.bsky.social and myself in @bjpols.bsky.social
Reposted by Oliver Treib
Friends don't let friends give preregistration a bad name. Exploratory findings are fine; you just have to label them!
Love it when you 1) do a proper preregistration, 2) find an unexpected finding in the course of examining your preregistered hypotheses, 3) present the unexpected finding as exploratory, and 4) a reviewer HAMMERS you for "undermining the integrity of the preregistration process?" 🫠
September 12, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Friends don't let friends give preregistration a bad name. Exploratory findings are fine; you just have to label them!
Reposted by Oliver Treib
I wrote a longer essay on how social status matters for far-right support. Many still wrongly associate the far right with the economically left behind. Taking social status seriously also cautions against the idea that deliverism will win back far-right voters.
equitablegrowth.org/threats-to-s...
equitablegrowth.org/threats-to-s...
Threats to social status and support for far-right political parties
How economic threats to social status in the form of unemployment risk and rental market risk affects support for the far right in Europe.
equitablegrowth.org
September 11, 2025 at 4:57 PM
I wrote a longer essay on how social status matters for far-right support. Many still wrongly associate the far right with the economically left behind. Taking social status seriously also cautions against the idea that deliverism will win back far-right voters.
equitablegrowth.org/threats-to-s...
equitablegrowth.org/threats-to-s...
Reposted by Oliver Treib
The University of Cologne plans drastic cuts to its Political Science department, potentially abolishing the MSc in Political Science and eliminating the professorships in IR and Comparative Politics. This would severely weaken the social sciences at @unicologne.bsky.social.
Petition (de/en) ⤵️
Petition (de/en) ⤵️
Petition unterschreiben
Keine WiSo ohne PoWi! Für eine starke Politikwissenschaft im Bachelor & Master
https://www.change.org/p/keine-wiso-ohne-powi-für-eine-starke-politikwissenschaft-im-bachelor-master
September 8, 2025 at 1:06 PM
The University of Cologne plans drastic cuts to its Political Science department, potentially abolishing the MSc in Political Science and eliminating the professorships in IR and Comparative Politics. This would severely weaken the social sciences at @unicologne.bsky.social.
Petition (de/en) ⤵️
Petition (de/en) ⤵️