Nye Cominetti
@nyecominetti.bsky.social
At Resolution Foundation covering labour market, low pay, living wage.
Took my almost-2-year-old son to watch the women's north London derby yesterday. Nil-nil wasn't the result we wanted but pleased to make it to 70 minutes (via a croissant, chips, a banana and an animal book).
November 17, 2025 at 9:23 AM
Took my almost-2-year-old son to watch the women's north London derby yesterday. Nil-nil wasn't the result we wanted but pleased to make it to 70 minutes (via a croissant, chips, a banana and an animal book).
Agree shouldn't assume that statically regressive policy = bad. Can justify if strong case for positive dynamic effects.
But these critiques often over claim in the other direction, that statically regressive = good dynamically. Need to argue for that.
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
But these critiques often over claim in the other direction, that statically regressive = good dynamically. Need to argue for that.
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
Meet the elite think tank responsible for Britain’s decline
The Resolution Foundation wants to make life better for the poorest in society but its noble aims result in policy that stifles growth and penalises the rich
www.thetimes.com
November 14, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Agree shouldn't assume that statically regressive policy = bad. Can justify if strong case for positive dynamic effects.
But these critiques often over claim in the other direction, that statically regressive = good dynamically. Need to argue for that.
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
But these critiques often over claim in the other direction, that statically regressive = good dynamically. Need to argue for that.
www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
Apparently we won some think tank awards last night for our stats and our puns. Sounds about right
November 13, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Apparently we won some think tank awards last night for our stats and our puns. Sounds about right
Reposted by Nye Cominetti
Today’s labour market statistics show that the labour market is weakening on multiple fronts, with unemployment reaching 5 per cent for the first time in almost a decade (pandemic period aside).
Here’s our @resolutionfoundation.org thread, from @nyecominetti.bsky.social and me.
Here’s our @resolutionfoundation.org thread, from @nyecominetti.bsky.social and me.
November 11, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Today’s labour market statistics show that the labour market is weakening on multiple fronts, with unemployment reaching 5 per cent for the first time in almost a decade (pandemic period aside).
Here’s our @resolutionfoundation.org thread, from @nyecominetti.bsky.social and me.
Here’s our @resolutionfoundation.org thread, from @nyecominetti.bsky.social and me.
A surprisingly bad set of labour market stats this morning. The story I was prepared for was "some weakening, but the shake out from the early part of the year is behind us". But it's worse than that - payroll jobs falling again, unemployment now up at 5%.
Here is our PN
Here is our PN
November 11, 2025 at 7:55 AM
A surprisingly bad set of labour market stats this morning. The story I was prepared for was "some weakening, but the shake out from the early part of the year is behind us". But it's worse than that - payroll jobs falling again, unemployment now up at 5%.
Here is our PN
Here is our PN
From last week. Climbing is fun! (This isn't a hard route but was hard for me)
November 10, 2025 at 9:18 PM
From last week. Climbing is fun! (This isn't a hard route but was hard for me)
Had "Employment stats in the morning" going round my head to the tune of "You're getting sacked in the morning" all the way down Victoria embankment
November 10, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Had "Employment stats in the morning" going round my head to the tune of "You're getting sacked in the morning" all the way down Victoria embankment
Asked a guy on the bus to turn off his phone noise and he... did! Society is not lost
November 8, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Asked a guy on the bus to turn off his phone noise and he... did! Society is not lost
Don't envy the person writing the productivity down, wages up bit of the EFO
Borrowing would be £14 billion higher in 2029-30 as a result of u-turns and changes in the economy forecast.
While smaller than the £20 billion expected by some, this is still a very large hit to the public finances.
While smaller than the £20 billion expected by some, this is still a very large hit to the public finances.
November 4, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Don't envy the person writing the productivity down, wages up bit of the EFO
Found this piece about minimum wage catching up with entry level grad pay a bit odd.
www.ft.com/content/b436...
1. Re min wage reducing incentive to go to uni. Yes at the margin, but I struggle to believe this can be a big effect? Going to uni raises lifetime earnings, not just at age 25.
www.ft.com/content/b436...
1. Re min wage reducing incentive to go to uni. Yes at the margin, but I struggle to believe this can be a big effect? Going to uni raises lifetime earnings, not just at age 25.
November 3, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Found this piece about minimum wage catching up with entry level grad pay a bit odd.
www.ft.com/content/b436...
1. Re min wage reducing incentive to go to uni. Yes at the margin, but I struggle to believe this can be a big effect? Going to uni raises lifetime earnings, not just at age 25.
www.ft.com/content/b436...
1. Re min wage reducing incentive to go to uni. Yes at the margin, but I struggle to believe this can be a big effect? Going to uni raises lifetime earnings, not just at age 25.
Presumably Wales spared from this list due to the dragon protecting the hobbits
Elon Musk, "These lovely small towns in England, Scotland and Ireland, they've been living their lives quietly. They're like hobbits"
"And so one day, 1,000 people show up in your village of 500 and start raping the kids"
"This has now happened, God knows how many times in Britain"
"And so one day, 1,000 people show up in your village of 500 and start raping the kids"
"This has now happened, God knows how many times in Britain"
November 2, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Presumably Wales spared from this list due to the dragon protecting the hobbits
The Govt plans to make unfair dismissal protection a 'day one' right. I think it should keep qualifying periods but reduce to 3-6 months. Would keep most of the benefit of the Govt's plans but come with lower risk to hiring.
I wrote about that here
www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
I wrote about that here
www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
October 28, 2025 at 3:32 PM
The Govt plans to make unfair dismissal protection a 'day one' right. I think it should keep qualifying periods but reduce to 3-6 months. Would keep most of the benefit of the Govt's plans but come with lower risk to hiring.
I wrote about that here
www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
I wrote about that here
www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
Reposted by Nye Cominetti
Why do people *not* respond to the Labour Force Survey? For a while the biggest problem was thought to be failure to make contact with the sampled households.
New data suggests by far the bigger problem - arguably more worrying - is people knowing they've been invited but refusing to take part.
New data suggests by far the bigger problem - arguably more worrying - is people knowing they've been invited but refusing to take part.
October 23, 2025 at 7:58 AM
Why do people *not* respond to the Labour Force Survey? For a while the biggest problem was thought to be failure to make contact with the sampled households.
New data suggests by far the bigger problem - arguably more worrying - is people knowing they've been invited but refusing to take part.
New data suggests by far the bigger problem - arguably more worrying - is people knowing they've been invited but refusing to take part.
New Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings data out this morning (data collected from an employer survey in April 2025).
www.ons.gov.uk/releases/emp...
Quick thread on main things I have taken from the data
www.ons.gov.uk/releases/emp...
Quick thread on main things I have taken from the data
Employee earnings in the UK: 2025
- Office for National Statistics
www.ons.gov.uk
October 23, 2025 at 12:05 PM
New Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings data out this morning (data collected from an employer survey in April 2025).
www.ons.gov.uk/releases/emp...
Quick thread on main things I have taken from the data
www.ons.gov.uk/releases/emp...
Quick thread on main things I have taken from the data
Pretty chilling seeing this as a timelapse infographic/map www.slavevoyages.org/voyage/trans...
SlaveVoyages
www.slavevoyages.org
October 23, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Pretty chilling seeing this as a timelapse infographic/map www.slavevoyages.org/voyage/trans...
New ASHE data out. www.ons.gov.uk/releases/emp...
From a quick look I think the new data doesn't change the outlook for the NLW (unlike last year, when a revision led to a bigger uprating). Relief for LPC. Basically no revision to the 2024 data, and 2025 growth in line with LPC expectations.
From a quick look I think the new data doesn't change the outlook for the NLW (unlike last year, when a revision led to a bigger uprating). Relief for LPC. Basically no revision to the 2024 data, and 2025 growth in line with LPC expectations.
Employee earnings in the UK: 2025
- Office for National Statistics
www.ons.gov.uk
October 23, 2025 at 9:01 AM
New ASHE data out. www.ons.gov.uk/releases/emp...
From a quick look I think the new data doesn't change the outlook for the NLW (unlike last year, when a revision led to a bigger uprating). Relief for LPC. Basically no revision to the 2024 data, and 2025 growth in line with LPC expectations.
From a quick look I think the new data doesn't change the outlook for the NLW (unlike last year, when a revision led to a bigger uprating). Relief for LPC. Basically no revision to the 2024 data, and 2025 growth in line with LPC expectations.
This made the radio 4 bulletin. So i think it's .. real 😮
£180k to tutor a one year old. Either a well written joke or something pretty astounding www.tes.com/jobs/vacancy...
Private Tutor - London, England, Oxfordshire - Tes Jobs
Tutors International, United Kingdom
www.tes.com
October 23, 2025 at 7:38 AM
This made the radio 4 bulletin. So i think it's .. real 😮
£180k to tutor a one year old. Either a well written joke or something pretty astounding www.tes.com/jobs/vacancy...
Private Tutor - London, England, Oxfordshire - Tes Jobs
Tutors International, United Kingdom
www.tes.com
October 22, 2025 at 8:26 AM
£180k to tutor a one year old. Either a well written joke or something pretty astounding www.tes.com/jobs/vacancy...
Really saddened by this. Loved watching him www.theguardian.com/sport/2025/o...
American chess grandmaster and streamer Daniel Naroditsky dies aged 29
No cause of death was given in a statement from the family of Naroditsky, who became a grandmaster in 2013 and was known as a popular commentator
www.theguardian.com
October 21, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Really saddened by this. Loved watching him www.theguardian.com/sport/2025/o...
Went to see Elis and John tonight and after about 8 years of listening it did feel significant
October 15, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Went to see Elis and John tonight and after about 8 years of listening it did feel significant
Main thing I took from Best of econtwitter today is that the whole of US economics still seems to be on twitter. Which is a shame
October 13, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Main thing I took from Best of econtwitter today is that the whole of US economics still seems to be on twitter. Which is a shame
Can't believe someone a) had the data to write this paper b) wrote this paper www.nber.org/papers/w3434...
October 13, 2025 at 7:44 AM
Can't believe someone a) had the data to write this paper b) wrote this paper www.nber.org/papers/w3434...
Good excuse to post one of my favourite silly skits youtube.com/clip/UgkxDZK...
October 6, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Good excuse to post one of my favourite silly skits youtube.com/clip/UgkxDZK...
I did music reviews a bit at Uni, so I know it's tricky to get the tone right, but this is quite something from Pitchfork
September 25, 2025 at 6:58 PM
I did music reviews a bit at Uni, so I know it's tricky to get the tone right, but this is quite something from Pitchfork
Have scored quite a few AI-ridden job applications so would like to applaud the person who went for "I'm not a rampant socialist" but "the wealth of the rich has been built on the blood and sweat of the workers"
September 25, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Have scored quite a few AI-ridden job applications so would like to applaud the person who went for "I'm not a rampant socialist" but "the wealth of the rich has been built on the blood and sweat of the workers"