Nick Davis
@ntd.bsky.social
political scientist at football-u @ http://nicholastdavis.com, outdoorsperson, gardener of two small humans, PI @ http://demos-lab.net, stuff older than 60 days self-destructs.
Pinned
Nick Davis
@ntd.bsky.social
· Mar 17
curious to see whether SCOTUS permits Trump's abuse of constitution across lots of issues but rn it looks like trump take legitimacy. @matthewhitt.bsky.social and i are finally...finally forthcoming in AJPS talking at length abt a new era of judicial public opinion.
preprint: osf.io/preprints/ps...
preprint: osf.io/preprints/ps...
The preachers wife is routinely and unfairly slighted every Christmas season. Denzel, Whitney, Courtney B Vance, comeon folks
December 25, 2025 at 5:14 PM
The preachers wife is routinely and unfairly slighted every Christmas season. Denzel, Whitney, Courtney B Vance, comeon folks
Merry Christmas to myself.
December 25, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Merry Christmas to myself.
Free money was fun, like all good trips, while it lasted. The hangover is not.
The 2007-20 economy relied, to an unhealthy degree, on very low interest rates.
Whole industries made bank as long as they got virtually free money from the govt and could easily roll over debt, but now have trouble and appear out of ideas.
Also helps explain why Trump keeps demanding lower rates.
Whole industries made bank as long as they got virtually free money from the govt and could easily roll over debt, but now have trouble and appear out of ideas.
Also helps explain why Trump keeps demanding lower rates.
December 24, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Free money was fun, like all good trips, while it lasted. The hangover is not.
sure seems like the president is a pedo and people will wonder “have his supporters no shame?” and it’s like these folks have been covering for sex pests for decades in the church of all places so no it’s just business as usual for the grand old party
December 23, 2025 at 11:03 PM
sure seems like the president is a pedo and people will wonder “have his supporters no shame?” and it’s like these folks have been covering for sex pests for decades in the church of all places so no it’s just business as usual for the grand old party
This is a petty gripe but everyone wearing an AirPod while doing anything and everything irritates me in the “I know I’m being a boomer but what are you doing“ kind of way.
December 23, 2025 at 6:02 PM
This is a petty gripe but everyone wearing an AirPod while doing anything and everything irritates me in the “I know I’m being a boomer but what are you doing“ kind of way.
As we head into the winter Olympics my appetite for pro-county rally around the flag gobbledygook is at all time lows.
December 23, 2025 at 11:43 AM
As we head into the winter Olympics my appetite for pro-county rally around the flag gobbledygook is at all time lows.
more content for media and politics
New: We obtained thousands of internal chat messages from the ICE team creating viral videos of raids and "EPIC takedowns."
A scramble to satisfy the White House and "feed the beast" spawned a new "propaganda" machine, current and former officials told us.
"It's a war!"
wapo.st/4s6YnC5
A scramble to satisfy the White House and "feed the beast" spawned a new "propaganda" machine, current and former officials told us.
"It's a war!"
wapo.st/4s6YnC5
‘It’s a war’: Inside ICE’s media machine
Thousands of internal ICE messages show how its public affairs team has coordinated with the White House to satisfy Trump administration demands for viral arrest videos
wapo.st
December 23, 2025 at 11:38 AM
more content for media and politics
Streisand!!!
BREAKING: WATCH the full 60 Minutes CECOT segment here. This was sent to me anonymously. It appears to be the segment CBS' Bari Weiss killed. www.muellershewrote.com/p/watch-the-...
WATCH: The 60 Minutes CECOT Segment
I was sent the CECOT segment anonymously in a group chat.
www.muellershewrote.com
December 22, 2025 at 10:54 PM
Streisand!!!
Reposted by Nick Davis
Now seems like a swell time to point out that Frontline just released this excellent 11-minute mini-documentary about what happened inside CECOT.
Surviving CECOT (full documentary) | Deported to a Maximum-Security Prison | FRONTLINE + ProPublica
YouTube video by FRONTLINE PBS | Official
m.youtube.com
December 21, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Now seems like a swell time to point out that Frontline just released this excellent 11-minute mini-documentary about what happened inside CECOT.
claude is pretty good at de-bugging and triaging code. you need to know a programming language to use LLMs in a helpful way, but, if you do, its a big improvement over 90s-era .readme documentation. it beats fishing through stack exchange, with the appropriate caveats.
suspect a big reason why many academics and others who work in areas where getting facts RIGHT is key are disinterested in using LLMs for research:
they’ve tried it, they keep noticing major errors in output, and they conclude that having to verify all that doesn’t actually save them time.
they’ve tried it, they keep noticing major errors in output, and they conclude that having to verify all that doesn’t actually save them time.
December 21, 2025 at 6:44 PM
claude is pretty good at de-bugging and triaging code. you need to know a programming language to use LLMs in a helpful way, but, if you do, its a big improvement over 90s-era .readme documentation. it beats fishing through stack exchange, with the appropriate caveats.
notre dame should be irritated at a playoff system that allows little sibling programs like JMU and Tulane a place at the table. the talent drop-off is so severe that these games are a farce. ole miss gets to feel good about whooping up on tulane, here's a cookie, only to meet a real buzzsaw next.
December 20, 2025 at 11:28 PM
notre dame should be irritated at a playoff system that allows little sibling programs like JMU and Tulane a place at the table. the talent drop-off is so severe that these games are a farce. ole miss gets to feel good about whooping up on tulane, here's a cookie, only to meet a real buzzsaw next.
Brent Venables is a freak — always two heartbeats away from a crash out.
December 20, 2025 at 1:46 AM
Brent Venables is a freak — always two heartbeats away from a crash out.
I also think they’re so high on their own supply that they’re actually just stupid.
People have been explaining since the moment "Popularism" became a thing that it is based on a fatally flawed understanding of how public opinion actually works and I long ago concluded that it's simply too profitable for them, personally, to keep repeating it for anyone to care that it's wrong.
December 20, 2025 at 1:14 AM
I also think they’re so high on their own supply that they’re actually just stupid.
I remember going to Best Buy, Circuit City, even Walmart as a kid, and the computer game boxes were always a highlight -- the box art, the little details on the back jacket. So many options, so tactile holding them. Physical game boxes are dead and consoles locked up in a glass prison. 0/10 fun.
December 20, 2025 at 1:12 AM
I remember going to Best Buy, Circuit City, even Walmart as a kid, and the computer game boxes were always a highlight -- the box art, the little details on the back jacket. So many options, so tactile holding them. Physical game boxes are dead and consoles locked up in a glass prison. 0/10 fun.
the republican party -- in its current form -- is a cancerous boil on the underbelly of democracy and must be excised for the nation's health. research argues that a sane conservative party may be necessary to grease the wheels of democracy, but this is not it. burn it to the ground.
Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said in a post on the social platform X that, at Trump's direction, she is ordering the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services to pause the program. n.pr/3N99KJp
Trump suspends U.S. green card lottery after Brown University and MIT shootings
Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said in a post on the social platform X that, at Trump's direction, she is ordering the United States Citizenship and Immigration Services to pause the program.
n.pr
December 19, 2025 at 12:58 PM
the republican party -- in its current form -- is a cancerous boil on the underbelly of democracy and must be excised for the nation's health. research argues that a sane conservative party may be necessary to grease the wheels of democracy, but this is not it. burn it to the ground.
big chickenshit party
BREAKING: The Democratic National Committee will NOT release its long-awaited autopsy on Trump's 2024 win. The report is completed but Dem leaders decided it could distract from their winning streak, so it will remain secret. Not good.
Details here:
newrepublic.com/article/2045...
Details here:
newrepublic.com/article/2045...
Dem Leaders Decide to Bury Damning Report on Why Trump Won in 2024
The Democratic National Committee has completed its long-awaited analysis on what went wrong in the 2024 campaign. But in a move that will attract intense criticism, it’s keeping the findings secret.
newrepublic.com
December 18, 2025 at 4:51 PM
big chickenshit party
idk why this ran across my algo feed on instagram but let it bless your ears this morning.
Christopher Tin: Live at Cadogan Hall - Waloyo Yamoni
YouTube video by Christopher Tin
www.youtube.com
December 18, 2025 at 1:07 PM
idk why this ran across my algo feed on instagram but let it bless your ears this morning.
Reposted by Nick Davis
🚨 Excited to share that my job market paper is now online at @thejop.bsky.social!
"When Do Citizens Resist the Use of AI Algorithms in Public Policy? Theory and Evidence"
shorturl.at/hHoxw
1/6
"When Do Citizens Resist the Use of AI Algorithms in Public Policy? Theory and Evidence"
shorturl.at/hHoxw
1/6
May 12, 2025 at 4:18 PM
🚨 Excited to share that my job market paper is now online at @thejop.bsky.social!
"When Do Citizens Resist the Use of AI Algorithms in Public Policy? Theory and Evidence"
shorturl.at/hHoxw
1/6
"When Do Citizens Resist the Use of AI Algorithms in Public Policy? Theory and Evidence"
shorturl.at/hHoxw
1/6
as children, my sister and i pretended the other didnt exist. (were lovely now) not having a brother i was unprepared as a parent for the amount of feral cat in-fighting that happens between my boys. just a steady ass stream of tomfoolery, bruises both ways, and foul smells. no one warned me.
December 17, 2025 at 12:38 PM
as children, my sister and i pretended the other didnt exist. (were lovely now) not having a brother i was unprepared as a parent for the amount of feral cat in-fighting that happens between my boys. just a steady ass stream of tomfoolery, bruises both ways, and foul smells. no one warned me.
We are living though such an all encompassing enshitification of everything.
Exclusive: The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
Trump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in Colorado
The Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
bit.ly
December 17, 2025 at 3:18 AM
We are living though such an all encompassing enshitification of everything.
seasonal greetings debates among republicans over "happy holidays" and "merry christmas" have been settled in favor of a simple, hearty "fuck you"
BREAKING: Mike Johnson just said he won't call a vote this year to extend enhanced subsidies under the Affordable Care Act — effectively guaranteeing they will expire at the end of this month.
December 16, 2025 at 5:42 PM
seasonal greetings debates among republicans over "happy holidays" and "merry christmas" have been settled in favor of a simple, hearty "fuck you"
Reposted by Nick Davis
There is, obviously, no “Presidential Immunity Clause” in the Constitution. The conservative justices’ un-originalist efforts to imagine one into it cannot be supported by text or history. trib.al/s7gCvNt
John Roberts and the Cynical Cult of Federalist No. 70
Alexander Hamilton’s treatise on executive power is one of the conservative legal movement’s favorite texts to quote—and misquote.
trib.al
December 16, 2025 at 12:42 AM
There is, obviously, no “Presidential Immunity Clause” in the Constitution. The conservative justices’ un-originalist efforts to imagine one into it cannot be supported by text or history. trib.al/s7gCvNt
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*503 error*
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades populate*
wait that doesn't look right
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades randomly change across all students*
wait that doesn't look right
*cli
*503 error*
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades populate*
wait that doesn't look right
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades randomly change across all students*
wait that doesn't look right
*cli
December 15, 2025 at 7:20 PM
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*503 error*
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades populate*
wait that doesn't look right
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades randomly change across all students*
wait that doesn't look right
*cli
*503 error*
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades populate*
wait that doesn't look right
*refreshes*
*clicks import grades from blackboard ultra*
*grades randomly change across all students*
wait that doesn't look right
*cli
media and politics!
Christmas came early this year! Very happy to see our paper out in Science Advances. Led by @lfoswaldo.bsky.social, we ran a unique collective field-experiment on Reddit, to better understand who is participating in online debates and why.
Paper: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
And more below 👇
Paper: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
And more below 👇
December 12, 2025 at 5:19 PM
media and politics!
8 am intro to American government final and I see a lot of new faces — funny how that works.
December 12, 2025 at 2:17 PM
8 am intro to American government final and I see a lot of new faces — funny how that works.