Novocast Analysis
@novocast.bsky.social
⚽ SAFC Tactical Hobbyist
🔴 Analysis of Sunderland performances, tactical trends, and technical issues
✍️ https://substack.com/@novocast
🔴 Analysis of Sunderland performances, tactical trends, and technical issues
✍️ https://substack.com/@novocast
Pinned
Novocast Analysis
@novocast.bsky.social
· Nov 14
🔴⚪Good morning #SAFC fans,
I'll be posting Sunderland analysis content more consistently on Bluesky over the rest of the season, so drop a follow if you're interested!
Expect to see:
🔺Goal Analysis
🔺Pressing Structures
🔺Player Focuses
🔺Tactical Breakdowns
Some examples from Twitter below 👇
I'll be posting Sunderland analysis content more consistently on Bluesky over the rest of the season, so drop a follow if you're interested!
Expect to see:
🔺Goal Analysis
🔺Pressing Structures
🔺Player Focuses
🔺Tactical Breakdowns
Some examples from Twitter below 👇
Noticed a pattern with #SAFC signings so far, regarding Percentiles for:
/
• Sadiki 86 / 93
• Diarra 88 / 92
• Talbi 98 / 83
• Adingra 66 / 89
Built for counters without over relying on hoof-ball, as carries allow for more off-ball movement
• Sadiki 86 / 93
• Diarra 88 / 92
• Talbi 98 / 83
• Adingra 66 / 89
Built for counters without over relying on hoof-ball, as carries allow for more off-ball movement
July 17, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Noticed a pattern with #SAFC signings so far, regarding Percentiles for:
/
• Sadiki 86 / 93
• Diarra 88 / 92
• Talbi 98 / 83
• Adingra 66 / 89
Built for counters without over relying on hoof-ball, as carries allow for more off-ball movement
• Sadiki 86 / 93
• Diarra 88 / 92
• Talbi 98 / 83
• Adingra 66 / 89
Built for counters without over relying on hoof-ball, as carries allow for more off-ball movement
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
Does Statsbomb have data on the Space Received and Receipt Value *at the point of pass*
If you can calculate the gain between the Moments of Pass and Receipt, can that be a proxy for clever movement?
So a hypothetical comparison how they improved the values with movement
Does Statsbomb have data on the Space Received and Receipt Value *at the point of pass*
If you can calculate the gain between the Moments of Pass and Receipt, can that be a proxy for clever movement?
So a hypothetical comparison how they improved the values with movement
Player Space & Value, Big 5 Leagues 2024/25
Which attacking players receive the ball in the most valuable areas? How much space do they receive the ball in?
Which attacking players receive the ball in the most valuable areas? How much space do they receive the ball in?
July 16, 2025 at 2:08 PM
@mixedknuts.bsky.social
Does Statsbomb have data on the Space Received and Receipt Value *at the point of pass*
If you can calculate the gain between the Moments of Pass and Receipt, can that be a proxy for clever movement?
So a hypothetical comparison how they improved the values with movement
Does Statsbomb have data on the Space Received and Receipt Value *at the point of pass*
If you can calculate the gain between the Moments of Pass and Receipt, can that be a proxy for clever movement?
So a hypothetical comparison how they improved the values with movement
🔴 #SAFC Squad Depth⚪️
▪️Defenders needed urgently
▪️El Khannouss may move ahead of Rigg & Roberts as CAM & RW cover
▪️Triantis likely to stay until CB's signed
▪️New signings have plugged vital gaps and raised the floor of the squad
(Chart based on @scott.cannonstats.com design)
▪️Defenders needed urgently
▪️El Khannouss may move ahead of Rigg & Roberts as CAM & RW cover
▪️Triantis likely to stay until CB's signed
▪️New signings have plugged vital gaps and raised the floor of the squad
(Chart based on @scott.cannonstats.com design)
July 15, 2025 at 2:16 PM
🔴 #SAFC Squad Depth⚪️
▪️Defenders needed urgently
▪️El Khannouss may move ahead of Rigg & Roberts as CAM & RW cover
▪️Triantis likely to stay until CB's signed
▪️New signings have plugged vital gaps and raised the floor of the squad
(Chart based on @scott.cannonstats.com design)
▪️Defenders needed urgently
▪️El Khannouss may move ahead of Rigg & Roberts as CAM & RW cover
▪️Triantis likely to stay until CB's signed
▪️New signings have plugged vital gaps and raised the floor of the squad
(Chart based on @scott.cannonstats.com design)
🔴 #SAFC Squad Building ⚪
• CB Upgrades/Cover Essential
• Seelt, Huggins, Triantis may need another loan
• Khannouss may push Rigg wide & mean Roberts drops down the order
• Patterson & Mundle gaining interest
• Moore, Browne, Roberts phased out longer term
• Adore 0'Nien, but he won't be Prem level
• CB Upgrades/Cover Essential
• Seelt, Huggins, Triantis may need another loan
• Khannouss may push Rigg wide & mean Roberts drops down the order
• Patterson & Mundle gaining interest
• Moore, Browne, Roberts phased out longer term
• Adore 0'Nien, but he won't be Prem level
July 14, 2025 at 8:42 PM
🔴 #SAFC Squad Building ⚪
• CB Upgrades/Cover Essential
• Seelt, Huggins, Triantis may need another loan
• Khannouss may push Rigg wide & mean Roberts drops down the order
• Patterson & Mundle gaining interest
• Moore, Browne, Roberts phased out longer term
• Adore 0'Nien, but he won't be Prem level
• CB Upgrades/Cover Essential
• Seelt, Huggins, Triantis may need another loan
• Khannouss may push Rigg wide & mean Roberts drops down the order
• Patterson & Mundle gaining interest
• Moore, Browne, Roberts phased out longer term
• Adore 0'Nien, but he won't be Prem level
🔴#SAFC El Khannoussi Rumours ⚪
If the fee is ~£20m max, then it's a good signing
✅Exceptional ball control & dribbling
✅Quite combative for a creative player
✅CAM & LW cover, can play RW or deeper if necessary
❌Poor shot choice & execution
❌Progressive passer, but iffy completion %
#SAFC
If the fee is ~£20m max, then it's a good signing
✅Exceptional ball control & dribbling
✅Quite combative for a creative player
✅CAM & LW cover, can play RW or deeper if necessary
❌Poor shot choice & execution
❌Progressive passer, but iffy completion %
#SAFC
July 14, 2025 at 10:00 AM
🔴#SAFC El Khannoussi Rumours ⚪
If the fee is ~£20m max, then it's a good signing
✅Exceptional ball control & dribbling
✅Quite combative for a creative player
✅CAM & LW cover, can play RW or deeper if necessary
❌Poor shot choice & execution
❌Progressive passer, but iffy completion %
#SAFC
If the fee is ~£20m max, then it's a good signing
✅Exceptional ball control & dribbling
✅Quite combative for a creative player
✅CAM & LW cover, can play RW or deeper if necessary
❌Poor shot choice & execution
❌Progressive passer, but iffy completion %
#SAFC
Bafodé Diakité would be an interesting signing, if rumours true
• High Pass Volume
• High Pass Comp %
• High Aerial Duel %
• Set Piece Threat
• Decent Carries & Recoveries
But poor progression & iffy ground duel numbers
Right sided too - maybe Ballard competition/rotation?
#SAFC
• High Pass Volume
• High Pass Comp %
• High Aerial Duel %
• Set Piece Threat
• Decent Carries & Recoveries
But poor progression & iffy ground duel numbers
Right sided too - maybe Ballard competition/rotation?
#SAFC
July 13, 2025 at 8:33 PM
Bafodé Diakité would be an interesting signing, if rumours true
• High Pass Volume
• High Pass Comp %
• High Aerial Duel %
• Set Piece Threat
• Decent Carries & Recoveries
But poor progression & iffy ground duel numbers
Right sided too - maybe Ballard competition/rotation?
#SAFC
• High Pass Volume
• High Pass Comp %
• High Aerial Duel %
• Set Piece Threat
• Decent Carries & Recoveries
But poor progression & iffy ground duel numbers
Right sided too - maybe Ballard competition/rotation?
#SAFC
I know too little about Diarra to judge the fee, but this has been a good summer for Sunderland
Great prospects, without breaking the bank and still loads of PSR headroom despite £100m spend
Still need a major CB signing & Lauriente could signal an end for Roberts
#SAFC
Great prospects, without breaking the bank and still loads of PSR headroom despite £100m spend
Still need a major CB signing & Lauriente could signal an end for Roberts
#SAFC
July 11, 2025 at 6:56 PM
I know too little about Diarra to judge the fee, but this has been a good summer for Sunderland
Great prospects, without breaking the bank and still loads of PSR headroom despite £100m spend
Still need a major CB signing & Lauriente could signal an end for Roberts
#SAFC
Great prospects, without breaking the bank and still loads of PSR headroom despite £100m spend
Still need a major CB signing & Lauriente could signal an end for Roberts
#SAFC
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
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We have one month to save @josimarfootball.bsky.social. If you can help, please do. 🙏
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josimarfootball.com
June 3, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Josimar is, quite simply, irreplaceable. It's the only outlet dedicated to investigative reporting in football; one of the last places trying to keep the game honest. If you want a better future for football, please consider supporting Josimar.
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
May 13, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
210 near-flawless minutes from Dan Ballard, capped by a 122nd-minute winner. Absolutely incredible!! The playoffs!!!
May 13, 2025 at 9:35 PM
210 near-flawless minutes from Dan Ballard, capped by a 122nd-minute winner. Absolutely incredible!! The playoffs!!!
Beautiful Bastard Ballard
May 13, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Beautiful Bastard Ballard
One or two better moments in transition, but a half to regret for #SAFC
Still too wasteful and constantly inviting pressure with unforced turnovers
Taking off Isidor was the right call, but we need more fresh legs. Roberts needs taken off, and one or two of Mundle, Browne or Watson needed
Still too wasteful and constantly inviting pressure with unforced turnovers
Taking off Isidor was the right call, but we need more fresh legs. Roberts needs taken off, and one or two of Mundle, Browne or Watson needed
May 13, 2025 at 8:54 PM
One or two better moments in transition, but a half to regret for #SAFC
Still too wasteful and constantly inviting pressure with unforced turnovers
Taking off Isidor was the right call, but we need more fresh legs. Roberts needs taken off, and one or two of Mundle, Browne or Watson needed
Still too wasteful and constantly inviting pressure with unforced turnovers
Taking off Isidor was the right call, but we need more fresh legs. Roberts needs taken off, and one or two of Mundle, Browne or Watson needed
And finally a cross connects...
Terrible in transition and we've relied on their crosses not connecting so far
Need to sort out the attacking dynamic. Lazy tracking back from Mayenda & Isidor after turnovers, and too many sloppy or overhit passes
We give away possession when we should be using it as a reprieve
Brilliant Ballard
Need to sort out the attacking dynamic. Lazy tracking back from Mayenda & Isidor after turnovers, and too many sloppy or overhit passes
We give away possession when we should be using it as a reprieve
Brilliant Ballard
May 13, 2025 at 8:35 PM
And finally a cross connects...
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
🔴⚪️ Why has Regis Le Bris been making so few substitutions in recent games? The #SAFC boss explains his thinking - and why it might change in the future…
Read here…⬇️
Read here…⬇️
Regis Le Bris explains his stance on making Sunderland substitutions
Sunderland head coach Regis Le Bris is hoping the return of a number of injured players will enable him to be more creative with his substitutions.
www.thenorthernecho.co.uk
November 29, 2024 at 7:33 AM
🔴⚪️ Why has Regis Le Bris been making so few substitutions in recent games? The #SAFC boss explains his thinking - and why it might change in the future…
Read here…⬇️
Read here…⬇️
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
Fun fact: According to their most recent accounts, Bodø/Glimt's entire annual wage bill is less than what it cost Manchester United to fire Erik ten Hag.
November 28, 2024 at 8:30 PM
Fun fact: According to their most recent accounts, Bodø/Glimt's entire annual wage bill is less than what it cost Manchester United to fire Erik ten Hag.
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
Think I’ve finally understood why people are migrating to blue sky over X
Especially after #SAFC matches it has just become a cesspool of over the top negativity and idiocy
Going to give Blue Sky more of a go with threads in January also because it is so draining to read
#SAFC
Especially after #SAFC matches it has just become a cesspool of over the top negativity and idiocy
Going to give Blue Sky more of a go with threads in January also because it is so draining to read
#SAFC
November 27, 2024 at 11:33 AM
🔴 Roberts' Finishing 📉 ⚪
Using xG On Target (xGOT), Patrick Roberts' shot quality *reduces* the probability of a chance becoming a goal (xG) by:
[# of Shots in brackets]
3 Season Average ~ 8% (129)
2 Season Average ~ 12% (74)
24/25 Season ~ 26% (31)
#SunderlandAFC #SAFC
Using xG On Target (xGOT), Patrick Roberts' shot quality *reduces* the probability of a chance becoming a goal (xG) by:
[# of Shots in brackets]
3 Season Average ~ 8% (129)
2 Season Average ~ 12% (74)
24/25 Season ~ 26% (31)
#SunderlandAFC #SAFC
November 27, 2024 at 1:57 PM
🔴 Roberts' Finishing 📉 ⚪
Using xG On Target (xGOT), Patrick Roberts' shot quality *reduces* the probability of a chance becoming a goal (xG) by:
[# of Shots in brackets]
3 Season Average ~ 8% (129)
2 Season Average ~ 12% (74)
24/25 Season ~ 26% (31)
#SunderlandAFC #SAFC
Using xG On Target (xGOT), Patrick Roberts' shot quality *reduces* the probability of a chance becoming a goal (xG) by:
[# of Shots in brackets]
3 Season Average ~ 8% (129)
2 Season Average ~ 12% (74)
24/25 Season ~ 26% (31)
#SunderlandAFC #SAFC
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
Sunderland's 0-0 draw with West Brom last night means #SAFC have drawn their last five EFL Championship games, and dropped from five points clear to third (fourth if Leeds beat Luton tonight)
After a roaring start, have #SAFC performances dropped off, or just results?
A look at xG for/against:
After a roaring start, have #SAFC performances dropped off, or just results?
A look at xG for/against:
November 27, 2024 at 11:03 AM
*something something regression to the mean*
I am immensely proud of this young squad & what they achieved so far this season, but I've also complained consistently about our iffy fundamentals
Weakening press, overly direct progression, lack of bravery in central areas, average chance creation
I am immensely proud of this young squad & what they achieved so far this season, but I've also complained consistently about our iffy fundamentals
Weakening press, overly direct progression, lack of bravery in central areas, average chance creation
November 27, 2024 at 1:29 PM
*something something regression to the mean*
I am immensely proud of this young squad & what they achieved so far this season, but I've also complained consistently about our iffy fundamentals
Weakening press, overly direct progression, lack of bravery in central areas, average chance creation
I am immensely proud of this young squad & what they achieved so far this season, but I've also complained consistently about our iffy fundamentals
Weakening press, overly direct progression, lack of bravery in central areas, average chance creation
🔴 Failure to Recover ⚪
I haven't had time to finish my write up yet, but here's a quick explainer for #SAFC 's ball recovery issues against Millwall's long balls in the second half 👇
substack.com/profile/2240...
(Blue: Ball movement)
(White: Player movements)
(Green: Suggested movement)
I haven't had time to finish my write up yet, but here's a quick explainer for #SAFC 's ball recovery issues against Millwall's long balls in the second half 👇
substack.com/profile/2240...
(Blue: Ball movement)
(White: Player movements)
(Green: Suggested movement)
November 26, 2024 at 5:37 PM
🔴 Failure to Recover ⚪
I haven't had time to finish my write up yet, but here's a quick explainer for #SAFC 's ball recovery issues against Millwall's long balls in the second half 👇
substack.com/profile/2240...
(Blue: Ball movement)
(White: Player movements)
(Green: Suggested movement)
I haven't had time to finish my write up yet, but here's a quick explainer for #SAFC 's ball recovery issues against Millwall's long balls in the second half 👇
substack.com/profile/2240...
(Blue: Ball movement)
(White: Player movements)
(Green: Suggested movement)
Reposted by Novocast Analysis
1/ 🧵 Sunderland have missed Jobe Bellingham recently.
Here’s a recent Twitter thread we did rejigged for Bluesky analysing his 24/25 season so far based on:
🔴 540 mins in the Championship
⚪️ Key strengths, areas to improve
🔴Stats vs peers and team role in Le Bris’ system.
Let’s dive in: 👇
#SAFC
Here’s a recent Twitter thread we did rejigged for Bluesky analysing his 24/25 season so far based on:
🔴 540 mins in the Championship
⚪️ Key strengths, areas to improve
🔴Stats vs peers and team role in Le Bris’ system.
Let’s dive in: 👇
#SAFC
November 25, 2024 at 8:52 PM
1/ 🧵 Sunderland have missed Jobe Bellingham recently.
Here’s a recent Twitter thread we did rejigged for Bluesky analysing his 24/25 season so far based on:
🔴 540 mins in the Championship
⚪️ Key strengths, areas to improve
🔴Stats vs peers and team role in Le Bris’ system.
Let’s dive in: 👇
#SAFC
Here’s a recent Twitter thread we did rejigged for Bluesky analysing his 24/25 season so far based on:
🔴 540 mins in the Championship
⚪️ Key strengths, areas to improve
🔴Stats vs peers and team role in Le Bris’ system.
Let’s dive in: 👇
#SAFC
🔗 #WBA TACTICAL THREAD
@tacticamente.bsky.social produces spanish analysis of Championship sides, with great insights
I've rolled their thread into a single page, so you can translate it into English 👇
skywriter.blue/pages/tactic...
❗Please give their original thread a repost if you enjoy❗
@tacticamente.bsky.social produces spanish analysis of Championship sides, with great insights
I've rolled their thread into a single page, so you can translate it into English 👇
skywriter.blue/pages/tactic...
❗Please give their original thread a repost if you enjoy❗
November 25, 2024 at 9:39 PM
🔗 #WBA TACTICAL THREAD
@tacticamente.bsky.social produces spanish analysis of Championship sides, with great insights
I've rolled their thread into a single page, so you can translate it into English 👇
skywriter.blue/pages/tactic...
❗Please give their original thread a repost if you enjoy❗
@tacticamente.bsky.social produces spanish analysis of Championship sides, with great insights
I've rolled their thread into a single page, so you can translate it into English 👇
skywriter.blue/pages/tactic...
❗Please give their original thread a repost if you enjoy❗