Novocast Analysis
@novocast.bsky.social
⚽ SAFC Tactical Hobbyist
🔴 Analysis of Sunderland performances, tactical trends, and technical issues
✍️ https://substack.com/@novocast
🔴 Analysis of Sunderland performances, tactical trends, and technical issues
✍️ https://substack.com/@novocast
Well, we might have our "The Guy" in Neil's role now haha
July 15, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Well, we might have our "The Guy" in Neil's role now haha
Fair argument, though I'm basing it on current competition for places, rather than advocating for their relative quality vs any future unconfirmed signings
Senne Lammens signing would probably displace Patto, and Neil is the club captain so gets a selection bias, but I think he has a low ceiling
Senne Lammens signing would probably displace Patto, and Neil is the club captain so gets a selection bias, but I think he has a low ceiling
July 15, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Fair argument, though I'm basing it on current competition for places, rather than advocating for their relative quality vs any future unconfirmed signings
Senne Lammens signing would probably displace Patto, and Neil is the club captain so gets a selection bias, but I think he has a low ceiling
Senne Lammens signing would probably displace Patto, and Neil is the club captain so gets a selection bias, but I think he has a low ceiling
Terrible in transition and we've relied on their crosses not connecting so far
Need to sort out the attacking dynamic. Lazy tracking back from Mayenda & Isidor after turnovers, and too many sloppy or overhit passes
We give away possession when we should be using it as a reprieve
Brilliant Ballard
Need to sort out the attacking dynamic. Lazy tracking back from Mayenda & Isidor after turnovers, and too many sloppy or overhit passes
We give away possession when we should be using it as a reprieve
Brilliant Ballard
May 13, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Terrible in transition and we've relied on their crosses not connecting so far
Need to sort out the attacking dynamic. Lazy tracking back from Mayenda & Isidor after turnovers, and too many sloppy or overhit passes
We give away possession when we should be using it as a reprieve
Brilliant Ballard
Need to sort out the attacking dynamic. Lazy tracking back from Mayenda & Isidor after turnovers, and too many sloppy or overhit passes
We give away possession when we should be using it as a reprieve
Brilliant Ballard
🔴 Roberts' Finishing 📉 ⚪
Using xG On Target (xGOT), Patrick Roberts' shot quality *reduces* the probability of a chance becoming a goal (xG) by:
[# of Shots in brackets]
3 Season Average ~ 8% (129)
2 Season Average ~ 12% (74)
24/25 Season ~ 26% (31)
#SunderlandAFC #SAFC
Using xG On Target (xGOT), Patrick Roberts' shot quality *reduces* the probability of a chance becoming a goal (xG) by:
[# of Shots in brackets]
3 Season Average ~ 8% (129)
2 Season Average ~ 12% (74)
24/25 Season ~ 26% (31)
#SunderlandAFC #SAFC
November 27, 2024 at 7:53 PM
I've written quite comprehensive pieces about this on X actually, about our pressing in the opening minutes of the QPR & Leeds games
I'll dig them out & tidy them up on Substack as archived posts, then send you the links
Agree though - usually a wider back line, sacrificing pressure on their CBs
I'll dig them out & tidy them up on Substack as archived posts, then send you the links
Agree though - usually a wider back line, sacrificing pressure on their CBs
November 27, 2024 at 3:25 PM
I've written quite comprehensive pieces about this on X actually, about our pressing in the opening minutes of the QPR & Leeds games
I'll dig them out & tidy them up on Substack as archived posts, then send you the links
Agree though - usually a wider back line, sacrificing pressure on their CBs
I'll dig them out & tidy them up on Substack as archived posts, then send you the links
Agree though - usually a wider back line, sacrificing pressure on their CBs