Naman Rawat
@namanrawat.bsky.social
PhD researcher at Stockholm University| Visiting scholar at Mannheim University
| Migration researcher| Far-right parties| Causal inference and use of Machine Learning in substantive research.
| Migration researcher| Far-right parties| Causal inference and use of Machine Learning in substantive research.
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Today's migration stats illustrate the migration doom loop in action...
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
November 27, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Today's migration stats illustrate the migration doom loop in action...
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
Reposted by Naman Rawat
❗ Reminder ❗
Apply now for our Visiting Fellowships!
📆 Deadline: 28 November!
Please share widely 👇🙂
Apply now for our Visiting Fellowships!
📆 Deadline: 28 November!
Please share widely 👇🙂
📣 Attention, postdoctoral researchers!
❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊
💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November
Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...
❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊
💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November
Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...
November 17, 2025 at 9:50 AM
❗ Reminder ❗
Apply now for our Visiting Fellowships!
📆 Deadline: 28 November!
Please share widely 👇🙂
Apply now for our Visiting Fellowships!
📆 Deadline: 28 November!
Please share widely 👇🙂
Reposted by Naman Rawat
New today at Science Advances from @kshoub.bsky.social and me. We revisit the question of whether a local tragedy (mass shooting) influences voter behavior. They do, at least at the local level, with some important caveats and implications for policy. Short thread...
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
November 12, 2025 at 7:04 PM
New today at Science Advances from @kshoub.bsky.social and me. We revisit the question of whether a local tragedy (mass shooting) influences voter behavior. They do, at least at the local level, with some important caveats and implications for policy. Short thread...
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Crazy support numbers for Zohran Mamdani among young women: 84% (!) of women aged 18-29 voted for Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election.
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
November 5, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Crazy support numbers for Zohran Mamdani among young women: 84% (!) of women aged 18-29 voted for Mamdani in the NYC Mayoral Election.
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
But also important: young men voted MUCH MORE STRONGLY (67%) for Mamdani than old men (37%).
Reposted by Naman Rawat
I am old enough to remember people in the West and especially college students, actually giving a damn about Darfur. Now, nobody gives a shit. I have no idea why, it's not like there is a legal limit on the number of conflicts and massacres one can care about, Gaza or Ukraine are not an excuse.
Grave fears for civilians after Sudanese paramilitary claims capture of El Fasher
RSF says it has seized control of army’s main base in Darfur, home to famine-stricken displacement camp
www.theguardian.com
October 28, 2025 at 7:44 AM
I am old enough to remember people in the West and especially college students, actually giving a damn about Darfur. Now, nobody gives a shit. I have no idea why, it's not like there is a legal limit on the number of conflicts and massacres one can care about, Gaza or Ukraine are not an excuse.
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Good evening. We estimate that between 4.2 and 7.6 million people turned out for the No Kings Day demonstrations held around the country on Saturday. This makes Oct 18 very likely the biggest single-day U.S. protest event since 1970. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/second-no-...
Second "No Kings Day" protests likely the largest single-day political demonstration since 1970, with 4.2-7.6 million participants
Here are the initial results from our crowdsourced crowd-counting estimates
www.gelliottmorris.com
October 19, 2025 at 3:17 AM
Good evening. We estimate that between 4.2 and 7.6 million people turned out for the No Kings Day demonstrations held around the country on Saturday. This makes Oct 18 very likely the biggest single-day U.S. protest event since 1970. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/second-no-...
Reposted by Naman Rawat
▶️ Political Representation
👉🏽 Section chairs: @hannaeback.bsky.social
& @sopro.bsky.social
📢 Our section welcomes work that addresses representation, legislative politics, or electoral institutions, esp. research advancing our theoretical understanding + offers new empirical evidence. >>>
3/
👉🏽 Section chairs: @hannaeback.bsky.social
& @sopro.bsky.social
📢 Our section welcomes work that addresses representation, legislative politics, or electoral institutions, esp. research advancing our theoretical understanding + offers new empirical evidence. >>>
3/
October 16, 2025 at 7:38 AM
▶️ Political Representation
👉🏽 Section chairs: @hannaeback.bsky.social
& @sopro.bsky.social
📢 Our section welcomes work that addresses representation, legislative politics, or electoral institutions, esp. research advancing our theoretical understanding + offers new empirical evidence. >>>
3/
👉🏽 Section chairs: @hannaeback.bsky.social
& @sopro.bsky.social
📢 Our section welcomes work that addresses representation, legislative politics, or electoral institutions, esp. research advancing our theoretical understanding + offers new empirical evidence. >>>
3/
Reposted by Naman Rawat
We are also interested in work with a focus on the representation of marginalized groups.
Submissions: papers, panels, topical roundtables, or author-meets-critics.
end/
Submissions: papers, panels, topical roundtables, or author-meets-critics.
end/
October 16, 2025 at 7:38 AM
We are also interested in work with a focus on the representation of marginalized groups.
Submissions: papers, panels, topical roundtables, or author-meets-critics.
end/
Submissions: papers, panels, topical roundtables, or author-meets-critics.
end/
They might be one of the most high profile academics to leave the US amidst Trump's attack on universities. What a massive GAIN for Univ of Zurich and Europe though. This feels so similar to the situation in Turkey in early 2010's.
www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/a...
www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/a...
Nobel-winning economists Duflo and Banerjee will leave US for Switzerland
The University of Zurich said that Nobel laureates Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee, known for their work in development economics, will move from the US to Switzerland, amid Donald Trump's attacks o...
www.lemonde.fr
October 12, 2025 at 6:04 AM
They might be one of the most high profile academics to leave the US amidst Trump's attack on universities. What a massive GAIN for Univ of Zurich and Europe though. This feels so similar to the situation in Turkey in early 2010's.
www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/a...
www.lemonde.fr/en/economy/a...
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Guest lecturer: Marianne Bertrand, Prof of Economics at University of Chicago Booth School of Business, gives this year´s Myrdal Lecture at Stockholm Univ titled Gender, Stereotypes and Inequality
Wednesday 24 Sept
Time: 13.00 – 14.00
Location: Hörsal 6 C-huset, Frescati
www.su.se/english/rese...
Wednesday 24 Sept
Time: 13.00 – 14.00
Location: Hörsal 6 C-huset, Frescati
www.su.se/english/rese...
Lecture:
Guest lecturer: Marianne Bertrand, Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
www.su.se
September 23, 2025 at 5:57 AM
Guest lecturer: Marianne Bertrand, Prof of Economics at University of Chicago Booth School of Business, gives this year´s Myrdal Lecture at Stockholm Univ titled Gender, Stereotypes and Inequality
Wednesday 24 Sept
Time: 13.00 – 14.00
Location: Hörsal 6 C-huset, Frescati
www.su.se/english/rese...
Wednesday 24 Sept
Time: 13.00 – 14.00
Location: Hörsal 6 C-huset, Frescati
www.su.se/english/rese...
Reposted by Naman Rawat
🚨 New working paper alert! 🚨
I analyse how the UK Supreme Court declaring the Rwanda Scheme unconstitutional changed individuals' political values. I find that Britons become more supportive of racial and ethnic hierarchies after the ruling.
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
A 🧵:
I analyse how the UK Supreme Court declaring the Rwanda Scheme unconstitutional changed individuals' political values. I find that Britons become more supportive of racial and ethnic hierarchies after the ruling.
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
A 🧵:
September 16, 2025 at 12:13 PM
🚨 New working paper alert! 🚨
I analyse how the UK Supreme Court declaring the Rwanda Scheme unconstitutional changed individuals' political values. I find that Britons become more supportive of racial and ethnic hierarchies after the ruling.
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
A 🧵:
I analyse how the UK Supreme Court declaring the Rwanda Scheme unconstitutional changed individuals' political values. I find that Britons become more supportive of racial and ethnic hierarchies after the ruling.
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
A 🧵:
Reposted by Naman Rawat
The takeaway:
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
The takeaway:
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
👉 Accommodating the radical right on immigration doesn’t win back voters.
👉 It alienates the progressive base.
👉 And it raises the salience of the very issue the radical right owns.
In short: it’s electoral self-harm.
Reposted by Naman Rawat
📢 EPSS 2026 Call for Papers! @hannaeback.bsky.social and I are excited to invite submissions for the Political Representation section at EPSS 2026 in Belfast. EPSS has some exciting new panel formats this year - read on! 🧵
August 18, 2025 at 7:33 AM
📢 EPSS 2026 Call for Papers! @hannaeback.bsky.social and I are excited to invite submissions for the Political Representation section at EPSS 2026 in Belfast. EPSS has some exciting new panel formats this year - read on! 🧵
Reposted by Naman Rawat
#ERSNew 🐣🔓 This study shows that both resident and visitor diversity in neighborhoods are linked to more positive attitudes toward migrants. It highlights how everyday exposure—beyond where people live—shapes social inclusion. Article by Hołubowska et al.: doi.org/10.1080/01419870.2025.2539907
August 15, 2025 at 8:09 AM
#ERSNew 🐣🔓 This study shows that both resident and visitor diversity in neighborhoods are linked to more positive attitudes toward migrants. It highlights how everyday exposure—beyond where people live—shapes social inclusion. Article by Hołubowska et al.: doi.org/10.1080/01419870.2025.2539907
Reposted by Naman Rawat
🚨NEW PAPER 🚨 Are police more right-wing and biased against marginalized groups than the general public? If so, why? My new article in
@pnas.org w/ @tylerreny.bsky.social, Newman, and Sears provides some answers. 🧵1/n
@pnas.org w/ @tylerreny.bsky.social, Newman, and Sears provides some answers. 🧵1/n
August 6, 2025 at 8:21 PM
🚨NEW PAPER 🚨 Are police more right-wing and biased against marginalized groups than the general public? If so, why? My new article in
@pnas.org w/ @tylerreny.bsky.social, Newman, and Sears provides some answers. 🧵1/n
@pnas.org w/ @tylerreny.bsky.social, Newman, and Sears provides some answers. 🧵1/n
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Notable post-tenure publishing differences across fields. One thing that distinguishes these are authorship norms, e.g. in some lab fields, co-authorship reflects status more than work
July 25, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Notable post-tenure publishing differences across fields. One thing that distinguishes these are authorship norms, e.g. in some lab fields, co-authorship reflects status more than work
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Writing about cricket and identity next week. England and India go to Old Trafford for the fourth test. That was where Ranji made his England debut on this day in 1896. He scored 154 not out in the Ashes, after the popular + press outcry against the MCC leaving him out at Lords on racial grounds
July 18, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Writing about cricket and identity next week. England and India go to Old Trafford for the fourth test. That was where Ranji made his England debut on this day in 1896. He scored 154 not out in the Ashes, after the popular + press outcry against the MCC leaving him out at Lords on racial grounds
And later on today at 📍 Room 0A.06 I will be presenting my work "Host Country Conditions and the Religious Adaptation of Muslim Refugees: Evidence from Germany ". #EPSA2025
Excited to be presenting tomorrow at EPSA in Madrid!
If you’re curious why some natives deny discrimination while others amplify it come to our panel.
🕚 11:10 AM
📍 Room 1A.04
If you’re curious why some natives deny discrimination while others amplify it come to our panel.
🕚 11:10 AM
📍 Room 1A.04
📢 On Thursday, June 26, 2025, @conradziller.bsky.social will present "The Unseen Divide: Analyzing Disparities in Perceived Ethnic Majority-Minority Conflicts Among Immigrants and Non-Immigrants in Germany" (with @namanrawat.bsky.social) at #EPSA2025
#PoliticalScience #Migration
#PoliticalScience #Migration
June 26, 2025 at 8:26 AM
And later on today at 📍 Room 0A.06 I will be presenting my work "Host Country Conditions and the Religious Adaptation of Muslim Refugees: Evidence from Germany ". #EPSA2025
Excited to be presenting tomorrow at EPSA in Madrid!
If you’re curious why some natives deny discrimination while others amplify it come to our panel.
🕚 11:10 AM
📍 Room 1A.04
If you’re curious why some natives deny discrimination while others amplify it come to our panel.
🕚 11:10 AM
📍 Room 1A.04
📢 On Thursday, June 26, 2025, @conradziller.bsky.social will present "The Unseen Divide: Analyzing Disparities in Perceived Ethnic Majority-Minority Conflicts Among Immigrants and Non-Immigrants in Germany" (with @namanrawat.bsky.social) at #EPSA2025
#PoliticalScience #Migration
#PoliticalScience #Migration
June 25, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Excited to be presenting tomorrow at EPSA in Madrid!
If you’re curious why some natives deny discrimination while others amplify it come to our panel.
🕚 11:10 AM
📍 Room 1A.04
If you’re curious why some natives deny discrimination while others amplify it come to our panel.
🕚 11:10 AM
📍 Room 1A.04
Reposted by Naman Rawat
the fact that people were told “today you are going to an elementary school to lie to teachers and kidnap kids” and didn’t immediately tell their bosses to go fuck themselves is all you need to know about why ICE should be dismantled
BREAKING: Federal agents in plain clothes and unmarked cars tried to snatch 1st graders from LA elementary schools—told staff they had “parental consent.”
They lied. When pressed, they HID THEIR IDS. DHS admits they sent them. This wasn’t a welfare check. It was a test run for a police state.
They lied. When pressed, they HID THEIR IDS. DHS admits they sent them. This wasn’t a welfare check. It was a test run for a police state.
June 10, 2025 at 1:44 AM
the fact that people were told “today you are going to an elementary school to lie to teachers and kidnap kids” and didn’t immediately tell their bosses to go fuck themselves is all you need to know about why ICE should be dismantled
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Nature ran a piece finding that 25 million people could die as a result of ending USAID. This puts Trump and Musk in the category of the most brutal leaders of the 20th century in terms of unnecessary lives lost.
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
May 30, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Nature ran a piece finding that 25 million people could die as a result of ending USAID. This puts Trump and Musk in the category of the most brutal leaders of the 20th century in terms of unnecessary lives lost.
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Reposted by Naman Rawat
We wrote a thing!
May 28, 2025 at 5:10 PM
We wrote a thing!
Reposted by Naman Rawat
Migrationsverket har inte kunnat utfärda vanliga medborgarskap på *över en månad*. Vågar påstå att om det hade varit Transportstyrelsen som inte utfärdat nya körkort, eller polisen som inte utfärdat pass till svenskar som vill åka till Thailand, hade det varit allt annat än tystnad i svenska medier.
Sweden's citizenship moratorium is now in effect.
1. @thelocalsweden.bsky.social broke this story yesterday after obtaining not-yet-released data from the Migration Agency. This should be grabbing headlines in Swedish media because it's honestly a bombshell story. www.thelocal.se/20250514/swe...
1. @thelocalsweden.bsky.social broke this story yesterday after obtaining not-yet-released data from the Migration Agency. This should be grabbing headlines in Swedish media because it's honestly a bombshell story. www.thelocal.se/20250514/swe...
Sweden's security checks force Migration Agency to halt approvals of citizenship applications
Sweden's processing rate of new citizenships has more than halved after new security checks were introduced, with the Migration Agency (Migrationsverket) unable to approve applications in standard cas...
www.thelocal.se
May 19, 2025 at 7:27 AM
Migrationsverket har inte kunnat utfärda vanliga medborgarskap på *över en månad*. Vågar påstå att om det hade varit Transportstyrelsen som inte utfärdat nya körkort, eller polisen som inte utfärdat pass till svenskar som vill åka till Thailand, hade det varit allt annat än tystnad i svenska medier.
@unddom.bsky.social says you hate Mannheim twice, when you arrive and when you leave. I get it now. What makes Mannheim special isn't the APSR publications they produce, but the people. There's this warmth, openness, and genuine willingness to help. It all stays with you. Miss this place already.
May 16, 2025 at 10:00 AM
@unddom.bsky.social says you hate Mannheim twice, when you arrive and when you leave. I get it now. What makes Mannheim special isn't the APSR publications they produce, but the people. There's this warmth, openness, and genuine willingness to help. It all stays with you. Miss this place already.
Reposted by Naman Rawat
🚨 New blog post 🚨
What does difference-in-differences have in common with Dungeons & Dragons?
Answer: the willing suspension of disbelief in unprovable assumptions.
Can we trust DiD? I show when we can with a *new* way to simulate the power of DiD.
#rstats
www.robertkubinec.com/post/did_dnd/
What does difference-in-differences have in common with Dungeons & Dragons?
Answer: the willing suspension of disbelief in unprovable assumptions.
Can we trust DiD? I show when we can with a *new* way to simulate the power of DiD.
#rstats
www.robertkubinec.com/post/did_dnd/
What Difference-in-Differences Has in Common with Dungeons & Dragons – Homepage
I discuss why DiD is not the panacea for causal inference that it is often claimed–like all assumptions, the assumptions of DiD can only be validated within a certain research design, and there is no ...
www.robertkubinec.com
May 14, 2025 at 3:25 AM
🚨 New blog post 🚨
What does difference-in-differences have in common with Dungeons & Dragons?
Answer: the willing suspension of disbelief in unprovable assumptions.
Can we trust DiD? I show when we can with a *new* way to simulate the power of DiD.
#rstats
www.robertkubinec.com/post/did_dnd/
What does difference-in-differences have in common with Dungeons & Dragons?
Answer: the willing suspension of disbelief in unprovable assumptions.
Can we trust DiD? I show when we can with a *new* way to simulate the power of DiD.
#rstats
www.robertkubinec.com/post/did_dnd/