Michael Grose | Lightnews

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Oct 11

I will be helping give a webinar on the climate and hazard work underpinning the Australian National Climate Risk Assessment (NCRA), Monday 20 Oct - please register! events.teams.microsoft.com/event/b1585f...

Microsoft Virtual Events Powered by Teams

events.teams.microsoft.com

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Aug 18

check out our section in AR6 Ch 1 - it was clear back then and has only further confirmed since (I did the regional analysis) www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/w...

Chapter 1: Framing, Context and Methods

.

www.ipcc.ch

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jul 31

I'm trying to imagine their perspective - the entire field of climate science is corrupted, deluded or groupthink. None of it can be trusted. Only these five brave heroes can do what needs to be done. So no review or comments, lots of self citation etc. is all justified.
Pretty bold position really

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jul 31

It was interesting to think through some interesting questions on this - what will humanity look like in 10,000 years? I make a couple of points about climate change for this interesting article in Cosmos cosmosmagazine.com/earth/climat...

The stranger in the mirror: how will a hotter earth change humanity?

Climate change is the greatest challenge in human history – current trends could have us eventually approaching extremes not seen on our planet for 15 million years. Will a destabilised global climate...

cosmosmagazine.com

Andy Revkin 🌎 ✍🏼 🪕 ☮️ revkin.substack.com @revkin.bsky.social · Dec 13

In a great dicussion with @bobkopp.net @lisgilmore.bsky.social & other authors of the new paper critiquing ever expanding #tippingpoints frames in #climate science and policy, I showed this bizarro #WEF view of a science-managed Earth. The full chat: revkin.substack.com/p/a-watchwor... #greensky 🧪

CMIP ─ Coupled Model Intercomparison Project @wcrp-cmip.org · Jan 22

We are pleased to announce an exciting virtual workshop on streamlining the model selection process in collaboration with #CORDEX, #ISIMIP, #ISMIP7 and #GlacierMIP!

🗓️ Workshop date: 5th February 2025
⏰ Workshop time: 19:00-22:00 UTC

More details and registration 👉 wcrp-cmip.org/event/model-...

Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · Mar 19

The new WMO State of the Climate report has a section by Gavin Schmidt and me on attributing exceptional 2023 and 2024 warmth.

We find that while 2024 can be well explained by changes in forcings and internal variability, 2023 remains more of a mystery:

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jun 24

Thanks @amosupdates.bsky.social I had big shoes to fill!

Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) @amosupdates.bsky.social · Jun 24

Dr Michael Grose gives his talk on climate update. Six supported datasets agree in global mean temperature trends

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · May 24

@bobkopp.net you may be interested that we both point to your commentary paper, I'd be interested in your feedback if you have any ☺️

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · May 23

Thanks for the interest Nada, the recording is now available at the original link above 😊Hope you're doing well

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · May 22

thanks to all who came along, great points made by Ben Newell on our perceptions and decision-making, and some good Q&A (although I know we only scratched the surface) - over 1300 attendees(!) reflecting the always strong interest in the topic and how we respond to it

Andrew King (he/him) @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social · Apr 23

I'm excited to be advertising a PhD project on climate change projections under net zero emissions and overshoot scenarios! Applications close 23rd May.

Details of PhD project on projected climate changes under net zero emissions and overshoot pathways. Get in touch with any questions here or via email (andrew.king@unimelb.edu.au)

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · May 15

Please come to this webinar next week, an important (and always hot) topic and a lot of things to talk about.
I will try to be fair and balanced, but having different perspectives is really important
nesp2climate.com.au/webinar-clim...

Webinar: Climate tipping points — the science and risk - NESP 2 climate

Explore the science and risks of climate tipping points and what they mean for Australia when informing climate risk decision-making.

nesp2climate.com.au

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · May 13

Some comments from me included
www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05...

Rainfall maps offer ominous insight where Australia's climate is headed

As South Australia and Victoria continue to face drought and unseasonable heat, there has been a notable absence of major rain systems. So, what's going on?

www.abc.net.au

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 25

I had a really good conversation with the journalist on this - covering humid heat vs dry heat, the limits to adaptation and all sorts of things, he is great and this is such an important issue

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 19

Big picture - we will stabilise the climate sooner of later, so we need to understand it - and have good definitions of 'stabilise' both globally and regionally (and appropriate alternative terms).

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 19

Happy to be a very small contributor to this nice paper from UniMelb student Alex and supervisors @andrewkingclimate.bsky.social and @drjobrown.bsky.social well done Alex!

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

Climate Stabilisation Under Net Zero CO2 Emissions

Temperature stabilization does not occur immediately after net zero CO2 emissions at both the global and local levels The global mean temperature stabilizes 124 years after the cessation of emiss...

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 19

really interesting analysis of 2023 and 2024 in the new WMO SotC - worth a look!

Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · Mar 19

The new WMO State of the Climate report has a section by Gavin Schmidt and me on attributing exceptional 2023 and 2024 warmth.

We find that while 2024 can be well explained by changes in forcings and internal variability, 2023 remains more of a mystery:

Acacia Pepler @acaciapepler.bsky.social · Mar 19

We're looking for a postdoc to help understand and define the factors that make extreme rain effects more impactful, including clustering of heavy events or coincident heavy rain with strong winds. Is this you? Apply at jobs.anu.edu.au/jobs/postdoc...

Postdoctoral/Research Fellow - Canberra / ACT, ACT, Australia

Classification: Academic Level A/BSalary package: $85,010 - $131,227 per annum plus 17% superannuationTerm: Full-time, Continuing (Contingent Funded) This position is continuing (contingent funded). T...

jobs.anu.edu.au

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 18

...all the details and the ‘facts’ supporting this desire can all change fluidly, inconsistencies and contradictions are all totally fine. Because it is about power and not reality – in fact it is about power over reality. It is so against our training as researchers, but very real I think

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 18

…a world where things are simple with a bad guy vs. a good guy with a simple plan, nothing is chaotic and there are no structural problems with complex causes like climate change, injustice – someone just needs to come in and make people shut up about these. If people shut up then it will be fine...

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 18

…but if you don’t mind spoilers, the last half goes much broader than flat earth, into Qanon etc. and in the last 10 min concluding some people deeply want ‘restorative authoritarianism’ - the wish for a strong man coming to come in, put things back ‘where they belong’…

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Mar 18

Thinking about the state of - things - I found this useful to watch back. If you don’t want spoilers, I recommend watching the whole thing – the first half includes a really nice demo: www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTfh...

Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · Mar 5

Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week.

"...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"

NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting

Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions

www.science.org

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jan 22

We have organised an online workshop for applications that will need to select subsets of models in CMIP7, and how it can be improved over CMIP6 - both scientific and technical aspects.

Please register if you're keen!

CMIP ─ Coupled Model Intercomparison Project @wcrp-cmip.org · Jan 22

We are pleased to announce an exciting virtual workshop on streamlining the model selection process in collaboration with #CORDEX, #ISIMIP, #ISMIP7 and #GlacierMIP!

🗓️ Workshop date: 5th February 2025
⏰ Workshop time: 19:00-22:00 UTC

More details and registration 👉 wcrp-cmip.org/event/model-...

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jan 22

This was in my World Book encyclopedia (1980 edition) growing up - an interesting time capsule of where we thought things were going

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jan 17

(sorry, Friday afternoon and I'm getting silly - great work on the interview, very clear and helpful!)

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jan 17

It's amazing the strike all occurred in that red circle! Must be related to crop circles 😁

Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · Jan 13

(replying to all of the above) - yes, when I said 'realistic' I meant based on real glaciology, not that it would be effective or plausible!
The costs/benefit does seem crazy, but I wonder if given the costs of SLR on New York, London or Amsterdam, it starts to make even the crazy maths make sense?

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