Manuel Rausch
LightNews LightNews
banner
manurausch.bsky.social
Manuel Rausch
@manurausch.bsky.social
440 followers 300 following 43 posts
Psychologist and Cognitive Neuroscientist at University of Klagenfurt. Cognitive modeling, perceptual decision making, confidence, metacognition, visual awareness, metascience. https://manuelrausch.github.io
Posts Replies Media Videos
Pinned
manurausch.bsky.social
Manuel Rausch @manurausch.bsky.social · Sep 27
A new version of the statConfR R package is now available on CRAN. Now the CASANDRE model and the response-congruent evidence model are available as well. Check it out! Bug reports much appreciated.
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
christophvoelter.bsky.social
Fully funded #PhDposition in Comparative Cultural Psychology @mpi-eva-leipzig.bsky.social.
We will use touchscreen experiments & eyetracking to study mental simulations in nonhuman apes & human children across different cultures.

All info here: www.eva.mpg.de/career/posit...
Please share / apply!🙏
Positions available - Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology
www.eva.mpg.de
November 13, 2025 at 8:32 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
teap2026.bsky.social
📢 The #TeaP2026 talk & poster submission deadline is approaching fast! ⏰ Don’t miss your chance – submit your contribution by November 16: coms.app/teap26/ 👍🏼
November 12, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
martinhebart.bsky.social
Please repost! I am looking for a PhD candidate in the area of Computational Cognitive Neuroscience to start in early 2026.

The position is funded as part of the Excellence Cluster "The Adaptive Mind" at @jlugiessen.bsky.social.

Please apply here until Nov 25:
www.uni-giessen.de/de/ueber-uns...
View from your office onto Giessen and surrounding villages.
November 4, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
herrickfung.bsky.social
Glad to see my first-year project is out!

In two experiments, we manipulated multiple stimulus features in a perception task, yet their effects on confidence and accuracy fell into just two distinct behavioral patterns, offering a way to predict the effects of novel stimulus manipulations.

1/n
Similarities and differences in the effects of different stimulus manipulations on accuracy and confidence
Visual stimuli can vary in multiple dimensions that affect accuracy and confidence in a perceptual decision-making task. However, previous studies hav…
www.sciencedirect.com
October 12, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
ulrichschimmack.bsky.social
Sure, you can be for or against AI, but to be against AI and trying to compete in the Hunger Games of academia is rather foolish.
replicationindex.com/2025/10/04/i...
Is Using AI in Science Really “Research Misconduct”? A Response to Guest & van Rooij - Replicability-Index
This response to Guest and Rooji's article was written in collaboration with ChatGPT. I asked ChatGPT critical questions and probed their arguments in critical discussions. I even asked ChatGPT to pla...
replicationindex.com
October 4, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
ianhussey.mmmdata.io
My article "Data is not available upon request" was published in Meta-Psychology. Very happy to see this out!
open.lnu.se/index.php/me...
LnuOpen | Meta-Psychology
open.lnu.se
October 4, 2025 at 12:54 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
quining.bsky.social
🚨 Out now in @commspsychol.nature.com 🚨
doi.org/10.1038/s442...

Our #RegisteredReport tested whether the order of task decisions and confidence ratings bias #metacognition.

Some said decisions → confidence enhances metacognition. If true, decades of findings will be affected.
A picture of our paper's abstract and title: The order of task decisions and confidence ratings has little effect on metacognition. Task decisions and confidence ratings are fundamental measures in metacognition research, but using these reports requires collecting them in some order. Only three orders exist and are used in an ad hoc manner across studies. Evidence suggests that when task decisions precede confidence, this report order can enhance metacognition. If verified, this effect pervades studies of metacognition and will lead the synthesis of this literature to invalid conclusions. In this Registered Report, we tested the effect of report order across popular domains of metacognition and probed two factors that may underlie why order effects have been observed in past studies: report time and motor preparation. We examined these effects in a perception experiment (n = 75) and memory experiment (n = 50), controlling task accuracy and learning. Our registered analyses found little effect of report order on metacognitive efficiency, even when timing and motor preparation were experimentally controlled. Our findings suggest the order of task decisions and confidence ratings has little effect on metacognition, and need not constrain secondary analysis or experimental design.
September 30, 2025 at 8:11 AM
manurausch.bsky.social
A new version of the statConfR R package is now available on CRAN. Now the CASANDRE model and the response-congruent evidence model are available as well. Check it out! Bug reports much appreciated.
September 27, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
“On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/25/o...
“On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
September 25, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
kobedesender.bsky.social
Introducing hMFC: A Bayesian hierarchical model of trial-to-trial fluctuations in decision criterion! Now out in @plos.org Comp Bio.
led by Robin Vloeberghs with @anne-urai.bsky.social Scott Linderman

Paper: desenderlab.com/wp-content/u... Thread ↓↓↓

#PsychSciSky #Neuroscience #Neuroskyence
September 25, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
kobedesender.bsky.social
Common neural choice signals reflect accumulated evidence, not confidence! Now out in @cerebralcortex.bsky.social w @helenevanmarcke.bsky.social @pierreledenmat.bsky.social @yfvisser.bsky.social @denizerdil.bsky.social a.o.

Paper: desenderlab.com/wp-content/u... Thread ↓↓↓
September 19, 2025 at 10:47 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
lauramkoenig.bsky.social
Re-advertisement: #HPGVienna @univie.ac.at is hiring! We are looking for a PhD-level researcher excited about all things EMA to join us as Senior Scientist/ Lab Manager as soon as possible. Position is initially for 4.25 years & part-time (50% FTE) (more info in 🧵).
jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Senior-S...
Senior Scientist at the Faculty of Psychology. Start date 1 October 2025 or as soon as possible thereafter. 20 hours per week. Salary according to the collective bargaining agreement §48 VwGr. B1 lit. b (postdoc). Contract (initially) limited for 4 years and 3 months. Job ID: 4269
September 15, 2025 at 5:40 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
sehellmann.bsky.social
For all who use Bayesian hierarchical models, have a look at our new preprint, out now together with @linushof.bsky.social @nunobusch.bsky.social and @thorstenpachur.bsky.social

osf.io/preprints/ps...
osf.io
September 10, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
kobedesender.bsky.social
Can we use confidence-driven information-seeking as a tool to combat fake news!? Really cool study by really cool @helenevanmarcke.bsky.social ↓↓↓
helenevanmarcke.bsky.social Hélène Van Marcke @helenevanmarcke.bsky.social · Sep 8
Warning: this is *not* fake news! New preprint out w/ S. Kunkle & @kobedesender.bsky.social on how confidence-driven information seeking is suboptimal in the context of fake news 📰🔍🧵 (1/6):
osf.io/preprints/ps...
OSF
osf.io
September 10, 2025 at 12:26 PM
manurausch.bsky.social
Happy to announce that I I'll be moving to Austria soon to start a new job @uniklagenfurt.bsky.social as senior scientist. Looking forward to meeting new colleagues and students!
September 5, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
lenahahn.bsky.social
How complete are preregistrations?

Short answer: 53% include all 6 procedural specifications

Medium answer: 🧵

Long answer: check out my publication with A. Glöckner @mariogollwitzer.bsky.social J. Hellmann, J. Lange, S. Schindler & @kaisassenberg.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1177/2515...
A Cross-Sectional Study of the Completeness of Preregistrations by Psychological Authors From German-Speaking Institutions - Lena Hahn, Andreas Glöckner, Mario Gollwitzer, Jens Hellmann, Jens Lange, S...
Preregistering confirmatory research aims at reducing researchers’ degrees of freedom and increasing transparency to ultimately increase replicability. Yet the ...
doi.org
August 18, 2025 at 11:06 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
lakens.bsky.social
An abbreviation (ABB) in a journal article (JA) or Grant Application (GA) is rarely worth the words it saves. Every ABB requires cognitive resources (CR) and at my age by the time I'm halfway through a JA or GA I no longer have the CR to remember what your ABB stood for.
August 15, 2025 at 9:39 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
cos.io
Metascience 2025 recordings are now available! #Metascience25 gathered researchers, funders, policymakers & more to explore how the research process can improve. The program included preconference symposia & plenary sessions on topics from policy change to AI in research.

🎥 cassyni.com/s/metasc...
Cassyni | Science starts with a seminar
Seamlessly organise, run and publish academic research seminars. Get started in minutes.
cassyni.com
August 12, 2025 at 4:03 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
ulrichschimmack.bsky.social
Here is a post-publication peer-review of this article.

replicationindex.com/2025/08/08/r...
Review of “On the Poor Statistical Properties of the P-Curve Meta-Analytic Procedure” - Replicability-Index
This post-publication peer-review was created in collaboration with ChatGPT5.0. Critical Review of “On the Poor Statistical Properties of the P-Curve Meta-Analytic Procedure” by Richard D. Morey & Cli...
replicationindex.com
August 9, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
richarddmorey.bsky.social
Paper drop, for anyone interested in #metascience, #statistics, or #metaanalysis! @clintin.bsky.social and I show in a new paper in JASA that the P-curve, a popular forensic meta-analysis method, has deeply undesirable statistical properties. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/?
Cover page for the manuscript: Morey, R. D., & Davis-Stober, C. P. (2025). On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2025.2544397 Abstract for the paper: The P-curve (Simonsohn, Nelson, & Simmons, 2014; Simonsohn, Simmons, & Nelson, 2015) is a widely-used suite of meta-analytic tests advertised for detecting problems in sets of studies. They are based on nonparametric combinations of p values (e.g., Marden, 1985) across significant (p < .05) studies and are variously claimed to detect “evidential value”, “lack of evidential value”, and “left skew” in p values. We show that these tests do not have the properties ascribed to them. Moreover, they fail basic desiderata for tests, including admissibility and monotonicity. In light of these serious problems, we recommend against the use of the P-curve tests.
August 8, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
johannesbreuer.com
2 new job opportunities at the @cais-research.bsky.social:
- PhD student, team "Research Data & Methods" stellenangebote.cais-research.de/de?id=f50b76
- Researcher, DFG project "SocEnRep - Automation of Reproducibility in Economics and Social Sciences" stellenangebote.cais-research.de/de?id=f50b76
July 25, 2025 at 9:59 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
matanmazor.bsky.social
Confidence in absence as confidence in counterfactual visibility: a CogSci proceedings paper with star MSc student Maya Schipper, is now out on PsyArXiv:

osf.io/preprints/ps...

🧵👇
July 23, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
lakens.bsky.social
New blog post: Easily download files from the Open Science Framework with Papercheck daniellakens.blogspot.com/2025/07/easi...

Downloading all files in an OSF project can be a hassle. Not anymore, with Papercheck! Just run:

osf_file_download("6nt4v")
Easily download files from the Open Science Framework with Papercheck
Researchers increasingly use the Open Science Framework (OSF) to share files, such as data and code underlying scientific publications, or ...
daniellakens.blogspot.com
July 22, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
thecharleywu.bsky.social
🚀Join our team @tuda.bsky.social ! 🚀
I'm looking for 3 PhDs & 1 Postdoc for my @erc.europa.eu project “C4: Compositional Compression in Cognition and Culture” to study learning across individuals, teams, and cultural timescales
👉 PhD: hmc-lab.com/ERC_PhDs.html
👉 Postdoc: hmc-lab.com/ERC_Postdoc....
June 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Reposted by Manuel Rausch
lakens.bsky.social
Interested in the latest metascience? Come to Eindhoven October 17th to listen to Dr. Duygu Uygun-Tunç (University of Chicago) and Dr. Lisa Spitzer (Leibniz-Institut für Psychologie) as keynote speakers, and Dr. Aaron Peikert for a workshop collaboration through Git! All free!
sajedehra.bsky.social Sajedeh Rasti @sajedehra.bsky.social · Jul 16
🚨 Registration is now open for the PMGS Meta-Research Symposium 2025!
📝 Abstract submissions are still welcome—deadline: July 31.

Plus: join our mini-workshop on coordination using GitHub on the afternoon of October 16.

Find all the details & sign up here:
paulmeehlschool.github.io/2025-07-16-s...
Registration Now Open: Meta-Research Symposium 2025 & Pre-Symposium Mini-Workshop | Paul Meehl Graduate School
We are delighted to announce that registration is now open for the second round of the Paul Meehl Graduate School’s...
paulmeehlschool.github.io
July 16, 2025 at 6:53 PM