Andrew Gelman et al.
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Andrew Gelman et al.
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How much of an NBA team’s won-loss record is from skill and how much is luck?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/26/h...
How much of an NBA team’s won-loss record is from skill and how much is luck? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
If only Lee Bollinger
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/25/i...
If only Lee Bollinger | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 25, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Slop is not distinguishable by its attributes. It is an attitude of production
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/24/s...
Slop is not distinguishable by its attributes. It is an attitude of production | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 25, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Holiday open thread: Correct me! Point out all my mistakes.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/24/h...
Holiday open thread: Correct me! Point out all my mistakes. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 24, 2025 at 2:17 PM
Survey Statistics: is a mismeasured X better than none at all ?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/23/s...
Survey Statistics: is a mismeasured X better than none at all ? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 24, 2025 at 10:47 AM
The problems with popular internet heuristics such as “Hanlon’s razor,” “steelmanning,” and “Godwin’s law,” all of which kind of fall apart in the presence of actual malice, actual bad ideas, and actual Nazis.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/23/t...
The problems with popular internet heuristics such as “Hanlon’s razor,” “steelmanning,” and “Godwin’s law,” all of which kind of fall apart in the presence of actual malice, actual bad ideas, and act...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 23, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Postdoc opportunity at Stanford and Chicago on Bayesian hierarchical modeling and partial pooling for improving the accuracy and equity of property tax assessments
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/22/p...
Postdoc opportunity at Stanford and Chicago on Bayesian hierarchical modeling and partial pooling for improving the accuracy and equity of property tax assessments | Statistical Modeling, Causal Infe...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 22, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Who else is in the goddam dictionary?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/22/w...
Who else is in the goddam dictionary? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 22, 2025 at 2:27 PM
“I think there’s an argument to be made that much meta-scientific work is a kind of mirror image of the empirical work it critiques”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/21/i...
“I think there’s an argument to be made that much meta-scientific work is a kind of mirror image of the empirical work it critiques” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 21, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Hey, I’m in the dictionary (too!)
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/20/h...
Hey, I’m in the dictionary (too!) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 21, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Hey, I’m in the dictionary!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/20/h...
Hey, I’m in the dictionary! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 20, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Validating language models as study participants: How it’s being done, why it fails, and what works instead
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/19/v...
Validating language models as study participants: How it’s being done, why it fails, and what works instead | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 19, 2025 at 6:18 PM
What’s your Jordan3 number?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/19/w...
What’s your Jordan3 number? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 19, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Everything I need to know I learned in Little League
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/18/e...
Everything I need to know I learned in Little League | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 18, 2025 at 8:50 PM
“Re-examination of the 3/4-law of metabolism” and “Toward a metabolic theory of ecology”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/18/r...
“Re-examination of the 3/4-law of metabolism” and “Toward a metabolic theory of ecology” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 18, 2025 at 3:03 PM
We may live in a state of prosecutorial overcorrection, but I think it’s a dialectical response to the fact that the default position for a certain kind of celebrity scientist has usually been ferocious, uncritical defense.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/17/w...
We may live in a state of prosecutorial overcorrection, but I think it’s a dialectical response to the fact that the default position for a certain kind of celebrity scientist has usually been feroci...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 17, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Survey Statistics: 3rd helpings of the logit shift
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/16/s...
Survey Statistics: 3rd helpings of the logit shift | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 16, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Annals of idiot spam
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/16/a...
Annals of idiot spam | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 16, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Simulating from and checking a model in Stan: It’s so easy in Stan Playground–it just runs on your browser!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/15/s...
Simulating from and checking a model in Stan: It’s so easy in Stan Playground–it just runs on your browser! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 15, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Who is the most famous living person who was born on each continent?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/15/w...
Who is the most famous living person who was born on each continent? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 15, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Combining a high-quality probability sample with data from larger online panels
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/14/c...
Combining a high-quality probability sample with data from larger online panels | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 14, 2025 at 2:38 PM
The cathedral, the bazaar, and statistical workflow
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/13/t...
The cathedral, the bazaar, and statistical workflow | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 13, 2025 at 4:35 PM
If you’re interested in the Box-Cox power transformation . . .
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/12/i...
If you’re interested in the Box-Cox power transformation . . . | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 12, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Seven-parameter drift-diffusion pdfs and cdfs now in Stan
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/s...
Seven-parameter drift-diffusion pdfs and cdfs now in Stan | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 11, 2025 at 9:00 PM
A slew of improvements to NUTS
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/a...
A slew of improvements to NUTS | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 11, 2025 at 8:37 PM