Liana Fix
banner
lianafix.bsky.social
Liana Fix
@lianafix.bsky.social
Senior Fellow for Europe @CFR_org | Historian & Political Scientist | #Germany #Europe #Russia #EasternEurope #Security | Views my own, likes and RT not endorsement. Washington, DC.

https://www.cfr.org/expert/liana-fix
Reposted by Liana Fix
"The structure and scale of the 28-point peace plan suggests that the Trump administration believes it can convince Ukraine to accept some of the red lines in return for vague U.S. security guarantees," writes Europe expert @lianafix.bsky.social
Is Trump's Ukraine Peace Deal a Faustian Bargain?
Trump's proposal would cross multiple Ukrainian and European red lines, but there could also be opportunities for further negotiations.
www.cfr.org
November 24, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
New piece for @euiss.bsky.social

Europe’s effort to rebuild its defences hinges on whether Europeans can cooperate more effectively with each other and with Ukraine. EU instruments can play a key role in driving this effort forward.

www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
Rebuilding Europe's defences: How to unlock a coordinated defence surge
The EU can help drive a European defence surge, both by unlocking additional funding and fostering deeper cooperation.
www.iss.europa.eu
September 23, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
We nuke nerds at @scientistsorg.bsky.social published a piece this morning on the nuclear weapons displayed during China's 2025 Victory Day Parade.

Read here for everything you need to know! 👇

fas.org/publication/...
Nuclear Weapons At China's 2025 Victory Day Parade - Federation of American Scientists
This buildup appears to contradict China's obligations under the nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty and could well stimulate nuclear buildups in the United States and India.
fas.org
September 4, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
One final prediction and I will shut up. No matter what is said inside the room, or what Trump would be willing to agree to, Putin will still push too hard, demand too much and overplay his hand. Because that's exactly what he has been doing for years and has neither desire nor capacity to change
August 15, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
Terrific primer ahead of today's #AlaskaSummit by my @cfr.org colleagues Charles A. Kupchan, @lianafix.bsky.social, and Paul B. Stares. www.cfr.org/article/what...
What to Expect From the Trump-Putin Alaska Summit
Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump are holding their first bilateral meeting since 2019 with the fate of Ukraine’s war seemingly in the balance. Three CFR experts assess the prospects for bes…
www.cfr.org
August 15, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
The data shows that Europe’s long-promised defence revival, driven by an injection of public subsidies, is beginning to materialise not just in policy rhetoric or spending pledges but also in concrete and steel

on.ft.com/46OwOFn
Europe builds for war as arms factories expand at triple speed
FT radar analysis reveals historic scale of rearmament, stretching over 7mn sq metres of new development
on.ft.com
August 12, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
Nachdem Armenien und Aserbaidschan ihr gemeinsam ausgearbeitetes Friedensabkommen in Washington paraphiert und damit inhaltlich festgeschrieben haben, hat es die Regierung in Jerewan veröffentlicht. Das ist nach Jahrzehnten des Konflikts historisch. www.mfa.am/en/press-rel...
Publication of the initialed Agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan
By mutual agreement, the initialed Agreement on Establishment of Peace and Inter-State Relations between the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Azerbaijan is published.
www.mfa.am
August 11, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Mein Stück für Die Zeit, in dem ich argumentiere, dass es wieder dt. Scheckbuchdiplomatie braucht: unabhängig davon ob Trump‘s Russland deadline und Kehrtwende bestehen bleibt, muss DE den langfristigen Einkauf von US-Waffen für die Ukraine sichern, nicht nur ad hoc: 👉 www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Donald Trump und Wladimir Putin: Das ist keine neue Phase, das ist eine neue Realität
Donald Trump hat Wladimir Putin eine Frist gesetzt. Ist das schon ein Politikwechsel? Deutschland muss die Zeit nutzen für eine neue Art der Scheckbuchdiplomatie.
www.zeit.de
July 28, 2025 at 7:55 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
Forging ahead: Russia sidesteps sanctions to import Austrian machinery for making howitzer barrels

A Spanish company has supplied Russia with an Austrian radial forging machine.
Forging ahead: Russia sidesteps sanctions to import Austrian machinery for making howitzer barrels
A Spanish company has supplied Russia with an Austrian radial forging machine. According to an investigation by The Insider, Russia’s production of artillery barrels relies entirely on this type of eq...
theins.press
July 11, 2025 at 8:26 AM
Attention #Zeitenwende and #security nerds: My newest article on "German 'pacifism' and the Zeitenwende" is about to be published online in Defense & Security Analysis. In the article I try to assess to what extent the reorientation of German security policy after the
a man in a plaid shirt and tie is standing next to a boy in a green shirt .
Alt: a man in a plaid shirt and tie is standing next to a boy in a green shirt .
media.tenor.com
July 12, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
“In an ideal world, Ukraine and Russia should have been the top priority at the summit,” @lianafix.bsky.social said. “But in a Donald Trump world, it’s understandable why major allies choreographed it the way they did.” www.nytimes.com/2025/06/25/w...
NATO Agrees to a Big Increase in Military Spending, Pleasing Trump
www.nytimes.com
June 25, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
This morning, @remkorteweg.bsky.social, @camillegrand.bsky.social, @robdewijk.bsky.social and @lianafix.bsky.social looked at the highlights of the NATO summit in The Hague and the alliance's near future.

📺Full session at The NATO Public Forum: t.co/yUJja0EGc6
June 25, 2025 at 3:17 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
🔴Wednesday at 08.00: Looking Ahead at Today's North Atlantic Council

Expert panel with @remkorteweg.bsky.social,
@robdewijk.bsky.social, @lianafix.bsky.social,
@camillegrand.bsky.social, moderated by Ikenna Azuike.

📺Stream: www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2Hj...
June 24, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
9 specialisten die hun licht laten schijnen over NAVO-top volgende week:

1. @hoanssolo.bsky.social Hoe verdedigt Europa zich?
2. @lianafix.bsky.social Hoe gaat Duitsland zich verdedigen?
3. @frhoffmann.bsky.social Hoe zou Russische aanval op NAVO eruitzien?

foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/20/n...
Can NATO Keep It Together?
Nine thinkers on next week’s summit and the alliance’s uncertain future.
foreignpolicy.com
June 21, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
🆕🎙️ Neue Folge „Pod und die Welt“ vor dem #NATO-Gipfel (#21)

Wie die Europäer einen Trump-Eklat in Den Haag verhindern wollen. Unter anderem darüber sprechen @mabialecki.bsky.social & Katharina Peetz mit @lianafix.bsky.social @cfr.org.

Jetzt anhören: 👉 pod-und-die-welt.podigee.io/21-europas-t...
June 19, 2025 at 7:42 AM
The #NATO summit in The Hague is just around the corner - what surprises should Europeans prepare for, and how can NATO's future look like in the long-term? Read Rebeca Lissner's and my new @cfr.org paper for everything you need to know 👉 www.cfr.org/article/weat...
Weathering the Storm: The Hague Summit and the Future of NATO
European leaders should avoid clashing with Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague. In the coming months and years, they should focus on increasing defense spending, further integrating Ukraine into t…
www.cfr.org
June 18, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
Reposted by Liana Fix
“Throughout Germany’s post-1945 history, rarely has there been a more challenging time for a German chancellor to navigate the country’s future”.
✍️ @lianafix.bsky.social
www.realinstitutoelcano.org/en/commentar...
Germany in the midst of transatlantic tension: how will a new government address contentious policy issues with the US?
With US-EU ties strained, Germany under Merz pursues economic resilience, strategic deterrence, and a stronger European defence role.
www.realinstitutoelcano.org
June 11, 2025 at 11:36 AM
Reposted by Liana Fix
Europe must stop underestimating China’s support for Russia’s war against Ukraine, write @lianafix.bsky.social and Heidi Crebo-Rediker.
Europe Doesn’t Have a China Card
Détente with Beijing would be a disaster.
www.foreignaffairs.com
June 6, 2025 at 4:14 PM
👇👇👇
As the European Union seeks to hedge against an unpredictable Washington, it should avoid turning toward Beijing, argue @heidirediker.bsky.social and @lianafix.bsky.social. China still poses economic and security threats to Europe—and “the EU still doesn’t have a China card to play.”
Europe Doesn’t Have a China Card
Détente with Beijing would be a disaster.
www.foreignaffairs.com
June 6, 2025 at 1:01 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
We thank all our panellists for their time and valuable contributions & insights! You can re-watch the whole event that was made possible in a cooperation with
@cfr.org & @lianafix.bsky.social on our @dgap.org YouTube channel! 📺👇 /7
The Future of Ukraine and European Security
YouTube video by Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e.V.
www.youtube.com
May 23, 2025 at 8:37 AM
Trump kann es sich nicht leisten, die Ukraine im Stich zu lassen. Ein positiver Versuch von mir in @zeitonline 👉 www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
May 10, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
Now-Chancellor Friedrich Merz has the chance to make good on his promise to shift Germany from fragmentation to coherence. Will he accomplish the ‘Zeitenwende’ his predecessor could not?

@sophiabesch.bsky.social and @lianafix.bsky.social write for @foreignpolicy.com ⬇️
Merz Brings Germany Back to the Table
The new chancellor has moved quickly to fix years of foreign-policy dysfunction in Berlin.
buff.ly
May 8, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Reposted by Liana Fix
What does yesterday's drama mean for Merz's chancellery? What to expect on Ukraine, USA, EU, China, Defense? Can he deliver on Zeitenwende? New piece for @foreignpolicy.com with @lianafix.bsky.social
- Gift link: foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/07/f...
Merz Brings Germany Back to the Table
The new chancellor has moved quickly to fix years of foreign policy dysfunction in Berlin.
foreignpolicy.com
May 7, 2025 at 7:22 PM