Jintro Pauly
@jintropauly.bsky.social
Policy Advisor @munsecconf.bsky.social
Civil defence volunteer @asb-de.bsky.social
Posts in English, Dutch, and German
Posts on #Ukraine, #Russia, European #defence, #nuclear #security and, occasionally, trains.
Own views only, picture by MSC/Kuhlmann
Civil defence volunteer @asb-de.bsky.social
Posts in English, Dutch, and German
Posts on #Ukraine, #Russia, European #defence, #nuclear #security and, occasionally, trains.
Own views only, picture by MSC/Kuhlmann
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Classic Zelenskyy: "We can also give ceasefire for Russians if they will do elections in Russia."😏🤌
February 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM
Classic Zelenskyy: "We can also give ceasefire for Russians if they will do elections in Russia."😏🤌
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
The true story of this @munsecconf.bsky.social, as of last year’s edition, is that there are two increasingly competing versions of what remains of “the West”, what it takes to salvage the remains and how to rebuild it.
Even Marco Rubio’s “reassurance” makes that abundantly clear.
Even Marco Rubio’s “reassurance” makes that abundantly clear.
February 14, 2026 at 8:29 AM
The true story of this @munsecconf.bsky.social, as of last year’s edition, is that there are two increasingly competing versions of what remains of “the West”, what it takes to salvage the remains and how to rebuild it.
Even Marco Rubio’s “reassurance” makes that abundantly clear.
Even Marco Rubio’s “reassurance” makes that abundantly clear.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Rubio: „Make Western Civilization great again“ (and save it from „civilizational erasure“, caused by „mass migration“ and „climate religion“). Wang Yi: „Let‘s save the UN, global governance and multilateralism“. 🤡
February 14, 2026 at 8:49 AM
Rubio: „Make Western Civilization great again“ (and save it from „civilizational erasure“, caused by „mass migration“ and „climate religion“). Wang Yi: „Let‘s save the UN, global governance and multilateralism“. 🤡
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
goed!
Macron: Europa moet nieuwe veiligheidsstructuur op het continent zelf vormgeven
www.volkskrant.nl/cs-b3138a25/
www.volkskrant.nl/cs-b3138a25/
Macron: Europa moet nieuwe veiligheidsstructuur op het continent zelf vormgeven
Europa moet een sterke geopolitieke speler worden die de nieuwe veiligheidsstructuur op het continent zelf vormgeeft. Ook moet het ervoor waken dat een eventueel akkoord in Oekraïne niet de toekomst v...
www.volkskrant.nl
February 14, 2026 at 8:07 AM
goed!
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
This morning, the Foreign Ministers of Ukraine & Germany, Andrii Sybiha & @aussenminister.diplo.de Johann Wadephul, officially opened the Ukraine House.
At #MSC2026, it will be the working hub for the Ukrainian delegation and provide a dedicated space for discussions, side events & briefings.
At #MSC2026, it will be the working hub for the Ukrainian delegation and provide a dedicated space for discussions, side events & briefings.
February 13, 2026 at 12:15 PM
This morning, the Foreign Ministers of Ukraine & Germany, Andrii Sybiha & @aussenminister.diplo.de Johann Wadephul, officially opened the Ukraine House.
At #MSC2026, it will be the working hub for the Ukrainian delegation and provide a dedicated space for discussions, side events & briefings.
At #MSC2026, it will be the working hub for the Ukrainian delegation and provide a dedicated space for discussions, side events & briefings.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Die Angriffe auf die Energieversorgung der #Ukraine und der Ausfall von Strom, Wärme und Wasser trifft insbesondere ältere, pflegebedürftige und mobilitätseingeschränkte Menschen. Um hier schnell zu helfen, hat der ASB gemeinsam mit dem SSU ein "Evakuierungs- und Pflegeprojekt" gestartet.
1/4
1/4
February 13, 2026 at 1:19 PM
Die Angriffe auf die Energieversorgung der #Ukraine und der Ausfall von Strom, Wärme und Wasser trifft insbesondere ältere, pflegebedürftige und mobilitätseingeschränkte Menschen. Um hier schnell zu helfen, hat der ASB gemeinsam mit dem SSU ein "Evakuierungs- und Pflegeprojekt" gestartet.
1/4
1/4
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
📣 OUT NOW: Agenda MSC 2026
Agenda and Livestreams: Munich Security Conference 2026
Follow the MSC 2026 discussions live and explore the program!
securityconference.org
February 13, 2026 at 9:05 AM
📣 OUT NOW: Agenda MSC 2026
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
In ihrem Gastbeitrag in der @zeit.de warnen die Co-Vorsitzenden der European Nuclear Study Group @claudmajor.bsky.social, James D. Davis und MSC Director of Research & Policy @tobiasbunde.bsky.social vor einer nuklearen Abschreckungslücke in Europa.
Hier geht's zum Artikel ⬇️
Hier geht's zum Artikel ⬇️
Nukleare Abschreckung: Europa droht eine Abschreckungslücke
Ein neues nukleares Zeitalter hat eingesetzt, alte Gewissheiten europäischer Sicherheit gelten nicht mehr. Doch viele Politiker verhalten sich, als wäre nichts geschehen.
www.zeit.de
February 11, 2026 at 9:55 PM
In ihrem Gastbeitrag in der @zeit.de warnen die Co-Vorsitzenden der European Nuclear Study Group @claudmajor.bsky.social, James D. Davis und MSC Director of Research & Policy @tobiasbunde.bsky.social vor einer nuklearen Abschreckungslücke in Europa.
Hier geht's zum Artikel ⬇️
Hier geht's zum Artikel ⬇️
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Skeleton racer Heraskevych's father, Mykhailo, sitting near the start house, broke down in tears when the IOC disqualified his son from Olympics minutes before his first run. The decision was made as the athlete refused to remove a helmet bearing portraits of Ukrainian athletes killed in war.
February 12, 2026 at 12:38 PM
Skeleton racer Heraskevych's father, Mykhailo, sitting near the start house, broke down in tears when the IOC disqualified his son from Olympics minutes before his first run. The decision was made as the athlete refused to remove a helmet bearing portraits of Ukrainian athletes killed in war.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
The report of our European Nuclear Study Group, co-chaired by James W. Davis, Claudia Major and me, is online now: securityconference.org/en/publicati... Our co-authors: Janina Dill, Héloïse Fayet, Liviu Horovitz, Łukasz Kulesa, Andreas Lutsch, Michal Onderco, Jintro Pauly, Julian Wucherpfennig.
February 11, 2026 at 3:14 PM
The report of our European Nuclear Study Group, co-chaired by James W. Davis, Claudia Major and me, is online now: securityconference.org/en/publicati... Our co-authors: Janina Dill, Héloïse Fayet, Liviu Horovitz, Łukasz Kulesa, Andreas Lutsch, Michal Onderco, Jintro Pauly, Julian Wucherpfennig.
OUT NOW: Mind the Deterrence Gap: Assessing Europe's Nuclear Options.
A new report by the European Nuclear Study Group assessing #Europe 's options to maintain a credible deterrence posture in the face of continued aggression from #Russia and an increasingly strained transatlantic relationship.
👇
A new report by the European Nuclear Study Group assessing #Europe 's options to maintain a credible deterrence posture in the face of continued aggression from #Russia and an increasingly strained transatlantic relationship.
👇
Just in time for #MSC2026, our Director of Research & Policy @tobiasbunde.bsky.social, together with the European Nuclear Study Group, has published a new report calling for urgent action to maintain nuclear deterrence in Europe.
Find the full text here 👇
securityconference.org/en/publicati...
Find the full text here 👇
securityconference.org/en/publicati...
Mind the Deterrence Gap - Munich Security Conference
The Munich Security Conference (MSC) is the world's leading forum for debating the most pressing challenges to international security.
securityconference.org
February 11, 2026 at 10:10 PM
"De organisatie achter de veiligheidsconferentie is duidelijk: Europa moet zich militair en politiek zelfstandiger opstellen. Voorzichtige verklaringen, voorspelbare conferenties en klassieke diplomatie volstaan niet langer."
#MSC2026 #MSCReport
#MSC2026 #MSCReport
Europa moet assertiever optreden en militair minder afhankelijk worden van de Verenigde Staten. Dat stelt een nieuw rapport dat werd opgesteld voor de jaarlijkse Veiligheidsconferentie van München (MSC), die dit weekend van start gaat. Volgens de auteurs drijft de regering-Trump steeds verder weg...
‘Groeiende bezorgdheid, en zelfs afschuw’: nieuw rapport ziet VS afglijden van democratische NAVO-waarden
www.demorgen.be
February 10, 2026 at 3:22 PM
"De organisatie achter de veiligheidsconferentie is duidelijk: Europa moet zich militair en politiek zelfstandiger opstellen. Voorzichtige verklaringen, voorspelbare conferenties en klassieke diplomatie volstaan niet langer."
#MSC2026 #MSCReport
#MSC2026 #MSCReport
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
🇺🇦 At #MSC2026, we'll present the Ewald von Kleist Award to the brave Ukrainian people—honoring their resolve to defend their and Europe's freedom and commemorating the many who have lost their lives or been injured.
➡️ securityconference.org/en/kleist-aw...
➡️ securityconference.org/en/kleist-aw...
February 9, 2026 at 4:23 PM
🇺🇦 At #MSC2026, we'll present the Ewald von Kleist Award to the brave Ukrainian people—honoring their resolve to defend their and Europe's freedom and commemorating the many who have lost their lives or been injured.
➡️ securityconference.org/en/kleist-aw...
➡️ securityconference.org/en/kleist-aw...
The week of #MSC2026 has officially started with the release of the #MSCreport 2026 titled "Under Destruction."
The report includes several contributions by my stellar colleagues:
👇
The report includes several contributions by my stellar colleagues:
👇
⚠️ We’ve entered an era of wrecking-ball politics. Our brand-new #MSCreport 2026 explores what this means for global security and international cooperation. (1/7)
February 9, 2026 at 5:58 PM
The week of #MSC2026 has officially started with the release of the #MSCreport 2026 titled "Under Destruction."
The report includes several contributions by my stellar colleagues:
👇
The report includes several contributions by my stellar colleagues:
👇
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
The #MSCreport 2026 is out now! 🐘
The world has entered a period of wrecking-ball politics. More than 80 years after construction began, the US-led post-1945 international order is now
⚠️ Under Destruction.
Read our brand-new Munich Security Report: securityconference.org/en/publicati...
The world has entered a period of wrecking-ball politics. More than 80 years after construction began, the US-led post-1945 international order is now
⚠️ Under Destruction.
Read our brand-new Munich Security Report: securityconference.org/en/publicati...
February 9, 2026 at 9:32 AM
The #MSCreport 2026 is out now! 🐘
The world has entered a period of wrecking-ball politics. More than 80 years after construction began, the US-led post-1945 international order is now
⚠️ Under Destruction.
Read our brand-new Munich Security Report: securityconference.org/en/publicati...
The world has entered a period of wrecking-ball politics. More than 80 years after construction began, the US-led post-1945 international order is now
⚠️ Under Destruction.
Read our brand-new Munich Security Report: securityconference.org/en/publicati...
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Eigentlich wirkt sie gar nicht so gut. Selbst nur eine knappe Mehrheit der Anhänger der Pro-Putin-Partei glauben die Propaganda. Und 80% der Deutschen sind nicht überzeugt.
February 6, 2026 at 11:58 AM
Eigentlich wirkt sie gar nicht so gut. Selbst nur eine knappe Mehrheit der Anhänger der Pro-Putin-Partei glauben die Propaganda. Und 80% der Deutschen sind nicht überzeugt.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Mit 32 Iskander-M trauriger Rekord beim Einsatz ballistischer Raketen beim der 🇷🇺Angriff dieser Woche. Man braucht mindestens 2 Patriots um eine abzuwehren, bei den gegenwärtigen Lieferschwierigkeiten kommen daher leider viele durch.
eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
Russlands Angriffe: „Durch Beschädigung der Energieinfrastruktur kann man tausende Häuser unbeheizt schießen“ - Video - WELT
Russland setzt die Raketenangriffe auf die ukrainische Energieinfrastruktur fort. Die Ukraine leidet unter Munitionsmangel und verstärktem Einsatz ballistischer Raketen. „Das wird leider noch eine Zei...
eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
February 4, 2026 at 9:02 AM
Mit 32 Iskander-M trauriger Rekord beim Einsatz ballistischer Raketen beim der 🇷🇺Angriff dieser Woche. Man braucht mindestens 2 Patriots um eine abzuwehren, bei den gegenwärtigen Lieferschwierigkeiten kommen daher leider viele durch.
eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Russia carried out its largest attack since the start of the year, striking DTEK thermal power plants and at least four major energy sites, the company said. Equipment was seriously damaged, including in Kharkiv. Power, water and heating were cut as temperatures fell below minus 20 C. #Ukraine
February 3, 2026 at 7:02 AM
Russia carried out its largest attack since the start of the year, striking DTEK thermal power plants and at least four major energy sites, the company said. Equipment was seriously damaged, including in Kharkiv. Power, water and heating were cut as temperatures fell below minus 20 C. #Ukraine
The negligent lack of sanctions enforcement against the #shadowfleet not only allows #Russia to continue funding its war against #Ukraine. It's also an environmental disaster waiting to happen.
Imagine the consequences of an uninsured rickety tanker sinking and spilling oil off the coast of Europe.
Imagine the consequences of an uninsured rickety tanker sinking and spilling oil off the coast of Europe.
Shadow tanker PEACE lacks safety management, insurance.
She is flying a false flag of Timor-Leste where Timor-Leste demands of other states to stop her.
She is lawless. Sanctioned by EU and UK. She is on her fifth delivery of Russian crude to India last 12m.
She is leaving Baltic Sea laden now.
She is flying a false flag of Timor-Leste where Timor-Leste demands of other states to stop her.
She is lawless. Sanctioned by EU and UK. She is on her fifth delivery of Russian crude to India last 12m.
She is leaving Baltic Sea laden now.
February 2, 2026 at 8:19 AM
The negligent lack of sanctions enforcement against the #shadowfleet not only allows #Russia to continue funding its war against #Ukraine. It's also an environmental disaster waiting to happen.
Imagine the consequences of an uninsured rickety tanker sinking and spilling oil off the coast of Europe.
Imagine the consequences of an uninsured rickety tanker sinking and spilling oil off the coast of Europe.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
⚡️Update: 'Unprovoked terrorist strike' — Russia attacks bus carrying Ukrainian civilian miners, killing at least 12, injuring 16.
The attack marks "the largest single loss for DTEK since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion," CEO Maksym Timchenko said.
The attack marks "the largest single loss for DTEK since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion," CEO Maksym Timchenko said.
'Unprovoked terrorist strike' — Russia attacks bus carrying Ukrainian civilian miners, killing at least 12, injuring 16
Russia launched a mass attack, targeting mines of DTEK, Ukraine's biggest private energy firm, the company said. One of the strikes hit a service bus in the town of Ternivka, which was transporting mi...
kyivindependent.com
February 1, 2026 at 8:29 PM
⚡️Update: 'Unprovoked terrorist strike' — Russia attacks bus carrying Ukrainian civilian miners, killing at least 12, injuring 16.
The attack marks "the largest single loss for DTEK since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion," CEO Maksym Timchenko said.
The attack marks "the largest single loss for DTEK since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion," CEO Maksym Timchenko said.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Sonntag, 1. Februar 2026, Luftalarm in Kyjiw. „Heute dürfen sie ja wieder“, sagt eine Frau zu ihrer Freundin. An die „Feuerpause“ hat hier ohnehin kaum jemand geglaubt. Weil es keine Anzeichen dafür gibt, dass Russland seinen Krieg gegen die Ukraine ernsthaft stoppen will.
February 1, 2026 at 12:11 PM
Sonntag, 1. Februar 2026, Luftalarm in Kyjiw. „Heute dürfen sie ja wieder“, sagt eine Frau zu ihrer Freundin. An die „Feuerpause“ hat hier ohnehin kaum jemand geglaubt. Weil es keine Anzeichen dafür gibt, dass Russland seinen Krieg gegen die Ukraine ernsthaft stoppen will.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Chisinau reportedly hit by partial blackout due to a voltage drop in Ukraine's power grid.
January 31, 2026 at 9:24 AM
Chisinau reportedly hit by partial blackout due to a voltage drop in Ukraine's power grid.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Kyiv metro stopped completely due to low voltage. Some stations lost power and escalators are down, RBC-Ukraine reports. Kharkiv metro also halted.
January 31, 2026 at 9:14 AM
Kyiv metro stopped completely due to low voltage. Some stations lost power and escalators are down, RBC-Ukraine reports. Kharkiv metro also halted.
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Nevertheless, it's quite telling that the coalition agreement contains a line about "European nuclear deterrence" rather than about Dutch commitment to NATO nuclear sharing. Make sure not to tell Mark Rutte...
January 30, 2026 at 4:45 PM
Nevertheless, it's quite telling that the coalition agreement contains a line about "European nuclear deterrence" rather than about Dutch commitment to NATO nuclear sharing. Make sure not to tell Mark Rutte...
Reposted by Jintro Pauly
Danish authorities warn of a new GPS-jam area by Gedser Reef.
Area is home to one of the densest shipping choke points globally. Numerous large ships need not avoid only each other but several wind farms and a large reef.
Without GPS the risk of collision and environmental catastrophe increases.
Area is home to one of the densest shipping choke points globally. Numerous large ships need not avoid only each other but several wind farms and a large reef.
Without GPS the risk of collision and environmental catastrophe increases.
January 30, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Danish authorities warn of a new GPS-jam area by Gedser Reef.
Area is home to one of the densest shipping choke points globally. Numerous large ships need not avoid only each other but several wind farms and a large reef.
Without GPS the risk of collision and environmental catastrophe increases.
Area is home to one of the densest shipping choke points globally. Numerous large ships need not avoid only each other but several wind farms and a large reef.
Without GPS the risk of collision and environmental catastrophe increases.