Horacio Larreguy

@hlarreguy.bsky.social

1.3K followers 300 following 41 posts

Working on misinformation, political economy, and development.
@ITAM_mx @JPAL and often revisiting
@IASToulouse and TSE. Formerly at
@Harvard. @MITEcon PhD.

Videos

Political science 47%

Sociology 21%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

👉Our findings demonstrate how historical variation in inherited coercive capacity and informational frictions can shape the subnational logic of authoritarian control.

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

💥 Our results indicate that after the sudden increase in dissent, municipalities with a stronger militia presence experienced more repression events and less land redistribution than areas with weaker or no militia presence.

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

(3) newly digitized archival records documenting individual instances of repression over time from archivo.archivosdelarepresion.org

Archivo Íntegro Memorial de la Guerra sucia | Investigación de la Comisión de la verdad

archivo.archivosdelarepresion.org

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

(1) a large-scale land reform that redistributed over half of all agricultural land between 1910 and 1992;

(2) the localized presence of regime-aligned rural militias with revolutionary origins and

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

💎We then test these predictions using novel data from twentieth-century Mexico under PRI rule.

Our empirical strategy exploits a sharp increase in overall dissent in the mid-1960s and three sources of subnational variation:

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

🪖The model predicts that when dissent rises, rulers are more likely to rely on repression rather on redistribution in areas with strong inherited coercive capacity.

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

🧩 We develop a model in which an autocrat’s localized response to dissent depends on incomplete information about the geography of people’s discontent and the government’s coercive capacity, a feature that authoritarian governments often inherit from the past.

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

🗺️ In contrast, we argue that subnational differences in the inherited coercive capacity of the regime are a central—yet underexplored—determinant of whether autocrats respond to local dissent with repression or redistribution, thereby preventing its escalation at the very early stages of uprisings.

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

👉While this trade-off is well documented, existing accounts often treat this strategic choice as uniform across space, attributing variation primarily to national-level factors, such as regime type or macroeconomic conditions.

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

🤔What could explain the subnational variation in authoritarian responses to local unrest?

📜 Authoritarian regimes commonly employ a mix of coercion and redistribution to maintain political control (Gandhi 2008; Albertus 2017).

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 18d

📢New Working Paper Alert📢

Very excited to share the latest version of our paper with
@hlarreguy.bsky.social, David Martinez, and Mariano Sánchez-T on how authoritarian regimes vary their strategies across territory to maintain political control.

🔗https://juanfeliperiano.com/papers/militias.pdf

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 19d

We use amazing data on repression from archivosdelarepresion.org, which we hope everybody gives a greater use.

Archivos de la Represión – Memoria y Verdad

archivosdelarepresion.org

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 19d

So, happy that we finally have a draft with David Martinez, @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social and Mariano Sánchez-Talanquer. All this started informally over a dinner at the @weatherheadcenter.bsky.social almost 10 years ago! tinyurl.com/MexicoMilitias

Reposted by Thomas Backhaus, Vincent Tiberj, Horacio Larreguy , and 3 more Thomas Backhaus, Vincent Tiberj, Horacio Larreguy, Frédéric Mérand, James Connelly, Aina Gallego

Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 19d

#DemocraticBacksliding: The erosion of US democracy under Trump is steeper than any recent precedent, including Hungary, Venezuela, Turkey, R//ZZ.l'a/nd

Source: Financial Times @jburnmurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/b474...

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 20d

So happy that this work with Antonella Bandiera and Jorge Mangonnet @apsrjournal.bsky.social is finally in press t.co/LyI7UbBIaU

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Nov 10

After 6 years of work, I am thrilled to introduce "Polarization and Exposure to Cross-Partisan Media in an Electoral Autocracy," with Jeremy Bowles @shelleyliu.bsky.social and Ahmet Akbiyik. We hope you enjoy it! tinyurl.com/TBLLA

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Oct 30

Combating Misinformation. What Works and What We Should Do www.ifo.de/en/econpol/p...

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Oct 30

Always fun to work with Cesi Cruz and @drernestocast.bsky.social!

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · Oct 27

📢 Our new VoxDevLit on Political Polarisation is out now!

Senior Editors Cesi Cruz (University of Michigan) & Horacio Larreguy (ITAM) review research on the causes and consequences of polarisation.

Read & download here: https://voxdev.org/voxdevlit/political-polarisation

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · Oct 28

👀 Out now in @voxdev.bsky.social! VoxDev senior eds. Cesi Cruz, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social share a lit review on the causes and consequences of polarization. Read & download here: voxdev.org/voxdevlit/po...

Political Polarisation

Political polarisation has been rising sharply in both advanced and developing democracies, with implications for democratic accountability, institutional trust, and social cohesion. This VoxDevLit re...

voxdev.org

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · Oct 27

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · Oct 7

📢 Political polarisation has been rising sharply in both advanced and developing democracies.

At our VoxDevLit launch event on October 27, Cesi Cruz and @hlarreguy.bsky.social will summarise research on the causes and consequences of polarisation.

Register➡️ cepr-org.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Oct 2

So nice to this in print! Always a pleasure to work with José Ramón Enríquez @asimpser.bsky.social
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

Toulouse School of Economics (TSE) @tse-fr.eu · Sep 17

🔍 #EconJob Research Assistant in Political Economy

You'll work w/ M. Montenegro @hlarreguy.bsky.social, J. Merilainen & N. Garviras

💡France-based—Toulouse ideal; remote OK; part/full-time
🧠 Advanced Stata skills + knowledge of Spanish preferred

Application: mateo.montenegro[at]tse-fr.eu

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Sep 16

2/2 Conocimientos de Stata requeridos, español preferiblemente. Envía tu CV → mateo.montenegro@tse-fr.eu, horacio.larreguy@itam.mx, jaakko.merilainen@hhs.se, ngarbirasdiaz@hbs.edu. Enviaremos una breve prueba de Stata para verificar nivel.

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Sep 16

1/2 Buscamos RA (con base en Francia—ideal Toulouse; remoto OK; medio tiempo o tiempo completo). Stata obligatorio. Proyectos en economía política (desinformación y capacidad estatal local) con
@hlarreguy.bsky.social
@jmerilainen.bsky.social
Natalia Garbiras Diaz
Mateo Montenegro

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Sep 16

2/2 Contract for at least a year. Stata required, Spanish preferred. Send CV → mateo.montenegro@tse-fr.eu, horacio.larreguy@itam.mx, jaakko.merilainen@hhs.se, ngarbirasdiaz@hbs.edu. We’ll send a short Stata test to confirm proficiency.

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · Sep 16

1/2 We’re hiring a Research Assistant (France-based—Toulouse ideal; remote OK; part/full-time). Projects: experimental & quasi-experimental political economy on misinformation and local state capacity w/
@hlarreguy.bsky.social
@jmerilainen.bsky.social
Natalia Garbiras Diaz
Mateo montenegro_z

Reposted by Andrew K. Jorgenson, Horacio Larreguy, Valerie Mueller , and 5 more Andrew K. Jorgenson, Horacio Larreguy, Valerie Mueller, Michael Kevane, David Schlosberg, Dolly Jørgensen, Raúl Pacheco-Vega, Kate Lowe

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy

The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · Aug 22

"Political brokers use social networks to identify & target reciprocal non-copartisans for vote buying. Parties recruit brokers central in networks to sway persuadable voters."

From @rduartegonzalez.bsky.social, Finan, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and Schechter:

www.restud.com/brokering-vo...

#Econsky

Reposted by Horacio Larreguy, Astrid Hopfensitz

Catherine Molho @cmolho.bsky.social · Jul 2

📣 We are excited (or should we say disgusted?) to announce the conference 'Disgust across borders' at IAST! @iast.fr

🗓️ Join us on Dec 4 & 5 for two days full of disgust research across species and disciplines.

Registration and abstract submission are open (until Aug 31): forms.gle/QBmkUB3aLDjY...

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