@groundloop.bsky.social
Waiting for:
Hyperloops on the Moon where self-driving EV cabs shuttle data centers around that mine cryptocoins meant to pay for sending AGI robots to populate Mars and save humanity somehow.
Hyperloops on the Moon where self-driving EV cabs shuttle data centers around that mine cryptocoins meant to pay for sending AGI robots to populate Mars and save humanity somehow.
February 12, 2026 at 9:13 AM
Waiting for:
Hyperloops on the Moon where self-driving EV cabs shuttle data centers around that mine cryptocoins meant to pay for sending AGI robots to populate Mars and save humanity somehow.
Hyperloops on the Moon where self-driving EV cabs shuttle data centers around that mine cryptocoins meant to pay for sending AGI robots to populate Mars and save humanity somehow.
Wow, was not aware of how early it started, that it went up massively against Canada already under Biden. I guess the view of Europe is coming down from a peak during Trump I. Also weird how there's some traction with Democrats who I'd have expected to polarize in the opposite direction.
And the trend goes both ways, by the way.
The US government is telling Americans to hate Europeans and Canadians. And many have dutifully changed their opinions.
The US government is telling Americans to hate Europeans and Canadians. And many have dutifully changed their opinions.
February 7, 2026 at 12:54 AM
Wow, was not aware of how early it started, that it went up massively against Canada already under Biden. I guess the view of Europe is coming down from a peak during Trump I. Also weird how there's some traction with Democrats who I'd have expected to polarize in the opposite direction.
Just my personal experience. For many years, I was willing to engage with an American perspective, glossed over the ignorance with: Maybe there's a kernel of truth in it. By now, it is: Please add an "unsubscribe" button. It's like trying to get a second opinion from Scientology or Bigfoot hunters.
On the upside, it will make even those organizations suspect that accidentally align with their goals without receiving money. Would compare it to how it was with Soviet front organizations. Plus once the money stops, the whole sector collapses and never comes back as it is addicted to the inflows.
February 6, 2026 at 11:33 AM
Just my personal experience. For many years, I was willing to engage with an American perspective, glossed over the ignorance with: Maybe there's a kernel of truth in it. By now, it is: Please add an "unsubscribe" button. It's like trying to get a second opinion from Scientology or Bigfoot hunters.
Just saw a headline on Bloomberg about whether Europe has broken the "Trump code." I guess the Trump cipher is to replace lower case letters with upper case letters?
January 30, 2026 at 10:57 AM
Just saw a headline on Bloomberg about whether Europe has broken the "Trump code." I guess the Trump cipher is to replace lower case letters with upper case letters?
If this goes on, the Fed will have to step in to defend the peg to the Turkish Lira.
January 27, 2026 at 8:41 PM
If this goes on, the Fed will have to step in to defend the peg to the Turkish Lira.
Reposted
Reposted
Interesting argument about a possible deal where the US gets VZ and Russia gets UA. Some random thoughts.
First off: My hunch is there might really be one or even a wider secret clause with a sharpie line on a map, eg. US = Americas + Western Europe as a protectorate, RU = SU + former Warsaw Pact).
First off: My hunch is there might really be one or even a wider secret clause with a sharpie line on a map, eg. US = Americas + Western Europe as a protectorate, RU = SU + former Warsaw Pact).
Long thread:
There is no proof that the "Venezuela for Ukraine" swap that Fiona Hill described in her 2019 testimony was ever completed, but there are signs that it is beginning to play out.
Two weeks before US troops nabbed Maduro and his wife, Russia pulled all of its people out of Venezuela.
1/
There is no proof that the "Venezuela for Ukraine" swap that Fiona Hill described in her 2019 testimony was ever completed, but there are signs that it is beginning to play out.
Two weeks before US troops nabbed Maduro and his wife, Russia pulled all of its people out of Venezuela.
1/
January 8, 2026 at 5:45 PM
Interesting argument about a possible deal where the US gets VZ and Russia gets UA. Some random thoughts.
First off: My hunch is there might really be one or even a wider secret clause with a sharpie line on a map, eg. US = Americas + Western Europe as a protectorate, RU = SU + former Warsaw Pact).
First off: My hunch is there might really be one or even a wider secret clause with a sharpie line on a map, eg. US = Americas + Western Europe as a protectorate, RU = SU + former Warsaw Pact).
Though I suspect the original name was "Northern 20-Inch White Crusader Steel Sledgehammer", but they asked him in the Signal chat to tone it down a bit.
His contribution was perhaps to name it "Northern Hammer." So Hegseth.
January 4, 2026 at 7:37 PM
Though I suspect the original name was "Northern 20-Inch White Crusader Steel Sledgehammer", but they asked him in the Signal chat to tone it down a bit.
Also something like a week before, when Zhirinovsky blabbed out the exact date. My misunderstanding was: I expected an invasion each year of Trump I. So when it was Biden, a unified NATO again, I concluded Putin would not be so stupid to ignore that. But he did. Still unsure why he waited so long.
As someone who doubted that Putin would invade until a week before he did because he simply did not allot enough troops to achieve a stable occupation, the core lesson from 2022 is that even if a course of action is strategically stupid doesn't mean that a solipsistically deluded leader won't do it
ok so maybe I was wrong when I said Putin would never invade. and maybe I was wrong when I said Putin will win in a week and we should not help. But now we’re here, and I'm going to tell you what putin is thinking, and I’m going to do it in the most patronizing way possible
December 18, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Also something like a week before, when Zhirinovsky blabbed out the exact date. My misunderstanding was: I expected an invasion each year of Trump I. So when it was Biden, a unified NATO again, I concluded Putin would not be so stupid to ignore that. But he did. Still unsure why he waited so long.
Reposted
“A second inflatable frog has now been spotted wiggling through Portland.”
October 8, 2025 at 10:54 PM
“A second inflatable frog has now been spotted wiggling through Portland.”
Also the other charts people post in the comment. Fits my intuition that bond markets tend to be less untethered from reality. But also interesting how the British stock market correctly reflects that Unternehmen Barbarossa is a colossal failure despite its initial successes.
Apropos of nothing, a reminder that German stock markets kept climbing in an almost uninterrupted fashion in the run-up to WW2. Investors are really, really bad at pricing serious institutional and political risks.
August 26, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Also the other charts people post in the comment. Fits my intuition that bond markets tend to be less untethered from reality. But also interesting how the British stock market correctly reflects that Unternehmen Barbarossa is a colossal failure despite its initial successes.
Reposted
To stop the war in Ukraine text STOP to VLADIMIR
To stop the tariff war with China text STOP to XI
To stop the tariff war with China text STOP to XI
April 25, 2025 at 9:35 AM
To stop the war in Ukraine text STOP to VLADIMIR
To stop the tariff war with China text STOP to XI
To stop the tariff war with China text STOP to XI
Wonder what inspired me six years ago. It was buried so deep on YouTube I had forgotten about the piece myself.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMv2...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMv2...
Meta-Funk: The Art of No Deal
YouTube video by Kapitalistenschweine
www.youtube.com
April 24, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Wonder what inspired me six years ago. It was buried so deep on YouTube I had forgotten about the piece myself.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMv2...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMv2...
Had to laugh so hard at this on Bloomberg, something like "US asked China to request a call."
Isn't that that the US requested a call? It is like "I ask you to request a date from me."
Isn't that that the US requested a call? It is like "I ask you to request a date from me."
April 11, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Had to laugh so hard at this on Bloomberg, something like "US asked China to request a call."
Isn't that that the US requested a call? It is like "I ask you to request a date from me."
Isn't that that the US requested a call? It is like "I ask you to request a date from me."
Reposted
I see we've reached the "don't worry, the Finance Minister is a Western-educated former fund manager" stage of the emerging market crisis playbook.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
April 11, 2025 at 8:38 AM
I see we've reached the "don't worry, the Finance Minister is a Western-educated former fund manager" stage of the emerging market crisis playbook.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Reposted
Final_Version_of_Tarrifs_actualFINALcopy_version7_USETHISONE.docx
April 9, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Final_Version_of_Tarrifs_actualFINALcopy_version7_USETHISONE.docx
Reposted
My translation of a viral Japanese meme summarizing decades of U.S. complaints about Japan not buying enough American cars (while not making the kind of cars Japanese consumers actually want):
April 8, 2025 at 1:48 PM
My translation of a viral Japanese meme summarizing decades of U.S. complaints about Japan not buying enough American cars (while not making the kind of cars Japanese consumers actually want):
Reposted
It’s the stupid, economy.
April 8, 2025 at 10:10 PM
It’s the stupid, economy.
Now 28 days for the initial prediction: Looks pretty exact with Musk turning against Navarro and Trump's tariffs.
I don't think I am that clairvoyant actually. When I wrote it, my hunch was that I would be proven right, but it might as well take three or six months.
I don't think I am that clairvoyant actually. When I wrote it, my hunch was that I would be proven right, but it might as well take three or six months.
It was a bold bet 22 days ago. I may misread the development. But am I completely wrong that Musk's role is not as dominant as it was? His failure in Wisconsin shows he has no Wunderwaffe to bail Trump out. Exploding rockets and imploding Tesla sales do not help either.
As kind of a bet: very soon = within a month or two. Could be in stages: Cut out of the inner circle, subordinate to cabinet ministers, DOGE has to produce boring reports with no relevance. Reminds me so of Bannon in the first term whose role was also vastly overestimated.
April 9, 2025 at 12:29 AM
Now 28 days for the initial prediction: Looks pretty exact with Musk turning against Navarro and Trump's tariffs.
I don't think I am that clairvoyant actually. When I wrote it, my hunch was that I would be proven right, but it might as well take three or six months.
I don't think I am that clairvoyant actually. When I wrote it, my hunch was that I would be proven right, but it might as well take three or six months.
It was a bold bet 22 days ago. I may misread the development. But am I completely wrong that Musk's role is not as dominant as it was? His failure in Wisconsin shows he has no Wunderwaffe to bail Trump out. Exploding rockets and imploding Tesla sales do not help either.
As kind of a bet: very soon = within a month or two. Could be in stages: Cut out of the inner circle, subordinate to cabinet ministers, DOGE has to produce boring reports with no relevance. Reminds me so of Bannon in the first term whose role was also vastly overestimated.
April 2, 2025 at 2:25 PM
It was a bold bet 22 days ago. I may misread the development. But am I completely wrong that Musk's role is not as dominant as it was? His failure in Wisconsin shows he has no Wunderwaffe to bail Trump out. Exploding rockets and imploding Tesla sales do not help either.
I found it notable that Zelensky stressed the "soon" here. Could mean many things:
1 - in any event: feeding the paranoia
2 - he knows something about Putin's health
3 - Ukraine taking aim at him personally
4 - they know someone else is planning a coup/assassination
5 - a mix of 3 & 4
1 - in any event: feeding the paranoia
2 - he knows something about Putin's health
3 - Ukraine taking aim at him personally
4 - they know someone else is planning a coup/assassination
5 - a mix of 3 & 4
Zelensky's "he will die soon" doing a number. Everybody thought it was about health, but it is perhaps more about feeding the paranoia.
March 30, 2025 at 9:07 AM
I found it notable that Zelensky stressed the "soon" here. Could mean many things:
1 - in any event: feeding the paranoia
2 - he knows something about Putin's health
3 - Ukraine taking aim at him personally
4 - they know someone else is planning a coup/assassination
5 - a mix of 3 & 4
1 - in any event: feeding the paranoia
2 - he knows something about Putin's health
3 - Ukraine taking aim at him personally
4 - they know someone else is planning a coup/assassination
5 - a mix of 3 & 4
Reposted
Trump administration meets the first rule of European politics:
|￣￣￣￣￣￣|
| TROIKA |
| ALWAYS |
| WINS |
| ＿＿＿＿＿_|
(\__/) ||
(•ㅅ•) ||
/ づ
|￣￣￣￣￣￣|
| TROIKA |
| ALWAYS |
| WINS |
| ＿＿＿＿＿_|
(\__/) ||
(•ㅅ•) ||
/ づ
According to the Financial Times, the European Union rejected Russia's demand for a ceasefire in exchange for lifting sanctions.
The EU stated that sanctions would remain in place until the complete and unconditional withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine.
www.ft.com/content/f5fe...
The EU stated that sanctions would remain in place until the complete and unconditional withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine.
www.ft.com/content/f5fe...
March 26, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Trump administration meets the first rule of European politics:
|￣￣￣￣￣￣|
| TROIKA |
| ALWAYS |
| WINS |
| ＿＿＿＿＿_|
(\__/) ||
(•ㅅ•) ||
/ づ
|￣￣￣￣￣￣|
| TROIKA |
| ALWAYS |
| WINS |
| ＿＿＿＿＿_|
(\__/) ||
(•ㅅ•) ||
/ づ
Reposted
