Tobias Forsnacke
@forsno.bsky.social
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
"The result of a consistent and total substitution of lies for factual truth is not that the lie will now be accepted as truth and truth be defamed as lie, but that the sense by which we take our bearings in the real world —...
January 24, 2026 at 10:18 PM
"The result of a consistent and total substitution of lies for factual truth is not that the lie will now be accepted as truth and truth be defamed as lie, but that the sense by which we take our bearings in the real world —...
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Europeans and Canadians have spent the last year trying to engage with the Trump administration seriously on the most important and sensitive issues of security and international stability. The people they're dealing with are profoundly ignorant, and don't think that matters.
January 24, 2026 at 2:42 PM
Europeans and Canadians have spent the last year trying to engage with the Trump administration seriously on the most important and sensitive issues of security and international stability. The people they're dealing with are profoundly ignorant, and don't think that matters.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
The Trump administration apparently blinking first on economic war with Europe is good news. If everyone can slow-walk talks on a "deal" it will be even better. But it would be dangerous to assume the crisis is definitely over. And I don't think the damage to NATO can be undone.
January 21, 2026 at 10:03 PM
The Trump administration apparently blinking first on economic war with Europe is good news. If everyone can slow-walk talks on a "deal" it will be even better. But it would be dangerous to assume the crisis is definitely over. And I don't think the damage to NATO can be undone.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
So, if I understand correctly, the US needs to own Greenland because of the threats from new weapons belong to *checks notes* the US, and from Russia and China whose military technology is apparently a bit rubbish. Makes perfect sense.
January 21, 2026 at 2:48 PM
So, if I understand correctly, the US needs to own Greenland because of the threats from new weapons belong to *checks notes* the US, and from Russia and China whose military technology is apparently a bit rubbish. Makes perfect sense.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
If all this is really about bolstering Greenland's capabilities, as Graham is claiming, why is the White House so angry about other NATO states bolstering Greenland's capabilities? And why couldn't the US have done it within existing frameworks that allow for a US military presence?
January 21, 2026 at 12:33 PM
If all this is really about bolstering Greenland's capabilities, as Graham is claiming, why is the White House so angry about other NATO states bolstering Greenland's capabilities? And why couldn't the US have done it within existing frameworks that allow for a US military presence?
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
In the year since Trump's 2nd inauguration, things have been as bad as the worst projections of the most pessimistic of us, and they are rapidly getting worse. But at least the extremity of the crisis has finally forced key European figures to acknowledge where we are.
Europe is facing its most dangerous moment since the early 1940s: its primary security relationship is, at best, severely compromised and its primary threat, Russia, thinks that it now has influence in the White House.
January 20, 2026 at 3:11 PM
In the year since Trump's 2nd inauguration, things have been as bad as the worst projections of the most pessimistic of us, and they are rapidly getting worse. But at least the extremity of the crisis has finally forced key European figures to acknowledge where we are.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Update to Nixon's Madman Theory: now with no theory, but with an actual madman.
January 19, 2026 at 10:39 AM
Update to Nixon's Madman Theory: now with no theory, but with an actual madman.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
To all actors who have played crazy tyrannical megalomaniac monarchs, I sincerely apologize that events have overtaken your parody and exaggeration. Please try harder to be unrealistic next time.
January 19, 2026 at 7:11 AM
To all actors who have played crazy tyrannical megalomaniac monarchs, I sincerely apologize that events have overtaken your parody and exaggeration. Please try harder to be unrealistic next time.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Detta är fullständigt vansinne.
January 19, 2026 at 8:21 AM
Detta är fullständigt vansinne.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Europeans need to accept that NATO only exists now as a zombie alliance being used to undermine their own security from Ukraine to Greenland.
January 17, 2026 at 5:07 PM
Europeans need to accept that NATO only exists now as a zombie alliance being used to undermine their own security from Ukraine to Greenland.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Jaha, det var det, han har tappat det. Dags för mest omfattande möjliga frikoppling tills dess att amerikanerna tagit sitt förnuft till fånga och styrt upp sin egen jäkla röra för en gångs skull.
January 17, 2026 at 5:04 PM
Jaha, det var det, han har tappat det. Dags för mest omfattande möjliga frikoppling tills dess att amerikanerna tagit sitt förnuft till fånga och styrt upp sin egen jäkla röra för en gångs skull.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Trump can put a million-percent tariffs on Denmark, and it still doesn't change the answer about Greenland. There are only two possible endings to this bizarre story. Either Trump gives up, or else he goes through with a military invasion.
January 17, 2026 at 5:05 PM
Trump can put a million-percent tariffs on Denmark, and it still doesn't change the answer about Greenland. There are only two possible endings to this bizarre story. Either Trump gives up, or else he goes through with a military invasion.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Trump slaps allies with Greenland tariffs. From Feb 1, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, UK, Netherlands, and Finland face 10% on all exports. June 1, it jumps to 25%.
January 17, 2026 at 4:37 PM
Trump slaps allies with Greenland tariffs. From Feb 1, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, UK, Netherlands, and Finland face 10% on all exports. June 1, it jumps to 25%.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Hopefully, this will signal to the EU that the time has come to rhreaten the US with massive tariffs vs US digital services companies doing business in the EU if the US tries to annex Greenland. Note: the EU is the US's largest export market for services in general & digital ones in particular
President Donald Trump said Friday he is considering applying new tariffs on countries that oppose his ambition of annexing Greenland. https://cnn.it/4jN0jM8
January 16, 2026 at 9:53 PM
Hopefully, this will signal to the EU that the time has come to rhreaten the US with massive tariffs vs US digital services companies doing business in the EU if the US tries to annex Greenland. Note: the EU is the US's largest export market for services in general & digital ones in particular
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Basically Trump is threatening to sanction NATO unless NATO commits suicide.
And people still think he might sanction Russia. He is doing Putin’s work.
And people still think he might sanction Russia. He is doing Putin’s work.
⚡️ Trump floats tariffs on countries opposing his Greenland ambitions.
"I may put a tariff on countries if they don't go along with Greenland, because we need Greenland for national security. So I may do that," Trump said.
"I may put a tariff on countries if they don't go along with Greenland, because we need Greenland for national security. So I may do that," Trump said.
Trump floats tariffs on countries opposing his Greenland ambitions
"I may put a tariff on countries if they don't go along with Greenland, because we need Greenland for national security. So I may do that," Trump said.
kyivindependent.com
January 16, 2026 at 11:06 PM
Basically Trump is threatening to sanction NATO unless NATO commits suicide.
And people still think he might sanction Russia. He is doing Putin’s work.
And people still think he might sanction Russia. He is doing Putin’s work.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Europeans have real leverage in the face of Donald Trump’s threats towards Greenland and time on their side. They must use it to raise the prospective costs of annexation. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ecfr.eu/article/arct...
ecfr.eu/article/arct...
Arctic hold‘em: Ten European cards in Greenland – European Council on Foreign Relations
Europeans have real leverage in the face of Donald Trump’s threats towards Greenland—and time on their side. They must use it to raise the prospective costs of
ecfr.eu
January 16, 2026 at 9:59 AM
Europeans have real leverage in the face of Donald Trump’s threats towards Greenland and time on their side. They must use it to raise the prospective costs of annexation. @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social
ecfr.eu/article/arct...
ecfr.eu/article/arct...
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
The idea that Russia - a state that has spent almost four years throwing everything it has at conquering its neighbour, and failing - is remotely capable of invading Greenland, or is going to be in the foreseeable future, is ludicrous.
January 14, 2026 at 5:51 PM
The idea that Russia - a state that has spent almost four years throwing everything it has at conquering its neighbour, and failing - is remotely capable of invading Greenland, or is going to be in the foreseeable future, is ludicrous.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Calling Trump :Daddy' won't do the trick
The military alliance is yet to issue a public statement asserting the territorial integrity of the Arctic island and kingdom of Denmark ft.trib.al/Ku974sr
January 11, 2026 at 1:31 PM
Calling Trump :Daddy' won't do the trick
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Efter att ha sett gossarna från stormakt väst försöka låta bli att dratta på ända de välskottade fem meterna mellan bilen och Högfjllshotellets entré kan jag tänka att de borde tagga ner om Grönland.
January 11, 2026 at 11:39 AM
Efter att ha sett gossarna från stormakt väst försöka låta bli att dratta på ända de välskottade fem meterna mellan bilen och Högfjllshotellets entré kan jag tänka att de borde tagga ner om Grönland.
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Had a session with @pkrugman.bsky.social where we discussed US foreign policy and world
affairs. Hopefully interesting if not entirely uplifting. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
affairs. Hopefully interesting if not entirely uplifting. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Phillips O'Brien on Venezuela and More
And why America wins battles but loses wars
open.substack.com
January 10, 2026 at 2:07 PM
Had a session with @pkrugman.bsky.social where we discussed US foreign policy and world
affairs. Hopefully interesting if not entirely uplifting. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
affairs. Hopefully interesting if not entirely uplifting. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Madness, UK and France should ensure greater versatility and credibility of their nuclear deterrents at all levels.
I am not convinced that having strategic nuclear weapons will deter an enemy using tactical nuclear weapons especially on allies
I am not convinced that having strategic nuclear weapons will deter an enemy using tactical nuclear weapons especially on allies
The government has said it has no plans to expand the UK’s nuclear deterrent beyond its submarine-based system.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/?p=65521
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/?p=65521
UK rules out expanding nuclear deterrent via F-35A
The government has said it has no plans to expand the UK’s nuclear deterrent beyond its submarine-based system.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
January 10, 2026 at 12:53 PM
Madness, UK and France should ensure greater versatility and credibility of their nuclear deterrents at all levels.
I am not convinced that having strategic nuclear weapons will deter an enemy using tactical nuclear weapons especially on allies
I am not convinced that having strategic nuclear weapons will deter an enemy using tactical nuclear weapons especially on allies
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Lyssnar på Aktuellt och min enkla uppmaning är: Köp inte det ryska narrativet om nattens anfall mot Ukraina!
Nattens anfall var mindre än många tidigare med robotbanor enligt kartan.
RS-26 Oreshnik (röd linje mot Lviv) är inget wunderwaffe som Ryssland gärna vill påskina. Det är dock ett …
Nattens anfall var mindre än många tidigare med robotbanor enligt kartan.
RS-26 Oreshnik (röd linje mot Lviv) är inget wunderwaffe som Ryssland gärna vill påskina. Det är dock ett …
January 9, 2026 at 8:39 PM
Lyssnar på Aktuellt och min enkla uppmaning är: Köp inte det ryska narrativet om nattens anfall mot Ukraina!
Nattens anfall var mindre än många tidigare med robotbanor enligt kartan.
RS-26 Oreshnik (röd linje mot Lviv) är inget wunderwaffe som Ryssland gärna vill påskina. Det är dock ett …
Nattens anfall var mindre än många tidigare med robotbanor enligt kartan.
RS-26 Oreshnik (röd linje mot Lviv) är inget wunderwaffe som Ryssland gärna vill påskina. Det är dock ett …
Reposted by Tobias Forsnacke
Lots of talk again about China, the US, and Russia dividing the world into spheres of influence. One problem with this idea is that after 30 years of trying, Russia's sphere is limited to Belarus, Georgia, and 20% of Ukraine. Another is that if China has a sphere, it includes Russia.
January 7, 2026 at 4:07 PM
Lots of talk again about China, the US, and Russia dividing the world into spheres of influence. One problem with this idea is that after 30 years of trying, Russia's sphere is limited to Belarus, Georgia, and 20% of Ukraine. Another is that if China has a sphere, it includes Russia.