François Heisbourg

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 8h

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1445

1. Two bad nights countrywide

Friday: 200 Shahed, 22 leakers
0/2 Kinzhal, 0/5 Kh-59/59

Saturday: 250 Shahed, 44 leakers
14/21 Kh-101
10/16 Kalibr
0/2 Zircon
24 missiles down out of 39

2. Redkino chemical processes plant hit & ablaze (Tver oblast)

WarTranslated (Dmitri) @wartranslated.bsky.social · 9h

Russia fired over 400 drones and around 40 missiles at Ukraine overnight targeting energy infrastructure according to President Zelensky. Energy facilities were hit across eight regions along with homes and a school.

Euronews @euronews.com · 10h

The German army brigade in Lithuania is not under fire, but it is under hybrid attack. Soldiers report mysterious phone calls, and drones appear to be spying on manoeuvres. How should the Bundeswehr and NATO respond?

No front line: Russia's hybrid pressure on German army in Lithuania

The German army brigade in Lithuania is not under fire, but it is under hybrid attack. Soldiers report mysterious phone calls, and drones appear to be spying on manoeuvres. How should the Bundeswehr and NATO respond?

l.euronews.com

Agence France-Presse @afp.com · 22h

Groenland: les consulats de France et du Canada, qui s'opposent au projet de l'administration Trump de prendre le contrôle du Groenland, ont été inaugurés vendredi dans la capitale de l'immense territoire arctique, ont constaté des journalistes de l'AFP.

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

1st deputy head of GRU

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 1d

⚡️ BREAKING: Russian General Vladimir Alekseev shot multiple times in Moscow, Russian media reports.

He has been rushed to hospital and the gunman fled the scene, according to reports.

BREAKING: Russian General Vladimir Alekseev shot multiple times in Moscow, Russian media reports

He has been rushed to hospital and the gunman fled the scene, according to reports.

kyivindependent.com

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

5. General Grynkewich, CINCEUCOM & SACEUR announces resumption of pre-war hi-level US military talks with 🇷🇺 from Abu Dhabi after meeting wirh Russian & Ukrainians there

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1444

1. Flamingo rocket hits Kapustin Yar launch facilities

2. Trump supports Orban in 🇭🇺 April elex
3. Trump pushes new nuclear treaty after New START expiry
4. No progress after Abu Dhabi trilateral apart from POW exchange
5. Late morning missile+drone strikes vs🇺🇦. No numbers yet

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1444

1. Flamingo rocket hits Kapustin Yar launch facilities

2. Trump supports Orban in 🇭🇺 April elex
3. Trump pushes new nuclear treaty after New START expiry
4. No progress after Abu Dhabi trilateral apart from POW exchange
5. Late morning missile+drone strikes vs🇺🇦. No numbers yet

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 1d

⚡️ BREAKING: Russian General Vladimir Alekseev shot multiple times in Moscow, Russian media reports.

He has been rushed to hospital and the gunman fled the scene, according to reports.

BREAKING: Russian General Vladimir Alekseev shot multiple times in Moscow, Russian media reports

He has been rushed to hospital and the gunman fled the scene, according to reports.

kyivindependent.com

WarTranslated (Dmitri) @wartranslated.bsky.social · 1d

Satellite images confirm the FP-5 Flamingo strike on Russia's Kapustin Yar, where Oreshnik missiles are launched. Damage visible at the 28th complex, likely from the 1-ton warhead, Defense Express reports.

en.defence-ua.com/analysis/ukr...

Financial Times @financialtimes.com · 1d

International travel to the US has plunged in the first year of Donald Trump’s second term, as the president has overseen a dramatic expansion of immigration enforcement, mounting scrutiny at the border and global tariffs. ft.trib.al/qS5dOcd

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

Trump has ceasd necessary equipment since last October (only Europe has been providing it (including arms bought by Europe)

Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 2d

I think you know the answer. The “negotiations” have been an excuse to hold back necessary equipment and aid.

Oleksandra Matviichuk @avalaina.bsky.social · 3d

I am a Ukrainian Nobel Peace Prize Laureate. I have a question.

Why has Trump's year of negotiations been the deadliest for civilians in Ukraine since the full-scale invasion? The number of deaths and injuries has increased by 31 percent compared to the previous year.

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 1d

Indeed

Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 2d

I wrote this in May 2025. The same "peace talks" farce is still going. All that happened in the last 9 months is a lot more people dead, a lot more suffering for innocent Ukrainians, and the US threatening NATO allies and undermining the Western alliance.

Full thing here: www.ms.now/opinion/msnb...

"Russia pretends it’s interested in peace to perpetuate the absurd narrative that Russia’s war isn’t Russia’s fault.

The U.S. pretends Russia is interested in peace to perpetuate the absurd narrative that Trump is pursuing peace and advancing American interests, rather than hoping to see Russia’s aggression succeed as his actions indicate.

And Ukraine pretends the Trump administration is pursuing a just peace to counter the absurd narrative that Ukraine is somehow the obstacle to peace, hoping that the umpteenth failure of peace talks will convince America and enough of the world that the obstacle now is what it has been the whole time: Putin and Russia."

From: https://www.ms.now/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trumps-russia-ukraine-peace-talks-are-farce-rcna207156

Poulet Volant @pouletvolant3.bsky.social · 2d

Guerre d'Ukraine | 04/02/26

Secteurs :
🌐 Sloviansk-Siversk🔹U260204-1828
🌐 Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad-Rodynske🔹U260204-1830

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

POLITICO Europe @politico.eu · 2d

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov slammed French efforts to resuscitate dialogue between Emmanuel Macron and Vladimir Putin as “pathetic” just days after the French president’s top diplomatic adviser traveled to Moscow for high-level talks.

Russia’s Lavrov calls French diplomatic efforts ‘pathetic’ after Macron adviser’s Moscow visit

“If you want to call and have a serious conversation, then call. Putin will always pick up the phone,” Russian foreign minister says in an interview with state media.

www.politico.eu

Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 2d

I wrote this in May 2025. The same "peace talks" farce is still going. All that happened in the last 9 months is a lot more people dead, a lot more suffering for innocent Ukrainians, and the US threatening NATO allies and undermining the Western alliance.

Full thing here: www.ms.now/opinion/msnb...

Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 2d

I think you know the answer. The “negotiations” have been an excuse to hold back necessary equipment and aid.

Oleksandra Matviichuk @avalaina.bsky.social · 3d

I am a Ukrainian Nobel Peace Prize Laureate. I have a question.

Why has Trump's year of negotiations been the deadliest for civilians in Ukraine since the full-scale invasion? The number of deaths and injuries has increased by 31 percent compared to the previous year.

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 2d

Spellcheck sometimes understands what needs to be done...

agtomcat.bsky.social @agtomcat.bsky.social · 3d

"Purin" in French means waste, manure.
Amusing typo 😉

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 2d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1443

1. NEw START treaty expired at midnight. Pope Leo XIV stresses proliferation risk

2. Second trilateral US🇷🇺🇺🇦 discussion in Abu Dhabi

3. 110 Shaheds launched, 17 leakers. 2 Iskander-M strike

4. Zelensky tells French TV 55 000 UAF KIA since 2022, plus non military victims

Savchenko Volodymyr @savchenkoua.bsky.social · 3d

📉 Russia's oil and gas revenues fell by half in January on an annual basis to their lowest level since July 2020, - Reuters.

These revenues are crucial for Russia's state budget, which is projected to have a deficit of 5.6 trillion rubles, or 2.6% of GDP, in 2025.

agtomcat.bsky.social @agtomcat.bsky.social · 3d

"Purin" in French means waste, manure.
Amusing typo 😉

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 3d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1442

1. Trump says Purin kept his word re energy truce

2. 🇺🇦 progresses in Kupiansk shielded by 🇩🇰 🇸🇪 air defence unit

3. 17 Shahed leakers out of ~70

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 3d

⚡️Putin 'kept his word' — Trump reacts to latest Russian strike on Ukraine.

U.S. President Donald Trump said that Vladimir Putin had "kept his word" on a temporary truce on strikes against Ukraine's energy infrastructure, remarks that came after Russia targeted Ukraine's power plants overnight.

Putin 'kept his word' — Trump reacts to latest Russian strike on Ukraine

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Feb. 3 that Vladimir Putin had "kept his word" on a temporary truce on strikes against Ukraine's energy infrastructure, remarks that came after Russia targeted Ukra...

kyivindependent.com

AFP News Agency @en.afp.com · 3d

White House says talks with Tehran this week are still on, even after a US warplane shot down an Iranian drone that approached an aircraft carrier in the region.
u.afp.com/S2QC

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 3d

Rappel: à travers sa participation au programme Manhattan & les installations de Chalk River, le Canada avait jadis accumulé une grosse expertise nucléaire notamment le retraitement du combustible irradié avec l'équipe des atomistes français (cf Bertrand Goldschmidt, inventeur du procédé PUREX)

La Presse @lapresse.ca · 4d

Propos du général Wayne Eyre | Pas question d’adopter l’arme nucléaire, tranche le ministre de la Défense

« Le Canada n’a aucunement l’intention de poursuivre des armes nucléaires », a déclaré sans aucune hésitation le ministre de la Défense nationale du Canada, David McGuinty.

www.lapresse.ca

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 4d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1441

1. No energy cease fire as 300 hundred Shahed (31 hits) and 71 missiles launched (38 down) vs 🇺🇦 . Here's the tally:
20/28 Kh-101 Iskander-K
11/ 32 Iskander-M
4/4 Onyx/Zircon
3/7 Kh-22/32

2. 50 k houses without power in Odesa

The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 4d

⚡️ West agrees to respond militarily to Russia's ceasefire violations in Ukraine, FT reports.

A more extensive Russian attack would trigger a coordinated Western-led military response backed by U.S. forces, initiated 72 hours after the initial breach, the Financial Times reported.

West to respond militarily to Russia's ceasefire violations in Ukraine, FT reports

A more extensive Russian attack would trigger a coordinated Western-led military response backed by the U.S. military, initiated 72 hours after the initial breach, the Financial Times reported.

kyivindependent.com

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 5d

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 1440

1. 24% of Kyiv housing still without heating
2. Nine more IRIS-T to 🇺🇦
3. ~100 Shahed launched, 12 leakers

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 5d

A combination to be found only in the Trumpian US: free‐range measles and ICE

Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 5d

Horrifying. ICE confirms measles outbreak at Dilley family detention center. www.cbsnews.com/news/ice-dil...

ICE halts "all movement" at Texas detention facility due to measles infections

The measles cases at the Dilley Immigration Processing Center were detected Friday, Department of Homeland Security spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin said in a statement to CBS News.

www.cbsnews.com

Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 5d

Horrifying. ICE confirms measles outbreak at Dilley family detention center. www.cbsnews.com/news/ice-dil...

ICE halts "all movement" at Texas detention facility due to measles infections

The measles cases at the Dilley Immigration Processing Center were detected Friday, Department of Homeland Security spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin said in a statement to CBS News.

www.cbsnews.com

François Heisbourg @fheisbourg.bsky.social · 5d

The bigger issue than these national differences is that Europe needs to spend money now to face off Russia and operate without the US in by the turn of the decade not to develop a plane for the 2050s. It's called prioritising

Géopolitique @geopolitique.bsky.social · 5d

Après les problèmes franco-allemands du Scaf, l'autre futur avion de combat, Tempest développé par le Royaume-Uni, l'Italie et le Japon, est mal embarqué. / Le ministre italien de la Défense a affirmé que le Royaume-Uni n'en faisait pas assez pour partager sa technologie de pointe

‘Madness’: Italy’s Crosetto slams British secrecy on GCAP fighter jet

“It’s a huge favor to the Russians and the Chinese,” the defense minister told Defense News.

www.defensenews.com

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