dyrehaugen
@dyrehaugen.bsky.social
Trying to understand the world
Reposted by dyrehaugen
New book: An Introduction to Ergodicity Economics
A new textbook by SFI External Professor Ole Peters and Alexander Adamou re-examines core assumptions in economic theory. It presents a formal challenge to expected-value thinking and shows how non-ergodicity can arise naturally in economic models.
A new textbook by SFI External Professor Ole Peters and Alexander Adamou re-examines core assumptions in economic theory. It presents a formal challenge to expected-value thinking and shows how non-ergodicity can arise naturally in economic models.
New book: Introduction to Ergodicity Economics
An Introduction to Ergodicity Economics is a new textbook that draws on physics to re-examine traditional economic theory. It begins with flipping a coin. And a hypothetical gambit. Imagine you were o...
www.santafe.edu
December 18, 2025 at 7:07 PM
New book: An Introduction to Ergodicity Economics
A new textbook by SFI External Professor Ole Peters and Alexander Adamou re-examines core assumptions in economic theory. It presents a formal challenge to expected-value thinking and shows how non-ergodicity can arise naturally in economic models.
A new textbook by SFI External Professor Ole Peters and Alexander Adamou re-examines core assumptions in economic theory. It presents a formal challenge to expected-value thinking and shows how non-ergodicity can arise naturally in economic models.
DEUTSCHLAND'S ZUKUNFT: INDUSTRIMUSEUM
Energie, Digitalisierung, Mobilität—Deutschland steckt tief in einer Transformationskrise. Wer wissen wollte wie tief, sah gestern Merz den Vorgestrigen über die Zukunft Deutschlands reden. Mit diesem Kanzler hat Deutschland unter den Technologienationen bestenfalls eine Zukunft als Industriemuseum.
December 14, 2025 at 12:15 PM
DEUTSCHLAND'S ZUKUNFT: INDUSTRIMUSEUM
Reposted by dyrehaugen
A unique study of biodiversity in sub-Saharan Africa, in Nature, shows that the region has lost 24% of its biodiversity, and that over 80% of the remaining wild plants and animals live outside protected areas, meaning we have to re-think conservation in Africa.
Fig: Nature
buff.ly/l8g5vs2
Fig: Nature
buff.ly/l8g5vs2
December 10, 2025 at 7:14 AM
A unique study of biodiversity in sub-Saharan Africa, in Nature, shows that the region has lost 24% of its biodiversity, and that over 80% of the remaining wild plants and animals live outside protected areas, meaning we have to re-think conservation in Africa.
Fig: Nature
buff.ly/l8g5vs2
Fig: Nature
buff.ly/l8g5vs2
RUSSIA DEMOLISHES UKRAINE'S ENERGY SUPPLY, BUT IN THE WEST WE DON'T NEED MISSILES WHEN WE HAVE AI
"OpenAI uses as much electricity as New York City and San Diego combined, or as much as the total electricity demand of Switzerland and Portugal combined."
"OpenAI uses as much electricity as New York City and San Diego combined, or as much as the total electricity demand of Switzerland and Portugal combined."
December 9, 2025 at 9:57 AM
RUSSIA DEMOLISHES UKRAINE'S ENERGY SUPPLY, BUT IN THE WEST WE DON'T NEED MISSILES WHEN WE HAVE AI
"OpenAI uses as much electricity as New York City and San Diego combined, or as much as the total electricity demand of Switzerland and Portugal combined."
"OpenAI uses as much electricity as New York City and San Diego combined, or as much as the total electricity demand of Switzerland and Portugal combined."
Reposted by dyrehaugen
A sub-field of science looks at whether the Atlantic ocean circulation #AMOC has weakened. Direct measurements suggest yes but only started in 2004. So people look at temperature and salinity data.
A new study finds a robust slowdown fingerprint at 1000–2000 m depth.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
A new study finds a robust slowdown fingerprint at 1000–2000 m depth.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Equatorial Atlantic mid-depth warming indicates Atlantic meridional overturning circulation slowdown - Communications Earth & Environment
Mid-depth warming in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean serves as a fingerprint of a slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on decadal scales, according to ocean model experiments, and...
www.nature.com
November 28, 2025 at 10:45 AM
A sub-field of science looks at whether the Atlantic ocean circulation #AMOC has weakened. Direct measurements suggest yes but only started in 2004. So people look at temperature and salinity data.
A new study finds a robust slowdown fingerprint at 1000–2000 m depth.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
A new study finds a robust slowdown fingerprint at 1000–2000 m depth.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Each American pollutes the double of each Chinese
But what about China? We can't until China! Look at China!
[realizes mistake]
Slowly tries to crawl unnoticed back into own shell.
[realizes mistake]
Slowly tries to crawl unnoticed back into own shell.
November 16, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Each American pollutes the double of each Chinese
Reposted by dyrehaugen
“Flooded homes lose value. Overheated cities become uninhabitable. Entire asset classes are degrading in real time, which translates to loss of value, business interruption, & market devaluation on a systemic level"- Günther Thallinger
@kmac & I dig insurance: www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/ins...
@kmac & I dig insurance: www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/ins...
November 16, 2025 at 4:36 PM
“Flooded homes lose value. Overheated cities become uninhabitable. Entire asset classes are degrading in real time, which translates to loss of value, business interruption, & market devaluation on a systemic level"- Günther Thallinger
@kmac & I dig insurance: www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/ins...
@kmac & I dig insurance: www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/ins...
Remember Jane Jacobs: 'Specialization is fatal'
we shouldn't blame language, the problem we're in is that a significant part of the population is paid to handle producing language to organize things, and the language of the other part is totally impotent. The solution is to de-professionalize society.
November 15, 2025 at 8:12 AM
Remember Jane Jacobs: 'Specialization is fatal'
PUBLIC - NOT PRIVATE - INVESTMENT MUST INCREASE
“Private investment that is dependent on profitability is five times larger (15% of GDP) than public investment (3%). Only when that ratio is reversed can we start to get economic growth aimed at social needs and deal with climate crisis" (M.Roberts)
“Private investment that is dependent on profitability is five times larger (15% of GDP) than public investment (3%). Only when that ratio is reversed can we start to get economic growth aimed at social needs and deal with climate crisis" (M.Roberts)
November 13, 2025 at 6:13 PM
PUBLIC - NOT PRIVATE - INVESTMENT MUST INCREASE
“Private investment that is dependent on profitability is five times larger (15% of GDP) than public investment (3%). Only when that ratio is reversed can we start to get economic growth aimed at social needs and deal with climate crisis" (M.Roberts)
“Private investment that is dependent on profitability is five times larger (15% of GDP) than public investment (3%). Only when that ratio is reversed can we start to get economic growth aimed at social needs and deal with climate crisis" (M.Roberts)
TO CONTINUE INVESTING IN THE MAGNIFICIENT SEVEN THE NORWEGIAN SOUVEREIGN WEALTH FUND RECENTLY HAD TO DROPP ETHICS
Read: we can do whatever we want. Deal with it. * 02.25 article
futurism.com/google-quiet...
futurism.com/google-quiet...
Google Quietly Walks Back Promise Not To Use AI for Weapons or Harm
Google has quietly removed a clause stating it will not manufacture weapons or surveillance technology with AI.
futurism.com
November 11, 2025 at 7:51 AM
TO CONTINUE INVESTING IN THE MAGNIFICIENT SEVEN THE NORWEGIAN SOUVEREIGN WEALTH FUND RECENTLY HAD TO DROPP ETHICS
Reposted by dyrehaugen
"The good news is that these policies are highly popular and can form the basis of a winning political platform. Democratic socialism is a viable path — indeed, the only path — to a safe and just future."
tribunemag.co.uk/2025/09/can-...
tribunemag.co.uk/2025/09/can-...
Can Socialism Solve the Climate Crisis?
Governments globally are failing to combat climate change because they prioritise profit over the planet — for real change, the capitalist mode of production must be overhauled.
tribunemag.co.uk
November 10, 2025 at 4:13 PM
"The good news is that these policies are highly popular and can form the basis of a winning political platform. Democratic socialism is a viable path — indeed, the only path — to a safe and just future."
tribunemag.co.uk/2025/09/can-...
tribunemag.co.uk/2025/09/can-...
China is building a qualitatively different financial empire
How to make sense of China’s rise? For Phenomenal World I wrote something on its changing role in global finance.
China is not building a dollar-style empire of sprawling markets and speculative finance but something leaner, more functional & tightly managed.
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/a-s...
China is not building a dollar-style empire of sprawling markets and speculative finance but something leaner, more functional & tightly managed.
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/a-s...
November 10, 2025 at 10:17 AM
China is building a qualitatively different financial empire
Reposted by dyrehaugen
“based on expert analysis by AccuWeather, the preliminary damage and economic loss estimate for Jamaica is $22 billion.”
The island’s GDP is under $20 Billion .
In a different possible world, US would bail out Jamaica with 20 billion dollars, not MAGA Argentina
www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane...
The island’s GDP is under $20 Billion .
In a different possible world, US would bail out Jamaica with 20 billion dollars, not MAGA Argentina
www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane...
'Total devastation': Hurricane Melissa leaves trail of destruction, flooding in Jamaica
The most intense Atlantic hurricane of 2025 made landfall near New Hope, Jamaica, on Tuesday, followed by a second landfall in Cuba early on Wednesday as the monstrous storm sliced across the Caribbea...
www.accuweather.com
October 30, 2025 at 1:27 AM
“based on expert analysis by AccuWeather, the preliminary damage and economic loss estimate for Jamaica is $22 billion.”
The island’s GDP is under $20 Billion .
In a different possible world, US would bail out Jamaica with 20 billion dollars, not MAGA Argentina
www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane...
The island’s GDP is under $20 Billion .
In a different possible world, US would bail out Jamaica with 20 billion dollars, not MAGA Argentina
www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane...
Reposted by dyrehaugen
Where are we on climate action?
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
October 30, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Where are we on climate action?
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
Reposted by dyrehaugen
this is a very impressive analysis of some of the statistical "oddities" in Pielke Jr's analysis that normalized climate impacts are declining. Everyone should read this.
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
Roger Pielke Jr.’s Appallingly Bad Analysis of Billion Dollar Disasters – Economics from the Top Down
In a recent paper called Scientific integrity and U.S. “Billion Dollar Disasters”, Roger Pielke Jr. published a chart that's so bad I've devoted a whole essay to debunking it.
economicsfromthetopdown.com
October 29, 2025 at 1:53 AM
this is a very impressive analysis of some of the statistical "oddities" in Pielke Jr's analysis that normalized climate impacts are declining. Everyone should read this.
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
economicsfromthetopdown.com/2025/10/26/r...
Reposted by dyrehaugen
So for-profit AI companies have trained on the world's largest collaborative volunteer project and a precious free resource, to make money for their for-profit enterprises. They have crushed traffic to the volunteer project, starving it of donors and volunteers
www.404media.co/wikipedia-sa...
www.404media.co/wikipedia-sa...
Wikipedia Says AI Is Causing a Dangerous Decline in Human Visitors
“With fewer visits to Wikipedia, fewer volunteers may grow and enrich the content, and fewer individual donors may support this work.”
www.404media.co
October 17, 2025 at 2:28 PM
So for-profit AI companies have trained on the world's largest collaborative volunteer project and a precious free resource, to make money for their for-profit enterprises. They have crushed traffic to the volunteer project, starving it of donors and volunteers
www.404media.co/wikipedia-sa...
www.404media.co/wikipedia-sa...
Reposted by dyrehaugen
Good news: carbon intensity has declined
Bad news: carbon emissions increased, due to the rapid rise in world GDP
Also bad news: the chance of staying below 2°C remained low, at 17%
Better news: chance of going above 3°C has gone down substantially, from 26% to 9%
Bad news: carbon emissions increased, due to the rapid rise in world GDP
Also bad news: the chance of staying below 2°C remained low, at 17%
Better news: chance of going above 3°C has gone down substantially, from 26% to 9%
Mitigation efforts to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and meet the Paris Agreement have been offset by economic growth - Communications Earth & Environment
Global carbon dioxide intensity declined from 2015 to 2024 following the Paris Agreement, but total emissions still increased due to economic growth, according to a global analysis of population, gros...
www.nature.com
October 18, 2025 at 2:22 PM
Good news: carbon intensity has declined
Bad news: carbon emissions increased, due to the rapid rise in world GDP
Also bad news: the chance of staying below 2°C remained low, at 17%
Better news: chance of going above 3°C has gone down substantially, from 26% to 9%
Bad news: carbon emissions increased, due to the rapid rise in world GDP
Also bad news: the chance of staying below 2°C remained low, at 17%
Better news: chance of going above 3°C has gone down substantially, from 26% to 9%
Economics Nobel today goes to Mokyr, Aghion and Howitt for work on sustained economic growth.
The Nobel Committee in their 51 page assessment document mentions the word 'ENERGY' once.
We can be sure - even after today's prize economists do not understand economic growth.
The Nobel Committee in their 51 page assessment document mentions the word 'ENERGY' once.
We can be sure - even after today's prize economists do not understand economic growth.
October 13, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Economics Nobel today goes to Mokyr, Aghion and Howitt for work on sustained economic growth.
The Nobel Committee in their 51 page assessment document mentions the word 'ENERGY' once.
We can be sure - even after today's prize economists do not understand economic growth.
The Nobel Committee in their 51 page assessment document mentions the word 'ENERGY' once.
We can be sure - even after today's prize economists do not understand economic growth.
Reposted by dyrehaugen
Godt spørsmål, og tydelig svar. Uten ny naturpolitikk med #arealnøytralitet som prinsipp er det vanskelig å snu trenden.
Til sammenlikning har Sveits krav om arealnøytralitet, planvask og maks 20% hytter i hver kommune, og bygger ned minst i Europa. agendamagasin.no/debatt/hvorf...
Til sammenlikning har Sveits krav om arealnøytralitet, planvask og maks 20% hytter i hver kommune, og bygger ned minst i Europa. agendamagasin.no/debatt/hvorf...
Hvorfor bygger Norge ned mest natur?
NRK har akkurat dokumentert at vi nordmenn er Europamestre i nedbygging av natur. Ingen andre bygger ned og ødelegger mer natur hvert år pr innbygger enn oss.
agendamagasin.no
October 9, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Godt spørsmål, og tydelig svar. Uten ny naturpolitikk med #arealnøytralitet som prinsipp er det vanskelig å snu trenden.
Til sammenlikning har Sveits krav om arealnøytralitet, planvask og maks 20% hytter i hver kommune, og bygger ned minst i Europa. agendamagasin.no/debatt/hvorf...
Til sammenlikning har Sveits krav om arealnøytralitet, planvask og maks 20% hytter i hver kommune, og bygger ned minst i Europa. agendamagasin.no/debatt/hvorf...
Reposted by dyrehaugen
Excellent reporting from at @inthesetimes.com that draws from some of my work. The labor movement still hasn’t got its head around the way the institutions of capitalism have changed between the 1930s and today. If the workplace needed democracy then, today pooled assets do as well.
September 29, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Excellent reporting from at @inthesetimes.com that draws from some of my work. The labor movement still hasn’t got its head around the way the institutions of capitalism have changed between the 1930s and today. If the workplace needed democracy then, today pooled assets do as well.
Reposted by dyrehaugen
Climate.us
independent, nonprofit, and immune to politics
www.climate.us
September 19, 2025 at 11:36 AM
Reposted by dyrehaugen
Grundwissen Klima: wir füllen die Atmosphäre mit CO2 wie eine Badewanne mit Wasser.
Das CO2 verbleibt dort sehr lange. Deshalb sind es vor allem die kumulierten CO2-Emissionen die das Ausmaß der Erderwärmung bestimmen.
Das CO2 verbleibt dort sehr lange. Deshalb sind es vor allem die kumulierten CO2-Emissionen die das Ausmaß der Erderwärmung bestimmen.
September 12, 2025 at 6:40 AM
Grundwissen Klima: wir füllen die Atmosphäre mit CO2 wie eine Badewanne mit Wasser.
Das CO2 verbleibt dort sehr lange. Deshalb sind es vor allem die kumulierten CO2-Emissionen die das Ausmaß der Erderwärmung bestimmen.
Das CO2 verbleibt dort sehr lange. Deshalb sind es vor allem die kumulierten CO2-Emissionen die das Ausmaß der Erderwärmung bestimmen.
The tragedy is that by the time these groomed elites reach positions of power in politics, media, or corporations, their compliance feels natural. They do not serve American interests because they are coerced; but because they cannot conceive of another way.
themindness.substack.com/p/elite-capt...
themindness.substack.com/p/elite-capt...
Elite Capture & European Self-Destruction: The Hidden Architecture of Transatlantic Hegemony
From Nord Stream’s sabotage to NATO’s 5 % arms push: Inside the Networks Fueling Transatlantic Madness
themindness.substack.com
June 29, 2025 at 2:47 PM
The tragedy is that by the time these groomed elites reach positions of power in politics, media, or corporations, their compliance feels natural. They do not serve American interests because they are coerced; but because they cannot conceive of another way.
themindness.substack.com/p/elite-capt...
themindness.substack.com/p/elite-capt...
PONZI STAIN-WASHING
Israel is on an endless spree of escalation, a kind of Ponzi scheme of genocide, wherein a new conflict is constantly required to wash away the stain of the previous one.
Israel is on an endless spree of escalation, a kind of Ponzi scheme of genocide, wherein a new conflict is constantly required to wash away the stain of the previous one.
June 21, 2025 at 7:04 AM
PONZI STAIN-WASHING
Israel is on an endless spree of escalation, a kind of Ponzi scheme of genocide, wherein a new conflict is constantly required to wash away the stain of the previous one.
Israel is on an endless spree of escalation, a kind of Ponzi scheme of genocide, wherein a new conflict is constantly required to wash away the stain of the previous one.
