Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
@davetheaveragedad.bsky.social
Views mine--natsec, politics and fun. (PhD, Harvard; Christensen Inst.; DARPA; dad of @garlic_gorl, et alia.)
Trump in a single gaggle on Air Force One just threatened:
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
January 5, 2026 at 3:17 AM
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
Your activism will be even more important this year.
Here are 10 crucial things you can do in 2026. https://robertreich.substack.com/p/what-you-can-do-in-2026
Here are 10 crucial things you can do in 2026. https://robertreich.substack.com/p/what-you-can-do-in-2026
10 Crucial Things You Can Do in 2026
Your activism will be even more important this year
robertreich.substack.com
January 4, 2026 at 9:01 PM
Your activism will be even more important this year.
Here are 10 crucial things you can do in 2026. https://robertreich.substack.com/p/what-you-can-do-in-2026
Here are 10 crucial things you can do in 2026. https://robertreich.substack.com/p/what-you-can-do-in-2026
we are in hell.
Kimberly Guilfoyle, the new U.S. ambassador to Greece and the former fiancée of Donald Trump Jr, is the talk of Athens, followed by paparazzi and featured on the cover of Vogue Greece. In her position, she has also become one of the most important people in the country.
Ambassador Kimberly Guilfoyle, the Talk of Athens
www.nytimes.com
January 4, 2026 at 9:02 PM
we are in hell.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
In a study following 23 million people age 18-59 (pretty young) for 4 years…despite the fact that the ones who got the COVID vaccine were overall older and sicker at baseline, they not only had 74% lower risk of dying from COVID than the unvaccinated but 25% lower risk of dying from any other cause!
January 4, 2026 at 8:59 PM
In a study following 23 million people age 18-59 (pretty young) for 4 years…despite the fact that the ones who got the COVID vaccine were overall older and sicker at baseline, they not only had 74% lower risk of dying from COVID than the unvaccinated but 25% lower risk of dying from any other cause!
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
Department of Homeland Security is proposing a new rule that would authorize collection of any form of biometric information or samples from anyone, including US citizens, “encountered” by USCIS or “associated with” any applicant for admission to the US, US residency, or US citizenship.
Collection of biometrics from anyone “associated” with a foreigner – Papers, Please!
Underlying the proposal is an implicit but impermissible assumption that merely to “associate” with foreigners is sufficiently suspicious to create probable cause for a search.
papersplease.org
January 4, 2026 at 8:39 PM
Department of Homeland Security is proposing a new rule that would authorize collection of any form of biometric information or samples from anyone, including US citizens, “encountered” by USCIS or “associated with” any applicant for admission to the US, US residency, or US citizenship.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
Totally not a cult.
January 4, 2026 at 5:46 PM
Totally not a cult.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
Put a pin in this, I'm still trying to confirm 100% but it sounds like the assault force consisted of C Sqd and 3/75. OPE was indeed conducted under the AUMF. Total control of VZ comms. Recent defections helped the CIA greatly. Maduro recorded constantly to refute any future torture allegations.
January 4, 2026 at 4:02 PM
Put a pin in this, I'm still trying to confirm 100% but it sounds like the assault force consisted of C Sqd and 3/75. OPE was indeed conducted under the AUMF. Total control of VZ comms. Recent defections helped the CIA greatly. Maduro recorded constantly to refute any future torture allegations.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
finally, we're living through precedented times
January 4, 2026 at 6:56 AM
finally, we're living through precedented times
Jordan is a kook that can’t be trusted to answer direct questions or speak the truth. Don’t put him on TV. Just sayin’.🤷♂️
JIM JORDAN: Joe Biden let a Chinese spy balloon fly clear across the country!
DASH BASH: Alright. Let's focus on the present.
DASH BASH: Alright. Let's focus on the present.
January 4, 2026 at 3:41 PM
Jordan is a kook that can’t be trusted to answer direct questions or speak the truth. Don’t put him on TV. Just sayin’.🤷♂️
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
No notes.
January 4, 2026 at 3:28 PM
No notes.
I’m not condoning this, and I hate to be *that guy*, but multiple empirical, experimental and analytical studies show that manipulation in betting markets improves accuracy. (You can kinda see why with this example.)
I mean it’s neither fair nor ethical, but predictions are more accurate.
I mean it’s neither fair nor ethical, but predictions are more accurate.
January 4, 2026 at 2:07 PM
I’m not condoning this, and I hate to be *that guy*, but multiple empirical, experimental and analytical studies show that manipulation in betting markets improves accuracy. (You can kinda see why with this example.)
I mean it’s neither fair nor ethical, but predictions are more accurate.
I mean it’s neither fair nor ethical, but predictions are more accurate.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
if what I did was a "war crime" then how come I'm not in trouble
December 1, 2025 at 8:32 PM
if what I did was a "war crime" then how come I'm not in trouble
This fuckin guy will lie about ANYTHING.
🤡Trump said that Rodríguez was sworn in as Venezuela’s interim president and would act as a partner in letting the US run the country. Less than two hours later, Rodríguez — Maduro’s veep — delivered address to Venezuela that made clear she viewed the US as an illegal invader that must be rejected.
Venezuela’s Interim Leader Defies Trump and Calls Maduro the ‘Only President’
www.nytimes.com
January 4, 2026 at 1:56 PM
This fuckin guy will lie about ANYTHING.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
The peace President - amirite?
Trump is the first US president to bomb 7 countries in one year.
Based on verified reports from Al Jazeera, Fox News, Washington Examiner, and CBC, the seven countries targeted by US strikes under Trump in 2025 are: Iran, Iraq, Yemen, Somalia, Syria, Nigeria, and Venezuela.
Based on verified reports from Al Jazeera, Fox News, Washington Examiner, and CBC, the seven countries targeted by US strikes under Trump in 2025 are: Iran, Iraq, Yemen, Somalia, Syria, Nigeria, and Venezuela.
January 3, 2026 at 11:44 PM
The peace President - amirite?
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
“Trump declared ‘Donroe Doctrine,’ another moment that will stand for ages as an embarrassment to the U.S. and raises the question yet again of whether the commander in chief is cognitively stable enough to be ordering the invasion of other nations”
{gift link} www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
{gift link} www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
Maybe Russia and China Should Sit This One Out
Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping are just shocked—shocked!—by the American attack on Venezuela.
www.theatlantic.com
January 4, 2026 at 12:20 AM
“Trump declared ‘Donroe Doctrine,’ another moment that will stand for ages as an embarrassment to the U.S. and raises the question yet again of whether the commander in chief is cognitively stable enough to be ordering the invasion of other nations”
{gift link} www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
{gift link} www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
That’s Somali with a hard R.
GOP Rep. Pat Harrigan: "There are members of Congress that they just cannot trust. And I understand that. We have folks that are Somali first and not America first."
January 3, 2026 at 9:53 PM
That’s Somali with a hard R.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
CBS’s Tony Dokoupil gets long interview with Pete Hegseth and fails to pin him on the use of U.S. troops to occupy/run Venezuela:
Q: Will you ask Congress for approval? Do you believe legally you need to ask Congress for approval?
A: Of course, we will keep Congress involved.
Q: Will you ask Congress for approval? Do you believe legally you need to ask Congress for approval?
A: Of course, we will keep Congress involved.
January 4, 2026 at 12:20 AM
CBS’s Tony Dokoupil gets long interview with Pete Hegseth and fails to pin him on the use of U.S. troops to occupy/run Venezuela:
Q: Will you ask Congress for approval? Do you believe legally you need to ask Congress for approval?
A: Of course, we will keep Congress involved.
Q: Will you ask Congress for approval? Do you believe legally you need to ask Congress for approval?
A: Of course, we will keep Congress involved.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
This is so true. The more data we get, the more we're important, unanticipated protection
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/03/h...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/03/h...
Vaccines Are Helping Older People More Than We Knew
www.nytimes.com
January 4, 2026 at 12:22 AM
This is so true. The more data we get, the more we're important, unanticipated protection
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/03/h...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/03/h...
Notable for a couple of reasons:
- no fentanyl charges, though fentanyl trafficking was repeatedly stated as the justification for the boat killings
- the charges are substantially similar to those against Juan Orlando Hernández, former president of Honduras, whom Trump recently pardoned
- no fentanyl charges, though fentanyl trafficking was repeatedly stated as the justification for the boat killings
- the charges are substantially similar to those against Juan Orlando Hernández, former president of Honduras, whom Trump recently pardoned
January 4, 2026 at 1:47 PM
Notable for a couple of reasons:
- no fentanyl charges, though fentanyl trafficking was repeatedly stated as the justification for the boat killings
- the charges are substantially similar to those against Juan Orlando Hernández, former president of Honduras, whom Trump recently pardoned
- no fentanyl charges, though fentanyl trafficking was repeatedly stated as the justification for the boat killings
- the charges are substantially similar to those against Juan Orlando Hernández, former president of Honduras, whom Trump recently pardoned
lmao
January 4, 2026 at 1:41 PM
lmao
Notice how the Trumpists are looking AT the camera. It’s clearly posed. Also, Trump’s super intense look is chortle-inducing.
January 4, 2026 at 1:34 PM
Notice how the Trumpists are looking AT the camera. It’s clearly posed. Also, Trump’s super intense look is chortle-inducing.
Reposted by Average Dad 🌻 Beer League Hockeyist
You and I are horrified by this but it's important to remember that this is what pete hegseth actually wants, he would be disappointed if there were no innocent civilians killed, because that would be woke
NYT:
At least 40 people were killed in the US attack on Venezuela, including military personnel and civilians.
At least 40 people were killed in the US attack on Venezuela, including military personnel and civilians.
January 3, 2026 at 11:53 PM
You and I are horrified by this but it's important to remember that this is what pete hegseth actually wants, he would be disappointed if there were no innocent civilians killed, because that would be woke
”Take back.”
January 4, 2026 at 1:26 PM
”Take back.”