Dan Woynillowicz
@danwoy.bsky.social
Principal Polaris Strategy + Insight | Navigating the energy transition | Climate policy & politics | coffee & bicycles | “charter member of the climate-energy wonk club”
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
“The irony of this war is that the green transition accelerated in Ukraine, because they destroy a coal-fired power station and we build more wind parks to replace it.”
September 7, 2025 at 11:41 PM
“The irony of this war is that the green transition accelerated in Ukraine, because they destroy a coal-fired power station and we build more wind parks to replace it.”
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
While the Trump administration tries to cancel offshore wind for "national security" reasons, here's the CEO of Ukraine's largest private energy company
September 7, 2025 at 11:41 PM
While the Trump administration tries to cancel offshore wind for "national security" reasons, here's the CEO of Ukraine's largest private energy company
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
Motherfucking wind farms…
July 30, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Motherfucking wind farms…
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
Wildfire health impacts continue -- but research shows that if we do not directly connect extremes with how they're being driven by a warming climate, being affected by disasters won't make us more willing to support + advocate for climate action. That's why it's SO impt that we talk about it!
Air quality in Toronto among worst in the world Monday, as Environment Canada issues heat warning | CBC News
Parts of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) are under an air quality warning on Monday alongside an ongoing heat warning in the region, Environment Canada says.
www.cbc.ca
July 14, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Wildfire health impacts continue -- but research shows that if we do not directly connect extremes with how they're being driven by a warming climate, being affected by disasters won't make us more willing to support + advocate for climate action. That's why it's SO impt that we talk about it!
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
For the BC #climate crowd. If you’re in Victoria, come check out this great event with @danwoy.bsky.social and others!
www.eventbrite.com/e/beyond-the...
www.eventbrite.com/e/beyond-the...
Beyond the Carbon Tax: Charting a New Course for Climate Action in BC
Join IPAC Victoria for a panel on the future of climate policy in BC, featuring expert voices from across sectors.
www.eventbrite.com
June 25, 2025 at 5:04 PM
For the BC #climate crowd. If you’re in Victoria, come check out this great event with @danwoy.bsky.social and others!
www.eventbrite.com/e/beyond-the...
www.eventbrite.com/e/beyond-the...
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
New paper compares non-exhaust pollution (brake and tire particulates) from ICE and EV cars.
Conclusion: EV's create more tire pollution b/c they're heavier, but less brake pollution due to regenerative braking.
EVs come out ahead overall if >15% of driving is in a city.
doi.org/10.1016/j.tr...
Conclusion: EV's create more tire pollution b/c they're heavier, but less brake pollution due to regenerative braking.
EVs come out ahead overall if >15% of driving is in a city.
doi.org/10.1016/j.tr...
March 23, 2025 at 2:20 PM
New paper compares non-exhaust pollution (brake and tire particulates) from ICE and EV cars.
Conclusion: EV's create more tire pollution b/c they're heavier, but less brake pollution due to regenerative braking.
EVs come out ahead overall if >15% of driving is in a city.
doi.org/10.1016/j.tr...
Conclusion: EV's create more tire pollution b/c they're heavier, but less brake pollution due to regenerative braking.
EVs come out ahead overall if >15% of driving is in a city.
doi.org/10.1016/j.tr...
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
The Greens in Germany got this concession for supporting Metz’ 500bn package.
March 15, 2025 at 3:05 AM
The Greens in Germany got this concession for supporting Metz’ 500bn package.
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
@danwoy.bsky.social ‘s usual great deep dives. My take on analyzing the O&G cap was if they reduced fugitive GHG at best practise, little combustion limitation was necessary. With a bit of efficiency & heat electrification (heat pumps & heat batteries for low heat need), the cap was not binding
The PBO's analysis of the federal government’s proposed oil and gas emissions cap is out (www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/publicati...), and unfortunately for Canadians it continues their pattern of shoddy analysis (www.cbc.ca/news/politic...) of federal climate policy. 1/
March 12, 2025 at 8:27 PM
@danwoy.bsky.social ‘s usual great deep dives. My take on analyzing the O&G cap was if they reduced fugitive GHG at best practise, little combustion limitation was necessary. With a bit of efficiency & heat electrification (heat pumps & heat batteries for low heat need), the cap was not binding
The PBO's analysis of the federal government’s proposed oil and gas emissions cap is out (www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/publicati...), and unfortunately for Canadians it continues their pattern of shoddy analysis (www.cbc.ca/news/politic...) of federal climate policy. 1/
March 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM
The PBO's analysis of the federal government’s proposed oil and gas emissions cap is out (www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/publicati...), and unfortunately for Canadians it continues their pattern of shoddy analysis (www.cbc.ca/news/politic...) of federal climate policy. 1/
Elbows up. Stick together. 🇨🇦
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced Ottawa will put in place retaliatory tariffs tomorrow if Trump’s tariff order comes in to effect. #bcpoli
March 4, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Elbows up. Stick together. 🇨🇦
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
NEW: Global EV sales grew 18% year-on-year in Jan 2025
Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe?
The "stalling" 12% growth in China?
Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada?
Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…?
Data: Rho Motion
🤷♂️
Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe?
The "stalling" 12% growth in China?
Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada?
Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…?
Data: Rho Motion
🤷♂️
February 12, 2025 at 11:54 AM
NEW: Global EV sales grew 18% year-on-year in Jan 2025
Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe?
The "stalling" 12% growth in China?
Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada?
Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…?
Data: Rho Motion
🤷♂️
Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe?
The "stalling" 12% growth in China?
Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada?
Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…?
Data: Rho Motion
🤷♂️
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
Dear @pbsnews.bsky.social when a fascist is threatening an invasion and annexation of a sovereign nation you in fact do not have to respond by explaining how it would work
WTF is “Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state”?
WTF is “Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state”?
President Donald Trump has repeatedly said Canada should be the 51st U.S. state as he proposes to erase the 5,525-mile-long border that separates the two countries.
Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state.
Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state.
Trump’s remarks on Canada becoming the 51st state raise a lot of questions
President Donald Trump has repeatedly said Canada should be the 51st U.S. state, effectively erasing the massive border the two nations share.
buff.ly
February 13, 2025 at 11:48 PM
Dear @pbsnews.bsky.social when a fascist is threatening an invasion and annexation of a sovereign nation you in fact do not have to respond by explaining how it would work
WTF is “Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state”?
WTF is “Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state”?
"Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and sentiment, but it risks making things harder for Canada.
www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
Dan Woynillowicz on LinkedIn: Friday reflections...
"Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and…
Friday reflections...
"Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and sentiment, but it risks making things harder for Canada.
As a middle power and a trading…
www.linkedin.com
February 8, 2025 at 9:47 PM
"Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and sentiment, but it risks making things harder for Canada.
www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
B.C. faces bumpy road as 10-year countdown begins on zero-emission vehicle target
B.C. is now on a 10-year countdown to hit the province's mandate for all new, light-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2035.
vancouversun.com
February 8, 2025 at 9:44 PM
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
B.C. faces bumpy road as 10-year countdown begins on zero-emission vehicle target
B.C. is now on a 10-year countdown to hit the province's mandate for all new, light-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2035.
vancouversun.com
February 8, 2025 at 9:35 PM
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
Can confirm.
February 8, 2025 at 4:29 AM
Can confirm.
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
Nearly every major capex commitment we've seen from OEMs in the past 5 years is for EV production. Toyota is no exception.
That lends itself to a quick retirement of legacy assets when the time comes. You're either getting EV and battery plants or you're losing.
🔌💡🚗
insideevs.com/news/749645/...
That lends itself to a quick retirement of legacy assets when the time comes. You're either getting EV and battery plants or you're losing.
🔌💡🚗
insideevs.com/news/749645/...
Toyota’s First EV Battery Factory In America Is Ready
The $14 billion North Carolina facility will manufacture batteries for electric vehicles, hybrids and plug-in hybrids.
insideevs.com
February 6, 2025 at 1:25 AM
Nearly every major capex commitment we've seen from OEMs in the past 5 years is for EV production. Toyota is no exception.
That lends itself to a quick retirement of legacy assets when the time comes. You're either getting EV and battery plants or you're losing.
🔌💡🚗
insideevs.com/news/749645/...
That lends itself to a quick retirement of legacy assets when the time comes. You're either getting EV and battery plants or you're losing.
🔌💡🚗
insideevs.com/news/749645/...
Worthy of attention in the Canadian conversation about "what next?" -- the giant climate and energy policy pendulum swing happening in the US could make Canada a MORE attractive destination for low-carbon investment IF we don't follow suit.
Keep Canada Boring.
polarisstrategy.ca/2024/05/13/k...
Keep Canada Boring.
polarisstrategy.ca/2024/05/13/k...
February 5, 2025 at 1:12 AM
Worthy of attention in the Canadian conversation about "what next?" -- the giant climate and energy policy pendulum swing happening in the US could make Canada a MORE attractive destination for low-carbon investment IF we don't follow suit.
Keep Canada Boring.
polarisstrategy.ca/2024/05/13/k...
Keep Canada Boring.
polarisstrategy.ca/2024/05/13/k...
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
The tariffs may be paused but the relationship is broken. Trump and the next Trump can’t be trusted.
Canadians need to look inward and elsewhere, diversifying away from the US, and getting stronger in the process. Let’s make that the legacy we build from this.
Bye America, Buy Canadian 🇨🇦
Canadians need to look inward and elsewhere, diversifying away from the US, and getting stronger in the process. Let’s make that the legacy we build from this.
Bye America, Buy Canadian 🇨🇦
February 4, 2025 at 2:06 AM
The tariffs may be paused but the relationship is broken. Trump and the next Trump can’t be trusted.
Canadians need to look inward and elsewhere, diversifying away from the US, and getting stronger in the process. Let’s make that the legacy we build from this.
Bye America, Buy Canadian 🇨🇦
Canadians need to look inward and elsewhere, diversifying away from the US, and getting stronger in the process. Let’s make that the legacy we build from this.
Bye America, Buy Canadian 🇨🇦
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
Premier David Eby has instructed all 29 Crown Agencies (BC Hydro, ICBC, LCB, etc) and all Ministires to buy Canadian Goods and Services First.
President Trump has essentially ripped up our Trade Agreement. This means we don’t need to abide by it either.
So what does this mean for BC?
(1/4)
President Trump has essentially ripped up our Trade Agreement. This means we don’t need to abide by it either.
So what does this mean for BC?
(1/4)
February 3, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Premier David Eby has instructed all 29 Crown Agencies (BC Hydro, ICBC, LCB, etc) and all Ministires to buy Canadian Goods and Services First.
President Trump has essentially ripped up our Trade Agreement. This means we don’t need to abide by it either.
So what does this mean for BC?
(1/4)
President Trump has essentially ripped up our Trade Agreement. This means we don’t need to abide by it either.
So what does this mean for BC?
(1/4)
“even Enbridge doesn’t really know how to disconnect from Enbridge.”
Great story on the mid-transition frustrations of having to explain to your gas utility how to break up with them 💔 www.thestar.com/news/gta/the...
These five Toronto-area homeowners tried to ditch natural gas. What happened next left them baffled and frustrated with Enbridge
The experience of five homeowners the Star spoke with suggest even Enbridge doesn’t really know how to disconnect from Enbridge.
www.thestar.com
February 3, 2025 at 5:38 PM
“even Enbridge doesn’t really know how to disconnect from Enbridge.”
Very encouraging to see Canada achieve an 8th place ranking (now cracking the Top 10!), with 19% growth to just over US$35 billion invested in the energy transition in 2024. about.bnef.com/energy-trans...
January 31, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Very encouraging to see Canada achieve an 8th place ranking (now cracking the Top 10!), with 19% growth to just over US$35 billion invested in the energy transition in 2024. about.bnef.com/energy-trans...
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
Global sales of fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will rise by at least 17% this year to over 20 million cars, helped by an extension of China's auto trade-in subsidies, research firm Rho Motion forecast on Tuesday. www.reuters.com/business/aut...
#Upshift 🔌🚗 🔌💡
#Upshift 🔌🚗 🔌💡
EV car sales to top 20 million in 2025, research firm says
Global sales of fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will rise by at least 17% this year to over 20 million cars, helped by an extension of China's auto trade-in subsidies, research firm Rho Motion forecast on Tuesday.
www.reuters.com
January 30, 2025 at 3:56 AM
Global sales of fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will rise by at least 17% this year to over 20 million cars, helped by an extension of China's auto trade-in subsidies, research firm Rho Motion forecast on Tuesday. www.reuters.com/business/aut...
#Upshift 🔌🚗 🔌💡
#Upshift 🔌🚗 🔌💡
Reposted by Dan Woynillowicz
Beyond tech industry implications of DeepSeek, I am wondering what this does to the ridiculous projections of electricity demand growth in the next 5 years.
This is a good time to take stock of unrealized efficiency gains in AI compute before we end up building a bunch of 30-year gas plants.
This is a good time to take stock of unrealized efficiency gains in AI compute before we end up building a bunch of 30-year gas plants.
Silicon Valley Is Raving About a Made-in-China AI Model
DeepSeek is called ‘amazing and impressive’ despite working with less-advanced chips.
www.wsj.com
January 27, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Beyond tech industry implications of DeepSeek, I am wondering what this does to the ridiculous projections of electricity demand growth in the next 5 years.
This is a good time to take stock of unrealized efficiency gains in AI compute before we end up building a bunch of 30-year gas plants.
This is a good time to take stock of unrealized efficiency gains in AI compute before we end up building a bunch of 30-year gas plants.
So many of the big challenges BC faces require solutions that cut across multiple ministries, so it's great to see
Meghan Sali providing this policy development leadership in the Premier's office. @davidebybc.bsky.social will surely benefit from her wise counsel & focus on delivering solutions.
Meghan Sali providing this policy development leadership in the Premier's office. @davidebybc.bsky.social will surely benefit from her wise counsel & focus on delivering solutions.
NEW - As part of continued reorganization in @davidebybc.bsky.social office, Meghan Sali has been promoted from policy director to the premier’s “principal secretary” - a new role in the office designed to lead policy development for government.
January 10, 2025 at 6:05 PM
So many of the big challenges BC faces require solutions that cut across multiple ministries, so it's great to see
Meghan Sali providing this policy development leadership in the Premier's office. @davidebybc.bsky.social will surely benefit from her wise counsel & focus on delivering solutions.
Meghan Sali providing this policy development leadership in the Premier's office. @davidebybc.bsky.social will surely benefit from her wise counsel & focus on delivering solutions.