Christopher Leisinger
@cleisinger.bsky.social
policy analyst @pik-potsdam.bsky.social directors team
climate policy, the EU & economics.
climate policy, the EU & economics.
Initial thoughts on the 2040 target: The Council wants to count 5% Article 6 credits towards 2040. Timing/volume are contested, but the key question is *where* credits fit - ETS, agriculture/LULUCF, or a safety valve are on the table. Defining clear rules for credit use will be the real challenge /1
Today, EU environment ministers agreed their position on a binding 2040 climate target:
🔹 -90% greenhouse gas emissions vs 1990
🔹 a binding path for post-2030 policies to support EU competitiveness and a fair transition
Another step towards climate neutrality by 2050.
👉 link.europa.eu/pQQxmb
🔹 -90% greenhouse gas emissions vs 1990
🔹 a binding path for post-2030 policies to support EU competitiveness and a fair transition
Another step towards climate neutrality by 2050.
👉 link.europa.eu/pQQxmb
November 5, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Initial thoughts on the 2040 target: The Council wants to count 5% Article 6 credits towards 2040. Timing/volume are contested, but the key question is *where* credits fit - ETS, agriculture/LULUCF, or a safety valve are on the table. Defining clear rules for credit use will be the real challenge /1
Nach Angriffen auf das #ETS mehren sich endlich verteidigende Stimmen: Das ETS trägt keine Schuld an strukturellen Industrieproblemen. Europa ist beim Klimaschutz kein Geisterfahrer. Was wir brauchen: pragmatischen Wettbewerbsschutz und Negativemissionen im ETS. Sonst droht reine Symptombekämpfung.
Emissionshandel abschaffen? Nixda, sagt der EnBW-Chef in der Frankfurter Allgemeinen Sonntagszeitung
November 3, 2025 at 10:51 AM
Nach Angriffen auf das #ETS mehren sich endlich verteidigende Stimmen: Das ETS trägt keine Schuld an strukturellen Industrieproblemen. Europa ist beim Klimaschutz kein Geisterfahrer. Was wir brauchen: pragmatischen Wettbewerbsschutz und Negativemissionen im ETS. Sonst droht reine Symptombekämpfung.
Very stoked for this year's #AriadneEU in Brussels! Plenty on the menu -- from geeky #ETS deep dives to broader post-2030 climate #policy debates.
Program and registration link below 👇
Program and registration link below 👇
How can #EU climate policy advance in a polarising world?
Join researchers & policymakers in Brussels (and online) for your choice of deep dives into carbon markets, industrial transition and much more.
Dec 8–10; Register 👉 www.forms.ecologic.eu/ariadne2025
News 👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
Join researchers & policymakers in Brussels (and online) for your choice of deep dives into carbon markets, industrial transition and much more.
Dec 8–10; Register 👉 www.forms.ecologic.eu/ariadne2025
News 👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
October 27, 2025 at 9:52 AM
Very stoked for this year's #AriadneEU in Brussels! Plenty on the menu -- from geeky #ETS deep dives to broader post-2030 climate #policy debates.
Program and registration link below 👇
Program and registration link below 👇
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
How can #EU climate policy advance in a polarising world?
Join researchers & policymakers in Brussels (and online) for your choice of deep dives into carbon markets, industrial transition and much more.
Dec 8–10; Register 👉 www.forms.ecologic.eu/ariadne2025
News 👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
Join researchers & policymakers in Brussels (and online) for your choice of deep dives into carbon markets, industrial transition and much more.
Dec 8–10; Register 👉 www.forms.ecologic.eu/ariadne2025
News 👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
October 27, 2025 at 8:41 AM
How can #EU climate policy advance in a polarising world?
Join researchers & policymakers in Brussels (and online) for your choice of deep dives into carbon markets, industrial transition and much more.
Dec 8–10; Register 👉 www.forms.ecologic.eu/ariadne2025
News 👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
Join researchers & policymakers in Brussels (and online) for your choice of deep dives into carbon markets, industrial transition and much more.
Dec 8–10; Register 👉 www.forms.ecologic.eu/ariadne2025
News 👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
It's worth reading Nils' points also in the context of #ETS2. At its core, ETS2 shifts relative prices in favor of EVs. Hence, ot should be seen as core element of a broader industrial policy toolkit, where eco-bonuses and subsidies act as helpful complements to steer the transition.
The car crisis tops today’s EU summit but leaders keep staring at the wrong problem
The issue isn’t the 2035 engine ban - it’s demand falling off a cliff today
With @sandertordoir.bsky.social and @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social, we show why flipping regs won’t help - and what the EU can do instead.
The issue isn’t the 2035 engine ban - it’s demand falling off a cliff today
With @sandertordoir.bsky.social and @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social, we show why flipping regs won’t help - and what the EU can do instead.
October 23, 2025 at 9:41 AM
It's worth reading Nils' points also in the context of #ETS2. At its core, ETS2 shifts relative prices in favor of EVs. Hence, ot should be seen as core element of a broader industrial policy toolkit, where eco-bonuses and subsidies act as helpful complements to steer the transition.
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
By every metric, the industry is in deep trouble — and none of it has anything to do with future emission rules or an engine ban a decade away.
In fact, the future of cars is electric - not because of Brussels regulation, but because EVs will soon be much cheaper to make and run.
In fact, the future of cars is electric - not because of Brussels regulation, but because EVs will soon be much cheaper to make and run.
October 23, 2025 at 8:04 AM
By every metric, the industry is in deep trouble — and none of it has anything to do with future emission rules or an engine ban a decade away.
In fact, the future of cars is electric - not because of Brussels regulation, but because EVs will soon be much cheaper to make and run.
In fact, the future of cars is electric - not because of Brussels regulation, but because EVs will soon be much cheaper to make and run.
Finally, some clarity on ETS2 safeguards: early auctions for price discovery, frontloading for acceptability, and a more responsive MSR to smooth prices.
Curious whether this will satisfy Member States and where discussions will go once details are clear.
climate.ec.europa.eu/news-other-r...
Curious whether this will satisfy Member States and where discussions will go once details are clear.
climate.ec.europa.eu/news-other-r...
Ensuring a stable start for Europe’s new carbon market for buildings and road transport
The Commission will soon propose measures to ensure a smooth start of the new EU Emissions Trading System for road transport and buildings (ETS2), addressing price stability and investment needs. Plan...
climate.ec.europa.eu
October 21, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Finally, some clarity on ETS2 safeguards: early auctions for price discovery, frontloading for acceptability, and a more responsive MSR to smooth prices.
Curious whether this will satisfy Member States and where discussions will go once details are clear.
climate.ec.europa.eu/news-other-r...
Curious whether this will satisfy Member States and where discussions will go once details are clear.
climate.ec.europa.eu/news-other-r...
„Failure is not inevitable. It is a choice.“
— PIK Director Rockström at the UN Climate Summit
— PIK Director Rockström at the UN Climate Summit
Read his speech in full here: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
Johan Rockström addresses heads of state during United Nations General Assembly: “failure is not inevitable, it is a choice”
24.09.2025 – Johan Rockström, Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) addressed heads of state, ministers and other dignitaries in New York today.
www.pik-potsdam.de
September 24, 2025 at 7:05 PM
„Failure is not inevitable. It is a choice.“
— PIK Director Rockström at the UN Climate Summit
— PIK Director Rockström at the UN Climate Summit
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
Read his speech in full here: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
Johan Rockström addresses heads of state during United Nations General Assembly: “failure is not inevitable, it is a choice”
24.09.2025 – Johan Rockström, Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) addressed heads of state, ministers and other dignitaries in New York today.
www.pik-potsdam.de
September 24, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Read his speech in full here: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
1/ Wochenlang haben alle auf den Monitoringbericht zum Stand der Energiewende und die Schlussfolgerungen des Wirtschaftsministeriums gewartet. Nun sind die Dokumente da - aber sind wir jetzt so viel schlauer als vorher? 🧵
Monitoringbericht zur Energiewende vorgelegt – Bundesministerin Katherina Reiche schlägt zehn Schlüsselmaßnahmen vor
Wir bitten Sie an dieser Stelle um Ihre Einwilligung für die Nutzung unseres Videodienstes. Nähere Informationen zu allen Diensten finden Sie, wenn Sie die Pluszeichen rechts aufklappen. Sie können…
www.bundeswirtschaftsministerium.de
September 15, 2025 at 12:58 PM
1/ Wochenlang haben alle auf den Monitoringbericht zum Stand der Energiewende und die Schlussfolgerungen des Wirtschaftsministeriums gewartet. Nun sind die Dokumente da - aber sind wir jetzt so viel schlauer als vorher? 🧵
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
1/ New report from @bentleyallan.bsky.social's Net Zero Policy Lab: As the US withdraws from green tech industries and pressures allies to follow suit, China is stepping in to power the developing world's energy transition. The scale is staggering.
www.netzeropolicylab.com/china-green-...
www.netzeropolicylab.com/china-green-...
China Green Leap Outward — Net Zero Industrial Policy Lab
A new China Low Carbon Technology FDI Database
www.netzeropolicylab.com
September 12, 2025 at 2:21 AM
1/ New report from @bentleyallan.bsky.social's Net Zero Policy Lab: As the US withdraws from green tech industries and pressures allies to follow suit, China is stepping in to power the developing world's energy transition. The scale is staggering.
www.netzeropolicylab.com/china-green-...
www.netzeropolicylab.com/china-green-...
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
NEW: Vote on 2040 climate target canceled after big EU governments — including France + Germany — blocked the decision to ensure leaders get a say.
On Tuesday, countries will decide the fate of the 2035 Paris Agreement plan/NDC.
Full story w/ @l-guillot.bsky.social
www.politico.eu/article/vote...
On Tuesday, countries will decide the fate of the 2035 Paris Agreement plan/NDC.
Full story w/ @l-guillot.bsky.social
www.politico.eu/article/vote...
Vote on 2040 climate target canceled after big EU countries block decision
Decision casts doubt over whether EU can present climate plan in time for U.N. gathering this month.
www.politico.eu
September 12, 2025 at 4:35 PM
NEW: Vote on 2040 climate target canceled after big EU governments — including France + Germany — blocked the decision to ensure leaders get a say.
On Tuesday, countries will decide the fate of the 2035 Paris Agreement plan/NDC.
Full story w/ @l-guillot.bsky.social
www.politico.eu/article/vote...
On Tuesday, countries will decide the fate of the 2035 Paris Agreement plan/NDC.
Full story w/ @l-guillot.bsky.social
www.politico.eu/article/vote...
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
Table.Media greift den Clinch in der BuReg auf. Das Kanzleramt versucht offenbar gerade über einen Termintrick die europäischen Klimaziele für 2040 zu pulverisieren. Wie stinkig die SPD sich öffentlich äußert: Überraschend deutlich.
September 10, 2025 at 5:30 AM
Table.Media greift den Clinch in der BuReg auf. Das Kanzleramt versucht offenbar gerade über einen Termintrick die europäischen Klimaziele für 2040 zu pulverisieren. Wie stinkig die SPD sich öffentlich äußert: Überraschend deutlich.
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
Macron has just appointed Sebastian Lecornu, from the centrist ranks, as new PM. Short 🧵/1
www.lemonde.fr/politique/li...
www.lemonde.fr/politique/li...
En direct, Sébastien Lecornu nommé premier ministre : Emmanuel Macron « prend le risque de la colère sociale », dénonce le PS
La passation de pouvoir entre François Bayrou, qui a présenté sa démission à Emmanuel Macron ce mardi, et son successeur à Matignon est prévue mercredi à midi. L’ex-ministre des armées proposera un go...
www.lemonde.fr
September 9, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Macron has just appointed Sebastian Lecornu, from the centrist ranks, as new PM. Short 🧵/1
www.lemonde.fr/politique/li...
www.lemonde.fr/politique/li...
Vor dem Autogipfel fordern manche wieder das Ende der Flottengrenzwerte: Söder teilt aus, auch die Grünen wanken.
Laut @transportenvironment.org droht aber nur Mercedes die Grenzwerte zu reißen. Den anderen hilft va. die neue 2025-27 Flexibilität.
www.transportenvironment.org/uploads/file...
Laut @transportenvironment.org droht aber nur Mercedes die Grenzwerte zu reißen. Den anderen hilft va. die neue 2025-27 Flexibilität.
www.transportenvironment.org/uploads/file...
September 9, 2025 at 10:44 AM
Vor dem Autogipfel fordern manche wieder das Ende der Flottengrenzwerte: Söder teilt aus, auch die Grünen wanken.
Laut @transportenvironment.org droht aber nur Mercedes die Grenzwerte zu reißen. Den anderen hilft va. die neue 2025-27 Flexibilität.
www.transportenvironment.org/uploads/file...
Laut @transportenvironment.org droht aber nur Mercedes die Grenzwerte zu reißen. Den anderen hilft va. die neue 2025-27 Flexibilität.
www.transportenvironment.org/uploads/file...
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
Wir können es uns nicht leisten, *keinen* Klimaschutz umzusetzen, sagt Keywan Riahi (@iiasa.ac.at).
"Denn die jetzige Misere in Europa ist ja entstanden, weil wir von fossilen Energieträgern abhängig sind und uns damit verletzlich gemacht haben."
#WissenSchafftKlimaschutz
"Denn die jetzige Misere in Europa ist ja entstanden, weil wir von fossilen Energieträgern abhängig sind und uns damit verletzlich gemacht haben."
#WissenSchafftKlimaschutz
Klimaziel aufweichen? "Das wäre unverantwortlich", warnt Klimaforscher Riahi
Österreichs Top-Wissenschafter Keywan Riahi berät die EU-Kommission und erklärt, warum Europa den Ausstoß der klimaschädlichen Treibhausgase bis 2040 drastisch senken muss
www.derstandard.at
September 9, 2025 at 4:58 AM
Wir können es uns nicht leisten, *keinen* Klimaschutz umzusetzen, sagt Keywan Riahi (@iiasa.ac.at).
"Denn die jetzige Misere in Europa ist ja entstanden, weil wir von fossilen Energieträgern abhängig sind und uns damit verletzlich gemacht haben."
#WissenSchafftKlimaschutz
"Denn die jetzige Misere in Europa ist ja entstanden, weil wir von fossilen Energieträgern abhängig sind und uns damit verletzlich gemacht haben."
#WissenSchafftKlimaschutz
Strong support for the inclusion of permanent carbon removals in the EU ETS, as per the European Commission's public consultation on the 2040 climate target.
More public views on MSR, CBAM, linking, etc. here:
ec.europa.eu/info/law/bet...
More public views on MSR, CBAM, linking, etc. here:
ec.europa.eu/info/law/bet...
September 5, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Strong support for the inclusion of permanent carbon removals in the EU ETS, as per the European Commission's public consultation on the 2040 climate target.
More public views on MSR, CBAM, linking, etc. here:
ec.europa.eu/info/law/bet...
More public views on MSR, CBAM, linking, etc. here:
ec.europa.eu/info/law/bet...
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
If every single ton of this 1,460 GtCO2 would be used to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, we could reverse 0.7°C of global warming.
And this estimate is a clear ceiling, because... /4
And this estimate is a clear ceiling, because... /4
September 3, 2025 at 3:39 PM
If every single ton of this 1,460 GtCO2 would be used to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, we could reverse 0.7°C of global warming.
And this estimate is a clear ceiling, because... /4
And this estimate is a clear ceiling, because... /4
„The message in this report is that the EU must not abandon its values and green ambition, but it must express them in ways that are realistic and compelling (…). It means embracing a Green Realpolitik.“
@thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social
big-europe.eu/publications...
@thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social
big-europe.eu/publications...
Green Realpolitik: Recasting Europe’s Climate and Energy Diplomacy
big-europe.eu
August 16, 2025 at 4:19 PM
„The message in this report is that the EU must not abandon its values and green ambition, but it must express them in ways that are realistic and compelling (…). It means embracing a Green Realpolitik.“
@thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social
big-europe.eu/publications...
@thijsvandegraaf.bsky.social
big-europe.eu/publications...
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
1/ Trump's recent trade agreements with allies are revealing significant interpretation gaps. From Japan to South Korea to the EU, these deals lack formal documentation, creating ongoing disputes over fundamental terms.
August 8, 2025 at 4:11 PM
1/ Trump's recent trade agreements with allies are revealing significant interpretation gaps. From Japan to South Korea to the EU, these deals lack formal documentation, creating ongoing disputes over fundamental terms.
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
In order for the #EuropeanUnion to achieve its ambitious #goals, it must make its #climatepolicy more efficient, send stable price signals to businesses, and ensure long-term #financing for the #energytransition, conclude Ariadne researchers in a new #background.
👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
July 30, 2025 at 8:30 AM
In order for the #EuropeanUnion to achieve its ambitious #goals, it must make its #climatepolicy more efficient, send stable price signals to businesses, and ensure long-term #financing for the #energytransition, conclude Ariadne researchers in a new #background.
👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
👉 ariadneprojekt.de/en/news-en/n...
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
Some holiday thoughts on the EU-US "deal" ...
[something to do while the baby has a nap]
mostfavourednation.substack.com/p/some-thoug...
[something to do while the baby has a nap]
mostfavourednation.substack.com/p/some-thoug...
Some thoughts on the EU-US deal
Another holiday edition
mostfavourednation.substack.com
July 29, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Some holiday thoughts on the EU-US "deal" ...
[something to do while the baby has a nap]
mostfavourednation.substack.com/p/some-thoug...
[something to do while the baby has a nap]
mostfavourednation.substack.com/p/some-thoug...
Not exactly a good day (but perhaps a timely one) to revisit this recent Bruegel analysis on the economic consequences of Trump tariffs on the EU, by @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and colleagues.
www.bruegel.org/analysis/eco...
www.bruegel.org/analysis/eco...
The economic impact of Trump’s tariffs on Europe: an initial assessment
It is likely that Trump’s tariffs will be a limited hit to Europe, though some regions and industries could suffer and may need protective measures
www.bruegel.org
July 28, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Not exactly a good day (but perhaps a timely one) to revisit this recent Bruegel analysis on the economic consequences of Trump tariffs on the EU, by @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and colleagues.
www.bruegel.org/analysis/eco...
www.bruegel.org/analysis/eco...
Einblicke in Bürger*innenperspektiven zur Klimapolitik vom #Ariadne Gipfel: CO2-Preis und Förderprogramme werden befürwortet - wenn sie sozial gerecht ausgestaltet sind.
Wichtig auch: Deliberationsformate verschieben die Debatte. Nicht ob, sondern *wie* wir Klimaschutz umsetzen, rückt ins Zentrum.
Wichtig auch: Deliberationsformate verschieben die Debatte. Nicht ob, sondern *wie* wir Klimaschutz umsetzen, rückt ins Zentrum.
Die #Ariadne-Bürgerkonferenz zeigt: Die gesellschaftliche #Akzeptanz für #Klimaschutzmaßnahmen steigt, wenn die #Verteilung von #Kosten und #Nutzen als gerecht empfunden werden – auch mit Blick auf künftige #Generationen.
Hier geht's zum vollständigen #Report👉 ariadneprojekt.de/publikation/...
Hier geht's zum vollständigen #Report👉 ariadneprojekt.de/publikation/...
July 25, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Einblicke in Bürger*innenperspektiven zur Klimapolitik vom #Ariadne Gipfel: CO2-Preis und Förderprogramme werden befürwortet - wenn sie sozial gerecht ausgestaltet sind.
Wichtig auch: Deliberationsformate verschieben die Debatte. Nicht ob, sondern *wie* wir Klimaschutz umsetzen, rückt ins Zentrum.
Wichtig auch: Deliberationsformate verschieben die Debatte. Nicht ob, sondern *wie* wir Klimaschutz umsetzen, rückt ins Zentrum.
Reposted by Christopher Leisinger
Die #Ariadne-Bürgerkonferenz zeigt: Die gesellschaftliche #Akzeptanz für #Klimaschutzmaßnahmen steigt, wenn die #Verteilung von #Kosten und #Nutzen als gerecht empfunden werden – auch mit Blick auf künftige #Generationen.
Hier geht's zum vollständigen #Report👉 ariadneprojekt.de/publikation/...
Hier geht's zum vollständigen #Report👉 ariadneprojekt.de/publikation/...
July 24, 2025 at 7:30 AM
Die #Ariadne-Bürgerkonferenz zeigt: Die gesellschaftliche #Akzeptanz für #Klimaschutzmaßnahmen steigt, wenn die #Verteilung von #Kosten und #Nutzen als gerecht empfunden werden – auch mit Blick auf künftige #Generationen.
Hier geht's zum vollständigen #Report👉 ariadneprojekt.de/publikation/...
Hier geht's zum vollständigen #Report👉 ariadneprojekt.de/publikation/...