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CICERO Center for International Climate Research
@cicero.oslo.no
CICERO Center for International Climate Research is Norway’s foremost institute for interdisciplinary climate research.
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
The IEA has brought back the Current Policies Scenario (CPS) in the World Energy Outlook (WEO).

I think this will be useful. Fossil CO2 emissions keep rising, when they should be falling. It is time to admit that. So I hope the CPS can help address this issue.

www.iea.org/reports/worl...

1/
November 12, 2025 at 10:25 AM
Klimaendringer og rensing av luftforurensning gjør jordkloden mørkere
Jordkloden skinner svakere enn før
Nye satellittmålinger viser at jorda reflekterer mindre sollys. Hva skjer?
www.forskning.no
November 12, 2025 at 8:25 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Er du opptatt av å forstå det politiske Norge? Da vil du ikke gå glipp av lanseringen av verdens første Oxford oppslagsverk om norsk politikk! Kom til slippefesten 8. desember! @statsvitenskap.bsky.social

www.sv.uio.no/isv/forsknin...
Forskere legger fram nytt verk om norsk politikk - Institutt for statsvitenskap (ISV)
Dagens mindretallsregjering må manøvrere i et krevende politisk landskap, og blokkene i norsk politikk er i endring. Samtidig er de økonomiske rammene strammere. Stormaktrivalisering og nye internasjo...
www.sv.uio.no
November 11, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Den nordlige halvkule absorberer mer sollys enn den reflekterer ut i atmosfæren. @gunnarmy.bsky.social
Jordkloden skinner svakere enn før
Nye satellittmålinger viser at jorda reflekterer mindre sollys. Hva skjer?
www.forskning.no
November 11, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Diskusjonene om EUs klimamål ruller videre, helt parallelt med de internasjonale klimaforhandlingene. Nå har miljøkomiteen i Europaparlamentet gjort sitt vedtak, og kanskje er resultatet at EUs klimamål for 2035 faller innenfor intervallet Stortinget antok. 1/n

www.endseurope.com/article/1939...
Environment committee backs 85% cut in EU emissions by 2040
The EU is set to quickly agree on a climate target for 2040, after the European Parliament’s environment committee approved a negotiating position that is largely in line with the changes backed by me...
www.endseurope.com
November 10, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
New #FATESmodel job focused on fire modeling at UCIrvine :) recruit.ap.uci.edu/JPF09965
Postdoctoral Scholar: Remote Sensing to FATES: Wildfire Impacts on Western U.S. Forests
University of California, Irvine is hiring. Apply now!
recruit.ap.uci.edu
November 11, 2025 at 7:24 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
If you want more figures on the UNEP Emissions Gap Report emission trends (Chapter 2), then you can't go past @wflamb.bsky.social page...

This is the change in total global GHG emissions from 2015 to 2014.

Figures and data here: lambwf.github.io/UNEP-Gap-Rep...
November 6, 2025 at 10:00 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Updates of monthly car sales data in the last few days.
robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/
November 6, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Global Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions rise again in 2024, up 2.3%.

This is our collective progress, 10 years after the Paris Agreement.

www.unep.org/resources/em...

1/
November 5, 2025 at 8:24 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
"Here is the graph, which is so wild, the climate scientist had to call a colleague & check it"

It is true actually! In the Global Carbon Budget we do not usually show the LUC like this, because of interannual variability & uncertainty. But it is what the data says!

politiken.dk/klima/art106...
November 6, 2025 at 7:40 AM
In Hurumlandet, farmers are adapting to a changing climate. Longer growing seasons bring new opportunities, but also more challenges. Norwegian agriculture must change course to keep up. (Translation by google translate)
A changing climate forces farmers to rethink
In Hurumlandet, farmers are adapting to a changing climate. Longer growing seasons bring new opportunities, but also more challenges. Norwegian agriculture must change course to keep up.
cicero-oslo-no.translate.goog
November 5, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
There is increasing talk about overshoot of 1.5°C, particularly that *now* we can only achieve 1.5°C by first overshooting 1.5°C.

Well, sorry to tell you, 1.5°C have always been overshoot scenarios. Here from the original 'SSP' 1.5°C scenarios published in 2018.

[Overshoot is a scenario design]
November 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Sales of non-diesel heavy trucks in the Chinese domestic market reached 57% of the total in September. LNG truck sales are still doing well, but the growth is largely in battery trucks.
November 3, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
The National Party of Australia dumped its Net Zero policy as Australia is moving too fast, & faster than its peers in the OECD.

Well, fossil CO2 emissions in the last 10 years have gone down
* -0.5% per year in Australia
* -1.4% per year in the OECD

Australia is somewhat of a laggard...
November 3, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Norway's fleet of hydrogen fuel-cell passenger cars has halved in size since its peak less than three years ago. The all-time peak was 0.0084% of the fleet.
November 2, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Where are we on climate action?

The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.

That is the progress 10 years after Paris...

unfccc.int/process-and-...
October 30, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
#EGU26 session on Maritime transport and climate impact. Abstract including the topic of climate and air quality impacts of currently implemented and upcoming emission regulations in the shipping sector, as well as the introduction of alternative fuels are welcomed. Submission deadline: 15.01.26.
October 31, 2025 at 7:43 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Four-minute video worth your time.
Over 2021-24, the EU sent €930 billion more out of the country to import fossil fuels instead of investing domestically. EVs and heat pumps are obvious ways to reduce this waste, but there are more.
Strengthening the European Union's energy security through electrification
YouTube video by Ember
www.youtube.com
October 29, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Interesting climate/energy policy developments in China.
The Central Committee of the Communist Party lays out the key directions and priorities for China for the next five years. It reaffirms the importance of clean energy for China's energy, economic and industrial policy, but raises concerns about commitment to 2030 climate targets.
October 29, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
Hurray, the Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics is out! It includes a chapter on climate and nature protection with general insights about the different nature of the two policy areas. How would such a comparison would look like in your country? 1/n

academic.oup.com/edited-volum...
October 29, 2025 at 9:54 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
ACEA have released their September numbers for Europe. 1/2
New car registrations: +0.9% in September 2025 year-to-date; battery-electric 16.1% market share
By September 2025 year-to-date (YTD), new EU car registrations increased by 0.9% compared to the same period last year, marking the third consecutive month of growth.
www.acea.auto
October 28, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
"The global oil market may be at a tipping point as signs of a significant supply glut emerge" writes the IEA.

Tepid demand due to "subpar economic conditions, increasing vehicle efficiencies, & robust electric vehicle sales in many markets." 😮

www.iea.org/commentaries...
As oil market surplus keeps rising, something’s got to give – Analysis - IEA
As oil market surplus keeps rising, something’s got to give - A commentary by Toril Bosoni
www.iea.org
October 27, 2025 at 7:24 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
I am not sure the NRK Debatten on costs of climate policy was that helpful...
tv.nrk.no/serie/debatt...

In simplified terms, the IPCC is clear, mitigation costs less than impacts, & more mitigation leads to more benefits (with high confidence).

The IPCC text is hard to pass, so a thread...

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Debatten: I går · Redd klima, koste hva det koste vil? - NRK TV
Ingen vet hva de norske klimatiltakene koster. Er det et problem, da?
tv.nrk.no
October 24, 2025 at 9:14 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
In which they don't discuss why they called it "carbon emissions" in the title when the report they're covering is actually about the amount of carbon in the atmosphere.
Have to assume they think these are the same, but they're not. Such is our collective misuse of the word "emissions".
October 24, 2025 at 6:23 AM
Reposted by CICERO Center for International Climate Research
It's not long ago that most of us never even asked the question where the rubber on our tyres went when we realise we have to replace the worn ones. The obvious answer is: directly into nature.
New report shows that car tyres are the largest source of microplastics in Norway's natural environment.
Opptil tre prosent av Oslofjordens lause massar består av bildekk: – Alvorleg
Ein ny rapport konkluderer med alarmerande mengder mikroplast i norsk natur. Blåskjel er hardt ramma.
www.nrk.no
October 23, 2025 at 12:09 PM