Bryan Knowles
@brykno.bsky.social
Contributing Writer, FTN/DVOA
https://ko-fi.com/bryanknowles
https://ftnfantasy.com/contributor/bryanknowles
https://ko-fi.com/bryanknowles
https://ftnfantasy.com/contributor/bryanknowles
The DVOA Discord's going strong for Week 18 -- both the undercard "well, one of these guys has to get in" NFC South match and the battle for the #1 seed tonight. Should be a good doubleheader!
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
Join the DVOA Diaspora Discord Server!
A home away from home for fans of DVOA, Walkthrough, Scrambling, and the rest of the ex-Football Outsiders content. | 1030 members
discord.gg
January 3, 2026 at 9:05 PM
The DVOA Discord's going strong for Week 18 -- both the undercard "well, one of these guys has to get in" NFC South match and the battle for the #1 seed tonight. Should be a good doubleheader!
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
discord.gg/Rw47FKesa2
With one week to go, the following teams are below the lowest DVOA to ever win the Super Bowl (1987 WAS):
Bears (2.9%)
Chargers (1.9%)
Buccaneers (-7.9%)
Panthers (-13.0%)
~Someone~ has to be the worst Super Bowl champ ever, and those rings count just as much as all the others, mind you!
Bears (2.9%)
Chargers (1.9%)
Buccaneers (-7.9%)
Panthers (-13.0%)
~Someone~ has to be the worst Super Bowl champ ever, and those rings count just as much as all the others, mind you!
January 3, 2026 at 5:38 PM
With one week to go, the following teams are below the lowest DVOA to ever win the Super Bowl (1987 WAS):
Bears (2.9%)
Chargers (1.9%)
Buccaneers (-7.9%)
Panthers (-13.0%)
~Someone~ has to be the worst Super Bowl champ ever, and those rings count just as much as all the others, mind you!
Bears (2.9%)
Chargers (1.9%)
Buccaneers (-7.9%)
Panthers (-13.0%)
~Someone~ has to be the worst Super Bowl champ ever, and those rings count just as much as all the others, mind you!
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
I have a game I'm looking for that is not on YouTube. With two popular teams, I'm guessing I can find some video of it somewhere.
2001 Week 11 Washington at Philadelphia
Do you have it? Let me know.
2001 Week 11 Washington at Philadelphia
Do you have it? Let me know.
January 2, 2026 at 7:35 PM
I have a game I'm looking for that is not on YouTube. With two popular teams, I'm guessing I can find some video of it somewhere.
2001 Week 11 Washington at Philadelphia
Do you have it? Let me know.
2001 Week 11 Washington at Philadelphia
Do you have it? Let me know.
Nacua v. JSN for offensive player of the year is a tight race, but I'd go with Smith-Njigba. The Rams have other weapons; the Seahawks really don't.
Top WR by Route DYAR
P.Nacua 1,078
JSN 1,012
ASB 683
G.Pickens 650
J.Chase 626
C.Lamb 508
D.Adams 506
C.Olave 492
S.Diggs 481
D.London 439
N.Collins 411
J.Waddle 407 (2/x)
P.Nacua 1,078
JSN 1,012
ASB 683
G.Pickens 650
J.Chase 626
C.Lamb 508
D.Adams 506
C.Olave 492
S.Diggs 481
D.London 439
N.Collins 411
J.Waddle 407 (2/x)
December 31, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Nacua v. JSN for offensive player of the year is a tight race, but I'd go with Smith-Njigba. The Rams have other weapons; the Seahawks really don't.
Meanwhile, in a universe not too far from our own, here are the current NFL standings if every single one-score game had the opposite result.
December 31, 2025 at 6:39 PM
Meanwhile, in a universe not too far from our own, here are the current NFL standings if every single one-score game had the opposite result.
Was messing around with DVOA taking out a player's top targets. Like, Drake Maye's DVOA falls to 13.9% if you take out targets to Stefon Diggs, and Matt Stafford's falls to 12.6% without Puka Nacua.
Sam Darnold falls to -15.2% without Jaxson Smith-Njigba. That's your JSN for OPOY stat.
Sam Darnold falls to -15.2% without Jaxson Smith-Njigba. That's your JSN for OPOY stat.
December 31, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Was messing around with DVOA taking out a player's top targets. Like, Drake Maye's DVOA falls to 13.9% if you take out targets to Stefon Diggs, and Matt Stafford's falls to 12.6% without Puka Nacua.
Sam Darnold falls to -15.2% without Jaxson Smith-Njigba. That's your JSN for OPOY stat.
Sam Darnold falls to -15.2% without Jaxson Smith-Njigba. That's your JSN for OPOY stat.
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
New @ftnfantasy.com content from @brykno.bsky.social looks at whether teams should sit starters in Week 18, and who will or will not.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-18-...
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-18-...
Week 18: Rest vs. Rust
Which teams have an incentive to sit their starters this weekend? And does it matter when you look at playoff results?
ftnfantasy.com
December 31, 2025 at 2:39 PM
New @ftnfantasy.com content from @brykno.bsky.social looks at whether teams should sit starters in Week 18, and who will or will not.
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-18-...
ftnfantasy.com/nfl/week-18-...
Reposted by Bryan Knowles
Curious to where your team is going to end up after Week 18? Here are the complete seeding scenarios for everyone still fighting for position!
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
December 30, 2025 at 4:29 AM
Curious to where your team is going to end up after Week 18? Here are the complete seeding scenarios for everyone still fighting for position!
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
Longest rushing touchdowns, 2021-2025.
Bijan Robinson's 93-yarder is the longest since Ronald Jones had a 98-yarder in 2020.
Bijan Robinson's 93-yarder is the longest since Ronald Jones had a 98-yarder in 2020.
December 30, 2025 at 7:12 AM
Longest rushing touchdowns, 2021-2025.
Bijan Robinson's 93-yarder is the longest since Ronald Jones had a 98-yarder in 2020.
Bijan Robinson's 93-yarder is the longest since Ronald Jones had a 98-yarder in 2020.
Curious to where your team is going to end up after Week 18? Here are the complete seeding scenarios for everyone still fighting for position!
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
December 30, 2025 at 4:29 AM
Curious to where your team is going to end up after Week 18? Here are the complete seeding scenarios for everyone still fighting for position!
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
Starting with the Denver Broncos. A win gets them the bye week no matter what -- and they can still back in with a loss, if the other two fail.
And the NFC South race...
December 30, 2025 at 4:14 AM
And the NFC South race...
The scenarios remaining in the NFC...
December 30, 2025 at 4:13 AM
The scenarios remaining in the NFC...
The Rams' loss means the Seahawks have clinched a top-5 seed in the NFC.
Wow.
Wow.
December 30, 2025 at 4:11 AM
The Rams' loss means the Seahawks have clinched a top-5 seed in the NFC.
Wow.
Wow.
The Chargers choosing to start Trey Lance over Justin Herbert this week is about as close as you can get to guaranteeing Chargers @ Patriots in the Wild Card round.
December 29, 2025 at 10:43 PM
The Chargers choosing to start Trey Lance over Justin Herbert this week is about as close as you can get to guaranteeing Chargers @ Patriots in the Wild Card round.
Max Brosmer is the next Max Hall, which makes him the next next Kurt Warner. It's just science.
www.si.com/more-sports/...
www.si.com/more-sports/...
December 29, 2025 at 6:55 PM
Max Brosmer is the next Max Hall, which makes him the next next Kurt Warner. It's just science.
www.si.com/more-sports/...
www.si.com/more-sports/...
Max Brosmer currently has a passing DVOA of -99.5% on 75 dropbacks.
That would be the second-worst DVOA ever with at least 75 dropbacks. The only man who beats him is 2010 Max Hall at -105.6%.
That would be the second-worst DVOA ever with at least 75 dropbacks. The only man who beats him is 2010 Max Hall at -105.6%.
December 29, 2025 at 6:41 PM
Max Brosmer currently has a passing DVOA of -99.5% on 75 dropbacks.
That would be the second-worst DVOA ever with at least 75 dropbacks. The only man who beats him is 2010 Max Hall at -105.6%.
That would be the second-worst DVOA ever with at least 75 dropbacks. The only man who beats him is 2010 Max Hall at -105.6%.
I'll likely be writing this up for FTN this week, but I ~would~ be pushing for seeding in the NFC wildcard race, and I would ~not~ be pushing for seeding in the AFC wildcard race.
I would play my starters if I were the Rams; not if I were the Bills or Chargers.
I would play my starters if I were the Rams; not if I were the Bills or Chargers.
December 29, 2025 at 7:30 AM
I'll likely be writing this up for FTN this week, but I ~would~ be pushing for seeding in the NFC wildcard race, and I would ~not~ be pushing for seeding in the AFC wildcard race.
I would play my starters if I were the Rams; not if I were the Bills or Chargers.
I would play my starters if I were the Rams; not if I were the Bills or Chargers.
Seasons with 2,000 yards from scrimmage and 15+ touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey joins LaDainian Tomlinson as the only players with 3 of 'em.
December 29, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Seasons with 2,000 yards from scrimmage and 15+ touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey joins LaDainian Tomlinson as the only players with 3 of 'em.
If the Playoffs Started Today!
NFC:
1. Seahawks
2. Bears (over PHI via head-to-head [Week 13])
3. Eagles
4. Panthers
5. 49ers
6. Rams
7. Packers
...
11. Buccaneers
NFC:
1. Seahawks
2. Bears (over PHI via head-to-head [Week 13])
3. Eagles
4. Panthers
5. 49ers
6. Rams
7. Packers
...
11. Buccaneers
December 29, 2025 at 4:52 AM
If the Playoffs Started Today!
NFC:
1. Seahawks
2. Bears (over PHI via head-to-head [Week 13])
3. Eagles
4. Panthers
5. 49ers
6. Rams
7. Packers
...
11. Buccaneers
NFC:
1. Seahawks
2. Bears (over PHI via head-to-head [Week 13])
3. Eagles
4. Panthers
5. 49ers
6. Rams
7. Packers
...
11. Buccaneers
The only remaining scenario for Week 17.
...Maybe this didn't need to be a graphic.
...Maybe this didn't need to be a graphic.
December 29, 2025 at 4:47 AM
The only remaining scenario for Week 17.
...Maybe this didn't need to be a graphic.
...Maybe this didn't need to be a graphic.
The NFC playoff picture after Week 17 Sunday Night Football
December 29, 2025 at 4:45 AM
The NFC playoff picture after Week 17 Sunday Night Football
The remaining NFC scenarios.
Seahawks v. 49ers for the #1 seed.
Seahawks v. 49ers for the #1 seed.
December 29, 2025 at 4:37 AM
The remaining NFC scenarios.
Seahawks v. 49ers for the #1 seed.
Seahawks v. 49ers for the #1 seed.
Chicago is eliminated from the #1 seed and can not clinch the #2 this week
The Seahawks can not clinch the division this week.
The Eagles are still alive for the #2 seed
The Rams are eliminated from the NFC West
The 49ers are still alive for #1.
The Seahawks can not clinch the division this week.
The Eagles are still alive for the #2 seed
The Rams are eliminated from the NFC West
The 49ers are still alive for #1.
December 29, 2025 at 4:36 AM
Chicago is eliminated from the #1 seed and can not clinch the #2 this week
The Seahawks can not clinch the division this week.
The Eagles are still alive for the #2 seed
The Rams are eliminated from the NFC West
The 49ers are still alive for #1.
The Seahawks can not clinch the division this week.
The Eagles are still alive for the #2 seed
The Rams are eliminated from the NFC West
The 49ers are still alive for #1.
I am always in favor of scoring when trailing.
Oh, but there is a LIFETIME left on the clock.
Oh, but there is a LIFETIME left on the clock.
December 29, 2025 at 4:14 AM
I am always in favor of scoring when trailing.
Oh, but there is a LIFETIME left on the clock.
Oh, but there is a LIFETIME left on the clock.
So, uh, that shouldn't have worked, Brock.
December 29, 2025 at 3:32 AM
So, uh, that shouldn't have worked, Brock.