Brian Mills
@bmmillsy.bsky.social
More Judge:
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
November 14, 2025 at 3:25 PM
More Judge:
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
Here’s the thing about the home park nonsense on Judge: if you change *every single one* of his HR into 2B, his OPS would have been .949.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
November 14, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Here’s the thing about the home park nonsense on Judge: if you change *every single one* of his HR into 2B, his OPS would have been .949.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
Reposted by Brian Mills
Now available in Labour Economics: "The effects of negative labor market conditions at entry: Evidence from the 2004–05 NHL lockout" by me and @chengyuanhua.bsky.social
November 13, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Now available in Labour Economics: "The effects of negative labor market conditions at entry: Evidence from the 2004–05 NHL lockout" by me and @chengyuanhua.bsky.social
Love that spell check in Word has gotten so bad that it doesn't even identify "sports" misspelled as "sprots" in my documents now...
November 13, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Love that spell check in Word has gotten so bad that it doesn't even identify "sports" misspelled as "sprots" in my documents now...
Reposted by Brian Mills
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: Pittsburgh Pirates – Senior Analyst/Analyst – Baseball Strategy blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
Job Posting: Pittsburgh Pirates - Senior Analyst/Analyst - Baseball Strategy
The Pittsburgh Pirates are hiring.
blogs.fangraphs.com
November 13, 2025 at 1:02 PM
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: Pittsburgh Pirates – Senior Analyst/Analyst – Baseball Strategy blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
Reposted by Brian Mills
thinking about how i get anxious writing emails because i don't want to sound like a moron while larry summers is apparently typing emails like this:
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.
November 13, 2025 at 1:38 AM
thinking about how i get anxious writing emails because i don't want to sound like a moron while larry summers is apparently typing emails like this:
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.
Reposted by Brian Mills
You’ve got Bohr, Feynman, and Einstein on your advisor board? BFD. My kid slipped into Anne Frank’s DMs.
From thebullshitmachines.com/lesson-11-tr...
From thebullshitmachines.com/lesson-11-tr...
November 11, 2025 at 10:46 PM
You’ve got Bohr, Feynman, and Einstein on your advisor board? BFD. My kid slipped into Anne Frank’s DMs.
From thebullshitmachines.com/lesson-11-tr...
From thebullshitmachines.com/lesson-11-tr...
Reposted by Brian Mills
What do you do after you’re done jumping the shark?
Whatever it is, Nature Careers is all in.
Whatever it is, Nature Careers is all in.
November 11, 2025 at 10:41 PM
What do you do after you’re done jumping the shark?
Whatever it is, Nature Careers is all in.
Whatever it is, Nature Careers is all in.
Reposted by Brian Mills
I have a new piece in @TheSlingUtah explaining why a 50-year mortgage, the new proposal from the White House (or Bill Pulte to be more specific), is a terrible idea. It doesn't create more home owners, just maybe more mortgages and more interest payments. www.thesling.org/a-50-year-mo...
A 50-Year Mortgage Is a Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Idea - The Sling
Home affordability is a pressing issue. Young people often enter the workforce saddled with student debt, limited work options, and faced with exorbitant housing costs. For the millennial generation, ...
www.thesling.org
November 11, 2025 at 2:16 PM
I have a new piece in @TheSlingUtah explaining why a 50-year mortgage, the new proposal from the White House (or Bill Pulte to be more specific), is a terrible idea. It doesn't create more home owners, just maybe more mortgages and more interest payments. www.thesling.org/a-50-year-mo...
Please excuse the complete trash copyediting by Springer here for the tables. Destroyed all the table formatting, but this does not show up in the online copy editing tool in this way at all. Just absolute horseshit from publishers every time.
November 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Please excuse the complete trash copyediting by Springer here for the tables. Destroyed all the table formatting, but this does not show up in the online copy editing tool in this way at all. Just absolute horseshit from publishers every time.
Full text available here (I think?): nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
November 11, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Full text available here (I think?): nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
Rockies must have seen DePodesta achieve absolutely nothing with the Browns for 10 years and thought “perfect, he’ll fit right in!”
November 6, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Rockies must have seen DePodesta achieve absolutely nothing with the Browns for 10 years and thought “perfect, he’ll fit right in!”
Sport Management R1 TT job market is 🔥 this year. So far all of these sports have advertised TT jobs (some multiple).
Haven’t tallied data, but there seems to be some asymmetry here for the smaller schools’ job market, where there seem to be fewer than usual (I think?).
Haven’t tallied data, but there seems to be some asymmetry here for the smaller schools’ job market, where there seem to be fewer than usual (I think?).
November 6, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Sport Management R1 TT job market is 🔥 this year. So far all of these sports have advertised TT jobs (some multiple).
Haven’t tallied data, but there seems to be some asymmetry here for the smaller schools’ job market, where there seem to be fewer than usual (I think?).
Haven’t tallied data, but there seems to be some asymmetry here for the smaller schools’ job market, where there seem to be fewer than usual (I think?).
I don't know where the star line is drawn, but Bellinger is basically Curtis Granderson that hits lefties. 5 years at ~3 fWAR per year puts him in the Bernie, Damon, Grandy, Braun, Torii Hunter career production space. Pretty darn good.
I view him as a bat like 15% above average, with glow-ups for unusual and valuable defensive versatility, and being a LHB who doesn't need to be platooned out against LHH.
That's a good player. Winning player. Something less than a star player. I think?
That's a good player. Winning player. Something less than a star player. I think?
November 5, 2025 at 8:21 PM
I don't know where the star line is drawn, but Bellinger is basically Curtis Granderson that hits lefties. 5 years at ~3 fWAR per year puts him in the Bernie, Damon, Grandy, Braun, Torii Hunter career production space. Pretty darn good.
Nothing says Academia like being told that while you have no control over the source of a problem and you will not be provided with the resources to solve the problem, you are told by the people causing the problem and imposing it on you by their own choice that you are the ones who need to fix it.
November 5, 2025 at 7:48 PM
Nothing says Academia like being told that while you have no control over the source of a problem and you will not be provided with the resources to solve the problem, you are told by the people causing the problem and imposing it on you by their own choice that you are the ones who need to fix it.
Had a review due today and before I could even do it, I get this email:
"Thank you for agreeing to review this manuscript. Unfortunately we have had to make a fast decision on the paper which means that your review is no longer necessary."
Ok then? Are you implying I was late?
"Thank you for agreeing to review this manuscript. Unfortunately we have had to make a fast decision on the paper which means that your review is no longer necessary."
Ok then? Are you implying I was late?
November 5, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Had a review due today and before I could even do it, I get this email:
"Thank you for agreeing to review this manuscript. Unfortunately we have had to make a fast decision on the paper which means that your review is no longer necessary."
Ok then? Are you implying I was late?
"Thank you for agreeing to review this manuscript. Unfortunately we have had to make a fast decision on the paper which means that your review is no longer necessary."
Ok then? Are you implying I was late?
Posting a pic and part of a slide from a talk I gave a few days back for no reason.
• If teams are perfect clones, then games are fully determined by randomness. Does that sound fun?
• Invest in my new business: The Professional Competitive Coin Flipping League
• If teams are perfect clones, then games are fully determined by randomness. Does that sound fun?
• Invest in my new business: The Professional Competitive Coin Flipping League
November 4, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Posting a pic and part of a slide from a talk I gave a few days back for no reason.
• If teams are perfect clones, then games are fully determined by randomness. Does that sound fun?
• Invest in my new business: The Professional Competitive Coin Flipping League
• If teams are perfect clones, then games are fully determined by randomness. Does that sound fun?
• Invest in my new business: The Professional Competitive Coin Flipping League
@khoavuumn.bsky.social I suspect you know what to do with this picture...
November 3, 2025 at 5:33 PM
@khoavuumn.bsky.social I suspect you know what to do with this picture...
About to send some edits to a new collaborator today and there is a lot of red. Should send this along with my edits, I think:
November 3, 2025 at 5:10 PM
About to send some edits to a new collaborator today and there is a lot of red. Should send this along with my edits, I think:
Joe Flacco threw for 470 yards in the year 2025. Wild.
November 2, 2025 at 10:01 PM
Joe Flacco threw for 470 yards in the year 2025. Wild.
It’s too late merely to view with alarm the mess into which baseball has managed to get itself. The time has come to sound the alarm before the national pastime, as it still calls itself, collapses under the weight of its own archaic rules, mismanagement,
lack of leadership, greed & plain stupidity
lack of leadership, greed & plain stupidity
November 2, 2025 at 4:01 PM
It’s too late merely to view with alarm the mess into which baseball has managed to get itself. The time has come to sound the alarm before the national pastime, as it still calls itself, collapses under the weight of its own archaic rules, mismanagement,
lack of leadership, greed & plain stupidity
lack of leadership, greed & plain stupidity
Reposted by Brian Mills
Every time I try to explain to a normie why politicized hiring is bad for universities or government, will use Belichick as an example
just catching up on Bill Belichick’s disastrous year as UNC coach and discovering the exact mechanics of how he secured the job. www.theringer.com/2025/10/31/c...
November 2, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Every time I try to explain to a normie why politicized hiring is bad for universities or government, will use Belichick as an example
Reposted by Brian Mills
NAASE is organizing sessions for the Eastern Econ. meetings May 6-9 in the Dominican Republic. (www.hyatt.com/secrets/en-U...)
If interested, please send a paper title and contact information to Eva Leeds (leedse@moravian.edu) or Victor Matheson (vmatheso@holycross.edu) by Oct. 31, 2025.
If interested, please send a paper title and contact information to Eva Leeds (leedse@moravian.edu) or Victor Matheson (vmatheso@holycross.edu) by Oct. 31, 2025.
www.hyatt.com
October 30, 2025 at 6:22 PM
NAASE is organizing sessions for the Eastern Econ. meetings May 6-9 in the Dominican Republic. (www.hyatt.com/secrets/en-U...)
If interested, please send a paper title and contact information to Eva Leeds (leedse@moravian.edu) or Victor Matheson (vmatheso@holycross.edu) by Oct. 31, 2025.
If interested, please send a paper title and contact information to Eva Leeds (leedse@moravian.edu) or Victor Matheson (vmatheso@holycross.edu) by Oct. 31, 2025.
Shohei Ohtani has a 1.22 FIP and a .811 SLG in the playoffs this year thanks to a long slump to start the postseason.
October 28, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Shohei Ohtani has a 1.22 FIP and a .811 SLG in the playoffs this year thanks to a long slump to start the postseason.