Staffan Kumlin
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staffankumlin.bsky.social
Staffan Kumlin
@staffankumlin.bsky.social

Political Science Professor, Univ of Oslo.
Democracy and discontent in European welfare states.

Political science 77%
Sociology 8%
Pinned
"Election Campaigns and Welfare State Change: Democratic Linkage and Leadership Under Pressure" academic.oup.com/book/44051, co-authored with Achim Goerres @emppolitikwiss.bsky.social
Election Campaigns and Welfare State Change: Democratic Linkage and Leadership Under Pressure
Abstract. For over three decades, mature European welfare states have been on their way into an austerity phase marked by greater need and more insecure re
academic.oup.com

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

Our introduction to to the special issue on the formation of public opinion in the welfare state is now out in the @jeppjournal.bsky.social!

📖 Freely available: doi.org/10.1080/1350...

A big thanks to Zhen Jie Im, Maria Grasso, and Franco Bonomi Bezzo for outstanding co-editorship.

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

I am thrilled to announce the publication of the Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics! Over 70 scholars from various institutions in Norway and abroad have contributed their expertise and insights to 48 chapters on different aspects of Norwegian politics.

A short🧵

global.oup.com/academic/pro...
Shout-out to all #PoliticalTrust researchers interested in attending the first @epssnet.bsky.social conference in #Belfast

@annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

ISV’s Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social receives 12 million NOK from the RCN program 'Welfare and Education' for the research project 'Struggling Women and Men: Political-Democratic Gender Gaps in a High-Trust Welfare State.'🌟👏Congratulations!
www.sv.uio.no/isv/om/aktue...
Staffan Kumlin får Forskingsrådsmidler for å se på politiske og demokratiske kjønnsforskjeller - Institutt for statsvitenskap (ISV)
Med 12 millioner kroner fra Forskningsrådet vil Staffan Kumlin på Institutt for statsvitenskap forske på politiske og demokratiske kjønnsforskjeller. Han vil blant annet ta for seg hvordan utdanning, ...
www.sv.uio.no

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

New chapter on political trust in Norway, co-authored with @staffankumlin.bsky.social.
📣 New chapter 🌟
👥 Staffan Kumlin & Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social
📘 Political Trust in Norway: A Large but Lopsided Research Field
📚 The Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics, eds Kolltveit, Allern, Braut-Hegghammer & Rasch
🔗 global.oup.com/academic/pro...
📣 New chapter 🌟
👥 Staffan Kumlin & Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social
📘 Political Trust in Norway: A Large but Lopsided Research Field
📚 The Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics, eds Kolltveit, Allern, Braut-Hegghammer & Rasch
🔗 global.oup.com/academic/pro...
Finding: political trust can influence how people experience socio-economic risks 💡

In our article in @joftrustres.bsky.social, Atle Haugsgjerd & I show that political trust works as a psychological coping-mechanism - especially for those who believe the welfare state should manage economic risks.
📢 New article 🌟
👥 Miroslav Kreos-Nemcok @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social (ISV), Hanna Wass @hannawass.bsky.social & Juho Vesa
🔎 Partisan Influence on Policy Preferences in Retrenching the Welfare State
📖 Open access in Public Opinion Quarterly
doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

As global population growth starts to hit the brakes, Rein Taagepera and I consider what this means for our future and look for lessons from the past.
🔽👇⬇️
👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 As #PopulationGrowth slows, @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social & Rein Taagepera draw on a striking demographic stall 2,000 years ago that preceded political fragmentation and imperial collapse.
🌍 Can modern states withstand the pressures of a post-growth world?
👉 buff.ly/BQCQ8Vj

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 As #PopulationGrowth slows, @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social & Rein Taagepera draw on a striking demographic stall 2,000 years ago that preceded political fragmentation and imperial collapse.
🌍 Can modern states withstand the pressures of a post-growth world?
👉 buff.ly/BQCQ8Vj
Finally out! Together with @liserakner.bsky.social we discuss notions around taxation and solidarity! “Imagined solidarity around tax practices: a two-dimensional framework based on motivating logic and group boundaries”
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Imagined solidarity around tax practices: a two-dimensional framework based on motivating logic and group boundaries | The Journal of Modern African Studies | Cambridge Core
Imagined solidarity around tax practices: a two-dimensional framework based on motivating logic and group boundaries - Volume 62 Issue 2
www.cambridge.org
Do generous welfare policies foster political trust? Matthijs Gillissen, @silkegoubin.bsky.social & Anna Ruelens examine the long-term effects of welfare generosity on trust in political institutions. Read more:
buff.ly/tBe6gLG

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
📣1 PhD fellow position open at Department of Political Science, University of Oslo.
👉We invite applications from excellent candidates in all sub-fields of political science.
📅Deadline: September 1st, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (4 years) (282479) | University of Oslo
Job title: PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (4 years) (282479), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, September 1, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

Later that day, he will present “The Causal Effects of Poor and Corrupt Welfare State Service Delivery on Political Solidarity and Political Trust: Experimental Evidence from a Novel Virtual-State Approach” (co-authored with Achim Goerres, Philipp Chapkovski and @jeicheler.bsky.social )!
Really honored to be awarded the King’s Gold Medal for my dissertation!

You can read more about it below, and then I want to add that I was incredibly lucky with my workplace, colleagues, co-authors and supervisors during my PhD<3 feeling grateful!!
Anna Nordnes Helgøy awarded the King's Gold Medal for dissertation on gender division in private and public spheres - Department of Political Science
– It is a great honour to receive recognition for a doctoral dissertation on gender equality at a time when the American president is actively working against research in this field, says Anna Nordnes...
www.sv.uio.no

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

📢 New article
👥 Tor Gaute Syrstad, Atle Hennum Haugsgjerd & Staffan Kumlin, staffankumlin.bsky.social.
🔎 Iceberg of discontent? Emotional responses to welfare state development and political trust.
📖 Open access in Journal of European Social Policy
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0958...

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

First Wednesday of the month – time for a new In_equality podcast! This time, our hosts @mbusemeyer.bsky.social and Gabriele Spilker @uni-konstanz.de talk with @juandiego48cr.bsky.social about how people (mis-)perceive inequality – and why it matters for politics. ➡️ inequality.uni.kn/podcast

Reposted by Miroslav Nemčok

Interested in how public services affect political distrust, populist support, and similar? Longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway.
doi.org/10.1080/1471...
Welfare state evaluations, normative expectations, and political trust: longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway
The expectancy-disconfirmation model (EDM) explains satisfaction with public services as a combination of service expectations and perceived performance. We study how satisfaction in turn affects p...
doi.org

Congratulations!

Sunny Saarland days. Very enjoyable!

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

Technological change has had important consequences for labour markets in recent decades. What about its electoral consequences? In this new article in EJPR, we use administrative data to follow nearly a million workers over 16 years to study this. 🧵

ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
The gendered long‐term consequences of automation risk on electoral behaviour: Evidence from Norway
We examine long-run effects of automation risk on turnout. We expect gendered negative effects because men's turnout is more sensitive to job loss and earnings, but negative effects might be offset b...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Very happy to share our new article in JoP @thejop.bsky.social, where we explore how parties forge links with social groups (here: social classes) through different appeals and how citizens respond to such appeals.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
How does the “mental load” of taking care of family and household influence decisions about participating in public life?

In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w @annanhelgoy.bsky.social we use a survey experiment priming domestic mental load to find out.

doi.org/10.1017/S000...

🧵 1/9
Crowded Out: The Influence of Mental Load Priming on Intentions to Participate in Public Life | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Crowded Out: The Influence of Mental Load Priming on Intentions to Participate in Public Life - Volume 55
doi.org

Congratulations!

Reposted by Staffan Kumlin

Does politicizing redistribution increase support for equality? 🤔

@arnovanhootegem.bsky.social investigates—and finds no direct link. But greater party polarization? That deepens ideological divides over equality.

Food for thought to start the new week 👇
The impact of issue politicization around redistribution on support for equality and its ideological divides
This paper investigates whether there is a link between issue politicization around redistribution and public support for equality. Specifically, the study uses three dimensions of politicization (...
www.tandfonline.com
📣We are hiring! Please share!
👉 Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science
🇳🇴 Department of Political Science, University of Oslo
📅 Deadline: February 15th, 2025.
🔗 www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (4 years) (272043) | University of Oslo
Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (4 years) (272043), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Saturday, February 15, 2025
www.jobbnorge.no

Political trust is likely in global decline. What are the consequences? Our experiment suggests low-trusters more often accept info saying immigration threatens the welfare state. Trust matters more than most economic, cultural, and contextual factors - with @finseraas.bsky.social & Atle Haugsgjerd
Immigration and welfare state sustainability: whose perception is affected by fiscal cost cues?
Who reacts politically to fiscally costly immigration? A political economy tradition holds that reactions depend on economic self-interest, whereas a social psychology tradition emphasizes generali...
doi.org