Menzie Chinn

@mchinn.bsky.social

5.5K followers 720 following 1.1K posts

Professor of Public Affairs and Economics, University of Wisconsin, and Blogger at Econbrowser. All views are my own.

Menzie David Chinn is a professor of public affairs and economics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison, co-editor of the Journal of International Money and Finance, and a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research International Finance and Macroeconomics Program. .. more

Economics 93%

Business 4%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Iikka Korhonen, Caroline Fohlin

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 4h

#EconSky @tcddublin.bsky.social Swiss National Bank workshop
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

SNB-TCD Workshop: “Globalization and the economics of the external sector” | Econbrowser

econbrowser.com

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 4h

@calculatedrisk.bsky.social on negative equity #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Reposted by Menzie Chinn

Bill McBride @calculatedrisk.bsky.social · 14h

Negative equity increasing especially in Florida and parts of Texas.

Reposted by Menzie Chinn

Scott Imberman @imbernomics.bsky.social · 1d

It’s not even working how they want. Trump’s numbers are tanking. He’s lost 3 net over last 3 weeks and the trajectory has shifted to the bottom falling out. fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 2d

EPU spikes...why? #EconSky

econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 2d

In 2025, Republican assessment of current conditions are impervious to bad news, acc u.Mich survey #EconSky

econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 2d

U.Mich sentiment (current, expectations, overall) surprise downside, descend to near record levels. Not to fear, as The Repulican agenda is "delivering an economic miracle”... #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Reposted by Menzie Chinn, Michael Kevane, Aaron Sojourner

Louis Johnston @ldjeconomics.bsky.social · 2d

Thanks, @tptalmanac.bsky.social, for the conversation

www.tpt.org/almanac/vide...

Almanac - Economist | Shutdown Continues - Twin Cities PBS

CSBSJU’s Louis Johnston on job data, tariffs, and more.

www.tpt.org

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 4d

Nowcasting BLS private NFP #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Reposted by Christian E. Weller

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 4d

Digging up my high school reading, "DonaldTrump Rex" is gouging out his own (economic) eyes (now as farce rather than tragedy); no patricide and incest implied! #EconSky @aaronsojourner.org

econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Reposted by Claudia Sahm, Menzie Chinn, Justin H. Kirkland , and 8 more Claudia Sahm, Menzie Chinn, Justin H. Kirkland, Trevon D. Logan, David R. Miller, Silvia Secchi, Scott A. Imberman, Dan Immergluck, Virginia Sapiro, Kevin Grant, Timothy D. McBride

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 4d

Every month for the last 77 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has estimated Americans' unemployment rate

This streak dies tomorrow

Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months

This blind spot will remain forever

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 4d

Here's the planned BLS data release schedule for Nov 2025.

On Tues, it couldn't release Sept job openings, hires, layoffs and firings data.

This morning, it couldn't release 2025Q3 business Productivity and Costs data.

Tomorrow, it can't release Oct 2025 #JobsReport
www.bls.gov/schedule/202...

Reposted by Georg Weizsäcker

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 5d

High interest rates vs. policy uncertainty and the downturn in residential investment #EconSky

econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 5d

Update: If DRP impact shows up in October govt employment as -150K... @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social says 150K-200K is range #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 5d

Yeesh - EJ Antoni is Truflation's latex salesman! #EconSky
I hope he's learned not to deflate GDP using a consumption price index econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Reposted by Menzie Chinn, Linda J. Skitka

Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 5d

"National emergency" 🤔🧐

on.ft.com/49BOOUA

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 5d

Thanks! I defer to you on this matter. I'll adjust the post accordingly...

Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 5d

150-200K federal workers exited payroll on Sept 30 (drp, not the shutdown) so BLS total NFP bound to be lower than -58K

Reposted by Menzie Chinn

Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 5d

150-200K federal workers exited payroll on Sept 30 (drp, not the shutdown) so BLS total NFP bound to be lower than -58K

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 5d

ADP private NFP +42K v consensus +32K, implies BLS total NFP at -58K #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Reposted by Menzie Chinn

Abuse of Power Watch @abuseofpowerwatch.bsky.social · 5d

📍 𝐂𝐇𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐆𝐎, 𝐈𝐋𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐎𝐈𝐒:

A U.S. citizen, Dayanne Figueroa, was dragged from her car by masked federal agents after her vehicle collided with an unmarked ICE vehicle—she was held for hours without charge and left shaken from the encounter. #AbuseofPowerWatch

Chicago woman dragged out of her car after colliding with ICE demands accountability

The arrest of Dayanne Figueroa highlights growing concerns about the use of force against U.S. citizens and due process. She was released after a few hours without charges.

www.chicagotribune.com

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 7d

(Metaphorically) Admin on employment data: "You want the truth? You can't handle the truth!" #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 7d

Why? Has there been "news"? #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 8d

Kalshi betting today 9% government doesn't open before next year
kalshi.com/markets/kxgo...
Implausible? Not if the sole reason for closure is Epstein

kalshi.com

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 8d

Bloomberg consensus for ADP October release is +28K #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...

Menzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 8d

Using the 2-quarter rule for recessions, EJ Antoni and Peter St. Onge should have declared the recession of 2022 onward "over" as of 2022Q3 (as opposed to ongoing, as they did in *2024*) #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...