Johannes Boehm
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johannesmboehm.bsky.social
Johannes Boehm
@johannesmboehm.bsky.social

Professor of Economics, Geneva Graduate Institute & CEPR. Growth, Trade, Productivity, Organization, Environment, South Asia. https://jmboehm.github.io/

Economics 71%
Business 8%
Pinned
Thomas Chaney and I updated our working paper on "Trade and the End of Antiquity" (which recently got some airtime on twitter). A short re-cap: 1/n
🚨JOB ALERT🚨

We are hiring tenure-track assistant/associate professors in Economics at the University of Oslo.

Fields: macro, micro theory, international trade, development

Application deadline: November 30!

More info at: econjobmarket.org/positions/11...
EJM - Econ Job Market
econjobmarket.org

Please give them the entire paper; this (descriptive) plot may be thought-provoking, but by itself it's difficult to interpret. (I'm one of the authors)
🚨JOB ALERT🚨

We are hiring assistant professors in Economics (any field)
@lmumuenchen.bsky.social @econmunich.bsky.social

Target date for applications: November 24!

More info at: econjobmarket.org/positions/11...

#EconSky #EconJobMarket #EJME

Do you include potentially reduced incentives to innovate in the "no war" counterfactual? What's your assessment of those?

Reposted by Johannes Boehm

Great programme for the CEP/LSE-Warwick Junior Trade Workshop on 22 September
@cep-lse.bsky.social @warwickecon.bsky.social

cep.lse.ac.uk/textonly/_ne...

Let the sabbatical begin! Thank you to @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social economics for hosting me for the year (and thanks for the nice office view!)

Also great work on the Roman economy.
Peter Temin, economic historian at MIT, has passed away. He worked both on problems of understanding the past (e.g. "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression?") and how how the past shapes the present (e.g. "The Vanishing Middle Class.") Terrific scholar and mentor, generous critic.

Further unraveling: we'll see, I'm not that optimistic. I would have preferred it if the US had unilaterally withdrawn from the WTO. I agree on incidence.

Yes, that's exactly what I'm worried about (but it will take 5-10y to evaluate). The EU is effectively showing the middle finger to MFN.

But at the price of sacrificing the world trading system...
If this is accurate, then unless the EU eliminates all tariffs on industrial imports from all its WTO partners, it will be joining Trump in destroying the international trade rules that have applied since WW2. The difference being that while Trump hates the rule-based order the EU claims to value it
White House has now published text of the Turnberry golf resort agreement between EU and US.

It states very clearly that pharma will be tariffed at 15%.

Adds to the existing confusion. The question is when?
www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/...
Fact Sheet: The United States and European Union Reach Massive Trade Deal
MAKING GLOBAL HISTORY: Yesterday, President Donald J. Trump announced a trade deal with the European Union (EU), fundamentally rebalancing the economic
www.whitehouse.gov

Today's trade deal between the US and the EU -- if as reported in the press, and if independent from other agreements -- is a massive mistake on the EU's side. Instead it should have called Trump's bluff. Trump would not have imposed 30% on EU imports for long.
Great anecdote here from former FT editor Richard Lambert on the time Manmohan Singh came to the FT to talk with him and Martin Wolf. H/T @andymukherjee70.bsky.social

"Contracts as reference points"?

Does that mean that the 'mistake' was merely to use this particular justification, and if they find a somewhat less creative justification, there is little that the courts would do to stop tariffs?

Thank you ‪to @peterfrankopan.bsky.social‬ for discussing our paper on his terrific substack blog: peterfrankopan.substack.com/p/coins-in-t...

The real Austrian response is "depends on who's asking" :)

Whenever you need a model/estimator that isn't already available in 'canned' form (i.e. whenever you need to write the optimization problem yourself). If you stick with OLS/IV/PPML/logit/probit your're usually fine w/ R or stata.

They can't; the Calvo fairy didn't let them today
Trade and the End of Antiquity featured in today's Chartbook Top Link.

Reposted by Johannes Boehm

Call for papers: @theigc.bsky.social/@yaleegc.bsky.social conference on Firms/Trade/Development, Oct. 24-25, 2025.

The leading conference in the firms & development space!

Early decision deadline (to accommodate visa processing): May 30.

General submission deadline: July 18.

Reposted by Johannes Boehm

On 14th April, as part of a first of a series of events, nine Institute professors gave briefings, tying their expertise to the the first 100 days of Donald Trump’s second presidency and its global implications.
Watch the recording now, in case you missed it
👇
shorturl.at/xnGla

That document is very unclear about this
There is still a time to apply for our Master in International Economics

Third and final deadline on April 15

@gvagrad.bsky.social @dominic-rohner.bsky.social @johannesmboehm.bsky.social

Please repost
🧵 Thinking about a career in international economics?

1/ Looking to combine academic rigor with policy relevance? Want to make a real impact in economic policy and research?

@gvagrad.bsky.social

Reposted by Johannes Boehm

Dekle, Eaton, Kortum (2007): "We incorporate imbalances into a quantitative model of bilateral trade, calculating how relative factor costs and welfare would change if current accounts were all balanced." US welfare declines 6%.

pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/...
AEA Web - American Economic Review - 97(2):351 - Abstract
pubs.aeaweb.org
Just such beautiful variation though
The research group at the Workd Bank is doing an off-cycle hire for a trade economist worldbankgroup.csod.com/ux/ats/caree...
Research Economist
Do you want to build a career that is truly worthwhile? Working at the World Bank Group provides a unique opportunity for you to help our clients solv...
worldbankgroup.csod.com
1/ NEW RESEARCH: Our study reveals 46% of pesticides embedded in EU agricultural consumption originate from imports, despite imports constituting only 17% of consumption. This includes substances prohibited in the EU. This regulatory gap fuels leakage effects and hurts EU competitiveness 🧵