Arman Pili
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armanpili.bsky.social
Arman Pili
@armanpili.bsky.social

πŸ§‘πŸ½β€πŸ”¬ PostDoc @fletcher.ecology CambridgeU | πŸŽ“ MonashU'24 | πŸ“š Conservation Informatics | Fellow IPBES GA2 | JrAE J Appl Ecol | Explorer NatGeo | 🎲 Brimming w/ chaos & positivity | Grung Valor Bard 🐸

Environmental science 70%
Geography 18%
Really excited about what came in the mail today:

Oh yesss it was good carnage! And joining the ceilidh was my best decision that night, and a contender for the highlight of my first BES!!! It was fun dancing with you and everyone!
I have learnt a lot as an Assoc Editor in-training at the @jappliedecology.bsky.social, and I feel privelaged to have THE @martin-nunez.bsky.social as my mentor! It was so great to finally meet you in person, and learn from you more!!!
What are the causes & consequences of behavioural diversity loss in a changing world? And how do we harness this knowledge for conservation? New open access paper led by @odedberger-tal.bsky.social with David Saltz and @mrmic1.bsky.social

#BobWongLab

royalsocietypublishing.org/rspb/article...
Anthropogenic change and the loss of behavioural diversity
Abstract. Behavioural diversity is an important but understudied facet of biodiversity that enables wildlife populations to cope with rapidly changing envi
royalsocietypublishing.org

Reposted by Arman Pili

πŸŽ‰ Congratulations to Dr Charles Emogor winner of the @zslscience.bsky.social Thomas Henry Huxley Award and Marsh Prize 2025 for the best PhD thesis submitted by a UK university.

Read more: bit.ly/4a9AD9J

πŸ•ΊπŸ•ΊπŸ•ΊπŸ•Ί
Really happy to share that the Second Edition of our book, "Spatial Ecology and Conservation Modeling", is now out and available online!

We provide a foundation for applied spatial ecology with a focus on learning-by-doing.

@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
Spatial Ecology and Conservation Modeling
This textbook provides a foundation for modern applied ecology. It follows a rapidly changing field with updates of concepts, methods, and code.
link.springer.com
IPBES @ipbes.net Β· 28d
That’s a wrap on the First Authors' Meeting of 🏑 IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment!

Huge thanks to our fellows, authors & experts for their dedication this week, setting the vision and foundations for the next 3 years. 🌍

Grateful to UNESCO for hosting us!

πŸ§ͺ https://www.ipbes.net/second-global-assessment

Reposted by Arman Pili

IPBES @ipbes.net Β· 29d
Some of IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment Coordinating Leading Authors started out their IPBES journey as Fellows during the #GlobalAssessment.

This week in Paris, Fellowship alumni and Coordinating Lead Authors met with the new generation of fellows and shared anecdotes, words of wisdom, and advice.

Reposted by Arman Pili

IPBES @ipbes.net Β· Nov 26
Earlier this week, IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment fellows received introductions to the program.

The young researchers from across the world got to know each other and started planning for the work ahead.

Learn more about the IPBES Fellowship Program: https://www.ipbes.net/ipbes-fellowship-programme

Timely opportunity for my research pivot to conservation informatics for bridging science-practice-policy! 🌏🐸
ipbes.net IPBES @ipbes.net Β· Nov 25
Great progress has been made at the First Author’s Meeting for the #2ndGlobalAssessment ! 🌍

Coordinating Lead Authors and Fellows got to know each other and started ideating the working elements for the assessment.

Thank you to participants for your dedication and passion #ForNature! 🌱
IPBES @ipbes.net Β· Nov 25
Great progress has been made at the First Author’s Meeting for the #2ndGlobalAssessment ! 🌍

Coordinating Lead Authors and Fellows got to know each other and started ideating the working elements for the assessment.

Thank you to participants for your dedication and passion #ForNature! 🌱
InvaPact III workshop is now over: WHAT A WEEK! ~60 experts from 30 countries putting their brainpower together for an unique collaborative project.
Work hard, play hard: they really followed my motto!
Powerful publications on the way!
Please repost!

I am looking for a passionate and hard-working PhD student to work in southern Africa on experimental defaunation and rewilding of megafauna. See the link below for more information:

@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
Reversing defaunation through rewilding and its consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem function | Department of Zoology
Reversing defaunation through rewilding and its consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem function Supervisor: Professor Rob Fletcher The world is facing several global challenges that are transform...
www.zoo.cam.ac.uk
πŸ“£ A global assessment of the status, trends and gaps of #non-native (alien, partly #invasive) #species

A new #publication with 65 authors from all continents (except Antarctica), 42 article pages and >500 references.

doi.org/10.1111/brv....

🌐 #ecology #globalchange
Biological invasions: a global assessment of geographic distributions, long‐term trends, and data gaps
Biological invasions are one of the major drivers of biodiversity decline and have been shown to have far-reaching consequences for society and the economy. Preventing the introduction and spread of ....
doi.org

Today was my first day as a Research Associate πŸ€“ at @fletcherecology.bsky.social group in the @camzoology.bsky.social University of Cambridge!!! Looking forward to mapping global connectivity πŸ‘£πŸžπŸŒ and its applications for biodiversity conservation and restoration 🦏🌿!!!

<3 <3 <3

πŸš€ What’s next?
We’re applying this method to 600+ alien amphibians and reptiles 🦎🐸 to map their global invasion potential & understand global biotic homogenization 🌍
(8/8)

πŸ”§ Our fix:
We sub-sample both presences & backgrounds across the full environmental gradient available to a species.
This helps SDMs better:
πŸ“Œ Explain niches
πŸ“ Predict current distributions
πŸ•°οΈ Project future/range-shifting scenarios
(7/8)

πŸ’₯ What went wrong?
Environmental sampling bias!
The model didn’t capture the true species-environment relationshipβ€”it just overfit to the oversampled Australian conditions.
➑️ The data were unbalanced in environmental space, and it showed.
(6/8)

🎯 The scenario:
Goal: Predict the global invaded range of the cane toad 🐸
Data:
πŸ‡§πŸ‡· 1000 records from native Brazil
πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί 2000 from invaded Australia
πŸ‡΅πŸ‡­ 100 from invaded Philippines

πŸ‘‰ All thinned using standard methods (SOA)

Result: SDMs accurately predicted AU and BR(overfit), but mehhh in PH

(5/8)

🀺 I’ve had beef with this issue since my MSc days. It all started here:
πŸ“„ doi.org/10.1038/s415...
(4/8)
Niche shifts and environmental non-equilibrium undermine the usefulness of ecological niche models for invasion risk assessments - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Niche shifts and environmental non-equilibrium undermine the usefulness of ecological niche models for invasion risk assessments
doi.org

βœ… The Solution:
Apply 'Habitat Stratified Sampling Design' when thinning both data.

Our new methods:
1️⃣ Environmental clustering
2️⃣ Environmental distance thinning

Both outperform conventional approaches for:
🌍 Explaining
πŸ“ Predicting
⏳ Projecting species distributions

(3/8)

🧩 The Problem:
Environmental sampling bias = when some environmental conditions are oversampled just because they’re common or widespread across the landscape.
➑️ This skews the models and messes with predictive accuracy.

(2/8)
GBIF @gbif.org Β· Mar 5
We're looking for the input of IAS data collectors, users or curators to take part in a survey to help shape the future of IAS data standards and accessibility.

This survey is hosted by the GBIF and @tdwg.org task groups on IAS ⭐

πŸ”—www.surveymonkey.com...
The loss of megafauna over the last 50,000 years has caused ecological theories to be based on already-degraded ecosystems.

https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.11134

#Megafauna #Coexistence #Megaherbivore #ShiftingBaselineSyndrome #CommunityEcology #LargeHerbivore

Reposted by Arman Pili

My final PhD chapter published in FEE (Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment): re-mapping KΓΆppen-Geiger climate zones, but now using microclimate! Very excited to have this one out:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Me too please!

Not too late for the afterparty πŸ’œπŸ’œπŸ’œ
GBIF @gbif.org Β· Dec 20
πŸ”ŽπŸŒ± Are you a #biodiversity data holder located in Asia?

The GBIF Asia Regional Support Team is hosting a virtual #DataMobilization workshop in February 2025 πŸ“ to support capacity needs and to promote data publication across the #Asia region!

Registrations are open!

πŸ”—gbif.link/2025-asia-...