Arman Pili
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armanpili.bsky.social
Arman Pili
@armanpili.bsky.social

🧑🏽‍🔬 PostDoc @fletcher.ecology CambridgeU | 🎓 MonashU'24 | 📚 Appl. Quant. Global Change Ecology | Fellow IPBES | JrAE J Appl Ecol | Explorer NatGeo | 🎲 Brimming w/ chaos & positivity | Grung Valor Bard 🐸

Environmental science 70%
Geography 18%
InvaPact III workshop is now over: WHAT A WEEK! ~60 experts from 30 countries putting their brainpower together for an unique collaborative project.
Work hard, play hard: they really followed my motto!
Powerful publications on the way!
📣 A global assessment of the status, trends and gaps of #non-native (alien, partly #invasive) #species

A new #publication with 65 authors from all continents (except Antarctica), 42 article pages and >500 references.

doi.org/10.1111/brv....

🌐 #ecology #globalchange
Biological invasions: a global assessment of geographic distributions, long‐term trends, and data gaps
Biological invasions are one of the major drivers of biodiversity decline and have been shown to have far-reaching consequences for society and the economy. Preventing the introduction and spread of ....
doi.org

Today was my first day as a Research Associate 🤓 at @fletcherecology.bsky.social group in the @camzoology.bsky.social University of Cambridge!!! Looking forward to mapping global connectivity 👣🏞🌍 and its applications for biodiversity conservation and restoration 🦏🌿!!!

<3 <3 <3

🚀 What’s next?
We’re applying this method to 600+ alien amphibians and reptiles 🦎🐸 to map their global invasion potential & understand global biotic homogenization 🌍
(8/8)

🔧 Our fix:
We sub-sample both presences & backgrounds across the full environmental gradient available to a species.
This helps SDMs better:
📌 Explain niches
📍 Predict current distributions
🕰️ Project future/range-shifting scenarios
(7/8)

💥 What went wrong?
Environmental sampling bias!
The model didn’t capture the true species-environment relationship—it just overfit to the oversampled Australian conditions.
➡️ The data were unbalanced in environmental space, and it showed.
(6/8)

🎯 The scenario:
Goal: Predict the global invaded range of the cane toad 🐸
Data:
🇧🇷 1000 records from native Brazil
🇦🇺 2000 from invaded Australia
🇵🇭 100 from invaded Philippines

👉 All thinned using standard methods (SOA)

Result: SDMs accurately predicted AU and BR(overfit), but mehhh in PH

(5/8)

✅ The Solution:
Apply 'Habitat Stratified Sampling Design' when thinning both data.

Our new methods:
1️⃣ Environmental clustering
2️⃣ Environmental distance thinning

Both outperform conventional approaches for:
🌍 Explaining
📍 Predicting
⏳ Projecting species distributions

(3/8)

🧩 The Problem:
Environmental sampling bias = when some environmental conditions are oversampled just because they’re common or widespread across the landscape.
➡️ This skews the models and messes with predictive accuracy.

(2/8)
GBIF @gbif.org · Mar 5
We're looking for the input of IAS data collectors, users or curators to take part in a survey to help shape the future of IAS data standards and accessibility.

This survey is hosted by the GBIF and @tdwg.org task groups on IAS ⭐

🔗www.surveymonkey.com...
The loss of megafauna over the last 50,000 years has caused ecological theories to be based on already-degraded ecosystems.

https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.11134

#Megafauna #Coexistence #Megaherbivore #ShiftingBaselineSyndrome #CommunityEcology #LargeHerbivore

Reposted by Arman Pili

My final PhD chapter published in FEE (Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment): re-mapping Köppen-Geiger climate zones, but now using microclimate! Very excited to have this one out:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Me too please!

Not too late for the afterparty 💜💜💜
GBIF @gbif.org · Dec 20
🔎🌱 Are you a #biodiversity data holder located in Asia?

The GBIF Asia Regional Support Team is hosting a virtual #DataMobilization workshop in February 2025 📍 to support capacity needs and to promote data publication across the #Asia region!

Registrations are open!

🔗gbif.link/2025-asia-...
Skinks on a Plane! For invasive species to be successful, they must be able to cope with transportation. Third-year student Jaclyn (@jaclynharris.bsky.social) exposed invasive delicate skinks to air and car transport to see if it impacted their behaviour. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Skinks on a Plane: Does Human‐Mediated Transportation Impact the Behaviour of an Invasive Lizard?
In order for invasive species to successfully establish in the non-native region, they must survive the journey and arrive in good condition; however, few studies have investigated the impact of huma....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com

It finally happened: my future #student #mentee asked me about my paper that I led and #published years ago (my first first-author paper), only to apologise that I forgot what I did in that #paper, nor do I have a copy of it in my computerS (it is under paywall).

#academia #science

Reposted by Arman Pili

“There needs to be more emphasis on the ecological component of One Health as we consider the problems of biodiversity loss, climate extremes, habitat fragmentation, and emerging disease”https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2413367121

Reposted by Arman Pili

Here’s the @science.org article so that @altmetric.com picks it up :) www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Reposted by Arman Pili

Reposted by Arman Pili

Important reminder by @chapplelab.bsky.social - data deficient / not evaluated species should be treated the same as threatened, and they are more likely to be threatened than not
#ESAus2024
🙀 How severe are #bioinvasions in protected areas? 🌱🌍
In our latest study, we used EICAT to uncover the severity and mechanisms of these impacts. Tools like EICAT are essential for understanding these challenges and driving effective conservation efforts. #InvasiveSpecies
rdcu.be/d2uxe
🚨Paper out! I am very proud to announce the publication of my very last #PhD article, exploring the vulnerability of terrestrial #vertebrates to #invasivespecies.
Check the paper: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
With C. Bellard @celinebellard.bsky.social, B. Leroy, and G. Latombe
Exposure and Sensitivity of Terrestrial Vertebrates to Biological Invasions Worldwide
To reach the COP 15 objective of diminishing the impacts of biological invasions on native biota, one needs to identify the most vulnerable areas to this threat for prioritizing conservation actions.....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Reposted by Arman Pili

Aquaculture is an important activity sector for many countries. Unfortunately, it can also be the source of #bioinvasions. Focusing on crustaceans, our last paper presents a very simple framework to limit these invasions:
dx.doi.org/10.1111/raq....
Avec Elena Manfrini & @bleroyecology.bsky.social