Arman Pili
@armanpili.bsky.social
π§π½βπ¬ PostDoc @fletcher.ecology CambridgeU | π MonashU'24 | π Conservation Informatics | Fellow IPBES GA2 | JrAE J Appl Ecol | Explorer NatGeo | π² Brimming w/ chaos & positivity | Grung Valor Bard πΈ
Reposted by Arman Pili
Itβs official! After years of hard work by IPBES experts, the #BizBiodiversity Assessment Report is approved by the Plenary at #IPBES12!
Congratulations to all on this achievement for people and #nature!
Thank you to all who contributed to this successful outcome.
Congratulations to all on this achievement for people and #nature!
Thank you to all who contributed to this successful outcome.
February 8, 2026 at 12:42 PM
Itβs official! After years of hard work by IPBES experts, the #BizBiodiversity Assessment Report is approved by the Plenary at #IPBES12!
Congratulations to all on this achievement for people and #nature!
Thank you to all who contributed to this successful outcome.
Congratulations to all on this achievement for people and #nature!
Thank you to all who contributed to this successful outcome.
Reposted by Arman Pili
41 #IPBESfellows will be in Manchester from 2-4 February to attend a workshop where they will learn about science-policy interactions and have the opportunity to engage with IPBES experts & policymakers present at #IPBES12.
ππ§ͺ More about the IPBES fellowship programme: https://ow.ly/fV9850Y60ga
ππ§ͺ More about the IPBES fellowship programme: https://ow.ly/fV9850Y60ga
January 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM
41 #IPBESfellows will be in Manchester from 2-4 February to attend a workshop where they will learn about science-policy interactions and have the opportunity to engage with IPBES experts & policymakers present at #IPBES12.
ππ§ͺ More about the IPBES fellowship programme: https://ow.ly/fV9850Y60ga
ππ§ͺ More about the IPBES fellowship programme: https://ow.ly/fV9850Y60ga
Reposted by Arman Pili
How can change processes be guided toward desirable futures ForNature & people?
The #NatureFuturesFramework is paving the way! A review by Okayasu, S., Kuiper, J.J., et al. showcases the variety of applications in different contexts & areas for future research.
π‘https://ow.ly/iIzO50XAvQF
The #NatureFuturesFramework is paving the way! A review by Okayasu, S., Kuiper, J.J., et al. showcases the variety of applications in different contexts & areas for future research.
π‘https://ow.ly/iIzO50XAvQF
December 31, 2025 at 9:55 AM
How can change processes be guided toward desirable futures ForNature & people?
The #NatureFuturesFramework is paving the way! A review by Okayasu, S., Kuiper, J.J., et al. showcases the variety of applications in different contexts & areas for future research.
π‘https://ow.ly/iIzO50XAvQF
The #NatureFuturesFramework is paving the way! A review by Okayasu, S., Kuiper, J.J., et al. showcases the variety of applications in different contexts & areas for future research.
π‘https://ow.ly/iIzO50XAvQF
Reposted by Arman Pili
Really excited about what came in the mail today:
December 19, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Really excited about what came in the mail today:
Reposted by Arman Pili
Please repost!
I am looking for a passionate and hard-working PhD student to work in southern Africa on experimental defaunation and rewilding of megafauna. See the link below for more information:
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
I am looking for a passionate and hard-working PhD student to work in southern Africa on experimental defaunation and rewilding of megafauna. See the link below for more information:
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
Reversing defaunation through rewilding and its consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem function | Department of Zoology
Reversing defaunation through rewilding and its consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem function Supervisor: Professor Rob Fletcher The world is facing several global challenges that are transform...
www.zoo.cam.ac.uk
October 29, 2025 at 8:46 AM
Please repost!
I am looking for a passionate and hard-working PhD student to work in southern Africa on experimental defaunation and rewilding of megafauna. See the link below for more information:
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
I am looking for a passionate and hard-working PhD student to work in southern Africa on experimental defaunation and rewilding of megafauna. See the link below for more information:
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
Oh yesss it was good carnage! And joining the ceilidh was my best decision that night, and a contender for the highlight of my first BES!!! It was fun dancing with you and everyone!
December 18, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Oh yesss it was good carnage! And joining the ceilidh was my best decision that night, and a contender for the highlight of my first BES!!! It was fun dancing with you and everyone!
I have learnt a lot as an Assoc Editor in-training at the @jappliedecology.bsky.social, and I feel privelaged to have THE @martin-nunez.bsky.social as my mentor! It was so great to finally meet you in person, and learn from you more!!!
December 18, 2025 at 7:23 AM
I have learnt a lot as an Assoc Editor in-training at the @jappliedecology.bsky.social, and I feel privelaged to have THE @martin-nunez.bsky.social as my mentor! It was so great to finally meet you in person, and learn from you more!!!
Reposted by Arman Pili
π Congratulations to Dr Charles Emogor winner of the @zslscience.bsky.social Thomas Henry Huxley Award and Marsh Prize 2025 for the best PhD thesis submitted by a UK university.
Read more: bit.ly/4a9AD9J
Read more: bit.ly/4a9AD9J
December 10, 2025 at 2:18 PM
π Congratulations to Dr Charles Emogor winner of the @zslscience.bsky.social Thomas Henry Huxley Award and Marsh Prize 2025 for the best PhD thesis submitted by a UK university.
Read more: bit.ly/4a9AD9J
Read more: bit.ly/4a9AD9J
Reposted by Arman Pili
What are the causes & consequences of behavioural diversity loss in a changing world? And how do we harness this knowledge for conservation? New open access paper led by @odedberger-tal.bsky.social with David Saltz and @mrmic1.bsky.social
#BobWongLab
royalsocietypublishing.org/rspb/article...
#BobWongLab
royalsocietypublishing.org/rspb/article...
Anthropogenic change and the loss of behavioural diversity
Abstract. Behavioural diversity is an important but understudied facet of biodiversity that enables wildlife populations to cope with rapidly changing envi
royalsocietypublishing.org
December 10, 2025 at 8:58 PM
What are the causes & consequences of behavioural diversity loss in a changing world? And how do we harness this knowledge for conservation? New open access paper led by @odedberger-tal.bsky.social with David Saltz and @mrmic1.bsky.social
#BobWongLab
royalsocietypublishing.org/rspb/article...
#BobWongLab
royalsocietypublishing.org/rspb/article...
Reposted by Arman Pili
Really happy to share that the Second Edition of our book, "Spatial Ecology and Conservation Modeling", is now out and available online!
We provide a foundation for applied spatial ecology with a focus on learning-by-doing.
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
We provide a foundation for applied spatial ecology with a focus on learning-by-doing.
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
Spatial Ecology and Conservation Modeling
This textbook provides a foundation for modern applied ecology. It follows a rapidly changing field with updates of concepts, methods, and code.
link.springer.com
December 8, 2025 at 9:23 AM
Really happy to share that the Second Edition of our book, "Spatial Ecology and Conservation Modeling", is now out and available online!
We provide a foundation for applied spatial ecology with a focus on learning-by-doing.
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
We provide a foundation for applied spatial ecology with a focus on learning-by-doing.
@camzoology.bsky.social @conservation.cam.ac.uk
Reposted by Arman Pili
Thatβs a wrap on the First Authors' Meeting of π‘ IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment!
Huge thanks to our fellows, authors & experts for their dedication this week, setting the vision and foundations for the next 3 years. π
Grateful to UNESCO for hosting us!
π§ͺ https://www.ipbes.net/second-global-assessment
Huge thanks to our fellows, authors & experts for their dedication this week, setting the vision and foundations for the next 3 years. π
Grateful to UNESCO for hosting us!
π§ͺ https://www.ipbes.net/second-global-assessment
November 28, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Thatβs a wrap on the First Authors' Meeting of π‘ IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment!
Huge thanks to our fellows, authors & experts for their dedication this week, setting the vision and foundations for the next 3 years. π
Grateful to UNESCO for hosting us!
π§ͺ https://www.ipbes.net/second-global-assessment
Huge thanks to our fellows, authors & experts for their dedication this week, setting the vision and foundations for the next 3 years. π
Grateful to UNESCO for hosting us!
π§ͺ https://www.ipbes.net/second-global-assessment
Reposted by Arman Pili
Earlier this week, IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment fellows received introductions to the program.
The young researchers from across the world got to know each other and started planning for the work ahead.
Learn more about the IPBES Fellowship Program: https://www.ipbes.net/ipbes-fellowship-programme
The young researchers from across the world got to know each other and started planning for the work ahead.
Learn more about the IPBES Fellowship Program: https://www.ipbes.net/ipbes-fellowship-programme
November 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Earlier this week, IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment fellows received introductions to the program.
The young researchers from across the world got to know each other and started planning for the work ahead.
Learn more about the IPBES Fellowship Program: https://www.ipbes.net/ipbes-fellowship-programme
The young researchers from across the world got to know each other and started planning for the work ahead.
Learn more about the IPBES Fellowship Program: https://www.ipbes.net/ipbes-fellowship-programme
Reposted by Arman Pili
Some of IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment Coordinating Leading Authors started out their IPBES journey as Fellows during the #GlobalAssessment.
This week in Paris, Fellowship alumni and Coordinating Lead Authors met with the new generation of fellows and shared anecdotes, words of wisdom, and advice.
This week in Paris, Fellowship alumni and Coordinating Lead Authors met with the new generation of fellows and shared anecdotes, words of wisdom, and advice.
November 27, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Some of IPBES #2ndGlobalAssessment Coordinating Leading Authors started out their IPBES journey as Fellows during the #GlobalAssessment.
This week in Paris, Fellowship alumni and Coordinating Lead Authors met with the new generation of fellows and shared anecdotes, words of wisdom, and advice.
This week in Paris, Fellowship alumni and Coordinating Lead Authors met with the new generation of fellows and shared anecdotes, words of wisdom, and advice.
Timely opportunity for my research pivot to conservation informatics for bridging science-practice-policy! ππΈ
Great progress has been made at the First Authorβs Meeting for the #2ndGlobalAssessment ! π
Coordinating Lead Authors and Fellows got to know each other and started ideating the working elements for the assessment.
Thank you to participants for your dedication and passion #ForNature! π±
Coordinating Lead Authors and Fellows got to know each other and started ideating the working elements for the assessment.
Thank you to participants for your dedication and passion #ForNature! π±
November 25, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Timely opportunity for my research pivot to conservation informatics for bridging science-practice-policy! ππΈ
Reposted by Arman Pili
InvaPact III workshop is now over: WHAT A WEEK! ~60 experts from 30 countries putting their brainpower together for an unique collaborative project.
Work hard, play hard: they really followed my motto!
Powerful publications on the way!
Work hard, play hard: they really followed my motto!
Powerful publications on the way!
November 10, 2025 at 8:35 AM
InvaPact III workshop is now over: WHAT A WEEK! ~60 experts from 30 countries putting their brainpower together for an unique collaborative project.
Work hard, play hard: they really followed my motto!
Powerful publications on the way!
Work hard, play hard: they really followed my motto!
Powerful publications on the way!
Reposted by Arman Pili
π£ A global assessment of the status, trends and gaps of #non-native (alien, partly #invasive) #species
A new #publication with 65 authors from all continents (except Antarctica), 42 article pages and >500 references.
doi.org/10.1111/brv....
π #ecology #globalchange
A new #publication with 65 authors from all continents (except Antarctica), 42 article pages and >500 references.
doi.org/10.1111/brv....
π #ecology #globalchange
Biological invasions: a global assessment of geographic distributions, longβterm trends, and data gaps
Biological invasions are one of the major drivers of biodiversity decline and have been shown to have far-reaching consequences for society and the economy. Preventing the introduction and spread of ....
doi.org
August 14, 2025 at 8:29 AM
π£ A global assessment of the status, trends and gaps of #non-native (alien, partly #invasive) #species
A new #publication with 65 authors from all continents (except Antarctica), 42 article pages and >500 references.
doi.org/10.1111/brv....
π #ecology #globalchange
A new #publication with 65 authors from all continents (except Antarctica), 42 article pages and >500 references.
doi.org/10.1111/brv....
π #ecology #globalchange
Today was my first day as a Research Associate π€ at @fletcherecology.bsky.social group in the @camzoology.bsky.social University of Cambridge!!! Looking forward to mapping global connectivity π£ππ and its applications for biodiversity conservation and restoration π¦πΏ!!!
July 14, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Today was my first day as a Research Associate π€ at @fletcherecology.bsky.social group in the @camzoology.bsky.social University of Cambridge!!! Looking forward to mapping global connectivity π£ππ and its applications for biodiversity conservation and restoration π¦πΏ!!!
π Whatβs next?
Weβre applying this method to 600+ alien amphibians and reptiles π¦πΈ to map their global invasion potential & understand global biotic homogenization π
(8/8)
Weβre applying this method to 600+ alien amphibians and reptiles π¦πΈ to map their global invasion potential & understand global biotic homogenization π
(8/8)
July 10, 2025 at 10:10 AM
π Whatβs next?
Weβre applying this method to 600+ alien amphibians and reptiles π¦πΈ to map their global invasion potential & understand global biotic homogenization π
(8/8)
Weβre applying this method to 600+ alien amphibians and reptiles π¦πΈ to map their global invasion potential & understand global biotic homogenization π
(8/8)
π§ Our fix:
We sub-sample both presences & backgrounds across the full environmental gradient available to a species.
This helps SDMs better:
π Explain niches
π Predict current distributions
π°οΈ Project future/range-shifting scenarios
(7/8)
We sub-sample both presences & backgrounds across the full environmental gradient available to a species.
This helps SDMs better:
π Explain niches
π Predict current distributions
π°οΈ Project future/range-shifting scenarios
(7/8)
July 10, 2025 at 10:10 AM
π§ Our fix:
We sub-sample both presences & backgrounds across the full environmental gradient available to a species.
This helps SDMs better:
π Explain niches
π Predict current distributions
π°οΈ Project future/range-shifting scenarios
(7/8)
We sub-sample both presences & backgrounds across the full environmental gradient available to a species.
This helps SDMs better:
π Explain niches
π Predict current distributions
π°οΈ Project future/range-shifting scenarios
(7/8)
π₯ What went wrong?
Environmental sampling bias!
The model didnβt capture the true species-environment relationshipβit just overfit to the oversampled Australian conditions.
β‘οΈ The data were unbalanced in environmental space, and it showed.
(6/8)
Environmental sampling bias!
The model didnβt capture the true species-environment relationshipβit just overfit to the oversampled Australian conditions.
β‘οΈ The data were unbalanced in environmental space, and it showed.
(6/8)
July 10, 2025 at 10:10 AM
π₯ What went wrong?
Environmental sampling bias!
The model didnβt capture the true species-environment relationshipβit just overfit to the oversampled Australian conditions.
β‘οΈ The data were unbalanced in environmental space, and it showed.
(6/8)
Environmental sampling bias!
The model didnβt capture the true species-environment relationshipβit just overfit to the oversampled Australian conditions.
β‘οΈ The data were unbalanced in environmental space, and it showed.
(6/8)
π― The scenario:
Goal: Predict the global invaded range of the cane toad πΈ
Data:
π§π· 1000 records from native Brazil
π¦πΊ 2000 from invaded Australia
π΅π 100 from invaded Philippines
π All thinned using standard methods (SOA)
Result: SDMs accurately predicted AU and BR(overfit), but mehhh in PH
(5/8)
Goal: Predict the global invaded range of the cane toad πΈ
Data:
π§π· 1000 records from native Brazil
π¦πΊ 2000 from invaded Australia
π΅π 100 from invaded Philippines
π All thinned using standard methods (SOA)
Result: SDMs accurately predicted AU and BR(overfit), but mehhh in PH
(5/8)
July 10, 2025 at 10:10 AM
π― The scenario:
Goal: Predict the global invaded range of the cane toad πΈ
Data:
π§π· 1000 records from native Brazil
π¦πΊ 2000 from invaded Australia
π΅π 100 from invaded Philippines
π All thinned using standard methods (SOA)
Result: SDMs accurately predicted AU and BR(overfit), but mehhh in PH
(5/8)
Goal: Predict the global invaded range of the cane toad πΈ
Data:
π§π· 1000 records from native Brazil
π¦πΊ 2000 from invaded Australia
π΅π 100 from invaded Philippines
π All thinned using standard methods (SOA)
Result: SDMs accurately predicted AU and BR(overfit), but mehhh in PH
(5/8)
π€Ί Iβve had beef with this issue since my MSc days. It all started here:
π doi.org/10.1038/s415...
(4/8)
π doi.org/10.1038/s415...
(4/8)
Niche shifts and environmental non-equilibrium undermine the usefulness of ecological niche models for invasion risk assessments - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Niche shifts and environmental non-equilibrium undermine the usefulness of ecological niche models for invasion risk assessments
doi.org
July 10, 2025 at 10:10 AM
π€Ί Iβve had beef with this issue since my MSc days. It all started here:
π doi.org/10.1038/s415...
(4/8)
π doi.org/10.1038/s415...
(4/8)
β
The Solution:
Apply 'Habitat Stratified Sampling Design' when thinning both data.
Our new methods:
1οΈβ£ Environmental clustering
2οΈβ£ Environmental distance thinning
Both outperform conventional approaches for:
π Explaining
π Predicting
β³ Projecting species distributions
(3/8)
Apply 'Habitat Stratified Sampling Design' when thinning both data.
Our new methods:
1οΈβ£ Environmental clustering
2οΈβ£ Environmental distance thinning
Both outperform conventional approaches for:
π Explaining
π Predicting
β³ Projecting species distributions
(3/8)
July 10, 2025 at 10:10 AM
β
The Solution:
Apply 'Habitat Stratified Sampling Design' when thinning both data.
Our new methods:
1οΈβ£ Environmental clustering
2οΈβ£ Environmental distance thinning
Both outperform conventional approaches for:
π Explaining
π Predicting
β³ Projecting species distributions
(3/8)
Apply 'Habitat Stratified Sampling Design' when thinning both data.
Our new methods:
1οΈβ£ Environmental clustering
2οΈβ£ Environmental distance thinning
Both outperform conventional approaches for:
π Explaining
π Predicting
β³ Projecting species distributions
(3/8)