Topic
Business US EU

2026 boom predicted, funds warn

3m

Fund managers predicted a strong 2026 for global stock markets, but warned that AI-driven valuations and high optimism could spark sharp corrections or a bubble.

41%
5/5
Which will it be? Beijing says it is determined to rebalance the economy, but as long as it sets excessively high GDP growth targets, it cannot allow excess investment in infrastructure and manufacturing to decline. We'll see which path they choose in 2026.
December 28, 2025 at 8:30 AM
41%
1/7
There's a lot of recent talk about a strengthening of the RMB in 2026, and while I expect that there will be some strengthening, its impact will mostly be to reverse part of the real RMB weakening of recent years.
www.wsj.com/finance/curr...
Trump Wants a Weaker Dollar. Some Chinese Say He Has a Point.
A significant weakening of the dollar versus China’s currency didn’t happen in 2025, but some forecasters say it’s a wild card to watch in the new year.
www.wsj.com
December 28, 2025 at 6:10 AM
20%
Things I remain shocked by:
-People in industries like journalism and education that are going to be turned upside down by AI who barely use or understand it
-People in those industries (often the same ones) who still feel comfortable making sweeping claims about AI's capabilities and limitations
December 28, 2025 at 1:31 AM

Reposted by Steve Keen

26%
14%
7%
The Trump administration is rolling out the red carpet for once-besieged prediction apps like Polymarket and Kalshi, with millions pouring into bets on the midterms. The companies wave away concerns about foreign influence and partisan meddling www.npr.org/2025/12/23/n...
Election betting on prediction markets apps is set to boom ahead of midterms
Online prediction markets, like Polymarket and Kalshi, were under intense scrutiny in the Biden administration. But Trump officials are embracing the controversial apps, raising new fears about electi...
www.npr.org
December 27, 2025 at 8:48 PM
17%
14%

Reposted by Randa Slim

0%

Reposted by Steve Keen

26%

Reposted by Bruce D. Baker

3%
2%
Good overview of 2025, with optimistic view of 2026, but important question at the end: IF Dems win back the House, how will they control an all-out Trump?
Dragged down by an unpopular president, Republicans are bracing for a midterm trouncing
As Americans tire of Donald Trump, a Democratic midterm ‘tsunami’ could sweep the GOP out of power
www.theguardian.com
December 27, 2025 at 2:02 PM
86%

Reposted by David Darmofal

10%
“Corporate bankruptcies surged in 2025 …At least 717 companies …the highest tally since 2010…

“…the rise in filings is most apparent among industrials …The sector has been hit hard by President Donald Trump’s ever-fluid tariff policies”

www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
Bankruptcies soar as companies grapple with inflation, tariffs
Businesses in vulnerable sectors found themselves caught between rising tariffs and beleaguered consumers.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 27, 2025 at 1:49 PM