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Business US EU

AI lifts stocks; analysts warn

2m

Global stock markets soared on an AI-driven rally in 2025, but analysts warned the tech-fueled surge risked becoming a bubble as valuations climbed.

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There's a lot of recent talk about a strengthening of the RMB in 2026, and while I expect that there will be some strengthening, its impact will mostly be to reverse part of the real RMB weakening of recent years.
www.wsj.com/finance/curr...
Trump Wants a Weaker Dollar. Some Chinese Say He Has a Point.
A significant weakening of the dollar versus China’s currency didn’t happen in 2025, but some forecasters say it’s a wild card to watch in the new year.
www.wsj.com
December 28, 2025 at 6:10 AM

Reposted by Steve Keen

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Things I remain shocked by:
-People in industries like journalism and education that are going to be turned upside down by AI who barely use or understand it
-People in those industries (often the same ones) who still feel comfortable making sweeping claims about AI's capabilities and limitations
December 28, 2025 at 1:31 AM
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Which will it be? Beijing says it is determined to rebalance the economy, but as long as it sets excessively high GDP growth targets, it cannot allow excess investment in infrastructure and manufacturing to decline. We'll see which path they choose in 2026.
December 28, 2025 at 8:30 AM
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The Trump administration is rolling out the red carpet for once-besieged prediction apps like Polymarket and Kalshi, with millions pouring into bets on the midterms. The companies wave away concerns about foreign influence and partisan meddling www.npr.org/2025/12/23/n...
Election betting on prediction markets apps is set to boom ahead of midterms
Online prediction markets, like Polymarket and Kalshi, were under intense scrutiny in the Biden administration. But Trump officials are embracing the controversial apps, raising new fears about electi...
www.npr.org
December 27, 2025 at 8:48 PM

Reposted by Steve Keen

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Reposted by David Darmofal

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“Corporate bankruptcies surged in 2025 …At least 717 companies …the highest tally since 2010…

“…the rise in filings is most apparent among industrials …The sector has been hit hard by President Donald Trump’s ever-fluid tariff policies”

www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
Bankruptcies soar as companies grapple with inflation, tariffs
Businesses in vulnerable sectors found themselves caught between rising tariffs and beleaguered consumers.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 27, 2025 at 1:49 PM
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Reposted by Bruce D. Baker

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Good overview of 2025, with optimistic view of 2026, but important question at the end: IF Dems win back the House, how will they control an all-out Trump?
Dragged down by an unpopular president, Republicans are bracing for a midterm trouncing
As Americans tire of Donald Trump, a Democratic midterm ‘tsunami’ could sweep the GOP out of power
www.theguardian.com
December 27, 2025 at 2:02 PM

Reposted by Randa Slim

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Reposted by Steve Peers

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Corporate bankruptcies surged in 2025, rivaling levels not seen since the immediate aftermath of the Great Recession, as import-dependent businesses absorbed the highest tariffs in decades.
Bankruptcies soar as companies grapple with inflation, tariffs
Businesses in vulnerable sectors found themselves caught between rising tariffs and beleaguered consumers.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 27, 2025 at 7:00 PM