What can Chicago do that LA couldn’t?

The larger scale factors responsible for the anemic 4CH this summer are technically still present in early August. I’ll wager anomalous height rises end up in W-Canada/Interior NW US before the ISM/building IO MJO retake control.

The Trump-era Dem base resembles the Obama-era GOP base: highly engaged & higher income that vote at higher rates during midterm elections. Dems erred thinking 2022 over-performance would carry into 2024 because it wasn’t driven by Dobbs/Democracy as much as the nature of the electorate itself.

9477: Christmas Shoes.

High rise living is underrated, man. Live on the 29th floor now and the views are 🔥 Esp for Aurora viewing.

The eastern Mediterranean heating and the tendency for the East Asian monsoon to break down and spread into IO/west Pac modes can both support the wave sourcing you need over Eurasia to initiate the +CGT pattern.

So yeah, without getting too hype (is that even possible on Bluesky? lol) I would say this is the most threatening summer we've had in a while for the Midwest to Northeast heat dome. And the background spatial SSTa and pattern are also supportive.

Interesting. Like soil moisture feedback(s) or something more external/tropical forcing related?

Big heat in June w/ developing niña tends to be a warning sign for a blowtorch summer. See 2010 and 1988. And 1954 to some extent.

You border on clairvoyant sometimes. Very well done.