new theory: the reason some young respondents in nonprob samples seem to have trollish or incoherent response patterns is because their brains genuinely are working that way

Using data from @today.yougov.com, we estimate that Donald Trump’s approval rating is net negative among adults in fifteen states he won last year

www.economist.com/interactive/...

YouGov got a poll in the field quickly yesterday. Republicans side with Trump over Musk by nearly a 12 to 1 margin. More numbers here: www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

NEW: If an immigrant is mistakenly deported to a foreign prison…

72% of Americans say the U.S. should do everything possible to bring them back

12% say it doesn't have the authority to undo it, and no further action is needed

d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/De...

Net approval of Donald Trump's handling of tariffs and trade was −13, according to a March 6 - 10 poll
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Tr...

NEW: In which areas do Americans think the Trump administration wants to increase and decrease spending?

d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Tr...

Sometimes folks treat 538 as synonymous with the forecast models, but
a) the polling data they compiled was a huge undertaking that underpinned *so much other work* both inside and outside
b) they did a phenomenal amount of nuanced, thoughtful writing about politics and public opinion

Most Americans continue to side with Ukraine over Russia. In our polling over the past week, only 6% of Republicans sympathize more with Russia. Republicans’ views on whose side Trump takes in the conflict are mixed.

today.yougov.com/politics/art...

% who think it is acceptable | unacceptable for a presidential administration to restrict access of journalists based on how their outlets have reported on it
U.S. adults 24% | 53%
Democrats 14% | 73%
Independents 18% | 53%
Republicans 44% | 32%
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...

% of U.S. adults who say the following is | isn't a dictator
Volodymyr Zelensky 22% | 45%
Donald Trump 41% | 45%
Vladimir Putin 71% | 9%
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...
today.yougov.com/topics/polit...

New: If a president wants to withhold funds that Congress has passed a law to spend, what should happen?

% who say the funds should be spent

Americans: 47%
Democrats: 73%
Republicans 24%

today.yougov.com/topics/polit...

New polling on free speech
% of U.S. adult citizens who agree that...
• Freedom of speech does not mean freedom from consequences of that speech 78%
• I often worry that a view I express will be misinterpreted in a negative way 52%
today.yougov.com/politics/art...

Which presidential behaviors do Americans think are acceptable and unacceptable?
(@taylororth.bsky.social @today.yougov.com)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250209

404: Government not found.
A sample of the government webpages Trump doesn’t want you to see
wapo.st/4hPMU3A

% who agree that the U.S. is in a constitutional crisis
U.S. adult citizens 54%
Democrats 70%
Republicans 36%
ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/De...

Our latest polling - conducted today - finds that few Americans have much trust in Elon Musk’s ability to make funding cuts or manage sensitive government data.

Most Americans are also at least somewhat concerned about Musk’s conflicts of interest.

@today.yougov.com