Steve Haroz
@steveharoz.com
Visual perception and cognition scientist
(he/him)
My site: http://steveharoz.com
R guide: https://r-guide.steveharoz.com
StatCheck Simple: http://statcheck.steveharoz.com
(he/him)
My site: http://steveharoz.com
R guide: https://r-guide.steveharoz.com
StatCheck Simple: http://statcheck.steveharoz.com
Pinned
Steve Haroz
@steveharoz.com
· Mar 14
Invalid Conclusions Built on Statistical Errors
When you see the statistical result of an experiment like p = 0.003 or a 95% confidence interval of , you might assume a certain clarity and definitiveness in those results. A null effect is very unli...
steveharoz.com
BLOG POST: Invalid Conclusions Built on Statistical errors
If you see a small p-value or a large separation in confidence intervals, you may assume that an effect is reliable. But overly simple reporting may be hiding serious conclusion-altering errors.
Here are some example scenarios:
1/🧵 #stats
If you see a small p-value or a large separation in confidence intervals, you may assume that an effect is reliable. But overly simple reporting may be hiding serious conclusion-altering errors.
Here are some example scenarios:
1/🧵 #stats
Reposted by Steve Haroz
RFK Jr is a consequence of decades of anti-science media, promoted by both the right and left. Subtle forms of anti-sciencism like organic food or raw milk or "removing toxins" snowball over time. Calling them out in their early phases may be critical.
The media outlets rightly admonishing RFK Jr. need to reckon with their own roll in his rise to prominence.
In 2005 Rolling Stone and Salon would publish his op-ed ‘Deadly Immunity’ linking vaccines to autism in children, based on tiny - later retracted - British study.
In 2005 Rolling Stone and Salon would publish his op-ed ‘Deadly Immunity’ linking vaccines to autism in children, based on tiny - later retracted - British study.
December 9, 2024 at 5:40 AM
RFK Jr is a consequence of decades of anti-science media, promoted by both the right and left. Subtle forms of anti-sciencism like organic food or raw milk or "removing toxins" snowball over time. Calling them out in their early phases may be critical.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
After spending more than an hour on the phone with Microsoft Support, I have learned:
1. It is impossible to disable Copilot in OneNote, Excel, PowerPoint, or Windows itself.
2. It will not become possible to do so for another month AT THE EARLIEST.
(1/?)
1. It is impossible to disable Copilot in OneNote, Excel, PowerPoint, or Windows itself.
2. It will not become possible to do so for another month AT THE EARLIEST.
(1/?)
Anyone know how to disable Copilot in OneNote? There's no tickybox for it in the "Options" page, I already turned off "online experiences" or whatever, and when I tried uninstalling the Copilot app, the only change seems to be that I no longer have an "uninstall" option on the Copilot app.
January 24, 2025 at 9:32 PM
After spending more than an hour on the phone with Microsoft Support, I have learned:
1. It is impossible to disable Copilot in OneNote, Excel, PowerPoint, or Windows itself.
2. It will not become possible to do so for another month AT THE EARLIEST.
(1/?)
1. It is impossible to disable Copilot in OneNote, Excel, PowerPoint, or Windows itself.
2. It will not become possible to do so for another month AT THE EARLIEST.
(1/?)
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Whenever I see these articles on 'publish or perish' culture being to blame, I always think of Tal Yarkoni's blog post: talyarkoni.org/blog/2018/10.... Yes, the pressures are there and they can force our hand, but that means we should work to improve the structures where we can (not abide by them).
No, it’s not The Incentives—it’s you
There’s a narrative I find kind of troubling, but that unfortunately seems to be growing more common in science. The core idea is that the mere existence of perverse incentives is a valid and…
talyarkoni.org
January 23, 2025 at 9:23 AM
Whenever I see these articles on 'publish or perish' culture being to blame, I always think of Tal Yarkoni's blog post: talyarkoni.org/blog/2018/10.... Yes, the pressures are there and they can force our hand, but that means we should work to improve the structures where we can (not abide by them).
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Are you not a fan of journals' "enhanced online PDF viewers"? Me neither. I put together a little Firefox add-on that helps you skip the "enhanced" reader and download the PDF directly.
January 23, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Are you not a fan of journals' "enhanced online PDF viewers"? Me neither. I put together a little Firefox add-on that helps you skip the "enhanced" reader and download the PDF directly.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Check out this incredible video from 1941 that details the physics of visual perception using the mechanics of the eyeball from Karl Kurt Bosse
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pennstateoffice365-my.sharepoint.com
January 6, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Check out this incredible video from 1941 that details the physics of visual perception using the mechanics of the eyeball from Karl Kurt Bosse
pennstateoffice365-my.sharepoint.com/:v:/g/person...
pennstateoffice365-my.sharepoint.com/:v:/g/person...
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Hey #StatsSky, what are you favorite papers to cite when you need to justify something that is obvious (I once had a reviewer ask we justify the use of logistic regression on a binary outcome)
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
January 6, 2025 at 8:15 AM
Hey #StatsSky, what are you favorite papers to cite when you need to justify something that is obvious (I once had a reviewer ask we justify the use of logistic regression on a binary outcome)
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
or when you need to push-back on silly reviewer requests (e.g., asking for p-values in table 1)?
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Flu cases have quadrupled over the past month in hospitals in England, with NHS leaders warning that “skyrocketing” cases could make this winter “one of the worst we have ever seen”. Just published @financialtimes.com: on.ft.com/4j4g0h5
January 3, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Flu cases have quadrupled over the past month in hospitals in England, with NHS leaders warning that “skyrocketing” cases could make this winter “one of the worst we have ever seen”. Just published @financialtimes.com: on.ft.com/4j4g0h5
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Have tried to make the dish many times, with varying success. This is an important pepe:
"Finally, we present a scientifically optimized recipe based on our findings, enabling a consistently flawless execution of this classic dish."
"Finally, we present a scientifically optimized recipe based on our findings, enabling a consistently flawless execution of this classic dish."
1/n Some time ago my colleague, excellent cook, and friend Ivan told me: "Cacio e pepe is the recipe that I screw up more often. Let's make a project studying systematically the physics of that sauce".
Prepare to get cheesy, I'm glad to share the Cacio e paper preprint:
arxiv.org/abs/2501.00536
Prepare to get cheesy, I'm glad to share the Cacio e paper preprint:
arxiv.org/abs/2501.00536
January 5, 2025 at 10:19 AM
Have tried to make the dish many times, with varying success. This is an important pepe:
"Finally, we present a scientifically optimized recipe based on our findings, enabling a consistently flawless execution of this classic dish."
"Finally, we present a scientifically optimized recipe based on our findings, enabling a consistently flawless execution of this classic dish."
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Everyone is running away with this one, but I took the time to trace the source, and these are 80% confidence intervals, the true meta-science story (and there is one!), was written up as one about selective reporting and calibrating standard errors..
January 4, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Everyone is running away with this one, but I took the time to trace the source, and these are 80% confidence intervals, the true meta-science story (and there is one!), was written up as one about selective reporting and calibrating standard errors..
I've settled on an approach to giving up on TV shows:
If a show has a serialized plot and goes more than 1 year between seasons, it's dead. It doesn't matter how much I like it, I cannot keep track of characters or follow a plot with a gap of more than one year.
If a show has a serialized plot and goes more than 1 year between seasons, it's dead. It doesn't matter how much I like it, I cannot keep track of characters or follow a plot with a gap of more than one year.
January 4, 2025 at 8:32 AM
I've settled on an approach to giving up on TV shows:
If a show has a serialized plot and goes more than 1 year between seasons, it's dead. It doesn't matter how much I like it, I cannot keep track of characters or follow a plot with a gap of more than one year.
If a show has a serialized plot and goes more than 1 year between seasons, it's dead. It doesn't matter how much I like it, I cannot keep track of characters or follow a plot with a gap of more than one year.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Researcher: "We let the data speak for itself."
Earlier that day:
Earlier that day:
January 2, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Researcher: "We let the data speak for itself."
Earlier that day:
Earlier that day:
Reposted by Steve Haroz
How can sharing our uncertainty with others alter our confidence when we're alone?
Delighted to share the lab's new paper, with Einar Andreassen and @cdfrith.bsky.social. Particularly pleased as it's Einar's first!
Link: osf.io/preprints/ps...
🧵👇
#PsychSciSky
#neuroskyence
Delighted to share the lab's new paper, with Einar Andreassen and @cdfrith.bsky.social. Particularly pleased as it's Einar's first!
Link: osf.io/preprints/ps...
🧵👇
#PsychSciSky
#neuroskyence
January 2, 2025 at 11:54 AM
How can sharing our uncertainty with others alter our confidence when we're alone?
Delighted to share the lab's new paper, with Einar Andreassen and @cdfrith.bsky.social. Particularly pleased as it's Einar's first!
Link: osf.io/preprints/ps...
🧵👇
#PsychSciSky
#neuroskyence
Delighted to share the lab's new paper, with Einar Andreassen and @cdfrith.bsky.social. Particularly pleased as it's Einar's first!
Link: osf.io/preprints/ps...
🧵👇
#PsychSciSky
#neuroskyence
Everything is more advanced and yet shittier.
December 31, 2024 at 4:47 AM
Everything is more advanced and yet shittier.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Timeline cleanse! Allow me to share with you my favorite images from the 10 billion dollar telescope JWST this year 🧵🧪
Starting off heavenly with this star forming region in the Large Magellanic Cloud…
📸: NASA, ESA, CSA, O Nayak, M Meixner
Starting off heavenly with this star forming region in the Large Magellanic Cloud…
📸: NASA, ESA, CSA, O Nayak, M Meixner
December 29, 2024 at 9:21 PM
Timeline cleanse! Allow me to share with you my favorite images from the 10 billion dollar telescope JWST this year 🧵🧪
Starting off heavenly with this star forming region in the Large Magellanic Cloud…
📸: NASA, ESA, CSA, O Nayak, M Meixner
Starting off heavenly with this star forming region in the Large Magellanic Cloud…
📸: NASA, ESA, CSA, O Nayak, M Meixner
Reposted by Steve Haroz
How did the tech industry get so powerful? It's simple. There are major media outlets that will simply copy paste anything they say
Netflix says more than 200 countries tuned into the "Beyoncé Bowl" and its two NFL games. We may just be starting to learn what that ultimately means for the future of television and sports media.
The 'Beyoncé Bowl' halftime show was a massive hit for Netflix. The football was too
Netflix says more than 200 countries tuned into the "Beyoncé Bowl" and its two NFL games. We may just be starting to learn what that ultimately means for the future of television and sports media.
www.npr.org
December 27, 2024 at 1:02 AM
How did the tech industry get so powerful? It's simple. There are major media outlets that will simply copy paste anything they say
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Stop Forcing A.I. into Fucking EVERYTHING!
December 24, 2024 at 3:11 AM
Stop Forcing A.I. into Fucking EVERYTHING!
I would love if this feature were limited to people you follow. "What are the people you follow talking about?" Otherwise, I don't find it all that useful.
I suspect that'd require a lot more computational resources though.
I suspect that'd require a lot more computational resources though.
Hey everybody! You may notice Trending start to appear in your app!
Here’s some quick info:
- This is a beta
- Search page on mobile, right sidebar on desktop
- You can disable it with the X button on the trending section
- English only for now, while we test it
Merry Christmas!
Here’s some quick info:
- This is a beta
- Search page on mobile, right sidebar on desktop
- You can disable it with the X button on the trending section
- English only for now, while we test it
Merry Christmas!
December 25, 2024 at 11:25 PM
I would love if this feature were limited to people you follow. "What are the people you follow talking about?" Otherwise, I don't find it all that useful.
I suspect that'd require a lot more computational resources though.
I suspect that'd require a lot more computational resources though.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Happy holidays! #microscopy #neurons
December 25, 2024 at 12:58 AM
Happy holidays! #microscopy #neurons
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Psychology attaches too much prestige and credibility to formalized theories. We need more patience for incremental advances in reasoning about phenomena.
doi.org/10.1111/jasp...
doi.org/10.1111/jasp...
Playing the long game: Carrying out principled tests of psychological phenomena before developing formal theories
Some participants in the conversation about changing scientific norms have recommended that researchers articulate detailed, formalized theories from the outset. Also, leading psychology journals hav....
doi.org
November 30, 2024 at 11:58 PM
Psychology attaches too much prestige and credibility to formalized theories. We need more patience for incremental advances in reasoning about phenomena.
doi.org/10.1111/jasp...
doi.org/10.1111/jasp...
Oof
I don’t have time for round two, but you should compare the paper to the prereg for this one.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Predicting the replicability of social and behavioural science claims in COVID-19 preprints - Nature Human Behaviour
This study assessed COVID-19 social science preprints’ replicability using structured groups. Both beginners and more-experienced participants used a elicitation protocol to make better-than-chance pr...
www.nature.com
December 24, 2024 at 2:42 AM
Oof
Today is Festivus. I look forward to your feats of strength.
December 23, 2024 at 11:25 PM
Today is Festivus. I look forward to your feats of strength.
Reposted by Steve Haroz
Are you going to take this from him, psychologists? Show Andrew he is wrong by directing him to a conjoint experiment with open data
For various reasons, I'm looking for replication data for conjoint experiments in psychology (there aren't many), and hoo boy political science is waaay better at making data available and having standards of data sharing
December 23, 2024 at 12:27 AM
Are you going to take this from him, psychologists? Show Andrew he is wrong by directing him to a conjoint experiment with open data
Reposted by Steve Haroz
