Matt Soule
@souletrain.bsky.social
Here for puns and the remnants of weather/climate twitter
Reposted by Matt Soule
Temperature anomalies (departure from average) around our planet for the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right)... note the unusual "warmth" across both polar regions
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
December 22, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Temperature anomalies (departure from average) around our planet for the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right)... note the unusual "warmth" across both polar regions
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
Reposted by Matt Soule
This is a remarkable forecast discussion from the WPC:
"...heavy rainfall totals for Southern CA will likely occur over an 18 hour period, with widespread 4-7 inch totals, with isolated max amounts of 9"+..."
"...anomalous 850-700 mb moisture flux; 5+ standard deviations above the mean..."
(2/2)
"...heavy rainfall totals for Southern CA will likely occur over an 18 hour period, with widespread 4-7 inch totals, with isolated max amounts of 9"+..."
"...anomalous 850-700 mb moisture flux; 5+ standard deviations above the mean..."
(2/2)
December 22, 2025 at 9:20 PM
This is a remarkable forecast discussion from the WPC:
"...heavy rainfall totals for Southern CA will likely occur over an 18 hour period, with widespread 4-7 inch totals, with isolated max amounts of 9"+..."
"...anomalous 850-700 mb moisture flux; 5+ standard deviations above the mean..."
(2/2)
"...heavy rainfall totals for Southern CA will likely occur over an 18 hour period, with widespread 4-7 inch totals, with isolated max amounts of 9"+..."
"...anomalous 850-700 mb moisture flux; 5+ standard deviations above the mean..."
(2/2)
Reposted by Matt Soule
By this point, the elimination/circumvention of attorneys throughout national security agencies has predictably resulted in open boasting of illegality: Reprisal for "vengeance" is never a legitimate basis for the use of force. That's been well-established ... [1]
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
U.S. Strikes Islamic State Targets in Syria
www.nytimes.com
December 20, 2025 at 10:30 AM
By this point, the elimination/circumvention of attorneys throughout national security agencies has predictably resulted in open boasting of illegality: Reprisal for "vengeance" is never a legitimate basis for the use of force. That's been well-established ... [1]
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
Reposted by Matt Soule
It would appear a serious flooding risk is developing for Southern California on Wednesday. We explain, have details on the other impacts across California, including a review of flooding near Redding yesterday. We also discuss a record warm Christmas for many. Details below or at theeyewall.com.
Serious flooding risk in Southern California on Wednesday, as much of the country gears up for one of the warmest Christmases on record
An infrequent "high risk" for flooding is now posted in parts of the LA Metro for Wednesday
open.substack.com
December 22, 2025 at 9:51 PM
It would appear a serious flooding risk is developing for Southern California on Wednesday. We explain, have details on the other impacts across California, including a review of flooding near Redding yesterday. We also discuss a record warm Christmas for many. Details below or at theeyewall.com.
Reposted by Matt Soule
Bari Weiss apparently spiked Sharyn Alfonsi’s 60 Minutes segment on CECOT for political reasons.
Here’s her email to the news staff.
Sharyn Alfonsi has more guts than every single beltway reporter.
Here’s her email to the news staff.
Sharyn Alfonsi has more guts than every single beltway reporter.
December 22, 2025 at 4:06 AM
Bari Weiss apparently spiked Sharyn Alfonsi’s 60 Minutes segment on CECOT for political reasons.
Here’s her email to the news staff.
Sharyn Alfonsi has more guts than every single beltway reporter.
Here’s her email to the news staff.
Sharyn Alfonsi has more guts than every single beltway reporter.
Reposted by Matt Soule
Grading and googling hallucinated citations, as one does nowadays, and now that LLMs have been around for a while, I've discovered new horrors: hallucinated journals are now appearing in Google Scholar with dozens of citations bc so many people are citing these fake things
December 15, 2025 at 8:41 PM
Grading and googling hallucinated citations, as one does nowadays, and now that LLMs have been around for a while, I've discovered new horrors: hallucinated journals are now appearing in Google Scholar with dozens of citations bc so many people are citing these fake things
Reposted by Matt Soule
PLEASE read this important update to my earlier post about the state of the NWS. Media reports this evening make clear that rather than having a poor forecast for the Skagit River in WA, the NWS played a key role in enabling mitigation efforts to reduce flooding impacts. tinyurl.com/488jvp33
Updated BalancedWx Special: Evaluating NWS staffing and operational posture at the end of 2025
Important new story from the western Washington flooding demonstrates the importance of the NWS and why it needs our support
tinyurl.com
December 16, 2025 at 3:57 AM
PLEASE read this important update to my earlier post about the state of the NWS. Media reports this evening make clear that rather than having a poor forecast for the Skagit River in WA, the NWS played a key role in enabling mitigation efforts to reduce flooding impacts. tinyurl.com/488jvp33
Reposted by Matt Soule
My #Arctic temperature graphics have been updated for November 2025 (ranked in top 5 warmest). New records were reached in my individual Pacific Arctic and Greenland Arctic regional sectors.
➡️ Check it out: zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe.... #DataViz #SciComm #OpenScience #OpenData
➡️ Check it out: zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe.... #DataViz #SciComm #OpenScience #OpenData
Arctic Temperatures
Near real-time visualizations [Arctic Climate Seasonality and Variability] [Arctic Sea-Ice Extent and Concentration] [Arctic Sea-Ice Volume and Thickness] [Arctic Temperatures] [Antarctic Sea-Ice E…
zacklabe.com
December 11, 2025 at 12:24 PM
My #Arctic temperature graphics have been updated for November 2025 (ranked in top 5 warmest). New records were reached in my individual Pacific Arctic and Greenland Arctic regional sectors.
➡️ Check it out: zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe.... #DataViz #SciComm #OpenScience #OpenData
➡️ Check it out: zacklabe.com/arctic-tempe.... #DataViz #SciComm #OpenScience #OpenData
Reposted by Matt Soule
a big new one from me: I profiled a group of neighbors in west texas who have become the face of the abandoned well problem in the heart of oil country for @motherjones.com - an unlikely group of former industry workers and ranchers who are fed up with how Big Oil won’t clean up its messes:
Meet the TikTok stars demanding oil companies clean up their mess
There are millions of abandoned oil wells across the United States. A group of unlikely activists in Texas is making sure no one forgets they need to be cleaned up.
www.motherjones.com
December 8, 2025 at 12:50 PM
a big new one from me: I profiled a group of neighbors in west texas who have become the face of the abandoned well problem in the heart of oil country for @motherjones.com - an unlikely group of former industry workers and ranchers who are fed up with how Big Oil won’t clean up its messes:
Reposted by Matt Soule
“We’ve been doing things wrong for a very long time,” [one former oil industry worker] said, “and now that we know we’re doing things wrong, we need to start fixing it.”
Great reporting, as always, from @mollytaft.com
Great reporting, as always, from @mollytaft.com
a big new one from me: I profiled a group of neighbors in west texas who have become the face of the abandoned well problem in the heart of oil country for @motherjones.com - an unlikely group of former industry workers and ranchers who are fed up with how Big Oil won’t clean up its messes:
Meet the TikTok stars demanding oil companies clean up their mess
There are millions of abandoned oil wells across the United States. A group of unlikely activists in Texas is making sure no one forgets they need to be cleaned up.
www.motherjones.com
December 8, 2025 at 1:27 PM
“We’ve been doing things wrong for a very long time,” [one former oil industry worker] said, “and now that we know we’re doing things wrong, we need to start fixing it.”
Great reporting, as always, from @mollytaft.com
Great reporting, as always, from @mollytaft.com
Reposted by Matt Soule
🚨 Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,050,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,510,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,050,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,510,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
December 8, 2025 at 1:43 PM
🚨 Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,050,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,510,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 840,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,390,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,050,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,510,000 km² below the 1980s mean
Graphics zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
Reposted by Matt Soule
Average surface current speed from HYCOM
December 8, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Average surface current speed from HYCOM
Reposted by Matt Soule
To be clear: the new, near-exclusive emphasis on natural causes of climate change on the U.S. EPA's website is now completely out of synch with all available evidence demonstrating overwhelming human influence on contemporary warming trends.
December 8, 2025 at 5:50 PM
To be clear: the new, near-exclusive emphasis on natural causes of climate change on the U.S. EPA's website is now completely out of synch with all available evidence demonstrating overwhelming human influence on contemporary warming trends.
Reposted by Matt Soule
This can be confirmed using the Wayback Machine's last snapshot (from Oct 8, 2025). At some point between Oct 8 & Dec 8, major changes were made to this and other EPA climate change content. Information has either been removed completely or "adjusted" to emphasize natural causes.
December 8, 2025 at 5:50 PM
This can be confirmed using the Wayback Machine's last snapshot (from Oct 8, 2025). At some point between Oct 8 & Dec 8, major changes were made to this and other EPA climate change content. Information has either been removed completely or "adjusted" to emphasize natural causes.
Reposted by Matt Soule
It appears that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has, within the past week, scrubbed a large amount of climate change content from its official website, as well as *removed human-caused warming* from the discussion on its "causes of climate change" page.
December 8, 2025 at 5:50 PM
It appears that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has, within the past week, scrubbed a large amount of climate change content from its official website, as well as *removed human-caused warming* from the discussion on its "causes of climate change" page.
Reposted by Matt Soule
Additionally, it appears that all of EPA's previously extensive "indicators of climate change" pages have been scrubbed entirely. The pages no longer exist; there are numerous dead links on the current/live EPA site, and no indication they have been moved to a new URL.
December 8, 2025 at 5:50 PM
Additionally, it appears that all of EPA's previously extensive "indicators of climate change" pages have been scrubbed entirely. The pages no longer exist; there are numerous dead links on the current/live EPA site, and no indication they have been moved to a new URL.
Reposted by Matt Soule
This is absolutely awful. This was one of the best resources for climate indicators data, and my go-to share for help answering public questions.
Luckily I captured some of them on my new U.S. climate page a few months ago: zacklabe.com/united-state...
Luckily I captured some of them on my new U.S. climate page a few months ago: zacklabe.com/united-state...
Additionally, it appears that all of EPA's previously extensive "indicators of climate change" pages have been scrubbed entirely. The pages no longer exist; there are numerous dead links on the current/live EPA site, and no indication they have been moved to a new URL.
December 8, 2025 at 7:59 PM
This is absolutely awful. This was one of the best resources for climate indicators data, and my go-to share for help answering public questions.
Luckily I captured some of them on my new U.S. climate page a few months ago: zacklabe.com/united-state...
Luckily I captured some of them on my new U.S. climate page a few months ago: zacklabe.com/united-state...
Reposted by Matt Soule
Still trying to get a nice intuitive map of the average ocean surface currents ...
December 8, 2025 at 10:34 PM
Still trying to get a nice intuitive map of the average ocean surface currents ...
Reposted by Matt Soule
New WSJ reporting: "During a December visit to Washington, David Ellison offered assurances to Trump administration officials that if he bought Warner, he'd make sweeping changes to CNN, a common target of President Trump's ire, people familiar with the matter said..."
Behind Paramount’s Relentless Campaign to Woo Warner Discovery and President Trump
David Ellison has launched a hostile takeover bid for Warner Discovery, taking his case directly to shareholders after Netflix clinched a deal.
www.wsj.com
December 9, 2025 at 1:50 AM
New WSJ reporting: "During a December visit to Washington, David Ellison offered assurances to Trump administration officials that if he bought Warner, he'd make sweeping changes to CNN, a common target of President Trump's ire, people familiar with the matter said..."
Reposted by Matt Soule
Day 8 of my 2025 Favorites: You Can Handle The Floof
Rosy maple moths emerge fairly regularly in my yard, and occasionally I'm lucky enough to find a fresh one who wants a nice spot to rest and let their wings dry. Like my hand. Look at him 🩷
Rosy maple moths emerge fairly regularly in my yard, and occasionally I'm lucky enough to find a fresh one who wants a nice spot to rest and let their wings dry. Like my hand. Look at him 🩷
December 9, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Day 8 of my 2025 Favorites: You Can Handle The Floof
Rosy maple moths emerge fairly regularly in my yard, and occasionally I'm lucky enough to find a fresh one who wants a nice spot to rest and let their wings dry. Like my hand. Look at him 🩷
Rosy maple moths emerge fairly regularly in my yard, and occasionally I'm lucky enough to find a fresh one who wants a nice spot to rest and let their wings dry. Like my hand. Look at him 🩷
Reposted by Matt Soule
The most confusing part
December 2, 2025 at 5:04 PM
The most confusing part
Reposted by Matt Soule
It seemed inevitable that Trump’s comments Sunday disavowing the 2d Sept 2. strike, which killed 2 survivors of one of his lawless high seas attacks, would lead to scapegoating the military. But things moved quicker yesterday than I might have imagined.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
Trump White House Throws Military Under the Bus For Lawless Attack
The Wheels on the Bus Go Round and Round It seemed inevitable...
talkingpointsmemo.com
December 2, 2025 at 3:49 PM
It seemed inevitable that Trump’s comments Sunday disavowing the 2d Sept 2. strike, which killed 2 survivors of one of his lawless high seas attacks, would lead to scapegoating the military. But things moved quicker yesterday than I might have imagined.
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo...
Reposted by Matt Soule
"the issue isn’t that we need more 'boy-friendly' reforms. It’s that boys are socialized to compete only with boys and to read girls’ success as illegitimate or emasculating. The result is dissonance, resentment, and disengagement for boys—and hostile climates for girls."
time.com/7335723/auto...
time.com/7335723/auto...
The Real Way Schools are Failing Boys
“If we really want boys to succeed, we need to ensure that they know how to both beat—and lose— to girls."
time.com
December 2, 2025 at 11:21 AM
"the issue isn’t that we need more 'boy-friendly' reforms. It’s that boys are socialized to compete only with boys and to read girls’ success as illegitimate or emasculating. The result is dissonance, resentment, and disengagement for boys—and hostile climates for girls."
time.com/7335723/auto...
time.com/7335723/auto...
Reposted by Matt Soule
🚨 Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 1,110,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,600,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,310,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,810,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 1,110,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,600,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,310,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,810,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
December 1, 2025 at 4:04 PM
🚨 Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data)
• about 1,110,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,600,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,310,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,810,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
• about 1,110,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,600,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 2,310,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,810,000 km² below the 1980s mean
More: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...
Reposted by Matt Soule
Happy first day of climatological winter!
And a reminder that, astronomically, the winter solstice is the *middle* of winter, not the start: it's the time of *least* sunlight in the Northern Hemisphere.
Why is that not the coldest day? Takes time for the ocean to cool down & we're a water planet.
And a reminder that, astronomically, the winter solstice is the *middle* of winter, not the start: it's the time of *least* sunlight in the Northern Hemisphere.
Why is that not the coldest day? Takes time for the ocean to cool down & we're a water planet.
December 1, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Happy first day of climatological winter!
And a reminder that, astronomically, the winter solstice is the *middle* of winter, not the start: it's the time of *least* sunlight in the Northern Hemisphere.
Why is that not the coldest day? Takes time for the ocean to cool down & we're a water planet.
And a reminder that, astronomically, the winter solstice is the *middle* of winter, not the start: it's the time of *least* sunlight in the Northern Hemisphere.
Why is that not the coldest day? Takes time for the ocean to cool down & we're a water planet.