@shireblogger.bsky.social
UK businessman, but that’s not important. Economics, politics & war - in that order
January 3, 2026 at 10:26 PM
Oh boy, the hooey starts
January 3, 2026 at 10:23 PM
Oh boy, the hooey starts
Merry Christmas to you all 🎄🥂🥳🇺🇦
December 25, 2025 at 9:43 AM
Merry Christmas to you all 🎄🥂🥳🇺🇦
Reposted
The Embassy staff of Germany, France and the United Kingdom sing Schedryk in the Kyiv underground.
Wonderful!
Wonderful!
December 24, 2025 at 10:29 PM
The Embassy staff of Germany, France and the United Kingdom sing Schedryk in the Kyiv underground.
Wonderful!
Wonderful!
@markgaleotti.bsky.social re escalation
Still plenty of reasons to be skeptical about the Trump administration's latest push for an end to the war in Ukraine. Thanks @ivodaalder.bsky.social and @michaelkofman.bsky.social for speaking with me -- theworld.org/segments/202...
Analysts skeptical about chance for Ukraine-Russia peace deal - The World from PRX
The White House says it’s making “tremendous progress” on a peace plan for Ukraine. And there might be a deal as soon as Thanksgiving Day. US and Ukrainian officials have been modifying a 28-point pea...
theworld.org
November 28, 2025 at 5:40 AM
@markgaleotti.bsky.social re escalation
Reposted
European defence governance and financing. Because Europe cannot be blackmailed any longer. If not now then when? @voxeu.org @cepr.org @kiel.institute cepr.org/voxeu/column...
European defence governance and financing
In a context of shifting US commitments, external threats, and global competition over trade, technology, critical minerals, talent, and intellectual property, Europe’s lack of defence capabilities leaves it vulnerable to economic and foreign policy pressure. This column outlines key principles for establishing a European Future of Defence Architecture and a framework for its financing.
cepr.org
November 23, 2025 at 8:33 PM
European defence governance and financing. Because Europe cannot be blackmailed any longer. If not now then when? @voxeu.org @cepr.org @kiel.institute cepr.org/voxeu/column...
Where’s Ambrose Evans-Pritchard these days? The best geopolitical decision since Suez and our courts are sovereign
Brexit has cut UK GDP by 6 percent to 8 percent by 2025. These negative impacts come from higher uncertainty, reduced demand, diverted management time and trade costs, from @nickbloom.bsky.social, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen, Pawel Smietanka, and Gregory Thwaites www.nber.org/papers/w34459
November 23, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Where’s Ambrose Evans-Pritchard these days? The best geopolitical decision since Suez and our courts are sovereign
Reposted
In Moscow's Shadows 225: A Chance for Peace in Ukraine?
In the 1st half, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal (and what it's not).
In the 2nd, I spin off Rabow-Edling's excellent book on the 1825 Decembrist Revolt to consider its modern resonances.
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
In the 1st half, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal (and what it's not).
In the 2nd, I spin off Rabow-Edling's excellent book on the 1825 Decembrist Revolt to consider its modern resonances.
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
In Moscow's Shadows 225: A Chance for Peace in Ukraine? - In Moscow's Shadows
In the first half of the podcast, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal, which is only a foundation for proper negotiations, especially in terms of what it is not.In the second, I spin off Su...
www.buzzsprout.com
November 23, 2025 at 9:22 AM
In Moscow's Shadows 225: A Chance for Peace in Ukraine?
In the 1st half, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal (and what it's not).
In the 2nd, I spin off Rabow-Edling's excellent book on the 1825 Decembrist Revolt to consider its modern resonances.
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
In the 1st half, I look at the proposed Ukraine peace deal (and what it's not).
In the 2nd, I spin off Rabow-Edling's excellent book on the 1825 Decembrist Revolt to consider its modern resonances.
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
youtu.be/9zzfst6XXH8 you’re all great minds, but have a listen to this
BREAKING: How China & Russia Are Exploiting Trump's "Chaos" To Win (Warren Buffett's Worst Fear)
YouTube video by Buffett Lens
youtu.be
November 16, 2025 at 7:30 AM
youtu.be/9zzfst6XXH8 you’re all great minds, but have a listen to this
Reposted
"There are things in the world so massive that the British parliament, and you I'm afraid, are not dealing with... are not gripping"
Rory Stewart, former Conservative Minister and co-host of The Rest Is Politics, argues that there's too much focus on Prince Andrew.
#Newsnight
Rory Stewart, former Conservative Minister and co-host of The Rest Is Politics, argues that there's too much focus on Prince Andrew.
#Newsnight
October 23, 2025 at 10:39 AM
"There are things in the world so massive that the British parliament, and you I'm afraid, are not dealing with... are not gripping"
Rory Stewart, former Conservative Minister and co-host of The Rest Is Politics, argues that there's too much focus on Prince Andrew.
#Newsnight
Rory Stewart, former Conservative Minister and co-host of The Rest Is Politics, argues that there's too much focus on Prince Andrew.
#Newsnight
Reposted
My latest @bennettschool.cam.ac.uk UK productivity update: Between Q1 24 - Q1 25 labour productivity growth fell by 0.2% while Q2 24 - Q2 25 flash estimate fell by 0.8%. Not only is the 1% OBR forecast looking unattainable, it is getting further away! www.bennettschool.cam.ac.uk/blog/trade-a... This
Trade associations need to help deliver productivity growth - Bennett School of Public Policy
The UK government’s Industrial Strategy is targeting eight sectors of the economy to address the country’s pressing growth challenge. Thomas Aubrey argues that firms in these sectors need to collabora...
www.bennettschool.cam.ac.uk
September 9, 2025 at 8:30 AM
My latest @bennettschool.cam.ac.uk UK productivity update: Between Q1 24 - Q1 25 labour productivity growth fell by 0.2% while Q2 24 - Q2 25 flash estimate fell by 0.8%. Not only is the 1% OBR forecast looking unattainable, it is getting further away! www.bennettschool.cam.ac.uk/blog/trade-a... This
Reposted
Kokichi Akuzawa has become the oldest person to summit Mount Fuji at age 102, an achievement recognized by Guinness World Records after he reached the top.
102-year-old becomes oldest person to summit Mount Fuji
Kokichi Akuzawa has become the oldest person to summit Mount Fuji at age 102, an achievement recognized by Guinness World Records after he reached the top.
bit.ly
September 5, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Kokichi Akuzawa has become the oldest person to summit Mount Fuji at age 102, an achievement recognized by Guinness World Records after he reached the top.
Reposted
Security guarantees looked one way in Alaska, and another in Washington. @massdara.bsky.social and @michaelkofman.bsky.social join Ryan to break down which version Ukraine might get.
Listen here: warontherocks.com/20...
Listen here: warontherocks.com/20...
August 22, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Security guarantees looked one way in Alaska, and another in Washington. @massdara.bsky.social and @michaelkofman.bsky.social join Ryan to break down which version Ukraine might get.
Listen here: warontherocks.com/20...
Listen here: warontherocks.com/20...
Reposted
FOREIGN PODICY | The Shadows Moscow Casts Over Historian Mark Galeotti
Cute title for what is often a rather downbeat conversation with the FDD's Cliff May ("the man who went to university with Putin"...)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_l3...
Cute title for what is often a rather downbeat conversation with the FDD's Cliff May ("the man who went to university with Putin"...)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_l3...
FOREIGN PODICY | The Shadows Moscow Casts Over Historian Mark Galeotti
YouTube video by FDD
www.youtube.com
August 30, 2025 at 4:51 PM
FOREIGN PODICY | The Shadows Moscow Casts Over Historian Mark Galeotti
Cute title for what is often a rather downbeat conversation with the FDD's Cliff May ("the man who went to university with Putin"...)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_l3...
Cute title for what is often a rather downbeat conversation with the FDD's Cliff May ("the man who went to university with Putin"...)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_l3...
Reposted
Remarkable open letter from Bill Burns. "If intelligence analysts at the CIA saw our rivals engage in this kind of great-power suicide, we would break out the bourbon. Instead, the sound we hear is of champagne glasses clinking in the Kremlin and Zhongnanhai." theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
A Letter to America’s Discarded Public Servants
You all deserved better.
theatlantic.com
August 21, 2025 at 8:12 AM
Remarkable open letter from Bill Burns. "If intelligence analysts at the CIA saw our rivals engage in this kind of great-power suicide, we would break out the bourbon. Instead, the sound we hear is of champagne glasses clinking in the Kremlin and Zhongnanhai." theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
Reposted
In Moscow's Shadows 212: War and Peace and Alaska
Where is the world after the Alaska summit? Putin won, but did Trump really lose? And if - if - we are any closer to a peace, what might that look like? A rather freeform, thoughts-in-progress episode
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
Where is the world after the Alaska summit? Putin won, but did Trump really lose? And if - if - we are any closer to a peace, what might that look like? A rather freeform, thoughts-in-progress episode
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
In Moscow's Shadows 212: War and Peace and Alaska - In Moscow's Shadows
Alaska was owned by Russia - was the summit also? Where is the world after the Alaska summit? Putin won, but did Trump really lose (I'd suggest not really, because his interests are not that opposed)?...
www.buzzsprout.com
August 17, 2025 at 7:52 AM
In Moscow's Shadows 212: War and Peace and Alaska
Where is the world after the Alaska summit? Putin won, but did Trump really lose? And if - if - we are any closer to a peace, what might that look like? A rather freeform, thoughts-in-progress episode
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
Where is the world after the Alaska summit? Putin won, but did Trump really lose? And if - if - we are any closer to a peace, what might that look like? A rather freeform, thoughts-in-progress episode
www.buzzsprout.com/1026985/epis...
Reposted
Hundreds of British Jewish activists gathered outside the UK Foreign Ministry in London to call for an end to UK support for Israel amid the worsening humanitarian crisis in Gaza. Organised by Jewish group Na’amod and Israeli anti-occupation collective Mi-Neged, the protest
July 29, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Hundreds of British Jewish activists gathered outside the UK Foreign Ministry in London to call for an end to UK support for Israel amid the worsening humanitarian crisis in Gaza. Organised by Jewish group Na’amod and Israeli anti-occupation collective Mi-Neged, the protest
Reposted
Israeli tactics:
1. Stop aid entering Gaza
2. Deny famine is taking place
3. When famine becomes undeniable, stall as long as possible
4. When western pressure mounts, do the minimum possible
5. When western attention moves on, return to step 1.
1. Stop aid entering Gaza
2. Deny famine is taking place
3. When famine becomes undeniable, stall as long as possible
4. When western pressure mounts, do the minimum possible
5. When western attention moves on, return to step 1.
July 27, 2025 at 11:03 AM
Israeli tactics:
1. Stop aid entering Gaza
2. Deny famine is taking place
3. When famine becomes undeniable, stall as long as possible
4. When western pressure mounts, do the minimum possible
5. When western attention moves on, return to step 1.
1. Stop aid entering Gaza
2. Deny famine is taking place
3. When famine becomes undeniable, stall as long as possible
4. When western pressure mounts, do the minimum possible
5. When western attention moves on, return to step 1.
Outstanding, from a proud Welshman #Lionesses
July 27, 2025 at 6:50 PM
Outstanding, from a proud Welshman #Lionesses
Reposted
Good statement that makes clear Israel is deliberately massacring starving civilians.
"We condemn the drip feeding of aid and the inhumane killing of civilians, including children, seeking to meet their most basic needs of water and food. "
www.gov.uk/government/n...
"We condemn the drip feeding of aid and the inhumane killing of civilians, including children, seeking to meet their most basic needs of water and food. "
www.gov.uk/government/n...
Occupied Palestinian Territories: joint statement, 21 July 2025
The UK and 25 international partners gave a joint statement on the Occupied Palestinian Territories.
www.gov.uk
July 21, 2025 at 4:32 PM
Good statement that makes clear Israel is deliberately massacring starving civilians.
"We condemn the drip feeding of aid and the inhumane killing of civilians, including children, seeking to meet their most basic needs of water and food. "
www.gov.uk/government/n...
"We condemn the drip feeding of aid and the inhumane killing of civilians, including children, seeking to meet their most basic needs of water and food. "
www.gov.uk/government/n...
Was in the chair for Ukraine: the Latest on Friday. Highly recommend Jade McGlynn’s insights on understanding Russia and the mad way so many people project their own obsessions on it youtu.be/E2FQ7h81ERc?...
Unmasked: The Russian spies who targeted Europe on Putin’s orders | Ukraine: The Latest
YouTube video by The Telegraph
youtu.be
July 20, 2025 at 8:50 AM
Reposted
Some really interesting thoughts on Russia's future trajectory here from Mark Galeotti
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIkR...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIkR...
🇷🇺 2026 will be tough for Russia. Mark Galeotti | Toptalk
YouTube video by Topchubashov Center
www.youtube.com
July 10, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Some really interesting thoughts on Russia's future trajectory here from Mark Galeotti
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIkR...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIkR...
Reposted
This new Fed study is quite interesting. It shows tariffs on final goods cause an immediate - but transitory - increase in inflation whereas the inflationary impact of tariffs on intermediate goods can linger and become persistent
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp...
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp...
Trade Costs and Inflation Dynamics
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
www.federalreserve.gov
July 3, 2025 at 8:04 AM
This new Fed study is quite interesting. It shows tariffs on final goods cause an immediate - but transitory - increase in inflation whereas the inflationary impact of tariffs on intermediate goods can linger and become persistent
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp...
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp...